Search found 267 matches

by Airlinerdude
Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SIA Group News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 533
Views: 19384

Re: SQ flights to LAS, YYZ & ORD and JFK via BRU

If SQ can make SIN-SEA work, how can they not make SIN-YVR work with AC being there? AC codeshares with SQ unlike UA so I think its very possible with a A359 since that can fly to YVR direct from SIN. I would suspect that this has something to do with the pretty extensive codeshare SQ has with AS. ...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Air Canada reports 2Q20 loss of C$1.75 Billion

I just had a quick glance through their financials, some interesting things I found: ‘Advance ticket sales’ liability was sitting at $2.4bn (2.9 at Dec 31), which in large part are ticket holder’s interest free loan to AC. I’m a bit surprised this remains as high as it does. I’ve noticed AC has been...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Who are they going to hire after proving they’ll just drop you immediately in a downturn? I'm not trying to defend Emirates right now, rather just trying to state the facts - but I'm not sure that this downturn can be extrapolated to all future downturns. We've never seen the likes of this kind of ...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat Jul 11, 2020 12:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

All true, yet hard to reconcile with the 60%+ by December comment that some have raised above. On this page we have figures suggesting ~1600 pilots were let go with a large percentage current or future A380 pilots, and ~325 A380 flight crew are left . They have 110 A380 so flying 60% would be 66 fr...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Jul 09, 2020 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Coming from the article posted in another thread: The Gulf carrier, also the biggest customer for the Airbus super-jumbo, plans to take the delivery of three A380s during the fiscal year ending in March, Al Redha said. While the delivery schedule for the last five planes remains unchanged, “if the n...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 7:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Emirates Orders

A little bit of positive news for the A380: “The A380 has defined us,” Clark tells The Times. “As demand returns, and given the slot availability at prime hubs, there will be a place for it. I’m hoping by April 2022, all our A380s will be flying again.” https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/emirat...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 7:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Air Canada Cutting 30 Domestic Routes, 8 Stations

It would be very exciting to see Porter expand their presence in the region, perhaps targeting some of those maritime routes. There could be a few opportunities to fill in gaps left by AC at both YHZ/YOW. YFC and YQM could be extended to YHZ from their existing YOW flights. YXU could be added from Y...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 4:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Emirates Orders

Posters in this thread seem to be missing two very important details: 1. Fleet decisions are not based on short-term outlooks. The resulting fleet decisions will look at an outlook past just the temporary demand slump from covid, and look anywhere from 10 to 20 years into the future. Investing in a ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 4:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Air Canada Cutting 30 Domestic Routes, 8 Stations

Well this thread was ruined. I think with Air Canada, like many things, people see what they want to see. What you can't argue with (well, some do, but they're objectively wrong) is Air Canada's overall success pre covid. The airline has completely turned itself around. I disagree. This thread quic...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Jul 02, 2020 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Air Canada Cutting 30 Domestic Routes, 8 Stations

Not that the blame is entirely on them; the Government should have stepped in, forced refunds, and provided a bailout; certainly less egregious than some of the more random and questionable billion $ handouts that followed the EI and wage subsidy ones. If only they had. Unfortunately the government...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Jun 26, 2020 10:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Official: Emirates to consider adding narrow body aircraft

Emirates can and will use Max jets with/from the Flydubai. No need for new order. And their won't be a new order. Yeah I think so as well. The MAX suits Emirates pretty well, Dubai is close enough to most destinations that the extra range of the A321LR/XLR are not needed. The MAX8 and also MAX9 wit...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Jun 03, 2020 5:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Canada Drops Transat Takeover After EU Competition regulator concerns
Replies: 482
Views: 11590

Re: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat

Neither Air Canada nor Transat would comment on the news reports, which first appeared in the French-language daily Journal de Montreal on 2 June. The story cites three sources that say Air Canada is lobbying the Canadian government to block the deal. You've got to be kidding me... AC trying to lob...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed May 27, 2020 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA is allowed to give hand sanitizer
Replies: 39
Views: 6411

Re: AA is not (yet) allowed to give hand sanitizer

From a safety perspective, is this much different than every passenger (who are probably already) bringing their own hand sanitizer?

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by Airlinerdude
Sun May 24, 2020 6:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3726

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

Emirates annual reports are transparently opaque, oxymoron but true. No one knows if they really have $7B cash. No one knows what is their burn rate. I'm not sure if this is some kind of philosophical statement or just a misunderstanding of how financial statements are produced and later audited. I...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun May 24, 2020 6:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

The numbers you quote don’t show the detail you need to complete a full analysis, it’s not a criticism from me, but merely pointing out that to understand the detail there needs to be a route by route analysis along with a specific daily capacity. To give you an example, several years ago there wer...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat May 23, 2020 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3726

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

Interesting, but I believe not enough Convid19 impact was recognized for the time frame. DL does own far more aircraft. If I do back of the envelope cash burn, EK has far less in labor, but about $5million/day more in aircraft financing. Aircraft do not have infinite costs. So EK's daily caah burn ...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat May 23, 2020 7:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Revelation, You forget that the 77W has between 15-20 tonnes of premium cargo space available on missions 12hrs or less with a full pax load, that is most certainly also the case with the 380 in terms of payload...but not in terms of physical space, it is usually around 5-6 tonnes on a DXB-LHR sect...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 22, 2020 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3726

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

An interesting thing I picked up from reading Emirates' financials this morning was that EK has entered into a fuel hedge. the resulting hedge ineffectiveness (loss) of AED 1.1bn was recognised in the income statement. Reading into this a little bit more on pg. 123, EK has hedged 45% of expected jet...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 22, 2020 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

I did not read the FT article, it's behind a paywall. It would be nice if posters avoided such sites, or provided a bit more context such as you have done. Fair enough. In all truthfulness, there wasn't much new in the article that we didn't already know. I think the main emphasis of the article wa...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 22, 2020 3:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Yet just two weeks ago STC said: “We have just got to accept that in the next year or two, perhaps a bit longer, demand for air travel is going to be tempered in many respects,” he said. “What emerges from this will be in my view almost perhaps 20 or 30 per cent less than what we were experiencing ...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue May 19, 2020 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

70% load factor suggests they aren't "always packed". I suspect the Emirates' report numbers are revenue passengers, versus total. Per the EK 2019-20 financials pg. 181: Passenger load factors for 2019 was 78.5%; 2018 was 76.8%; and 2017 was 77.5%. The 'Overall load factor' which you guys...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue May 19, 2020 7:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

The EK business model is resilient; I have internal sources telling me that they're operating at about 70% average revenues right now because of the huge amount of freight flying. I questioned that number, but knowing current freight prices and multiplying it across the 80 odd flights currently ope...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue May 19, 2020 5:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Reading this thread and you'd come to the conclusion that international travel will cease to exist when this is pandemic is over... how interesting. Let me preface this by saying that I am relatively impartial when it comes to the A380. I've probably enjoyed the shower more times than anyone else in...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 08, 2020 4:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: EK's possible future?

Exact same for the 30 A350s as well too. Wonder why you did not the mention thems also too. For two reasons: 1. The hot and high performance on the A350 has been pointed out by those in this forum to be superior, which is an important factor for operating out of DXB during the summer. 2. That EK wo...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 08, 2020 2:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1753
Views: 53471

Re: EK's possible future?

Contrary to popular opinion on this forum, I think it's very possible that this pandemic has killed the chances of Emirates taking any of the 789 orders. There will soon be an excessive amount of wide body aircraft coming onto the market which will make it a lessee's market for a few years to come. ...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 08, 2020 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sir Tim Clark "A380 is OVER"
Replies: 135
Views: 31652

Re: Sir Tim Clark "A380 is OVER"

I wonder what aviation finance community thinks about his comments. Those are not his frames, or even Emirates frames. These are owned by banks and lessors who bet their farms on his misadventures. Now making it sound like Airbus couldn't sell enough or other airlines didn't buy enough to save the ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon May 04, 2020 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Air Canada announced for Q1 2020 a $1.05B loss + retirement of 79 older aircraft

I don't think it will be a Rouge (not Rogue!) Transat merger. If the deal for Transat goes through, and AC has not pronounced itself on that yet, I think Rouge will simply go rogue and get disbanded, ... Transat then becomes the LCC brand for AC. It has much higher brand reputation especially in Qu...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun May 03, 2020 3:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Air Canada anticipates return of worldwide air travel by Christmas" (CBC)
Replies: 52
Views: 8437

Re: "Air Canada anticipates return of worldwide air travel by Christmas" (CBC)

Keep in mind their Q1 2020 financials come out on Monday. These comments might be to provide their investors with some optimism.

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Apr 22, 2020 7:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines cash reserves
Replies: 48
Views: 10624

Re: Airlines cash reserves

Simply put, there's never been an incentive to do so. The two most influential factors I've witnessed are: 1. Management compensation being highly influenced by bettering the stock price. One aspect of this is that management has little incentive to keep cash around when they could be paying out div...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Apr 21, 2020 7:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

Air Canada cutting flights to the US effective April 26th until May 22nd: Air Canada has announced it is suspending service to the United States after Canada and the U.S. agreed to extend restrictions on cross-border travel for another 30 days because of the COVID-19 pandemic. The airline said Tuesd...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Mar 31, 2020 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

Even more cuts announced yesterday: https://www.aircanada.com/ca/en/aco/home/book/travel-news-and-updates/2020/china-travel.html#/na-1 The major highlight since the March 27th schedule is that the timetable is now showing 'up to' in terms of flight frequency. Just browsing through and it appears mos...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Mar 31, 2020 6:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Partnership For Fair Skies Website Is Pretty Funny Now
Replies: 1
Views: 664

Re: Partnership For Fair Skies Website Is Pretty Funny Now

I had this very same thought the other day, but I didn't want to stir the pot. I bet we'll see a change in narrative to something equally as nonsensical such as: 'block the ME3 expansion and help rebuild American jobs'. Without a doubt their original argument was baseless at best. Anyone with a basi...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

The facts are, AC's loads are very poor across all three cabins and across the entire network. I personally wouldn't be surprised to a further reduction in the flying program announced next week. Some of the routes are simply unviable as per the latest schedule. I see a contraction to just a few tr...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Mar 26, 2020 9:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

According to CTV, 8 of Sky Regional's E175s are parked at Muskoka Airport (YQA): Muskoka Airport currently has eight Air Canada Embraer 175 passenger jets parked on its grounds, not something you typically see this time of year. https://barrie.ctvnews.ca/muskoka-airport-reaps-benefits-of-grounded-ai...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Mar 22, 2020 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 345979

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

Does it really matter where they park them at this point? They can just fill up the stands and block a runway at DXB. It's not like anybody is going to need the capacity. Emirates has more than 250 widebody birds out there (excluding its skycargo operation) They cannot all come to roost at DXB in a...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Mar 22, 2020 6:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

So what’s the point in getting in a pissing match then? He’s getting information from a different source, one you don’t have access to, and answering Jimbo! Another one looking for a listing match, and to much time on his hands while in quarantine. AC, like many other airlines, is trying to save th...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Mar 22, 2020 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

Is it not enough that longhauler takes the time to share this info with everyone. BTW, longhauler, a lot of us on here appreciate it. Just to clarify, I have nothing against Longhauler. I find his posts very informative about many aspects, namely the operations side. Like you I appreciate all of hi...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Mar 22, 2020 5:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

Actually I wasn’t looking at the loads. I was looking at advanced bookings and cancellation data. I said “loads” as it would be difficult to describe the data I was using. You mean the same bookings that (if booked before March 31) can be cancelled without penalty? Sure, business travellers will st...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Mar 22, 2020 4:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

It really depends at what data one is looking. While looking at inventory sold may be accurate the day of, or possibly a couple days in advance, as you get further and further away from the departure date, it becomes less accurate. Out of interest, I looked at loads over the next two weeks and well...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Mar 22, 2020 4:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 1145
Views: 89086

Re: Which Air Canada's aircraft are being parked?

The point is, there’s no demand for premium class. So why operate it and incur the expense of provisioning and crewing for it. Westjet currently may not be able to attract premium cabin passengers, but Air Canada doesn’t appear to have any problems there. Out of interest, I looked at loads over the...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Feb 26, 2020 5:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada S20 International network changes
Replies: 80
Views: 22762

Re: Air Canada S20 International network changes

You're a skeptic and its nonsense. Air Canada is moving 777 gauge off the Pacific onto the Atlantic, and Heathrow is a safe place to put capacity given all the global turmoil. This is not the first, nor the last time AC will operate 777s on YYC-LHR. I'm not sure why you're putting words into my mou...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Feb 25, 2020 6:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada S20 International network changes
Replies: 80
Views: 22762

Re: Air Canada S20 International network changes

not only does YOW-LHR keep its 788 upgauge, it is now upgauged further from 31MAY20-08SEP20 to a 333. Must mean advanced bookings are strong. Looks to me like a preemptive move to drive out any potential WS YOW-LGW, even if the 737MAX isn't back in service by then. Wow. YYC-FRA is up to a 77W. The ...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Dec 12, 2019 3:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The WestJet Thread - 2020
Replies: 947
Views: 170757

Re: The WestJet Thread

In your opinion. Sure, they have done a good job with their new seats, but there is more to attracting business travellers than the seat. Frequency, priority services, lounges, Concierge services, etc. Westjet has a long way to go. Would also add US/international destinations to that list too. WS l...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Garuda Phasing Out CRJ1000
Replies: 75
Views: 17919

Re: Garuda Phasing Out CRJ1000

Is there any chance Air Canada would have an interest in these? Oddball as the aircraft is, AC/Jazz seem happy using the -900 in a 2-class for a variety of thinner routes. Is it possible that these could play a similar role, especially as we wait to see how quickly the MAX issues are resolved? -JL ...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Nov 20, 2019 7:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates President slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380
Replies: 294
Views: 45317

Re: Emirates Chairman slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380

Where do you get those numbers? From the actual flight plans... see my previous post: Adding a data point to this thread for the sake of discussion. I looked at two historic flight plans for one of EK's longest routes on back-to-back days, both aircraft carrying full passengers and negligible cargo...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Nov 20, 2019 5:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates President slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380
Replies: 294
Views: 45317

Re: Emirates Chairman slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380

from the same analysis "The seat mile fuel cost of the 777 is 12% higher". I'm still waiting for your own empirical evidence on EK's operations. That article assumes many costs, ie. acquisition costs, maintenance, etc. which are all dependent upon the size and scale of the operation, give...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Nov 20, 2019 4:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates President slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380
Replies: 294
Views: 45317

Re: Emirates Chairman slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380

A380 requires half the pilots of single decks for the same amount of passengers which nullifies much or any other cost. I want to know how that calculation goes. Sure... Fuel delta between (full) 7x 380s and 10x 77Ws on a specific ULR route is that the 380 burns 77.7t more fuel (per direction). Usi...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Nov 19, 2019 3:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates President slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380
Replies: 294
Views: 45317

Re: Emirates Chairman slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380

If after accounting for all costs, the 300 seat B77W brings in a 30.000 USD per flight profit and the 500 seat A380 brings in a 30.001 USD per flight profit, which one makes more sense? Heck, let's throw this open. Your 350 seat B77W earns you a 30.000 USD profit per flight. You are alone on this r...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Nov 18, 2019 5:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates President slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380
Replies: 294
Views: 45317

Re: Emirates Chairman slams other airlines and Airbus for mishandling and retiring A380

I'll add a data point for you. You said that both flights were full. If you compare the typical seating charts of the EK A380 versus the EK B77W, the A380 has 38% more Y seats, 81% more C and 75% more F. So yes, the B77W made the mission burning less fuel per seat, but guess what, the A380 is more ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Nov 18, 2019 2:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines ask HKG to waive fees - "flights no longer financially viable"
Replies: 98
Views: 37276

Re: Airlines ask HKG to waive fees - "flights no longer financially viable"

HKG is one of the most slot constrained airports in the world. Is there any reason we can't leave this up to the free-market and let airlines with unprofitable HKG routes either sell or give up their slots to lower cost airlines that could run profitable operations to HKG?

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