Search found 706 matches

by FluidFlow
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oil at $20/bbl. What does it mean for the 747 and A380?
Replies: 71
Views: 11180

Re: Oil at $20/bbl. What does it mean for the 747 and A380?

This situation DOES favor the operation of old aircraft. Here's how: 1. Old aircraft have cheaper ownership costs. You can park them. You can wait out a crisis like this more successfully than the operator of new aircraft. 2. Fuel is cheap. This significantly improves unit costs of old aircraft. It...

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by FluidFlow
Fri Mar 27, 2020 1:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

According to the BBC, BHX could become a temporary mortuary. There are cooling facilities in the cargo area.

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by FluidFlow
Fri Mar 27, 2020 7:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Antonov AN 225 Flies Again
Replies: 51
Views: 11837

Re: Antonov AN 225 Flies Again

Does this plane have a navigator (Third Officer) and a radio operator? I believe the flight crew consists of pilot, co-pilot, navigator, radio operator, and two flight engineers. I thought that there is also always a cargo specialist (sorry cant remember the precise designation) on board. Anyway it...

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by FluidFlow
Tue Mar 24, 2020 7:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 107
Views: 11235

Re: Airbus Financial Discussion 2020

Interesting quote from Financial Times: "Thanks to the acquisition of a small German lender in 2014 that has since become Airbus bank, the group also has access to central bank facilities to ensure liquidity." Curious how it works exactly. source: https://www.ft.com/content/35da9db0-6d11-...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 23, 2020 2:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 432
Views: 60325

Re: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020

I don't know - the press release is not clear. Hmm yeah I read through it and it is hard to tie the number down. It seems to be somekind of a slight overestimation. What is the current rate for a new MAX? If we assume $50 million and a backlog of around 4500, we get $225bn. With the freighters + ot...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 23, 2020 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 432
Views: 60325

Re: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020

On January 20 Boeing Reported a backlog of $463 Billion. I actually do not want to get into this discussion but this number got my interest. Is this before or after discounts? Because we all know that there are between 40% - 60% discounts applied to the list price so is the real backlog around $900...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 23, 2020 1:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 432
Views: 60325

Re: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020

On January 20 Boeing Reported a backlog of $463 Billion. I actually do not want to get into this discussion but this number got my interest. Is this before or after discounts? Because we all know that there are between 40% - 60% discounts applied to the list price so is the real backlog around $900...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FAA orders carriers to inspect 11 IAE-powered A320s after VN920 incident
Replies: 28
Views: 9012

Re: FAA orders carriers to inspect and re-check IAE-powered A320s after VN920 incident

I wonder if the FAA already knews what to look for. Inspecting is definetely a good thing but if you do not know what caused the engine failure it does not help a lot. I'm guessing they're ordering a superficial borescope inspection, searching for obvious cracks. But you're right, they'll need to k...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus considers A330neo production rate cut
Replies: 161
Views: 24742

Re: Airbus considers A330neo production rate cut

surely there must be, or will shortly be many not so old A330s that will be available for lease very cheaply. Demand has plummeted & supply will go through the roof. A perfect storm, but who would pick them up ? Any airline that was about to order some new A330 neos but can see some older A330s...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 23, 2020 10:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FAA orders carriers to inspect 11 IAE-powered A320s after VN920 incident
Replies: 28
Views: 9012

Re: FAA orders carriers to inspect and re-check IAE-powered A320s after VN920 incident

I wonder if the FAA already knews what to look for. Inspecting is definetely a good thing but if you do not know what caused the engine failure it does not help a lot.

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by FluidFlow
Fri Mar 20, 2020 10:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

Nobody is banned. It is illegal for the United States to ban travel. Nobody has that authority. They are simply telling people not too. It can’t be enforced. Countries can ban any non-citizens/residents from entering. The current restrictions aren't a ban on flights per se, so much as a border rest...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 19, 2020 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020
Replies: 463
Views: 73781

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020

I also say it will fly again and it will keep an orderbook of around 5'000 aircraft, I doubt it will grow much above this. On the other hand, this will give Boeing time to get everything else sorted and come back from the current misery. An output of 400 Max a year is more than enough. This also red...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 19, 2020 1:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 432
Views: 60325

Re: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020

Everyone except for you knows that that $20B of inventory wasn't real due to the way Boeing accounts for it's programs. I'm pretty sure Boeing's lenders know this. They did, when Boeing had a healthy cash flow and a positive perspective. On the other hand in a situation like now, having $20Bn of fa...

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by FluidFlow
Wed Mar 18, 2020 12:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Renationalisation of airlines being a trend.
Replies: 29
Views: 4407

Re: Renationalisation of airlines being a trend.

I doubt Lufthansa will be willing to let go of Swiss since it has been one of the most profitable parts of LH Group. Maybe they will figure out a way with the Swiss government to get some financial aid but for the ownership structure to remain unaffected. Only that right at this moment LX is a liab...

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by FluidFlow
Wed Mar 18, 2020 10:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Renationalisation of airlines being a trend.
Replies: 29
Views: 4407

Re: Renationalisation of airlines being a trend.

The CEO of Swiss International Airlines, which belongs to the Lufthansa group, recently mentioned that he expected the Swiss Government to financially help them out. As a Swiss national, I hope that Federal Council will step in. But only to buy majority shares, which could only be benefit in the lo...

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by FluidFlow
Wed Mar 18, 2020 9:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Renationalisation of airlines being a trend.
Replies: 29
Views: 4407

Re: Renationalisation of airlines being a trend.

I am sorry if this hasn't been covered in the coronavirus related thread. Upon discovering that AZ is about to be renationalised, I am almost certain that another string of airlines, perhaps less so in Europe and definitely not the US3 being renationalised. Those that i could think of as strong con...

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by FluidFlow
Tue Mar 17, 2020 9:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

Everyone, companies and individuals are going to need a 6-12 month payment holiday on all loans, mortgages and credit card payments. Even monthly bank payments. Soon it won’t just be the aviation industry that is in trouble. It will affect everyone. We will all run out of money within a few weeks u...

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by FluidFlow
Tue Mar 17, 2020 8:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

I think carriers shouldn't be rescued unless they are nationalised and are put under the central government control. Being rescued means a lot of taxpayers' money that will not only go into the "base employees" (FA, pilots, etc) which is fine but also in executives and their bonuses, inve...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 16, 2020 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Discussion: Troubles for European Airline Groups, IAG, AFKLM, LH-Group

IAG have been very explicit that they do not think that state aid should go to airlines. Of course, if VS succeeds in getting aid then you cannot expect BA not to also seek support - that would be foolish. Personally as a UK taxpayer, I'm against VS getting state aid, plenty of other businesses (es...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 16, 2020 11:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Discussion: Troubles for European Airline Groups, IAG, AFKLM, LH-Group

This is not much different than the other affected industries. :checkmark: x 1,000 None of my family (currently) work in the aviation sector. However...every single one of us is concerned as to where the next paycheck is coming from. Or whether our employers will still be in business in six weeks t...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 16, 2020 10:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Discussion: Troubles for European Airline Groups, IAG, AFKLM, LH-Group

Also France would only prop up AF but not KLM and vice versa. The Netherlands government is talking to the French government about AF/KL to avoid any discrepancy in handling the situation. Ok that sounds good, did not know that. So much going on. At least for the AFKLM group, there are only really ...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 16, 2020 9:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Discussion: Troubles for European Airline Groups, IAG, AFKLM, LH-Group

In the recent wake of bids for state aid, could big airline groups be in trouble? As the state aid will, as its name suggest, be on state level, could this lead to a break up of the big airline groups. Why should Great Britain help IAG? If they would help, it would be for BA but if it comes with par...

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by FluidFlow
Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

Swiss government, with immediate, effect close borders form anyone that don't have a legal document to enter. My understanding is that the aircraft can still fly but passengers need to have the right paper to enter in Switzerland. Transfer is possible though and also you can enter if you have resid...

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by FluidFlow
Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337813

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

BA will cut jobs, just announced on BBC: https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-51866403?ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_live&ns_linkname=5e6b9574c429ed066b59244e%26BA%20tells%20staff%20there%20will%20be%20job%20cuts%262020-03-13T14%3A18%3A22.077Z&ns_fee=0&pinne...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 12, 2020 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Financial Discussion 2020
Replies: 432
Views: 60325

Re: Boeing in Crisis

Boeing has definitely has some work to do, but they aren't in a crises. They've the almost unlimited budget of the USA to thank for that, they will never allow BA to go bankrupt. Also, airlines can't just order Airbus instead of Boeing, Airbus won't be able to fulfil that many orders. Let’s not for...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 12, 2020 11:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183414

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

Maybe not air-tight, but wouldn't "they" know you flew into Dublin? I think "they" know everyone's travel history already. And I think trying to game or scam them is a very bad idea indeed, one that will engender no sympathy when one is caught. I am pretty sure Information betwe...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 12, 2020 10:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183414

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

I fly into Dublin and drive up to Northern Ireland - I don't actually show my passport at any UK checkpoint. All I'm trying to say is that these rules will reduce the inbound traffic, but they're not air-tight sealed. Maybe not air-tight, but wouldn't "they" know you flew into Dublin? I t...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 12, 2020 7:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183414

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

Will US Citizens be quarantined on arrival. If not, why not?. This is from CNN: US citizens and permanent residents who are in Europe will still be allowed back into the United States during the 30-day period, though will be screened upon entry and face quarantine or restrictions on their movement.

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by FluidFlow
Wed Mar 11, 2020 5:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183414

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

Quarterly and annual reports this year will be as interesting and shocking like in the years 2001-2010. A lot of uuuhhhs and aaahhhs and and many many pants full of... „fear“. The Corona virus is hitting the airline industry like Mike Tyson his opponents in his best days. Who will survive? Who will ...

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by FluidFlow
Tue Mar 10, 2020 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Swiss Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 223
Views: 34293

Re: Swiss Aviation Thread - 2020

Flights between Serbia and Switzerland are banned as two Serbian citizens get infected after coming to contact with a Swiss national. Flights between BEG and ZRH/GVA are discontinued. Swiss nationals are also banned from entering Serbia. https://www.exyuaviation.com/2020/03/serbian-regulator-bans-s...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 09, 2020 11:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UK to leave European Aviation Safety Agency
Replies: 73
Views: 11507

Re: UK to leave European Aviation Safety Agency

While I do not think that there will be a direct problem for Airbus or Boeing sourcing parts from the UK, how will RR be affected? Their engines now have to be certified by at least three agencies (UK, EASA and FAA) to be used in most of the world (does the Chinese Agency copy EASA/FAA certificatio...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 09, 2020 9:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UK to leave European Aviation Safety Agency
Replies: 73
Views: 11507

Re: UK to leave European Aviation Safety Agency

While I do not think that there will be a direct problem for Airbus or Boeing sourcing parts from the UK, how will RR be affected? Their engines now have to be certified by at least three agencies (UK, EASA and FAA) to be used in most of the world (does the Chinese Agency copy EASA/FAA certification...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 09, 2020 5:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020
Replies: 463
Views: 73781

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020

I thin Boeing just jumped on the oil price news. Running old frames just became really cheap.

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 09, 2020 5:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines Secretly Glad For the MAX Delay Now With Travel In Freefall?
Replies: 62
Views: 13496

Re: Airlines Secretly Glad For the MAX Delay Now With Travel In Freefall?

Yeah I've been looking at things from how car leases and purchases work. I'm surprised how little "consumer protection" there is for buying a plane. Consumer protections exist because most consumers can't afford anything near the legal firepower the companies they do business with can. Ma...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 05, 2020 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020
Replies: 463
Views: 73781

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020

Can the COVID-19 kill the 737 MAX production ? The scenario is a such major airlines collapsing that annihilate so much orders than the Airbus capacity to deliver the A32x neo obliterate the production of additional 737 MAX. The risk is probably very low now as to happens the remaining orders need ...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Mar 05, 2020 1:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183414

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

My DL JFK-BOM flight had about 12 empty seats in D1, the rest of the plane looked rather full, judging by the crowd. I even got offered multiple meals in D1, as I assume some people canceled with short notice. This just means that the corporate travellers are canceling, while personal travelers lik...

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by FluidFlow
Tue Mar 03, 2020 3:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 155903

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

What about 2-3? What's the logic there? If 2-3-2 is a no mans land, then maybe 2-3 is no mans land between 2-2 and 3-3. Apples and oranges. 2-3-2 is a no-man's land because you're adding a whole extra aisle but only gaining a single seat. 2-2, 2-3, and 3-3 all share the same quantity of aisles, so ...

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by FluidFlow
Tue Mar 03, 2020 12:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 155903

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will

QANTAS want the people mover with two ailes do faster turn around at busy airports. Boeing have to make design compromises which have to satisfy the majority of customers. What those compromises will be is the hard part. I think that is the reason we do not have an NMA until now and probably will n...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 02, 2020 10:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020
Replies: 1143
Views: 183414

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020

After 9/11, U.S. airlines reduced service by getting rid of in-flight meals. Do you think due to this coronavirus outbreak, airlines will reduce service again by getting rid of snacks, charging for drinks, increasing checked bag fees, etc? Before we get to crazy with comparisons, this can get ugly ...

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by FluidFlow
Mon Mar 02, 2020 5:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020
Replies: 463
Views: 73781

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, March 2020

Wouldn‘t it be great if Boeing had a system that would help the pilots identify a problem? Like you know a system that displays what is wrong and so it is a bit more intuitive to do the right thing? It can even have a crazy abbreviation like EICAS or something...

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by FluidFlow
Sat Feb 29, 2020 9:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1387
Views: 211785

Re: Corona Virus outbreak - Aviation related News and Discussion Thread

Swiss also reduces service to Italy to a minimum.

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by FluidFlow
Fri Feb 28, 2020 7:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling
Replies: 170
Views: 13736

Re: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling

However, often overlooked is the fact that high speed rail costs around £100B per 100 miles of track, takes 20 years to build, and demolishes more houses, communities, fields, woodland and decimates more AONB than a few extra flights at LHR. The electricity used is a very minor matter when it comes...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 4:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling
Replies: 170
Views: 13736

Re: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling

This just shows that Britain isn't really capable of getting things done. How many years have they been talking about this only to flip and flop about the issue with endless reviews, committees and so on. The whole country is being held back by a small group of selfish people that decided to go and...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 3:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling
Replies: 170
Views: 13736

Re: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling

This just shows that Britain isn't really capable of getting things done. How many years have they been talking about this only to flip and flop about the issue with endless reviews, committees and so on. The whole country is being held back by a small group of selfish people that decided to go and...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 1:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling
Replies: 170
Views: 13736

Re: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling

Everything in the grid is 'mixed' so you can't tell that where an electron got its energy from. Like in an ocean, you can't tell which water molecule came from which river. But of course energy input = energy output in a grid, so for accounting purposes every energy packet can be traced from its so...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Helvetic Airways is enthusiastic by the efficiency of the E190-E2
Replies: 22
Views: 3067

Re: Helvetic Airways is enthusiastic by the efficiency of the E190-E2

It was the right choice aircraft for the right airline. It is good to hear that the E2s work that well and will definitely continue to be a success for regional subsidiaries of bigger mainline carriers (I know Helvetic is not really a subsidiary of Swiss but they operate like one). For Helvetic it i...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 11:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling
Replies: 170
Views: 13736

Re: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling

A lot of us who don’t live next to Heathrow are pretty exasperated by this whole situation. Just build the damn expansion already. I can understand those living next door to LHR being against it though. You mean the people who decided to move next door to an international airport,complaining about ...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 10:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling
Replies: 170
Views: 13736

Re: Environment campaigners win Heathrow runway ruling

I actually expected this outcome as the government handed the reason to the campaigners themselves back then and a ruling against the campaigners would also have been a ruling against the government and this would have had a big impact on further proceedings and would have mostly triggered a politic...

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 9:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia considering widebody order this year, 787’s or A350’s to replace A332’s and 77W’s
Replies: 113
Views: 13472

Re: Virgin Australia considering widebody order this year, 787’s or A350’s to replace A332’s and 77W’s

Why order new ones, right now is the best time to wait. Recent events (COVIT-19) might bring a few airlines to the point that they will need reduce fleets and then some used 787 might become available. *cough* *cough* Norwegian *cough*

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by FluidFlow
Thu Feb 27, 2020 9:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 5 Years Later, When Will They Find MH370?
Replies: 198
Views: 37199

Re: 5 Years Later, When Will They Find MH370?

The Indian Ocean is a desolate place even for the military because there just isn't anything of consequence down there and thus little need to operate there other than transiting through to somewhere else. Sounds like a wonderful place to park an ballistic missile submarine. One of the largest subm...

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