Search found 15731 matches

by EA CO AS
Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25275

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

I'm surprised the AS changes weren't in the mix; they were loaded yesterday. At least the 4/10 to 4/30 schedule, anyway.

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by EA CO AS
Thu Apr 02, 2020 6:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ravn Alaska closing its doors?
Replies: 160
Views: 23212

Re: Ravn Alaska closing its doors?

So sad to see what was once a robust series of intra-AK carriers gone or nearing failure. PenAir, Era, Hageland, Frontier Flying Service, LAB, Reeve...

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by EA CO AS
Thu Apr 02, 2020 12:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 381144

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

You're kind of all over the place here. They had what was considered a very health amount of cash up until the world aviation market contracted by 75% inside of a month. Hind sight is 20/20. I expect the conversations of what level of catastrophe an airline should expect will be interesting over th...

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by EA CO AS
Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 381144

Re: Delta plans to emerge a

What they're really doing is strategizing on how to be profitable come October 1 and how to beat the competition by having the best business positions. Accurate. While this is a tragedy of epic proportions, to be sure, every airline c-suite in the U.S. is also planning on "not letting a good c...

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by EA CO AS
Tue Mar 31, 2020 6:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 381144

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

it's totally against the spirit of the grants. It's also quite confusing because it applies to merit employees as well, and all ground employees including corporate office staff. Where it's interesting to me legally is for salary employees who are entitled to full pay if any hours are worked in FLS...

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by EA CO AS
Tue Mar 31, 2020 5:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Carriers Considering Passenger Consolidation
Replies: 85
Views: 15483

Re: US Carriers Considering Passenger Consolidation

Good Lord, no. Can you imagine the fines the airlines will have for failure by their agents to properly disclose the operating and marketing carriers? "Yes, and this flight is operated by SkyWest as AlaskaSkywest, also doing business as Delta Connection, also doing business as American Eagle......

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by EA CO AS
Tue Mar 31, 2020 3:26 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: What if the L1011 had beat DC-10 to market, and the RB211 program was flawless?
Replies: 31
Views: 4180

Re: What if the L1011 had beat DC-10 to market, and the RB211 program was flawless?

Does anyone think that Lockheed would still be making commercial aircraft today? Not a chance. Both manufacturers still chased after the same market, with McDonnell-Douglas pursuing the failed "three-holer" strategy via the MD-11. A better question, if you ask me, is: What if the L1011 ha...

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 30, 2020 8:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

It’s another condition of the stimulus package; any carrier taking part in this must continue serving the same communities they flew to prior to the pandemic. The level of service can be drawn down, but the station must be kept open until at least 9/30/20. So something I hadn’t thought about until ...

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 30, 2020 4:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I think PHX would be in big trouble right now in the normal world. I think people around the industry expected it to die in the next recession. OTOH, AZ is pretty low virus infection last I looked, so that could play a factor. AZ has a low rate of testing, so of course the numbers will be low. The ...

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 30, 2020 3:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I also saw a comment from an airline saying they had to keep all their stations open for now. I'm not sure what that is driven by. It’s another condition of the stimulus package; any carrier taking part in this must continue serving the same communities they flew to prior to the pandemic. The level...

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 30, 2020 3:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I also saw a comment from an airline saying they had to keep all their stations open for now. I'm not sure what that is driven by. It’s another condition of the stimulus package; any carrier taking part in this must continue serving the same communities they flew to prior to the pandemic. The level...

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Sending 777s to SEA This Summer?
Replies: 22
Views: 5072

Re: United Sending 777s to SEA This Summer?

KFTG wrote:
PHXWRLD wrote:
Why isn't UA using the 777 to PHX?

Not to worry. There will be plenty of UA 777s in the Phoenix area soon.


Hehehehe GYR doesn’t count.

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 30, 2020 3:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 2017
Views: 251864

Re: AA's PHX Hub in Jeapordy?

Why do people want this to happen so badly? If they were going to de-hub PHX after the merger, they certainly would have at least started by now. PHX is a great airport. Who in their right mind would rather connect through LAX instead of PHX? Nobody, that's who. LAX plays an obvious role, but it ca...

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by EA CO AS
Sun Mar 29, 2020 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I think one of the next big questions is going to be what happens to all that cash locked up in cancelled non-refundable tickets. Just about every airline's contract of carriage requires a refund be an option IF the flight is cancelled or if a schedule change exceeds a certain amount, usually great...

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by EA CO AS
Sun Mar 29, 2020 9:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

THIS IS A KEY DATE. The airlines cannot layoff people till October under the stimulus. October is when the airlines are going to rebuild their networks from the ground up. Keep in mind this only applies to carriers that accept aid; at least one carrier has stated they're not sure they'll take feder...

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by EA CO AS
Sun Mar 29, 2020 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

I'm somewhat surprised that cuts don't go beyond what we are seeing. I can't decide if the airlines can't keep up with the adjustments in real time or they are playing a competitive game of who blinks first. You're seeing two types of cancellations; major schedule changes (published, greater than 2...

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by EA CO AS
Sun Mar 29, 2020 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown
Replies: 109
Views: 17259

Re: OAG Changes 3/29/2020: Meltdown

32andBelow wrote:
All the AS cuts must not be in yet. That looks like the initial 10% cut.


Correct, the 70% reduction isn't reflected in this load.

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by EA CO AS
Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aviation sector unpaid leaves and layoffs thread
Replies: 878
Views: 33804

Re: Airlines unpaid leaves and layoffs thread

Airlines should consider distributing some of this stock they bought back to their employees to help make them whole and keep them motivated during the recovery. That stock was retired. Exactly. The whole reason to buy back (what you consider to be) excess stock is to retire it, increasing the pric...

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by EA CO AS
Fri Mar 27, 2020 3:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aviation sector unpaid leaves and layoffs thread
Replies: 878
Views: 33804

Re: Airlines unpaid leaves and layoffs thread

The legislation means the billions of dollars in government support will NOT fund stock buybacks and executive compensation. Instead, aid relief will support saving our jobs and our paychecks. By granting federal aid to the airlines, lawmakers stipulated that airline workers cannot be furloughed th...

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by EA CO AS
Fri Mar 27, 2020 5:12 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Tesla model Y
Replies: 53
Views: 2225

Re: Tesla model Y

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xAXDcTH6hPw
-->

Doug DeMuro has a pretty good review on the Model Y:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xAXDcTH6hPw

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 26, 2020 7:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020
Replies: 827
Views: 71803

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020

In addition to the schedule reductions, all levels of leadership (myself included) are taking pay cuts of 10% to 30% depending on their role. Hopefully this is enough to avoid even a single job loss to any employee. Forgot to mention the BOD has halted their compensation, and both Brad Tilden and B...

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 26, 2020 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020
Replies: 827
Views: 71803

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020

In addition to the schedule reductions, all levels of leadership (myself included) are taking pay cuts of 10% to 30% depending on their role. Hopefully this is enough to avoid even a single job loss to any employee. Forgot to mention the BOD has halted their compensation, and both Brad Tilden and B...

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 26, 2020 5:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020
Replies: 827
Views: 71803

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020

In addition to the schedule reductions, all levels of leadership (myself included) are taking pay cuts of 10% to 30% depending on their role. Hopefully this is enough to avoid even a single job loss to any employee.

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020
Replies: 827
Views: 71803

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020

More guidance on reductions to be released shortly, well beyond initial guidance.

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 25, 2020 6:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020
Replies: 827
Views: 71803

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020

you are still maintaining the 15% cut line? Again, as I already stated RIGHT NOW the plan is to cut capacity in high frequency and markets and some red eye flying, totaling about a 15% capacity reduction. But, the situation is fluid and new plans are being developed. Once the company is willing to ...

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 25, 2020 5:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020
Replies: 827
Views: 71803

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread 2020

Any updates on AS regarding COVID-19 operations? Do they have a strategy in place? Right now the plan is to cut capacity in high frequency and markets and some red eye flying, totaling about a 15% capacity reduction, or about 200 flights out of 1300 daily. Of course, things are fluid and adjustment...

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 19, 2020 7:34 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What should we do with our money in the market
Replies: 50
Views: 2165

Re: What should we do with our money in the market

Hold, and keep buying if you can, especially if you're playing with house money, like a 401(k) employer match. It'll come back. I made the mistake of looking at my 401(k) today and it was down nearly six figures from where it was a month ago, but it will turn around. And so I keep buying with every ...

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 19, 2020 7:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337853

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

Noticed how you dodged G4, which is entirely domestic + lower cost, and is reducing flying by 35%. G4 is exclusively leisure, and extremely price-sensitive leisure at that. You should learn more about G4, your description of their customer base isn't accurate. Really? That's their own definition, f...

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 19, 2020 6:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337853

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

Noticed how you dodged G4, which is entirely domestic + lower cost, and is reducing flying by 35%. G4 is exclusively leisure, and extremely price-sensitive leisure at that. I'm surprised they're only reducing 35% - their market is far more susceptible to shocks like this than others, so comparing t...

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 18, 2020 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337853

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

All airline stocks are taking a beating today. ALK is down a third in value today alone.

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 18, 2020 5:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337853

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

There’s like a dozen mail carrier freight airlines in Alaska. But Alaska is gonna be just fine if they actually conserve cash. They have a lot of cash already. But 10% capacity cut is a little light. The 10% capacity cut will go to 15% for May, and AS now has just over $2.0B in cash on hand, plus n...

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 18, 2020 4:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337853

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

I would say HA is far more "special" than any of them (ULCC's I mean) given that if HA were to collapse, there would be no inter-island air transport in Hawaii. I think that's pretty important. Hawaiian and Alaska need to survive. Without them there is literally no one to carry the mail i...

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 18, 2020 12:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta storing their fleet at MZJ?
Replies: 43
Views: 13907

Re: Delta storing their fleet at MZJ?

How long a month are they to be stored They probably wouldn't be going to MZJ if it were just for a couple of months. It's one of the least-expensive places to park dozens of aircraft without tying up ramp space in ATL or other hub cities, all of whom would charge far more for storage than MZJ will.

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 18, 2020 12:22 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Corona virus Bailout Bill (US)
Replies: 145
Views: 8168

Re: Corona virus Bailout Bill

I absolutely agree. All those years of airline profits, something should have been set aside for a high-risk event. And how many hundreds of thousands of jobs will be lost because of this attitude? They can work at the airlines that fill the gap. Air travel won’t just end on these routes. Air trave...

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 18, 2020 12:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA, DL or UA Bankruptcy and "Credits"
Replies: 7
Views: 2670

Re: AA, DL or UA Bankruptcy and "Credits"

So, I was wondering - AA, DL and UA are offering a credit if you cancel a flight. If one or all were to declare bankruptcy, what happens to those credits? You become an unsecured creditor, and while they could technically list your credit as a debt, odds are they'd simply honor it for future travel...

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 16, 2020 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/15/2020: ARMAGEDDON + AS Exits BWI-LAX,RNO-SJC;UA Suspends SMX
Replies: 142
Views: 24414

Re: OAG Changes 3/15/2020: ARMAGEDDON + AS Exits BWI-LAX,RNO-SJC;UA Suspends SMX

It amazes me how many users on here think things will be back to normal within a few months. Companies have been quietly pulling out of summer convention travel, and now cities are cancelling events set to take place through June. I refuse to believe the Fed's position that we're not headed into a ...

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by EA CO AS
Mon Mar 16, 2020 5:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska A320neo Order - To AA?
Replies: 16
Views: 5099

Re: Alaska A320neo Order - To AA?

Those 30 orders can be switched to any Airbus product if so desired.

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by EA CO AS
Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337853

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

I think bookings come back far quicker than after 9/11. For months, even years thereafter, people were terrified about the prospect of a terrorist trying to take down their plane, such as the shoe bomber incident. Not so once the coronavirus fears abate, particularly once an effective treatment or v...

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by EA CO AS
Fri Mar 13, 2020 7:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337853

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

mham001 wrote:
Midwestindy wrote:
Still nothing from AS, maybe they are still in "wait and see" mode :banghead:


Curious, why is this such an issue for you?


Seconded!

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by EA CO AS
Wed Mar 11, 2020 1:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183425

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

"Airlines will react appropriately," Scott Kirby said it well today, when he said that airlines who aren't taking this seriously now, should expect significant issues down the line..... When nearly every other major US carrier is significantly cutting back capacity, and AS is not, and AS ...

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by EA CO AS
Tue Mar 10, 2020 8:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183425

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

Alaska shockingly isn't planning to materially cut capacity in April Alaska believes the way to go is offering $80 O/W transcon/HI tickets. What a joke. What's a joke about it if it works? Unpredictable stuff like this is exactly why AS has been conservative with their balance sheet and keeps an ec...

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by EA CO AS
Sun Mar 08, 2020 3:43 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Consequences of Trump's re-election
Replies: 148
Views: 8643

Re: Consequences of Trump's re-election

That's complete hogwash. For example, if you're 18 or over with a HS diploma or equivalent, you can get a job in an airline call center starting at around $15-17/hr, progressing to over $32/hr after 10 years on the job. With a little readily-available overtime sprinkled in each week, you're at $100...

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by EA CO AS
Sat Mar 07, 2020 9:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Consequences of Trump's re-election
Replies: 148
Views: 8643

Re: Consequences of Trump's re-election

conditions have completely changed - three of my relatives in their late 50s make over $100K not self-employed with only HS diploma/AA education. Virtually impossible outcome for anyone starting out same today. That's complete hogwash. For example, if you're 18 or over with a HS diploma or equivale...

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by EA CO AS
Sat Mar 07, 2020 12:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS announces CVG service
Replies: 77
Views: 12479

Re: AS announces CVG service

Following the meeting between the airline execs and the president, Tilden was quoted saying Alaska was likely to begin reducing their schedule due to the virus. Alaska’s advance bookings are likely in shambles given the sale on tickets they just announced. I’d be surprised if this route ever actual...

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by EA CO AS
Thu Mar 05, 2020 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Possible COVID-19 infection at Boeing Everett plant.
Replies: 45
Views: 8278

Re: Possible COVID-19 infection at Boeing Everett plant.

Chicken Little Syndrome is alive and well.

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by EA CO AS
Tue Mar 03, 2020 6:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska future in Portland 2020
Replies: 60
Views: 7599

Re: Alaska future in Portland 2020

n7371f wrote:
Another one? Lost count.


Believe it or not, it's possible for a plan to have multiple elements to it. Don't worry, you'll all find out when the time is right.

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by EA CO AS
Tue Mar 03, 2020 1:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Announces SEA-LHR For 2021
Replies: 128
Views: 16932

Re: Delta Announces SEA-LHR For 2021

flybry wrote:
Delta will eventually overtake Alaska in Seattle much like Delta has done to AA at JFK.


Using what gates, exactly?

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by EA CO AS
Sun Mar 01, 2020 11:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska future in Portland 2020
Replies: 60
Views: 7599

Re: Alaska future in Portland 2020

tiptoe42 wrote:
Pretty sure the “5 year plan” has already been changed if not scrapped entirely by the corona virus fears.



No, you generally don’t change a long term plan based on short term conditions, although like any business plan it will be reassessed if market conditions truly warrant.

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by EA CO AS
Sun Mar 01, 2020 7:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Adds SEA-CMH/DFW
Replies: 83
Views: 11886

Re: Delta Adds SEA-CMH/DFW

Delta already is giving them a run for their money AS hasn't lost a single point of market share at SEA, despite DL going from around 30 flights a day to 170 a day over the past 6 years, and remains consistently profitable while DL continues to lose money there. Not sure how you define that as &quo...

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