Search found 2445 matches

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by kitplane01
Mon Apr 11, 2022 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Eastern 737-800 crashes in Guangxi, southern China
Replies: 1166
Views: 440546

Re: China Eastern 737-800 crashes in Guangxi, southern China

I'm totally aware of "first aviate, then communicate". But they had lots of time to declare an emergency. Even just pushing the button and saying "Mayday Mayday China Eastern 5735 going down " would have sped rescue efforts. Seriously, in flight training the protocol was "a...

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by kitplane01
Mon Apr 11, 2022 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Eastern 737-800 crashes in Guangxi, southern China
Replies: 1166
Views: 440546

Re: China Eastern 737-800 crashes in Guangxi, southern China

Mr. Gryder put out a different video a couple of days after the crash, stating that from the outset he had great difficulty thinking of any scenario that would put a B738 in such a dive profile and bring it down in such a short space of time, besides pilot deliberate action. Lots of outcomes could ...

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by kitplane01
Sun Apr 10, 2022 6:19 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: United Launch Alliance - Tests, Launches, News, Developments
Replies: 220
Views: 39527

Re: United Launch Alliance - Tests, Launches, News, Developments

Amazon buys 38 Vulcan launches from ULA launches for their 'Kuiper' broadband constellation, in addition to 18 Ariane 6 and 12 (+15 options) New Glenn launches from Blue Origin. https://spacenews.com/amazon-signs-multibillion-dollar-project-kuiper-launch-contracts/ That's a massive order for ULA gi...

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by kitplane01
Sun Apr 10, 2022 6:17 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US Marines develop 'Lightning Carrier"
Replies: 40
Views: 6613

Re: US Marines develop 'Lightning Carrier"

No big deal and a waste of a phib. They still have no organic air to air refueling, AEW, or ASW. They do not have the range or persistence of a true carrier. Worst of all, they cannot keep up with a carrier battle group. It's far better for CVNs to operate with the British and French carriers that ...

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by kitplane01
Sun Apr 10, 2022 6:14 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US Marines develop 'Lightning Carrier"
Replies: 40
Views: 6613

Re: US Marines develop 'Lightning Carrier"

No big deal and a waste of a phib. They still have no organic air to air refueling, AEW, or ASW. They do not have the range or persistence of a true carrier. Worst of all, they cannot keep up with a carrier battle group. It's far better for CVNs to operate with the British and French carriers that ...

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by kitplane01
Tue Apr 05, 2022 3:13 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones
Replies: 27
Views: 4112

Re: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones

Question: How will a MIUS drone, with only 3,800 lbs thrust and a 13,000 lb gross weight possibly take off a short aircraft carrier without a catapult? Small delta wings are not known for their low speed/high lift capability. If there is no drag at all, that level of thrust / weight gets you to abou...

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by kitplane01
Tue Apr 05, 2022 1:54 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Post War Ukrainian Air Force
Replies: 29
Views: 3149

Re: Post War Ukrainian Air Force

C-130s will be useful for reconstruction as well as war. Is there a sufficient supply of them used? I suppose CH-47 are also useful dual role. Not sure of many CH-47 frames available. bt This is crazy. A C130 costs about $8,000/hour to operate if someone gives you the airframe for free. A CH-47 is ...

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by kitplane01
Tue Apr 05, 2022 1:44 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones
Replies: 27
Views: 4112

Re: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones

Actually not Baykar Akinci, but Baykar MIUS is planned to be used on carriers: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baykar_Bayraktar_MIUS Interesting. The original article says the aircraft carrier was to be composed of Bayraktar TB3. It's a serious step up (560 mph vs 130 mph, 3300 lbs vs 620 lbs, &quo...

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by kitplane01
Sun Apr 03, 2022 2:50 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Updated: Canada picks F-35 as CF-18 fighter replacement
Replies: 484
Views: 116229

Re: Updated: Canada picks F-35 as CF-18 fighter replacement

I’m curious if the A’s they order will have probes or a receptacle. Or both. The A’s range is more important than the C’s endurance, but that probe would be pretty nice. It would not matter too much for Canada, as our tanker fleet is also due for replacement, and the only contender is the Airbus A3...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 29, 2022 11:44 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale
Replies: 56
Views: 9365

Re: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale

You can't compare a yoga ball to a marble - even that's being rather kind, honestly. The losses we are seeing in MODERN WARFARE with Ukraine are proof of my argument, you simply can't fly 4th gen or 4+ gen aircraft in contested airspace. You'll die. It absolutely is an on/off thing, which is why I ...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 29, 2022 6:10 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale
Replies: 56
Views: 9365

Re: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale

It's NOT A STEALTH AIRCRAFT in any way / shape / form. Its' RCS is likely several times larger than the F-117, which was shot down by a (relatively) primitive SAM system decades ago. Stealth is not an on/off option. The RCS simply determines the range at which the aircraft can be picked up by a rad...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 29, 2022 6:08 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale
Replies: 56
Views: 9365

Re: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale

Germany will order additional Eurofighter - maybe even replace the Tornados on a 1 : 1 base. The EF will also get upgrades for electronic warfare. This should sustain the EF line for some time to enable the FCAS transition. Maybe. Which will be better supported 30 years from, Rafale or Typhoon? Bec...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 29, 2022 6:06 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale
Replies: 56
Views: 9365

Re: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale

Spain is ordering 20 more Tranche 4 Typhoons to replace its oldest Hornets. https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/spain-approves-eurofighter-buy-upgrades True! (Also, did you know there is no easily findable list of Rafale or Typhoon operators with a count of each. So I'll update my tables...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 29, 2022 12:00 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale
Replies: 56
Views: 9365

Future of the Typhoon vs Rafale

Typhoon operators Germany - 141 with 33 being retired and 38 new ones on order UK - 101 operational, 8 more withdraws planned Italy - 95 Spain - 68 Saudi Arabia - 72 with 48 on order (but the order is stalled and unlikely to be fulfilled) Qatar - 24 on order Kuwait - 28 on order Oman - 12 Total: 44...

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by kitplane01
Mon Mar 28, 2022 11:27 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement
Replies: 259
Views: 90313

Re: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement

Was it LM or Finland that didn't want the F-16 bid. Typical competition do not specify a particular airplane. They specify a set of requirements and potential suppliers would provide a proposal of the aircraft that they think best fit the requirements. Sometimes the buyer provide money to prepare t...

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by kitplane01
Mon Mar 28, 2022 10:49 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement
Replies: 259
Views: 90313

Re: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement

Why did the F-16 not bid on Finland's HX program? Maybe Finland wanted a plane that would be supported for the next 30+ years. Most western air forces are replacing their 16s with 35s. "To support the growing demand for new F-16 Fighting Falcon from partner nations, the U.S. Air Force has team...

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by kitplane01
Mon Mar 28, 2022 10:46 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement
Replies: 259
Views: 90313

Re: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement

Why did the F-16 not bid on Finland's HX program? Maybe LM will make more money on the F-35 sale than F-16 or the F-16 would lose against the european competitors? Putting in a bid costs money, if not millions, at least tens if not hundreds of thousands out of pocket. Is it not the decision of LM a...

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by kitplane01
Mon Mar 28, 2022 6:54 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement
Replies: 259
Views: 90313

Re: Finland selects F-35A for F-18 replacement

Why did the F-16 not bid on Finland's HX program?

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by kitplane01
Sat Mar 19, 2022 4:11 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones
Replies: 27
Views: 4112

Re: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones

yes drones like the X-47B/C are the way of the future not tiny short range 3K lb/1.3ton drones, those may have been super effective in a land war but try to use it against an enemy with relatively sophisticated navy and coastal defenses Which is more effective (and cost effective) between an F-35, ...

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by kitplane01
Thu Mar 17, 2022 4:06 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones
Replies: 27
Views: 4112

Re: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones

Dudes! Now back to the idea of drones from carriers. These drones can do recon, and fire Hellfire-sized missiles and bombs. It seems to me a great idea for operations-short-of-war. Dude! "Operations short of war" is just a euphemism for "we can shoot at them and they don't have the t...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 16, 2022 5:26 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones
Replies: 27
Views: 4112

Re: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones

Dudes! There is no arresting wires. There is no full sized catapult. You cannot fly an F-18 or Rafale off these boats. No one is selling used Harriers. Also Harriers cost a surprisingly huge amount of money to operate. You cannot get Harriers. These boats could operate drones, or helicopters or both...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 16, 2022 3:35 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones
Replies: 27
Views: 4112

Turkey's new Aircraft Carrier with only drones

Turkey has built an aircraft carrier of 27,000 tons, designed to operate up to 10 F-35s. But Turkey cannot get an F-35s. So they will operate a ~40 drones, a modified version of their Rayaktar (like a Predator with folding wings). They weigh about 3,000 lbs each. Launch will be via electric motor ca...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 15, 2022 7:41 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China
Replies: 35
Views: 5642

Re: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China

tphuang wrote:
Except that Chinese aircraft are a lot better than Russian ones. J-10C dominates Su-35 in DACTs.


I'd like a citation. I think you're just guessing but I could be wrong. Can you provide a source?

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 15, 2022 1:59 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 334
Views: 46743

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

If you're hit by an EMP, you'd feel nothing and have no effects. Like I said, all that is black magic to me. All I know is they tell us to not walk in front of the airplane when the nose radar is on. bt You were taught good black magic. Amana introduced the microwave oven "The Radar Range"...

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by kitplane01
Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:47 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 334
Views: 46743

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

I am sure they shielded all of the things that need shielding, with stealth being radar transparent is good. All of the electronics must be well EM shielded, in particular any aircraft certified to carry thos You forgot the most important shielding aspect. That's the EMI/EMP shielding for the occup...

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by kitplane01
Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:41 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

Another aspect is the range of the Tu-141, cited as approx. 1000km. To reach ZAG, it would need to be launched in western Ukraine, the westernmost part of Belarus or Moldovia. Belarus doesn't make sense given the reported route across Hungary and Romania, and there are no Russian troops in the othe...

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by kitplane01
Sun Mar 13, 2022 8:08 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 334
Views: 46743

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

The USAF has no use for next gen engines. Fuel burn is a secondary concern to serviceability and reliability for military applications. The new gen engines are more efficient but at the cost of being heavier, more expensive to purchase and more expensive to maintain. They really only make sense in ...

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by kitplane01
Sun Mar 13, 2022 4:38 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

no one seems to understand the Russian strategy, does appear to have built some complacency... Seems like everything is moving in slow motion. Wonder if this is a sign that all major military decision is now coming directly from Putin. Similar to how German delayed reaction to the Normandy invasion...

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by kitplane01
Sun Mar 13, 2022 4:33 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China
Replies: 35
Views: 5642

Re: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China

Given the still significant (in nearly all areas) gap in quality between state of the art Western tech and Chinese tech I am really suspicious of any claims that the J-10 exceeds the Rafale. It isn't impossible, but I think it is very unlikely that one for one, with equal support (pilot quality, AW...

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by kitplane01
Sat Mar 12, 2022 3:34 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

, I don't believe that Ukraine was ever given such capability at least with western data networking, Would not want sensitive equipment to fall into Russian hands. Secure communication hardware is easy enough because it rely on an encryption key to be useful. I'd say some dummy terminals to receive...

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by kitplane01
Sat Mar 12, 2022 3:31 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China
Replies: 35
Views: 5642

Re: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China

I would *love* to know which has the better electronics, the J-10 or the Rafale. If the J-10 is better (or even the same) that would mean a lot!

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 09, 2022 6:39 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

Looks like Ukraine is getting reinforcements from Poland, with the Poles transferring their fleet of MiG-29's to Ukraine via the Americans at Ramstein AFB: https://www.gov.pl/web/diplomacy/statement-of-the-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-the-republic-of-poland-in-connection-with-the-statement-by-the...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 09, 2022 4:16 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 334
Views: 46743

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

Because for a tiny bit of weight you get a large increase in flexibility. Also, a KC-46 should be much more economical than a C-17, and much longer ranged than C-130. And this cheaper option can carry more tonnage than than the KC-Y without adding any more weight. https://www.af.mil/About-Us/Fact-S...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 08, 2022 4:30 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 334
Views: 46743

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

If they really build the plane without a cargo door, I'm gonna be looking side-eye. Why? Every one is saying that the USAF don't use tankers to cary cargo. They have C-17s and the civilian transport, and the KC-46 in a pinch. bt Because for a tiny bit of weight you get a large increase in flexibili...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 08, 2022 2:49 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 334
Views: 46743

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

Well, without the cargo requirement, there goes one of the reason why the A330 was chosen ove the KC-46 for many Air Forces. Curious though, how much weight can be saved by not having a cargo floor? bt It does seem like a lot of empty airframe to carry around for just fuel... Like a flying bag of L...

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by kitplane01
Tue Mar 08, 2022 2:36 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China
Replies: 35
Views: 5642

Re: Pakistan to buy J-10 form China

I dunno. I'd bet pretty heavy in a 1-v-1 match between a J-10 and a Rafale. Of course an equal-dollar matchup might be 3 J-10s vs 1 Rafale. I dunno who wins that. I note the J-10s delivery schedule is SO much faster than the Rafale. Someone can help my memory didn't it take less than year to begin J...

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by kitplane01
Sun Mar 06, 2022 8:26 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Rafale Rate Increase to 3 per Month
Replies: 8
Views: 2126

Re: Rafale Rate Increase to 3 per Month

Yea for them, but I doubt it impresses Lockheed-Martin. Does anyone know the production rates of other fighters: Eurofighter or F-15 or Gripen or Tejas or JF-17 or any others? https://www.flightglobal.com/defence/dassault-plans-rafale-rate-rise-to-cope-with-export-success/147796.article I don't thi...

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by kitplane01
Sun Mar 06, 2022 12:47 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Rafale Rate Increase to 3 per Month
Replies: 8
Views: 2126

Rafale Rate Increase to 3 per Month

Output of Rafale fighters will increase to three per month by the middle of the decade on the back of export sales success for Dassault Aviation. Yea for them, but I doubt it impresses Lockheed-Martin. Does anyone know the production rates of other fighters: Eurofighter or F-15 or Gripen or Tejas or...

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by kitplane01
Sun Mar 06, 2022 12:44 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

There are many problems with Russians air force - They don't train long enough or realistic enough. As such, they are capable of directing large scale manuevers. We have already seen that. All you ever see is a couple of aircraft here and there. That's why they still have yet to establish air super...

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by kitplane01
Sat Mar 05, 2022 9:56 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

The Takeaways from aviation week and space technologies podcast: They are surprised Russian long range aviation has been inactive since the first day. It was used more in both Chechnya and Syria. Maybe the Russians have learned lessons from those conflicts. They did lose a T U – 160 in Chechnya. Rus...

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by kitplane01
Sat Mar 05, 2022 9:52 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

Aesma wrote:
Cruise missiles aren't cheap. How many do they have and how much do they cost ? Apparently they use Ukrainian engines, to boot.


An American cruise missile cost about $1 million give or take a whole bunch.

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by kitplane01
Sat Mar 05, 2022 9:51 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2022/03/why-isnt-russias-bomber-fleet-attacking-ukraine-in-mass/ I posted earlier but want to reiterate that I'm befuddled, that the Russians aren't using their standoff weapons launch platforms (Tu160,tu22m,tu95) more aggressively which can remain in Russian airspace an...

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by kitplane01
Sat Mar 05, 2022 7:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing planning on nearly doubling 737MAX production rate
Replies: 33
Views: 5534

Re: Boeing planning on nearly doubling 737MAX production rate

Duke91 wrote:
Boeing 'beating' Airbus in net orders in 2021 by adding some orders from the accounting book...



Huh? I'm interested.

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 02, 2022 9:39 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

I thought this was interesting "Instead, the roughly 300 modern combat aircraft which the VKS have positioned within easy range of the main contact zones in northern, eastern and southern Ukraine appear to have largely stayed on the ground throughout the first four days of fighting . This has ...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 02, 2022 8:31 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

I thought this was interesting "Instead, the roughly 300 modern combat aircraft which the VKS have positioned within easy range of the main contact zones in northern, eastern and southern Ukraine appear to have largely stayed on the ground throughout the first four days of fighting . This has a...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 02, 2022 8:24 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

I see I was unclear. My apologize. My best guess (and no one knows for sure, the people who are confident should not be) is that there will be people with Ukrainian emblems doing the day-to-day patrols, backed up by Russian peacekeepers. It will be somewhat sort-of similar to every other occupation...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 02, 2022 7:57 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

Define your interpretation of "control". I wonder if you're being pedantic. If you walk into the middle of the town .. it's whoever controls the police you see. If you drive between towns, it's whoever is running the checkpoints. It's the people who control what's on TV, and operate the e...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 02, 2022 4:04 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

Make an actual prediction (if you want). Who will control a majority of Ukraine a month from now? I predict the large country with the large army and the large population, and that seems a very easy prediction. Define your interpretation of "control". I wonder if you're being pedantic. If...

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by kitplane01
Wed Mar 02, 2022 4:02 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 981
Views: 135510

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

It's a race between Russia slowly gaining more Ukrainian territory and Russia imploding. Make an actual prediction (if you want). Who will control a majority of Ukraine a month from now? I predict the large country with the large army and the large population, and that seems a very easy prediction....

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