Search found 9307 matches

by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 26, 2021 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why does American Airlines use PHL as their main East Coast hub instead of JFK?
Replies: 129
Views: 19761

Re: Why do American Airlines use PHL as their main East Coast hub instead of JFK?

Where at JFK would AA put a PHL-sized terminal? And how would they get the requisite slots for that sort of operation? Given the constraints at JFK, the choice wasn't really a choice at all. This. And would you rather compete at super competitive JFK or have a good sized market like PHL to yourself...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 26, 2021 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Adds BOS-KEF
Replies: 51
Views: 10386

Re: Delta Adds BOS-KEF

I see dates JFK-KEF in May that are 763.

At 193 seats, that must be the 75G config on BOS-KEF and MSP-KEF.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 26, 2021 11:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jetblue Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 1102
Views: 192063

Re: Jetblue Network Thread - 2021

Aside from that, looks like DL is bringing back a couple of more markets at BOS. It really bugs me that JetBlue can't offer more than 3 flights on BOS-FLL or 4 flights on BOS-MCO. Seems quite weak given the AA codeshares. Well, they can , but they don't . That implies something (bad) about yields. ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 26, 2021 1:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 442
Views: 49018

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021

Mentioned over in the Southwest Network thread, signals perhaps pointing to WN announcing BTV soon. Would be a big get for BTV....finally. Maybe I'm missing something, but I have to wonder how good WN would be for BTV. Right now there is good balance between the three legacies, plenty of hubs being...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 25, 2021 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aer Lingus looking to start transatlantic from MAN
Replies: 310
Views: 55525

Re: Aer Lingus looking to start transatlantic from MAN

I would not hold out for much success with EI's gateway to the US and Caribbean from Manchester. Over time it has become clear that US-MAN-US routes generally do not work well, in spite of MAN's significant catchment area. One by one, carriers have dropped routes in the market. VS seems to have mad...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 25, 2021 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DTW Detroit Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 476
Views: 48673

Re: DTW Detroit Aviation Thread - 2021

Apparently you've confused "busy" with distance. If you're in the back of an arriving plane you will burn at least 10-15 minutes just to get to the jetway and start walking. Then you are a mile from your gates from one end of A to the other, to say nothing of the fact that you might need ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 25, 2021 1:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas 738 replacement competition
Replies: 195
Views: 25355

Re: Qantas 738 replacement competition

Why are you comparing the 737-10 to the A321XLR? Seems silly to have a comparison to an aircraft that has a full 1400nm more capability, nearly 50% more! If a carrier doesn't use the range, the added range has no value. It does bring incremental operating cost as remarked in the post you cited. Go ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 25, 2021 12:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United announces new summer point-to-point routes
Replies: 116
Views: 15450

Re: United Announces Major Expansion at CVG

Four seasonal destinations. Not one route is daily or even 6x weekly. 50-seaters. Not one route flown by Delta. It's 600 departing seats a week. This is a major shot across Delta's bow just how, exactly?

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by MIflyer12
Wed Mar 24, 2021 6:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q1 2021
Replies: 1569
Views: 234623

Re: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread, Q1 2021

LAXintl wrote:
In the “bad old days” of boom/bust, carriers pursued market share above all other priorities, which drove huge losses over the course of the business cycle...


That statement should appear as a 24-pt font auto-reply to every thread of the form 'Why doesn't carrier XX fly XXX-XXX?'

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by MIflyer12
Wed Mar 24, 2021 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 602
Views: 68212

Re: Delta Network Thread - 2021

A350s are not doing any scheduled domestic service, other than the occasional on-off reposition flights. There is usually a reposition flight about once a week between LAX-ATL/DTW to rotate out the aircraft flying LAX-SYD since there is no other A359 LAX flying at this time. The A359 is doing 2 x d...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Mar 24, 2021 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Vietnam Airlines plans to immediately launch US scheduled service amid Covid-19
Replies: 63
Views: 9350

Re: Vietnam Airlines plans to immidiately launch US scheduled service amid Covid-19

VN announced some reasons for this move: the surplus of aircraft (especially the widebody fleet), the surplus of the airline's workforce, high demand of profit from the airline... Many carriers are pretty desperate (call it 'getting creative' if you want) to place aircraft on routes with any plausi...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 10:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 442
Views: 49018

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021

I think they did need to go into the big cities eventually, but I think they tried to do too much with them and are getting their a$$ handed to them in the competitive environments. I think it could work with limited basic network connectivity. Maybe the problem with this is that big city costs req...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 10:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus extracts more range from A220-300 with further weight increase
Replies: 122
Views: 22071

Re: Airbus extracts more range from A220-300 with further weight increase

As expected, Boeing has no choice but to heavily discount - and this is an understatement - the Max in order to relaunch it. The first effect is annihilating Boeing operating margins for the next 10 to 15 years... Depth of margin reduction and duration is nothing but speculation on your part. What ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 9:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HA announces OGG-LGB, ONT-HNL, AUS-HNL, MCO-HNL
Replies: 202
Views: 25707

Re: HA announces OGG-LGB, ONT-HNL, AUS-HNL, MCO-HNL

Hawaiian announced OGG-PHX today, so AA's competition isn't stopping them from continuing to expand into another carrier’s hub. Announcing a route isn't the same achievement as operating it at a normal profit. See if it's still operating (at the same frequency, or at all) a year from today's announ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion
Replies: 597
Views: 113348

Re: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion

3. Their inability to fully leverage DFW/CLT to their advantage in the same way DL does with ATL/DTW/MSP. Why can't AA do that? 1. Their debt Debt service costs weren't particularly high for AA pre-covid, actually. For 2019 it was $1.1 Billion on op revenues of $45.8 Billion, against $12.6 Billion ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 442
Views: 49018

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021

Because I don’t even play one on TV, I hope some industry analyst asks the question about the sensibility of WN marching into places like PHL and BOS, where they clearly are a small fish. The whole ‘secondary market’ strategy that WN espoused did in fact work...until they broke their own toy. I thi...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas 738 replacement competition
Replies: 195
Views: 25355

Re: Qantas 738 replacement competition

Wasn't JQ equipped with A320s so that JQ pilots could be hired under different conditions to the QF 737 pilots? Has the need to differentiate the two pilot groups been removed, or can they now be separated by other means, thus making the equipment differentiator redundant? Good point. Separate JetS...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Airlines files to go public with IPO
Replies: 26
Views: 4515

Re: Frontier Airlines files to go public with IPO

The Denver, CO-based company plans to raise $600 million by offering 30 million shares (50% insider) at a price range of $19 to $21. At the midpoint of the proposed range, Frontier Group Holdings would command a fully diluted market value of $4.5 billion. $4.5 Billion exceeds the market cap of Spir...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 2:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 951
Views: 111246

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021

It is why I have said there are several western cities shown in the State of Hawaii data that could be considered for less than daily Hawaii flights based on their total traffic. Currently travelers have multiple airlines to choose for connections to Hawaii. Whoever starts nonstop service first wil...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 2:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 442
Views: 49018

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021

The Grant money is going entirely to marketing and advertising at MHT, but I think the issues plaguing MHT can’t magically evaporate through that kind of approach. I do think, as others have said, that WN has sort of bungled their New England strategy by sacrificing the smaller stations to grow Bos...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 23, 2021 1:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 602
Views: 68212

Re: Delta Network Thread - 2021

What about SEA/SLC-GRU? Those make no sense either based on O&D traffic or geography-driven connecting potential. If LAX-GRU is dicey (and history shows that it is), every other market west of Texas is even less likely to work. We are more likely to see DTW-GRU come back P approaches zero on bo...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Mar 22, 2021 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Proposed SAT expansion
Replies: 36
Views: 4212

Re: Proposed SAT expansion

While I agree SAT needs an upgrade, particularly a single terminal with a consolidated concourse, how much more service can they realistically expect? They don't even have consistent flights to Canada, how will they attract European service? I believe SAT is one of the top 5 U.S. markets without a ...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Mar 21, 2021 8:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boston Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 202
Views: 34232

Re: Boston Aviation Thread - 2021

With BOS being the only daily BGR DL service that provides some connection opportunities domestic/international that BGR currently doesn't have on DL. You can't really use weekend DTW and ATL service as a reliable way to travel. I have family in that area and they often drive all the way down to BO...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Mar 21, 2021 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair returning to PDX
Replies: 27
Views: 5644

Re: Icelandair returning to PDX

Interesting move. Iceland has indicated that they were tired of all the tourists in the country, but FI has flights to more places now than they used to in the 90's. The demise of WOW seems to have helped them somewhat. Still, KEF-PDX in a 737? Sounds unpleasant. I guess for most passengers, it's s...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Mar 21, 2021 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What Will Happen to ASE as the CRJ-700 Sunsets?
Replies: 104
Views: 10290

Re: What Will Happen to ASE as the CRJ-700 Sunsets?

NIMBYism is generally based on noise and traffic. They don’t (and really shouldn’t) care about things like market trends and scope clauses. Usually NIMBYism is because they don’t like the current market trend and scope clauses is an entirely operator created issue. We'll see the resorts pitted agai...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Mar 20, 2021 11:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Plans to Return to JFK in 2021
Replies: 658
Views: 116349

Re: UA Plans to Return to JFK in 2021

AmericanAir88 wrote:

The outlandish idea I think of: DL and UA JFK/LGA/EWR partnership?


You might have a look a DOJ horizontal merger criteria as applied to airlines. Even if it's not a merger there is zero chance of such a partnership being approved.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Mar 20, 2021 6:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did AA close their BNA hub?
Replies: 149
Views: 19446

Re: Why did AA close their BNA hub?

The same reasons it closed the SJC and RDU hubs: these late-80s hub efforts were all money-losers. To think BNA could prosper as an AA hub (even without WN) alongside CLT is just fantasy. You don't put same-carrier hubs that close together - they compete for the same regional connections, diminishin...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Mar 20, 2021 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian Air delays 787 deliveries
Replies: 58
Views: 18020

Re: Hawaiian Air delays 787 deliveries

It will be interesting to see how the deferred production costs change over the next few quarters as this will indicate if Boeing sold 787 under production cost. Nope. Deferred production cost is a function of the remaining size of the accounting block (number of units of which costs will be amorti...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Mar 20, 2021 1:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 951
Views: 111246

Re: AS Adds ANC-MSP

joeblow10 wrote:
usflyer msp wrote:
Weird. More carriers now fly MSP-ANC than SEA-ANC. If the fares are cheap enough I might have to take advantage.


Well $197 RT is wide open and available right now. Better get to booking... lol


Four cents a mile... yeah, they'll make a lot of $ on that.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 19, 2021 9:03 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: WN's next booking schedule release?
Replies: 22
Views: 2788

Re: WN's next booking schedule release?

I meant for Hawaii ? My guess would be increased frequency inter island and a push towards connecting the rest of the dots mainland to Hawaii. There's plenty to fill in when you consider each of the five mainland gateways could eventually see service to each of the five Hawaiian destinations. I won...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 19, 2021 7:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What Will Happen to ASE as the CRJ-700 Sunsets?
Replies: 104
Views: 10290

Re: What Will Happen to ASE as the CRJ-700 Sunsets?

the most detrimental moving part is the public input which is nothing more than a "we dont want this, we dont want that,etc." with ZERO basis in operational constraints of differing A/C, scope clauses, market trends! NIMBYism at its worst and the airport director does very little to educa...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 19, 2021 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 602
Views: 68212

Re: DL adds a slew of new and returning leisure routes for the summer

I scratch my head at carriers flying to TVC from the likes of BOS and LGA. A little Googling found a 2013 airport press release noting TVC non-stops from ATL, EWR, DEN and LGA (AA). This isn't a covid-popularity anomaly. https://www.tvcairport.com/delta-atlanta.php The TVC hotel situation is a litt...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Mar 19, 2021 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2020 Small Community Air Svc Development (SCASD) Program
Replies: 78
Views: 9284

Re: 2021 Small Community Air Svc Development (SCASD) Program

Some of the bids are out for the SCASD program. https://paxex.aero/scasdp-grant-applications-new-routes/ Breeze at Bentonville United at Akron, Binghamton, Daytona Beach, Duluth Bellingham – Denver: United or otherwise Des Moines, IA (DSM) United Airlines (potential LAX or SFO flights) and Alaska A...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 18, 2021 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions
Replies: 239
Views: 43136

Re: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions

They still inherited some double billion digit value program for almost free. Boeing should have mated with Embraer too. You have an odd view of financial analysis. A program that cost $7 Billion to develop and loses money at variable cost on every unit isn't worth double digit billion, even if the...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 18, 2021 7:34 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: WN's next booking schedule release?
Replies: 22
Views: 2788

Re: WN's next booking schedule release?

Has WN ever, in the recent past, had a booking window that went out nine months?

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 18, 2021 7:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What Will Happen to ASE as the CRJ-700 Sunsets?
Replies: 104
Views: 10290

Re: What Will Happen to ASE as the CRJ-700 Sunsets?

ASE (the airport, not the region) isn't going to fade into irrelevance. They will change the rules, extend the runway... as needed to retain scheduled passenger service by major carriers.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 18, 2021 6:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta vs. AA's Strategy at LAX during/post COVID
Replies: 95
Views: 12466

Re: Delta vs. AA's Strategy at LAX during/post COVID

How do we measure success here? In terms of market share by total passengers, I think AA will prevail but not significantly. In terms of profitability and attracting premium customers.. It's a question of having data, or not. LAWA puts out monthly data on carrier passenger numbers and market share ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 18, 2021 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions
Replies: 239
Views: 43136

Re: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions

With regard to investment, Airbus said it was planning to invest between EUR 500M - 1B in 2020 in the A220 ( https://www.reuters.com/article/us-airbus-nl-a220/airbus-investing-up-to-1-billion-euros-in-a220-passenger-jet-program-this-year-idUSKBN20E2Z6 ) so they've gone beyond the fabled $1 that the...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 18, 2021 10:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC New Route YVR-YHZ
Replies: 15
Views: 3595

Re: AC New Route YVR-YHZ

Thought I'd never see this. Worth a shot in these times. Long flight. Interesting to note, unlike the US, there is a lack of end to end of country flights in Canada if you will One might understand that as a lack of population in eastern Canada. You don't get YYT-YVR, but we don't get Burlington, V...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Mar 18, 2021 10:15 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: NYC-London Aircraft Economics
Replies: 25
Views: 4064

Re: NYC-London Aircraft Economics

IMHO the OP is coming at this the wrong way. Aircraft are expensive, long-lived assets. Carriers do not have infinite flexibility, possessing 30 777s and 50 35Ks today and 10 777s and 70 35Ks tomorrow. Aircraft assignment isn't solely a question of what's best for a single route, but what makes best...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Mar 17, 2021 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sun County moves forward with IPO plans
Replies: 26
Views: 5639

Re: Sun County moves forward with IPO plans

I've seen people in private equity declare that incremental costs for going public are about $2 million annually after Sarbanes-Oxley. It's not insignificant for a ~$50 million a year business, but SNCY's S-1 filing pointed to $701 million in operating revenues for 2019. A dozen people sounds about ...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Mar 17, 2021 1:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New York Times 03/16/21: Were the Airline Bailouts Really Needed?
Replies: 10
Views: 1884

New York Times 03/16/21: Were the Airline Bailouts Really Needed?

Andrew Ross Sorkin is described by the NYT as a columnist. He is a business reporter, not an economist by training. http://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/16/business/dealbook/airline-bailouts.html Were the Airline Bailouts Really Needed? Once again, we have socialized an industry’s losses and privatized it...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Mar 17, 2021 11:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Delta loan to Virgin Atlantic?
Replies: 59
Views: 9178

Re: New Delta loan to Virgin Atlantic?

We've got the BBC story, badly written, and then badly interpreted by some. Coming at this from another angle, just how much do you want the government making business decisions for airlines? When were Alitalia or Aeroflot known for service and efficiency? DL spent $3.1 Billion on 18K voluntary empl...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Mar 17, 2021 10:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B6 to Staff: Looking to move HQ to Florida
Replies: 156
Views: 20101

Re: B6 to Staff: Looking to move HQ to Florida

New York's current corporate tax rate is 6.5%. That is essentially the income tax (the tax on corporate income) that Jetblue will have to pay if they are headquartered and domiciled in the state. I tend to think that at 6.5% (26.1% combined state and federal rate), Jetblue certainly cares about tha...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet fuel from waste 'dramatically lowers' emissions
Replies: 71
Views: 7482

Re: Jet fuel from waste 'dramatically lowers' emissions

Because it replaces the fossil fuel emissions (100%) and reduces the greenhouse effect of the rotting food (converting methane to CO2). Had to look that one up - From our friends at Google Answer. It's just a misuse of percentages. It could be unknowingly, or deliberately, as you just said. A quant...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 16, 2021 10:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B6 to Staff: Looking to move HQ to Florida
Replies: 156
Views: 20101

Re: B6 to Staff: Looking to move HQ to Florida

The senior execs anticipating big stock option payouts won't stay in NYC - they'll go to Florida for the income tax break. It leaves NYC a career backwater.

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 16, 2021 3:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions
Replies: 239
Views: 43136

Re: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions

It's not clear that the MAX 8 order was the best (or only, or last) opportunity to bring another type into the fleet. A32XNeo advantages are marginal (if any, if you want to believe a fuel burn chart reported by Leeham ) in operating costs but it's generally accepted that a A220-300 would be superio...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions
Replies: 239
Views: 43136

Re: Boeing nears 737 MAX order from Southwest worth billions

2eng2efficient wrote:
Will they just avoid rotating the plane through MDW? I recall some speculation in the past that they might have to do it that way if they are to buy the -10.


No reason they can't just avoid MDW with MAX 10s. WN has ~2,500 flights a day that don't start or end at MDW.

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by MIflyer12
Mon Mar 15, 2021 11:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PNS vs. VPS
Replies: 20
Views: 2674

Re: PNS vs. VPS

IAHFLYR wrote:

TPA and SRQ, less than 60 miles apart.


Tampa's a real city, not just a beach.

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by MIflyer12
Mon Mar 15, 2021 7:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Speculative Rumor: Boeing to start 777BCF line at Everett
Replies: 26
Views: 4806

Re: Speculative Rumor: Boeing to start 777BCF line at Evertt

The issue is not the cost of labor in Everett compared with San Antonio, Tel Aviv or Singapore. It is about the Boeing overhead costs. The bigger the organization the higher they are; someone has to pay for those executives, DERs etc. While mutualization does exist between programs it only partiall...

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