Search found 267 matches

by TonyClifton
Fri Jul 24, 2020 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United selects CommutAir as sole E145 operator
Replies: 247
Views: 36235

Re: The whipsaw is starting back up

Really depends, some Express feeds are more leveraged than others. Delta and American were way ahead of united and slimming down and reducing overlap. It’ll be harder for Delta to whipsaw when their 3 carriers are all pretty robust. United has a mess of a feed. Single class 50 seat: Skywest (200) W...

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by TonyClifton
Fri Jul 24, 2020 3:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United selects CommutAir as sole E145 operator
Replies: 247
Views: 36235

Re: The whipsaw is starting back up

Really depends, some Express feeds are more leveraged than others. Delta and American were way ahead of united and slimming down and reducing overlap. It’ll be harder for Delta to whipsaw when their 3 carriers are all pretty robust. United has a mess of a feed. Single class 50 seat: Skywest (200) Wi...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 23, 2020 3:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Skywest Bids for Johnstown - JST Essential Air Service Contract
Replies: 13
Views: 1971

Re: Skywest Bids for Johnstown - JST Essential Air Service Contract

32andBelow wrote:
Props will lose to jets every single time in EAS. If there’s something BFE towns love it’s to say they have jet service.

And then folks board a CRJ200 and complain anyway. Beats the Metroliner those towns saw 30 years ago though!

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by TonyClifton
Sun Jul 19, 2020 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Last ERJ - Embraer Regional Jet Delivered: a end of an era and the history behind it !
Replies: 84
Views: 14202

Re: Last ERJ - Embraer Regional Jet Delivered: a end of an era and the history behind it !

On an Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, the knobs on the flight control panel correspond to the glass panel - airspeed tape is on the left side of the PFD, heading is in the bottom center of the PFD and altitude is on the right side of the PFD. On the flight control panel, the left knob controls airspeed...

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by TonyClifton
Sat Jul 18, 2020 8:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 385265

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

DTW has ample capacity in all facets - airside and landside pre-COVID. There will be absolutely zero need for any sort of capacity increase until at least well into the 2030s. End of story. Lets not go down the path, otherwise this will devolve into a DTW thread. Agreed DTW has a lot of room to gro...

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by TonyClifton
Sat Jul 18, 2020 6:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 773
Views: 126072

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

DL needs more A350 it is impossible for them to fly 13 A350 you are all routes LAX-SYD/HND/PVG ATL-HND/ICN/JNB/PVG DTW-ICN/PKX/PVG/HND MSP-HND/ICN JFK-BOM Much more than 13 A350s needed All 330 variants and most the 76-300ERs can fly LAX-HND. All 330 variants can fly LAX-PVG, although in some westb...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 16, 2020 10:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 416
Views: 52614

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

So I'm confused if AA and B6 can't coadunate schedules with each other how are all these connection carriers able to achieve that. It's been done for eons NW/CO and NW/DL did it as well. Capacity Purchase Agreements are not the same thing as a Codeshare. You aren’t buying a ticket on SkyWest with t...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 16, 2020 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 416
Views: 52614

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

It’s a good thing AA has a lot of money spare to go and fight Delta in NYC with a partner they can’t legally coordinate very much with. Curious to see how this one will work out, should be interesting. So I'm confused if AA and B6 can't coadunate schedules with each other how are all these connecti...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 16, 2020 7:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aviation sector unpaid leaves and layoffs thread
Replies: 1153
Views: 38159

Re: Southwest Furloughs

That is the unfortunate truth. It literally takes years or even decades for any improvements. Heck, the FAs are working within the same contract from 2008 with extensions and no improvements, and it's 2020 today. Unless you live daily life under a contract and see how slow progress can be made, the...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 16, 2020 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread 2020
Replies: 916
Views: 77975

Re: AS claps back at B6, announces LAX and FLL expansion

Does every move have to be a “strike” at another airline, or is it just one carrier fleshing out their network?

Good adds for AS.

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 16, 2020 2:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city
Replies: 369
Views: 44920

Re: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city

The more I look at this, the more I see it being a fight against Alaskan than the big 4. JetBlue have basically managed to achieve the goal they wanted during the Virgin battle, and they didn’t spend 2 billion on it. Get some SFO gates and you’re basically there, minus the bills! The more I look at...

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by TonyClifton
Tue Jul 14, 2020 8:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14950

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

Honestly no airline fans should be gloating. All airlines are hurting and our colleagues and ourselves are stressed. The ‘my airline is better than your airline’ BS accomplishes nothing but adds to stress levels. Truth. This website treats airlines like team sports. I have my personal favorites but...

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by TonyClifton
Tue Jul 14, 2020 4:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14950

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

Unfortunately, I think you are right. I’m not sure how you can only reduce 20% labor cost when you are facing a 90% revenue reduction. Even 20% on 50% revenue reduction, which seems optimistic in the near term, doesn’t seem to compute I would think that the retirements are the highest paid employee...

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by TonyClifton
Tue Jul 14, 2020 3:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14950

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

Kudos to the Delta employees who are leaving, 15,000 is an incredible number, it sounds like Delta might be able to avoid furloughs altogether. The picture is still very uncertain on whether pilot furloughs will be avoided. Over 2,500 WARN act letters were sent out at the beginning of the month. It...

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by TonyClifton
Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city
Replies: 369
Views: 44920

Re: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city

The more I look at this, the more I see it being a fight against Alaskan than the big 4. JetBlue have basically managed to achieve the goal they wanted during the Virgin battle, and they didn’t spend 2 billion on it. Get some SFO gates and you’re basically there, minus the bills! The more I look at...

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by TonyClifton
Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city
Replies: 369
Views: 44920

Re: JetBlue makes LAX West Coast focus city

The more I look at this, the more I see it being a fight against Alaskan than the big 4. JetBlue have basically managed to achieve the goal they wanted during the Virgin battle, and they didn’t spend 2 billion on it. Get some SFO gates and you’re basically there, minus the bills!

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by TonyClifton
Sat Jul 11, 2020 4:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55955

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Regarding the cares act $600, that is the smartest thing our govt has done, so they best continue it. Many if not most other Govts worldwide have done similar, with some just straight up initiating UBI UFN. Several of my customers are having difficulty filling open positions. Some claim that people...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 09, 2020 5:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Long Beach (LGB) increasing number of air carrier slots
Replies: 559
Views: 73596

Re: Long Beach (LGB) increasing number of air carrier slots

Ultimately think this will be a good move for JB. LGB was a dead end. Fills in the hole left by Virgin American a bit better.

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 09, 2020 2:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1031
Views: 180655

Re: AA Eagle @ LAX

AA has pulled all of the ones allowed by the performance metrics plus two additional that they are still paying YV for but have advised YV they won't be flying. Due to performance, expect the YV fleet to continue to shrink until all of them can be pulled. Aren't the black and white birds still flyi...

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by TonyClifton
Wed Jul 08, 2020 10:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta-LATAM sign JV Agreement
Replies: 60
Views: 12987

Re: Delta-LATAM sign JV Agreement

Thanks for sharing, an interesting few lines there, and a welcome ray of sunshine amongst the gloom.

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by TonyClifton
Wed Jul 08, 2020 6:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000
Replies: 13
Views: 3244

Re: United Airlines sends WARN ACT Layoff Notices to 36,000

They can lay off pilots at the bottom of the lists with relatively little pain thanks to the latest displacement bid at Delta. 2500 pilots are going UNA or "unassigned" to an aircraft, and unqualified in less than 12 months. well if aviation comes back to anything close to what it was in ...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jul 06, 2020 11:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 2153
Views: 272653

Re: American adds more Asia to SEA, and other long-haul changes

Lots of people throwing around the word "legacy" when they really mean "big 3". There are four "legacy" airlines left, AA,DL,UA and AS. Define "legacy" then. Pre-deregulation? Count in HA and WN. Hawaiian yes, Southwest no. The general definition of legacy is...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jul 06, 2020 5:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020
Replies: 329
Views: 79946

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2020

Any updates to A220 production capacity at Mobile? 2021 production list looks pretty low. Reputable site (use Google translate for French to English) indicates deliveries including Delta to recommence soon. Air Vanuatu may be the only significant delay due to government cash crunch. https://www.les...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jul 06, 2020 3:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1031
Views: 180655

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

So odd to see a pre-NextGen 900. I think Mesa is the only company in the US that has them. All the rest didn’t allow it through scope until ~2007 when the NG also came online. I believe there are 39 non-NG CRJ900s with Delta Connection (13 Endeavor Air, which were new to Pinnacle or ComAir) and the...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jul 06, 2020 2:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 753 and 764 Survival
Replies: 67
Views: 15604

Re: 753 and 764 Survival

why can't airlines just trade fleets? Delta's 10 77L for 21 764s from UA? Or American's a330 for Delta's 777 fleet? As nice as that would be, the American 330 fleet wouldn’t do much for Delta. The PW powered -300s are nearly 30, older than the oldest pm-NW 330. The -200s have more life left in them...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jul 06, 2020 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 753 and 764 Survival
Replies: 67
Views: 15604

Re: 753 and 764 Survival

Assuming the 767-400 is a 30 year jet, it’s coming into its final decade. Add in the fact international isn’t planned to rebound until 2023/24, you’ve cut away almost half of that decade. Totally new interior and exterior adds up as well. In a different world, one of DL or UA could easily absorb the...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jul 06, 2020 1:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1031
Views: 180655

Re: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread

I think all the original Freedom Air CRJ 900s had the rear door but were plugged. You can see them @ the last window of each of these photos. (the HPX livery looked ssoo sharp on these birds) 521705 5906773 So odd to see a pre-NextGen 900. I think Mesa is the only company in the US that has them. A...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jul 06, 2020 12:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1031
Views: 180655

Re: AA Eagle @ LAX

We also need to take into account the age of the YV CRJ 900 fleet. They were the first "big rj" operator - hence "Freedom Air" as the initial certificated operator of them - going back to 2003! Those birds could be getting a bit long in the tooth. A handful of Mesa 900s have bee...

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by TonyClifton
Sun Jul 05, 2020 9:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1031
Views: 180655

Re: AA Eagle @ LAX

Remember that with the reduction in mainline aircraft, there has to be a reduction in "large" regional jets, which is one of the reasons why the Mesa fleet is shrinking. We also need to take into account the age of the YV CRJ 900 fleet. They were the first "big rj" operator - he...

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by TonyClifton
Sun Jul 05, 2020 6:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1031
Views: 180655

Re: AA Eagle @ LAX

The AA schedule after September 8 hasn't been loaded yet, but no reason to think much differently. Remember that with the reduction in mainline aircraft, there has to be a reduction in "large" regional jets, which is one of the reasons why the Mesa fleet is shrinking. True, but there is a...

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by TonyClifton
Sat Jul 04, 2020 6:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Zero Expressjet (EV) Flights right now.
Replies: 18
Views: 3673

Re: ZERO Expressjet (EV) Flights right now.

‘50 seats - The Rise and Fall of Expressjet’ Yep, solely living off single class flying isn’t a long term future, especially with no replacements in production. When you look at UAX, you have four carriers operating single class jets, Whiskey, Skywest, Commutair, ExpressJet. Trans States just dropp...

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by TonyClifton
Sat Jul 04, 2020 4:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Zero Expressjet (EV) Flights right now.
Replies: 18
Views: 3673

Re: ZERO EV Flights right now.

Expressjet never really lost any flying before the merger. After the UA/CO merger Expressjet and ASA merged, which didn't go so well as the ASA operation was becoming a bit of a mess and the two cultures did not mesh well. At the same time, CO management both got scope relief from the new combined ...

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by TonyClifton
Fri Jul 03, 2020 11:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: US airlines reach CARES Act loan agreements with Govt
Replies: 32
Views: 4685

Re: AA/NK/F9/HA/OO Reach Loan Agreements with Govt

Unlikely... Skywest has been killing it under COVID, operating hundreds of flights daily, at many times the Number of other regionals. They are just more flexible, and can react better to changing situations. The non-union issue is likely a very large factor in their favor right now. They’ve just l...

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by TonyClifton
Fri Jul 03, 2020 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: US airlines reach CARES Act loan agreements with Govt
Replies: 32
Views: 4685

Re: AA/NK/F9/HA/OO Reach Loan Agreements with Govt

OO could be singling that they're anticipating a significant cut in their flying, which isn't surprising to me, because they're far from the cheapest regional out there. Unlikely... Skywest has been killing it under COVID, operating hundreds of flights daily, at many times the Number of other regio...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 10:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Transat took delivery of another A321LR...
Replies: 6
Views: 3068

Re: Air Transat took delivery of another A321LR...

I’ll miss the A310. For a chubby thing it had impressive performance from some of the smaller UK fields it used way back when. I won’t miss the seating in the back though...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1953
Views: 234905

Re: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020

tphuang wrote:
If demand is still so low by next may that they need to do furlough, the entire industry is in trouble.

Fully agreed there. May might be long enough to weather this storm and hopefully bridge the gap to a vaccine and treatment.

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1953
Views: 234905

Re: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020

To be clear, an ALV reduction is different than a reduction in credit guarantee. They could reduce ALV (currently 74 min) to say 50....but would still have to pay min guarantee. A reduction in pay guarantee would require membership ratification per the B6ALPA policy manual, which didn’t happen. Gue...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1953
Views: 234905

Re: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020

The question is... what is the union being asked to give up in exchange for no furloughs? Right now it is a 70 hour guarantee per month, could this be lowered to 60 or 50 in exchange for no furloughs? That would be my guess, temporary ALV reduction for the duration of the no furlough agreement. To ...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1953
Views: 234905

Re: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020

Well, this is a nice news for everyone https://paxex.aero/2020/07/jetblue-pilots-secure-no-furlough-deal-through-april-2021/ Good for the pilots. Would allow JetBlue to add back capacity faster if demand snaps back in the winter. The question is... what is the union being asked to give up in exchan...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 7:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ameriflight Future Fleet?
Replies: 25
Views: 2106

Re: Ameriflight Future Fleet?

Only one pilot for the Metro !? That’s real flying alright. Those guys can hand fly an approach to mins while telling you that you ain’t sh%t and man I’ll believe them. Give me a single pilot cargo guy any day! Ok, fine. And what’s the FAA thinking ´bout that ? It’s part 135 cargo. Allowable for si...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 6:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ameriflight Future Fleet?
Replies: 25
Views: 2106

Re: Ameriflight Future Fleet?

Saab 340 would be a good replacement for the metro. Way bigger, requiring twice the pilots. And they already have the Emb-120 in that class. Only one pilot for the Metro !? That’s real flying alright. Those guys can hand fly an approach to mins while telling you that you ain’t sh%t and man I’ll bel...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 6:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ​Internal tussle as Boeing weighs future of 747
Replies: 378
Views: 59448

Re: ​Internal tussle as Boeing weighs future of 747

20 years ago I’d have lost money that the 747 rolls off the line after the last A380.

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 6:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Testing/Production Thread - 2020
Replies: 46
Views: 7921

Re: Embraer E2 Testing/Production Thread - 2020

Very sharp looking jet. I do miss the old pure fuchsia Helvetic livery.

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 5:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aviation sector unpaid leaves and layoffs thread
Replies: 1153
Views: 38159

Re: JetBlue Agrees Not to Involuntarily Lay Off Workers Until May 2021

Out clearly now to the airline: no involuntary furloughs for all frontline non-union workgroups, and a caveat that inflight may still face furloughs. So the pilots (with a CBA) seemingly had to give up something that is yet to be announced to get non furlough, and inflight (negotiating a CBA) is st...

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by TonyClifton
Thu Jul 02, 2020 5:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aviation sector unpaid leaves and layoffs thread
Replies: 1153
Views: 38159

Re: JetBlue Agrees Not to Involuntarily Lay Off Workers Until May 2021

This only applies to pilots. Everyone else is expendable. Pilots have a union and collective bargaining agreement. As much as this site hates unions, this is proof why having one in this business means a lot more than family and culture. Out clearly now to the airline: no involuntary furloughs for ...

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by TonyClifton
Wed Jul 01, 2020 10:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aviation sector unpaid leaves and layoffs thread
Replies: 1153
Views: 38159

Re: JetBlue Agrees Not to Involuntarily Lay Off Workers Until May 2021

wetpantsmcgee wrote:
This only applies to pilots.

Everyone else is expendable.

Pilots have a union and collective bargaining agreement. As much as this site hates unions, this is proof why having one in this business means a lot more than family and culture.

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by TonyClifton
Tue Jun 30, 2020 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 385265

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

Returned on Mon 6/29: (9) 1 A320 SBD-MSY (N334NW) 1 A321 MZJ-JFK 1 A321 MZJ-LGA 1 A321 MZJ-BOS 1 B739 MWH-PDX 1 B753 QRO-ATL (N583NW) 1 B763 ILN-JFK (N174DZ) 1 B739 MCI-JFK 1 B739 MCI-ATL Total aircraft returned from storage through Sub 6/28: 4 A359 (All A359s out of storage and returned to service...

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by TonyClifton
Tue Jun 30, 2020 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mitsubishi SpaceJet — Development & Production Thread
Replies: 572
Views: 112386

Re: Mitsubishi SpaceJet — Flight Test & Production Thread

How I see this is, the Japanese are using this as a learning experience - hence I cut them some slack as it’s a first for them in a sense - the only thing prior for them was the MU-2 and the Diamond if I remember right. They’re acknowledging mistakes and working on them in earnest - which is probab...

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by TonyClifton
Mon Jun 29, 2020 11:01 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Night Rating Anxiety
Replies: 18
Views: 4343

Re: Night Rating Anxiety

I absolutely loved night flying in general aviation. Calm weather, pleasant temp in the summer, less traffic. First, having been in the student and instructor shoes, if yours says you’re good to go, you’re good to go. No reputable instructor I’ve come across pushes an unready student onto something ...

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by TonyClifton
Sun Jun 21, 2020 7:36 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Will Delta retire the 757?
Replies: 9
Views: 1399

Re: Will Delta retire the 757?

I'm pretty sure they've got a heck of a lot more than 30. How many of them will return to service in the next 1-2 years is anyone's guess though. I would anticipate many of them continuing in the fleet. I wouldn't be surprised to see some new aircraft deferments, like the A321neo, in favor of keepi...

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