Search found 894 matches

by PacoMartin
Sat Jul 06, 2019 1:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA choose ORD as its TPAC Gateway instead of DFW?
Replies: 75
Views: 12448

Re: Why did AA choose ORD as its TPAC Gateway instead of DFW?

Can you provide a source for these numbers? https://www.transtats.bts.gov/Data_Elements_Financial.aspx?Data=6 The BTS treats AA mainline as one airline and Envoy Air as another. Envoy Air flies domestic and Latin American flights. The BTS data may slightly disagree with AA quarterly reports which m...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jul 05, 2019 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA choose ORD as its TPAC Gateway instead of DFW?
Replies: 75
Views: 12448

Re: Why did AA choose ORD as its TPAC Gateway instead of DFW?

AA's international route network (TATL and TPAC) is a hot mess IMHO. Not as well defined, structured, or connected as DL or UA's network. Looking at AA Net Income from international flights for the past 17 years would seem to confirm your hypothesis. They have not had a positive net income from TPA...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jul 05, 2019 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America
Replies: 31
Views: 9107

Re: Losing control? Narrow-body production in North America

I think the 6-decade North American dominance/major control of the narrow-body market is on the line. Not just because the MAX is out, but it will be out in a way which will seriously tie up Boeing resources while Airbus would be free to ramp up production. I think that decision to relinquish domin...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jul 05, 2019 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 13077

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

DL today reported their June operating performance. RPMs: ........................ June '19 .........................June '18 ......................... Increase % Domestic ............. 14,118,714................ 13,078,646 .................... 8.0 Int'l ................... 9,668,351..................

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jul 05, 2019 7:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Disney launching their own airline?
Replies: 168
Views: 27541

Re: Disney launching their own airline?

LightChop2Chop wrote:
So here is a thought. they mouse could buy Sun Country and move the HQ to MCO. that solves the AOC issues and gives them a fleet of 737s to start with that they could reconfigure.


Why not purchase fledgling Moxy Airline, and Disney would get one of the smarter minds in aviation and new jets.

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jul 05, 2019 6:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.
Replies: 95
Views: 13077

Re: Delta Air Lines June 2019 Operating Performance.

91% domestic load factor is - I believe - the highest load factor Delta has ever reported for any month (at least going back to 2016). For June, Delta's previous record was 89.82% back in 2015. For July, they broke 90% in 2008, 2009, and 2014. Year Month DOMESTIC (Delta) 2009 7 91.10% 2008 7 90.33%...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Jul 04, 2019 8:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Disney launching their own airline?
Replies: 168
Views: 27541

Re: Disney launching their own airline?

They will have a hard time competing with the likes of the US3 these days as MCO becomes trapped in the strange middle ground of an airport that is the busiest non-hub in the country after LAS. Your statement is confirmed by the top 12 busiest airports in the USA according to FAA data. LAS and MCO ...

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by PacoMartin
Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PKX (Beijing Daxing) Route Announcements and News Thread
Replies: 124
Views: 27421

Re: Finnair to launch Helsinki—Beijing Daxing this November, becoming 1st inter’l carrier to operate at both PKX and PEK

Zoedyn wrote:
Finnair is going to launch 3x weekly HEL-PKX on Nov 3rd using A333, per the Chinese Weibo account of Airlineroute.

Big congrats to AY and PKX :champagne: :champagne:


I wonder if it will be possible to transfer from JFK or LAX with a reasonable layover?

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by PacoMartin
Wed Jun 26, 2019 5:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 27098

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

JayinKitsap wrote:
I am sure that the A321 is going to dominate the NB market. Has to be.


A320: $101.00m x 4,143 = $418,443
A321: $118.30m x 2,327 = $275,284

I could see the A321 surpassing A320 as Airbus's dominant revenue source someday.

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by PacoMartin
Tue Jun 25, 2019 8:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

you might be wrong for sure That seems to be the general consensus. Most people think that United wll be putting in a massive order for jets smaller than 179 seats within five years (or converting the MAX order). It would take a MJOR Strike for it TO Happen. I am not imagining anything pretty,

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 24, 2019 10:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 508
Views: 162023

Re: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

I do hope this is all resolved sooner rather than later There are 182 Chinese orders vs 852 for the B738. I have a sinking feeling that the Chinese government may never approve the MAX and use it as a push for COMAC. MAX China Airlines B737-800 14 China Eastern Airlines 121 9 Xiamen Airlines 119 15...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

...I thought it was 137 orders 99 on 12. Jul. 2012 - United - Airlines MAX orders 38 on 27. Dec. 2016 - United - Airlines MAX orders UAL had 65 737-700 ordered until Kirby came on board. This was then converted to 4 737-800s (already delivered) and 61 737-9Max aircraft, 14 (?) already delivered. Th...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 24, 2019 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

It is sad to see that CLE is now fewer seats than PDX, AUS or MSY. United always publicly tries to treat CLE as more than just a spoke, By June 5, 2014, United Airlines effectively terminated its hub operation at the airport, reducing its daily departures by more than 60%, but I also was a little s...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 24, 2019 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Actually, it doesn’t. United could be double its current size, and, percentage-wise, you’d have a chart that still looks, more or less, the same. The fact that the bulk of the traffic is to places where lots of people fly, and that places like Bozeman, MT, see that many passengers is hardly Earth-s...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 24, 2019 9:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Don't think your distribution proves that much. Of course we all know hubs and the most major cities make up a lot of mainline, that's pretty much a given.... Yes, that is a given. The distribution was to show you how quickly the total adds up outside of the hubs. The following airports add up to 5...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 24, 2019 3:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

FlightLevel360 wrote:
I believe that there is the place for a Bombardier CSeries CS300 or Embraer ERJ-195E2 sized aircraft in United's fleet


It's been a long time since they ordered some new smaller jets.
B737-700
25: 25. Jul. 1996
11: 10. Oct. 1996

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 24, 2019 2:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

I thought this look at data might be interesting. Using the latest available month in BTS (November 2018) I organized UAL mainline flights by number of available domestic seats of flights by origin airport and kept a running percentage. United had 12.5% domestic seats leaving from ORD, and 52% who h...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Jun 23, 2019 10:47 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?
Replies: 45
Views: 6717

Re: Why doesn’t UA fly an Airbus Widebody?

Old UA ordered the 359 a decade ago; its been modified and deferred several times since. Allegedly, cancellation penalties are very favorable to UA. I wouldn’t be surprised if the order is ultimately cancelled, and most of the deposits are placed with a 321XLR order. That seems like a sensible gues...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Jun 23, 2019 7:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 191311

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

I'm surprised COPA hasn't started service to TIJ to initially introduce service to the region. TIJ is probably less expensive to operate out of and being Latin America, they share a similar culture and the same language. Scheduling wise, they could do a quick 60 minute midnight turn around, somethi...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Jun 23, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 191311

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

How did 1995 spike to 245,000 when other years around it averaged in the 220,000's? I don't remember that year being that extraordinary. What I find interesting is that last year there were more flights, more non-stops, more pax then ever but it had the same number of operations as the 1990's. Ther...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Jun 23, 2019 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1207
Views: 191311

Re: San Diego Aviation Thread - 2019

They waited 16 years to build the second half of Terminal 2 West. That should have been built at the same time. What were the international gates in the 1980s? Perhaps we should segway into capacity limits on the runway. If you can remember prior to 2006 the Airport Authority was insistent that con...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Jun 22, 2019 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Is your hometown airport ERI by any chance. that sounds a lot like ERI haha No, that's a good guess though. It is ABE on the other side of the state. United have 185 new MAX orders (less the 14 deliveries I guess). I see that as NEW single aisle jets! In fact more new single aisle orders than Ameri...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Jun 22, 2019 7:39 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Will A321XLR be used in trans-pacific?
Replies: 8
Views: 2331

Re: Will A321XLR be used in trans-pacific?

In addition to the technical difficulties, there are some social considerations. The A321LR sparked interest in nonstops to Cork, Ireland, Belfast Northern Ireland, Edinburgh and Glasgow in Scotland, Manchester and Birmingham in Britain, and Bergen in Norway. In the USA there was Providence RI, Hart...

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by PacoMartin
Sat Jun 22, 2019 1:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Perhaps if UA under Munoz and Kirby wasn't seeing positive results then I could take your opinions more seriously, but UA is profitable and UA is growing not just internationally but also in the domestic market which forces me to question whether or not you are serious or just trying to see how lon...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jun 21, 2019 9:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Because Delta's domestic operation in Atlanta is almost as big as United's entire domestic operation there is a much higher chance of turning a passenger on a small jet from TINYTOWN into a connecting domestic flight or an interntional flight. domestic + intern. = total (millions of air passengers b...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jun 21, 2019 6:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Paco Martin: Not quite sure how to view those last set of stats. Does your MAP just for the airline you referenced? Where is SFO, IAH, EWR and IAD in your analysis? How about PHX, DTW, LAX, MIA, PHL. It would seem all would have sole carriers with more more traffic than MSP. Where is UA at DEN? UA ...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jun 21, 2019 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Why not serve CAK to ORD to get some additional feed if you can make it work profitably? Those markets also feed the international network. In fact, UA is betting the CRJ550 on the fact that someone in OMA wants first class from OMA>UAHUB>PEK. It's the if you can make it work profitably phrase that...

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by PacoMartin
Fri Jun 21, 2019 7:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

Delta is acquiring B737-900ERs at roughly 21 per year compared to United's 18 per year, but Delta is also acquiring A321s and has A321neos on order as well as the A220s. So the age gap is going to continue to accelerate in favor of Delta. So you are correct in saying that DL's average fleet age sho...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Jun 20, 2019 5:01 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: F9 Could Use A321XLR Order for Transatlantic
Replies: 116
Views: 12851

Re: F9 Could Use A321XLR Order for Transatlantic

It's a lot more complicated than just gcmap ranges. Getting a nat track with .80 assigned for example burns more fuel. International derived alternates, weather, loads, runway analysis. All that stuff pilots are paid for, but A.net fanboy's know nothing about. I am not pretending that it isn't more...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:07 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: F9 Could Use A321XLR Order for Transatlantic
Replies: 116
Views: 12851

Re: F9 Could Use A321XLR Order for Transatlantic

Even if Denver were at sea level, Europe is too far. International will need destination + alternate (and maybe a second alternate) + 45min gas. Denver to Oslo Noway via great circle is 4036 nautical miles. The A321LR is sold at a maximum range of 4000 nm, and the A321XLR is advertised at 4700nm Pa...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Jun 20, 2019 11:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: More details on BOOM SST at Paris. SFO to Toyko in 5.5 hours. First flight in 2020...
Replies: 103
Views: 14169

Re: More details on BOOM SST at Paris. SFO to Toyko in 5.5 hours. First flight in 2020...

You are absolutely correct that is the same price as premium cabins today. However one thing that caught my attention in the article was it stated SYD-LAX 6 hours 45 minutes but in parenthesis it states with a fuel stop, which makes me wonder how fuel efficient will this aircraft actually be? If a ...

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by PacoMartin
Thu Jun 20, 2019 5:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

You may be thinking a little too linearly... There are still a number of routes in the UA system where they are using an Airbus or 73G/738 simply because they don't have a larger 73E/7M9 available. Until that issue is rectified there isn't much point in growing the smaller NB fleet significantly as...

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by PacoMartin
Wed Jun 19, 2019 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

One possibility is a full frontal assault on the scoping clause and an attempt to expand the role of the United Express companies While American has a much younger fleet, both Delta and United's fleet are getting pretty old. Right now the airlines are fairly profitable, but they seem to be putting ...

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by PacoMartin
Wed Jun 19, 2019 6:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

If you look some of UA's hubs like EWR, ORD, SFO, LAX at all these hubs UA is gate constrained, also at 3 out of the 4 hubs there are a lot of ATC issues. Right now because UA has 100 fewer mainline aircraft than DL, UA can't afford to use all or most of our small narrow bodies like the A319 or 737...

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by PacoMartin
Tue Jun 18, 2019 4:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 410
Views: 50637

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

There is nothing magical that makes a widebody more comfortable than a narrowbody. I think that makes a lot of sense, but I have never been able to explain the abject failure of the B757-300. It was designed in 1996 when the A321 began chipping away at B757 sales. By stretching the B757-200 so that...

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by PacoMartin
Tue Jun 18, 2019 2:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

So until UA address the main problem which is the lack of large narrow body aircraft we can't allocate more our 128 seat A319s, or our 126 seat 737-700s into those smaller feeder markets, which helps feed DL's larger network of hubs and contributes to the large disparity you pointed out between UA'...

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by PacoMartin
Tue Jun 18, 2019 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

If the economics of the 100-125-seats planes are, in fact, troublesome then maybe UA has determined that it's just better off simply flying larger planes with a few more empty seats on some select routes than trying to "right size" every route with the perfect plane when market conditions...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 17, 2019 11:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 410
Views: 50637

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Within 3-4 years, what appears at first to be a niche product may garner 1000 orders. I know there are other threads on the -XLR, but I am interested in the market potential and Boeing's response. I believe there are 2,327 for the A321neo with some unknown percentage of those being for the LR versi...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 17, 2019 10:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

cosyr wrote:
That's a big gap, and for UA it's even larger, because it will be a gap of between 76 and 180 seats.


Is it possible that UA of ten years from now will not have any jets below 179 seats? Can you build a viable route network like that?

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 17, 2019 9:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

At some point UA will have to replace the A320s but (and this is just my opinion) I'm thinking UA is probably looking to get another 7-8 years out of our A320s. The oldest A320 United is flying was delivered on 24 Nov 1993. The oldest A320 that Delta is flying was delivered to Northwest Airlines on...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 17, 2019 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

UA badly needs more large narrowbodies such as the MAX 9 and MAX 10, particularly with their congested, gate constrained hubs. That's the area needing focus first. Also their oldest single-aisle jets are the B752s. So I agree. Aircraft Type Current years Boeing B757-200 56 23.2 Airbus A320-200 99 2...

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by PacoMartin
Mon Jun 17, 2019 4:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

In the meantime, UA is losing ground to DL, IMHO. Certainly by number of passengers (domestic& international by percentage increase) since their respective mergers that is a massive understatement. year domestic international total 2012 67,533,828 23,960,160 91,493,988 United 2012 95,438,871 19...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Jun 16, 2019 7:53 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: MEX a global hub?
Replies: 11
Views: 2193

Re: MEX a global hub?

I am not sure why the Americas need a Dubai style hub. If the airport is big enough in Latin America it is reachable from USA airports by larger model jets. What is really needed is a transfer point for single aisle jets to smaller cities in Latin America. For example, if you are headed to the large...

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by PacoMartin
Sun Jun 16, 2019 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 3546
Views: 709606

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

I calculated the average age in years of single-aisle fleet (not including MAXs) 15.8 United 15.5 Delta 14.5 Sun Country 13.3 Allegiant Air 11.8 Southwest 11.1 American 11.0 Hawaiian 10.4 Jetblue 7.6 Alaska Airlines 5.7 Spirit Airlines 3.9 Frontier Airlines -------------------- It has struck me that...

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