Search found 21975 matches

by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 5:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer
Replies: 59
Views: 8573

Re: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer

Looks like the pipeline is at least back up. Hopefully things will stabilize by Memorial Day (see my post in Non-Av for source). Jet fuel is currently at ~ 70 $/bbl. That's still a lot less than 10 years ago, and it didn't kill aviation back then. Additionally, diesel vehicles are declining in popu...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 5:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair wins lawsuit over state aid for KLM, TAP
Replies: 10
Views: 2126

Re: Ryanair wins lawsuit over state aid for KLM, TAP

Interesting, many were rejected. https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/eu-court-rejects-ryanair-challenges-airline-subsidies-77062278 Great news, KLM in particular is dumpling lots of ridiclously low airfares at the moment . It's not fair that the Dutch tax payer is subsidising everbody els...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pratt & Whitney GTF Engines Now Power More Than 1,000 Aircraft
Replies: 52
Views: 8694

Re: Pratt & Whitney GTF Engines Now Power More Than 1,000 Aircraft

I also expect future A220 orders in respectable numbers. Lightsaber So do I expect the same for the E2 family too !!! I do expect more E2 orders. The lease placements have been encouraging. Alas, Pratt had to improve the engine dispatch reliability before sales of anything GTF. Now they have overha...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 3:01 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-18/uae-to-offer-third-sinopharm-booster-shot-amid-efficacy-concerns UAE, Bahrain to offer third booster dose to those received Sinopharm Considering how many breakthroughs and how little Sinopharm seems to slow the spread (I provided links on prior pa...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 2:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Overall, US hospitizations are going down: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-hospitalizations My sister's hospital has more cases this week, tied to opening up. They are up from 8 (all were in ICU) to 16 Covid19 patients today (about 50/50 ICU, some critical care) 15 patients who were Unvaccinated. ...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 1:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Rocket attacks in Israel
Replies: 434
Views: 20445

Re: Another Powderkeg in Israel

That is a hypothetical. for now. The injustice is weapons of war being fired at innocent civilians I think that there are two forms of injustice at play here - Israel's behaviour and weapons of war being fired at innocent civilians. Israel would like to go back to just the one. Well we can't solve ...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021
Replies: 23
Views: 4696

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021

I have taken the liberty to post current (left) and prior (right) values from the summer 2020 Aircraft Values, and lease pricing thread. I put in bold if the price seems to have gone up (please read the OP's caveats on pricing). https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1449067 They &q...

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by lightsaber
Wed May 19, 2021 1:49 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

There is a definite trend on vaccination in Los Angeles: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/racial-gap-among-covid-19-vaccine-recipients-still-very-disturbing-l-a-county-officials-say/ar-BB1gSNtu?ocid=BingNewsSearch I live in a majority asian area (barely) and getting a vaccine at times convenient to...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 7:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1363
Views: 242497

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

If you had bothered to read the posts just above you, Breeze just got its AOC on Friday and has to wait six days before it can sell tickets per the government. Six days from Friday is the day after tomorrow. That doesn’t mean all that much to me. Airlines frequently announce routes far before the l...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 5:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Overall, US hospitizations are going down: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-hospitalizations My sister's hospital has more cases this week, tied to opening up. They are up from 8 (all were in ICU) to 16 Covid19 patients today (about 50/50 ICU, some critical care) 15 patients who were Unvaccinated. T...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 5:19 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Modern Turbofan Engine Efficiency
Replies: 33
Views: 7713

Re: Modern Turbofan Engine Efficiency

One other thing I want to emphasize. When you talk with engineers they rarely if ever mention thermodynamics. Honestly I do not think most understand it that well, and they tend to get lost in the micro engineering details. Bottom line: The greater the temperature variance between the hot chamber a...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pratt & Whitney GTF Engines Now Power More Than 1,000 Aircraft
Replies: 52
Views: 8694

Re: Pratt & Whitney GTF Engines Now Power More Than 1,000 Aircraft

I would love to know the GTF vs LEAP engine figures on the A320neo family… Faro As of today 919 A320neo family frames delivered (flown out) with LEAP and 711 with GTF. The early PW1100G dispatch reliability issues hurt PW1100G sales. GE has a CMC coating issue reducing their overhaul intervals too:...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pratt & Whitney GTF Engines Now Power More Than 1,000 Aircraft
Replies: 52
Views: 8694

Re: Pratt & Whitney GTF Engines Now Power More Than 1,000 Aircraft

The question that still intrigues me is regarding the durability of its components and costs with PIPs ... "Pratt & Whitney announced that GTF engines powering the A320neo family have achieved a world-class engine dispatch reliability rate of 99.98%. " ... “Thanks to upgrades complete...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 2:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: California reports $75B Budget Surplus, what could it be used for?
Replies: 40
Views: 2135

Re: California reports $75B Budget Surplus, what could it be used for?

There is no budget surplus. PENSIONS "Between the two pension systems, the state’s pension unfunded liabilities are estimated to total $93.1 billion ($59.7 billion at CalPERS for state employee pensions and $33.4 billion at CalSTRS for teachers’ pensions)." RETIREE HEALTH: "Actuaries...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 2:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

My youngest child is susceptible to pneumonia, I'm equally vaccinated for her, my over 80 relatives, and myself. I vaccinated her sibling the first day available as a future barrier. Hi lightsaber, First I naturally hope your daughter will be safe! I was wondering how things work in the US but here...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 2:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

We need the globe vaccinated for air travel. This is an aviation web site... CAPA has buried in another article how badly traffic is down: https://centreforaviation.com/analysis/reports/uk-green-list-just-5-of-2019-airline-seats-europe-capacity-stagnant-560670 Traffic reduction Euroo: -70.6% Middle ...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 1:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Summer 2020
Replies: 33
Views: 10378

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Summer 2020

The A319 was already discounted in 2019 and in my opinion Allegiant was buying them at scrap, so their small price drop is just an indication of A32x family scrap values prices dropping. That's the problem with citing year-over-year change rather than avg transaction prices: if they were practicall...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 11:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Summer 2020
Replies: 33
Views: 10378

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Summer 2020

Hi, I am not sure it makes much sense to post anything at the moment, as the valuation data is always trailing by several months and its moving like a yo-yo. All it takes is one piece of news that a certain frame is being parked by some operator, and yesterdays price is no longer valid. Really only...

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by lightsaber
Tue May 18, 2021 1:14 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..
Replies: 130
Views: 7091

Re: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..

someone has a medical history of intolerance against vaccines. How would that be handled from a legal point of view? I've yet to see any proposal where someone with a history of adverse reactions is even recommended the vaccine, let alone forced to have it. I'd expect a company like Delta to have a...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 17, 2021 8:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1363
Views: 242497

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

In a prior post I noted Breeze was appealing a six day wait. Until their is a rulling, there is nothing Breeze can do. Lightsaber When does that six day wait end? Six days from the 14th would be this Thursday. For the record, I know nothing about the wait time other than it allows other airlines to...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 17, 2021 7:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1363
Views: 242497

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

Well...no announcement today I guess. Tuesdays through Thursdays are the best days for corporate PR. That’s been the theme and what’s been said that last nine Tuesday’s and Thursday’s. I am not holding my breath. In a prior post I noted Breeze was appealing a six day wait. Until their is a rulling,...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 17, 2021 1:23 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/covid-19-vaccination-students-under-16-moh-moe-working-out-plans-14817804 Amid students in multiple primary schools in Singapore are being infected with the virus, the government say they're working out on vaccination plan for those age under 16 Curren...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 17, 2021 4:40 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US fuel pipeline cyber-attack, fuel shortages maybe
Replies: 41
Views: 2540

Re: US fuel pipeline cyber-attack, fuel shortages maybe

Do the gas stations have gasoline? Are planes still tankering a lot, or is operations back to normal?

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by lightsaber
Mon May 17, 2021 1:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH Crew Change in Bahrain for India Flights
Replies: 14
Views: 4038

Re: LH Crew Change in Bahrain for India Flights

For the crew's peace of mind alone, this makes sense. That's not legal in normal circumstances, but ICAO has allowed for States issuing exemptions, to address various emergency situations resulting from the pandemic. Of course interpretation might slightly different from one state to another. Thank ...

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by lightsaber
Mon May 17, 2021 12:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa installs Embraer 190-E2 ‘full flight simulator’ in training center
Replies: 27
Views: 5404

Re: Lufthansa installs Embraer 190-E2 ‘full flight simulator’ in training center

One way or the other, this will create years of discussion. Lufthansa Aviation training, as already noted, is an profit oriented business that serves more than LH. This, at a minimum, removes an obstacle to adopting the E2-190/195. In their advertising, they have proudly displayed A320 and 737-800 s...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 9:40 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..
Replies: 130
Views: 7091

Re: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..

As if working for Delta is a fundamental right? Nobody said it was. You’re trying to conflate the term “fundamental right” with sensical policy. Pray tell, if all high risk people (age 50 and over, and those with co-morbidities associated with higher covid risk) got the vaccine, and all those under...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 6:52 pm
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Website is over-moderated
Replies: 118
Views: 13411

Re: Website is over-moderated

Thanks again for the help on the AA BNA Hub thread. These trollers/spammers are getting out of control at times. Hate to play forum police, but the off-topic posts drive me crazy. These idiots can make the site useless at times...thanks again fir all you guys do, unpaid, I might add. You are welcom...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 6:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Avelo Airlines News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 566
Views: 122058

Re: Avelo Airlines News and Discussion Thread

I had the fortunate opportunity to fly BUR-OGD-BUR today, loads were ~75% to OGD, and ~70% on the return. Both flights were great, the crew was super upbeat, and we arrived early both times! Can't get any better than that haha That's really good! I live too far from BUR to consider flying with Avel...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane
Replies: 2115
Views: 218288

Re: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane

You basically pick up extra floor area for free by making a pencil fatter. Er..... no. Fatter pencil is both heavier and has more drag, so not free. Fred Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Every seating plan has an optimum width to minimize weight/drag. 3 across, only 50 seats and below is this opt...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 6:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1363
Views: 242497

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

Please do not post to competing websites. This is your warning.

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 5:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1413
Views: 81763

Re: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread

We're starting to see quite a bit of divergence in the EU: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population&Metric=People+vaccinated&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=fals...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 5:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..
Replies: 130
Views: 7091

Re: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..

This is a topic on Vaccines at Delta. Please have it so if someone reads your post they might believe that is the topic.

If you start insulting another user, you've already lost the argument and might be banned.

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 5:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/covid-19-vaccination-students-under-16-moh-moe-working-out-plans-14817804 Amid students in multiple primary schools in Singapore are being infected with the virus, the government say they're working out on vaccination plan for those age under 16 Curren...

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by lightsaber
Sun May 16, 2021 2:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..
Replies: 130
Views: 7091

Re: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..

You are definitely using independent thought - and, apparently, your own "independent" numbers (and no "real data" at all). Maybe you could provide us with some actual, legitimate sources and facts... I'll make this even more simple for you. 1) How many confirmed covid cases hav...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 15, 2021 10:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Oh dear. I believe that the plan is to introduce local restrictions in hot spots but I guess that will just slow the spread. No where is vaccinated enough, yet, to stop the new variants (assume Ro=4). Local measures such as masks reduce Ro, but will not stop the virus. With only about a third fully...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 15, 2021 9:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1363
Views: 242497

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

https://www.flightglobal.com/strategy/f ... 58.article

Lightsaber
-->

Just to be clear, Breeze has an air carrier certificate.

https://www.flightglobal.com/strategy/f ... 58.article

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Sat May 15, 2021 2:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Well… it sounds like it is only your personal feeling that vaccines are not reducing the severity of illness. No, I didn't say that. This is a lower respiratory illness. Minor (say 5%) lung damage is nothing to celebrate. It is not like minor cold or flu (vs) severe cold or flu. We are 8 and 1/2 mo...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 15, 2021 2:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

As of now 61% of people in England have either had the virus and recovered (7%) or have received one jab (54%), so have a degree of protection from the virus. 29% have had 2 jabs. Is that enough to ward off widespread illness, given that most of those who are most likely to develop severe symptoms ...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 15, 2021 1:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..
Replies: 130
Views: 7091

Re: Delta to require new employees be vaccinated..

I personally would skew my business to a known vaccinated company. Pfizer has been shown to be effective to refuce asymptomatic transmission 94%. https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/pfizer-covid-vaccine-cuts-transmission-coronavirus-new-real-world-study-n1260542 Everything I've read is that t...

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by lightsaber
Sat May 15, 2021 11:18 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Seychelles, the most vaccinated country in the world per capita (43% AZ, rest mostly Sinopharm) cases are spiking like crazy. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E1XRmOMVUAkGTcc?format=jpg&name=small https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E1XRmOMVUAkGTcc?format=jpg&name=medium Seychelles used an inactivated v...

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by lightsaber
Fri May 14, 2021 11:45 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

I modeled this virus. I don't claim my model is 1% as good as say the University of Chicago model, but what mine shows is with variants, the vaccinated population are safe if over 50% are vaccinated (enough of a buffer). Those isolated within highly vaccinated groups are fairly safe (cancer patient...

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by lightsaber
Fri May 14, 2021 11:24 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

At the root of vaccine hesitancy is a belief that the vaccines are unproven, and carry risk. But then, many people also believe in the dangers of the virus. As adults, they are willing to take those supposed vaccination risks because they are more afraid of the virus. However, they feel that their ...

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by lightsaber
Fri May 14, 2021 12:41 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

For the 12-15 age range, there is no change in the product. My older child has an appointment today, after school! Alas, few will vaccinate their kids. Lightsaber You mean they (the parents) accept/want vaccination for themselves but not for their kids? It seems strange that they think it is a good...

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by lightsaber
Thu May 13, 2021 7:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Herd Immunity Losing Out To Vaccine Hesitation and Virus Mutation
Replies: 201
Views: 11244

Re: Herd Immunity Losing Out To Vaccine Hesitation and Virus Mutation

You are the one arguing about flouting rules that help prevent people from death due to a proven disease. Preposterous is that you claim freedom and rights to expose other people to diseases and death based on willful ignorance of science and facts. Government is involved in everyone's lives cradle...

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by lightsaber
Thu May 13, 2021 5:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Herd Immunity Losing Out To Vaccine Hesitation and Virus Mutation
Replies: 201
Views: 11244

Re: Herd Immunity Losing Out To Vaccine Hesitation and Virus Mutation

Science and experts are used to save lives. Freedom and rights are arguments usually used by those that want to do dangerous, Fraudulent, and deadly things without accountability. You mean science and experts have never caused lives? all Scientists and experts are always right? Or just scientist an...

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by lightsaber
Thu May 13, 2021 5:57 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2079
Views: 136160

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

    DocLightning wrote:
    dtw2hyd wrote:
    Any details on Pediatric version of Pfizer vaccine? Is it different vaccine or same as adult version administered at a lower dose?


    For the 12-15 age range, there is no change in the product.

    My older child has an appointment today, after school!

    Alas, few will vaccinate their kids.

    Lightsaber

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    by lightsaber
    Thu May 13, 2021 5:37 pm
    Forum: Non-Aviation
    Topic: Animal vaccinations
    Replies: 9
    Views: 1001

    Re: Animal vaccinations

    I'd like to vaccinate my dog.

    If this is in the wild animal population... ugh.

    As already noted, we won't have enough humans vaccinated. Oh well... plan B.

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    by lightsaber
    Thu May 13, 2021 2:43 pm
    Forum: Civil Aviation
    Topic: Jetfuel shortage at CLT/Southeast
    Replies: 52
    Views: 11645

    Re: Jetfuel shortage at CLT/Southeast

    This puts into perspective how down demand was. Jones act tankers (coastal) are mothballed. It isn't worth the cost to prepare one out if mothballs for less than a contract of a few months (maintenance and crew costs). https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2021-05-12/us-fuel-supply-response-...

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    by lightsaber
    Wed May 12, 2021 9:23 pm
    Forum: Civil Aviation
    Topic: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer
    Replies: 59
    Views: 8573

    Re: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer

    Lightsaber is correct the key will be cash flow. Other threads have discussed the industry"s return to profitability. What happens if Jet goes up 10 or 20 percent from here? Jet fuel is currently at ~ 70 $/bbl. That's still a lot less than 10 years ago, and it didn't kill aviation back then. A...

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