Search found 9614 matches

by MIflyer12
Sun Jun 27, 2021 12:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 1579
Views: 329822

Re: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021

FlyingElvii wrote:

Do you think the one vending machine at SGU could handle that many diverted passengers for hours?

Are you proposing the airport authority add a second vending machine for diversions? :D

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by MIflyer12
Sun Jun 27, 2021 12:48 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Will Virgin Australia grow again? Will the widebodies return?
Replies: 15
Views: 2906

Re: Will Virgin Australia grow again? Will the widebodies return?

anstar wrote:
I'd say no international widebody ops until BAIN have done their IPO.

Why is that your prediction? Couldn't a successful long haul network - even if small - increase the perceived value?

Do you really mean that it won't happen so long as Bain maintains any ownership?

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by MIflyer12
Sun Jun 27, 2021 11:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN Wants To Attract Business Travelers
Replies: 305
Views: 27948

Re: WN Wants To Attract Business Travelers

'Simply focusing on distribution' is the key phrase. What he means is that Southwest wants the high average fares paid by business travelers- but really isn't prepared to give business travelers what they want: assigned seats, power, F and Y+, free same day confirmed, and lounges. WN is frequency-co...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

Delta really could simplify their fleet and cover all the bases with the a220-500. A220-100/300/500 A321-200/NEO/XLR A330-900 A350-900 All Airbus? Ha hah hah. I think a narrow body fleet of about: 300 ceo/neo 300 NG/MAX 150 A220 is a lot more likely in 2029-2030. Yes, I'm predicting a full phase ou...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

From what I recall, there was originally a deal to pick up four LATAM-owned A350s that (maybe) were flying with Qatar Airways. That deal also included rights for Delta to take 10 A350-900 (maybe convertible to -1000) order slots from LATAM. As a result of the pandemic, Delta paid a penalty to disso...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jun 26, 2021 6:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo
Replies: 925
Views: 155908

Re: United Airlines in advanced talks on purchasing 100-150 737MAX

I don’t know for sure, but would think the CASM is comparable to the CR2. The CR5 generates much higher RASM. Maybe, but that's not quite the question: Would they produce more revenue as 70-seat CR7s, and at what cost scope relief? If business travel is down it gets hard to justify high CASM, high ...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jun 26, 2021 12:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: PIT Terminal project to get underway soon
Replies: 74
Views: 10580

Re: PIT Terminal project to get underway soon

It's nice to see this project get off the ground and it looks like a nice terminal. It sounds like it will definitely help the airport cut costs since the number of gates will go from 75 to 51. It's sad that the airport is no longer a hub for a major airline. I was hopeful that a low cost carrier s...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jun 26, 2021 11:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airlines vaccinating their personnel/staff
Replies: 62
Views: 7067

Re: Airlines vaccinating their personnel/staff

So now Im curious... Lets compile a list: which airlines are currently in the process of giving vaccinations to staff? - Etihad - Emirates - Singapore - Lufthansa -...?? Keeping this thread relevant with an update list: - Etihad Airways - Emirates - Qatar Airways - El Al - United - Singapore - Luft...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 5:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL drops Cape Town from JNB-ATL schedule
Replies: 150
Views: 27681

Re: DL drops Cape Town from JNB-ATL schedule

It is important to note that the Air Services Licensing Council (a function of the Dept of Transport) has not been active since March 2021. It appears that this is a deliberate move by the SA Gov to prevent new players from entering the SA market that was occupied by SAA and SAX before. By not conv...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 5:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

Could Delta also make a play on the parked LATAM A321-211s? They’re sharklet-equipped and CFM powered like the rest of the fleet. Different leasing company and terms I’m assuming? -Rowen I wouldn't expect small quantities of narrowbodies from many sources - that just boosts the acquisition cost and...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 5:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo
Replies: 925
Views: 155908

Re: United Airlines in advanced talks on purchasing 100-150 737MAX

the claim that two nearly identical planes are equally profitable on the same route while 1 flies with 20 fewer passengers is ludicrous. I've always held the 900, 900ER, 9MAX have a place in some carriers networks and actually like the plane (the long rolling high speed takeoff is fun.. LOL); but p...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 4:23 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: How Many Aircraft in Storage?
Replies: 4
Views: 1768

Re: How Many Aircraft in Storage?

Give a close read to the SEC 10-Q filings from the respective carriers. They should be coming out in about three weeks. They will cite active fleet as of 6/30/21, numbers stored, and likely update purchase commitments.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit launches MKE today and already announces new routes
Replies: 52
Views: 6111

Re: Spirit launches MKE today and already announces new routes

But anybody think they will give up market in MKE,SDF,MCI, STL I would say not MKE: Maybe. SDF: Maybe. MCI/STL: Doubtful. When flying against a carrier with a MUCH lower cost structure, defending share means losing money (or at least accepting depressed returns). WN needs to figure out price and pr...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 2532
Views: 339810

Re: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2021

Even if merger/acquisition talks began today, it would probably be 2024 or later before the merged carriers started to operate as a single entity. I’m sure swa would defend its stronghold at DAL until the expiration of that provision. Delta and Northwest had a single operating certificate less than...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FedEx firms options on 20 more 763Fs
Replies: 141
Views: 24910

Re: FedEx firms options on 20 more 763Fs

Hmm, FX is adding more 763Fs even though they have 1980s era engines because they are at a good price, Boeing is willing to sell them at a good price because they have an under-utilized production line. If the acquisition cost is low enough (and projected utilization and/or the projected fuel cost ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jun 25, 2021 12:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta-LATAM sign JV Agreement
Replies: 106
Views: 24990

Re: DL-LATAM JV?

It looks like it will take DL and LATAM a significant amount of time to realize much benefit from this much ballyhooed JV. Probably, but the money is gone: $2.25 Billion of it. The worry isn't how much they spent but instead how they adjust plans to new circumstances. Codesharing and reciprocal ben...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 11:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit launches MKE today and already announces new routes
Replies: 52
Views: 6111

Re: Spirit launches MKE today and already announces new routes

Today in interviews and articles GK hinted towards lots of possible INT adds next year and even mentioned from fort Lauderdale there max 7 could go to places as far as Brazil signaling they might go at NK to South America from FLL With NK running them out of so many of their markets, they’re going ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 8:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Spirit Airlines Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 337
Views: 41411

Re: Spirit Airlines Discussion Thread - 2021

That's taking the fight to WN. Every single one of those routes appears as a non-stop on the WN route map today.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

The additional 7-13 A359s helps close the gap and rebuild the widebody fleet, and potentially gets its back over 140 frames by end of 2022 (pending delivery and mod timeframe). Like someone else said, with the larger gauge it will get them closer on a ASM basis with larger gauge aircraft, but still...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues
Replies: 271
Views: 54734

Re: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues

Yes! They were supposed to use the money to be ready for full scale operations when demand returned. That's an interesting interpretation but certainly not what was required under the law(s). Maintain stations (or seek a waiver). No dividends or buybacks. No invol layoffs isn't be ready for full sc...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 6:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 2532
Views: 339810

Re: Southwest Fleet/Network Thread - 2021

https://seekingalpha.com/news/3709698-southwest-arilines-ceo-sees-pick-up-in-business-travel-before-end-of-the-year-but-not-to-pre-pandemic-levels-luv?mail_subject=luv-southwest-ceo-sees-pick-up-in-business-travel-before-end-of-the-year-but-not-to-pre-pandemic-levels&utm_campaign=rta-stock-news...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 4:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Volaris acquire 8 additional A320NEO
Replies: 42
Views: 8779

Re: Volaris acquire 8 additional A320NEO

Airbus is in effect screwing the lessors to try and keep the airlines happy which is an interesting bet, but cheap lease rates while unsustainable does probably help airbus contented with the max fire sale of the last few months for white tails I thought the whole purpose of lessors was to absorb v...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021
Replies: 47
Views: 8947

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021

Lightsaber Late edit, this link compares CO2 per passenger. Due to the capabilities to fly longer range (weight) that is a cost (fuel). I speculate that most TATL range traffic will become more P2P on narrowbodies. https://theicct.org/sites/default/files/publications/CO2-commercial-aviation-oct2020...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Transat to launch Miami
Replies: 23
Views: 4337

Re: Air Transat to launch Miami

How many Canadians go to Miami-Dade ? Broward seems more their type of place. Unless these flights are bringing and taking home cruise passengers. The Hollywood area has been a favorite destination for Francophone Canadians for many years. As a kid it was my first exposure to seeing speedo/bikini s...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo
Replies: 925
Views: 155908

Re: United Airlines in advanced talks on purchasing 100-150 737MAX

If UAL goes for any model of A220s they will probably commit to both models. I'm not sure the A223 counts for UAL's pilot contract for a new mainline to unlock additional 76 seat ERJ-175s, they may need the A221s. I'm going to take a guess: 130 A220 100 and 300 models 150 MAX 8s 40 A321 NEOs 25 787...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 2:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DFW Airport marks 40 years as an American Airlines hub
Replies: 57
Views: 7791

Re: DFW Airport marks 40 years as an American Airlines hub

[ Alas, it's inaccurate to say (by several people within this thread) that 'AA kicked DL to the curb at DFW.' If it hadn't been for the opportunity created at ATL by EA's demise, DL may have kept capacity stagnant at DFW, and would've been better positioned for growth when the DFW economy exploded ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 2:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest CEO Kelly to step down; Robert Jordan named replacement
Replies: 25
Views: 6431

Re: Southwest CEO Kelly to step down; Robert Jordan named replacement

Does anyone else think the board forced him out or did he plan to step down ? Legend has it Herb stepped down when he did because he didn’t wanna be the guy to say “we might have to cut your wages, hours, and more due to the new challenges the industry faces.” That's an interesting comment. Let a n...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 24, 2021 11:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

Well here I was wondering how DL would be able to plug the hole in their fleet that was filled by the 777. This, coupled with deliveries that happened during the past year or so, should allow them to operate their pre-covid network (they might have to downgauge some CDG/AMS flights that were on the...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jun 23, 2021 4:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL drops Cape Town from JNB-ATL schedule
Replies: 150
Views: 27681

Re: DL drops Cape Town from JNB-ATL schedule

I don’t think retiring the 777 was the smartest move. You don't keep a fleet type - and a small, very senior pilot group - for one or two routes. DL could block twenty seats forever on a JNB-ATL A350 and still come out way ahead. Seniority has nothing to do with it. Those pilots are still senior an...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jun 23, 2021 3:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS BOI focus city
Replies: 95
Views: 14815

Re: AS BOI focus city

Isn't this like the second (or third) attempt at as BOI focus city/hublet? I hope it works and I think this time it just might. Boise has a pretty significant biotech & IT space thanks to migration of people and industry from CA and WA. Plenty of well-heeled discretionary travelers with a nice ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 22, 2021 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 1490
Views: 193842

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021

https://simpleflying.com/portland-opportunities-alaska-airlines/ These are exciting times for PDX....I'm anxiously excited to finally see AS unveiling of their big expansion plans for Portland.... My dream would be Portland being a major connecting hub so Seattle can be avoided often You may as wel...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 22, 2021 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing MAX-10 First Flight Thread
Replies: 227
Views: 41892

Re: Boeing MAX-10 First Flight Thread

I am assuming it allow it better runway performance than the 9? If it does, which I'm also assuming to be the case, then the value proposal for the -9 becomes even more dubious than it is now. Unless either (A) the airline is a dedicated 737 operator to the point of not even considering the A321N, ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 22, 2021 12:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues
Replies: 271
Views: 54734

Re: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues

AA had to make long term decisions within weeks to keep the airline afloat. Last year, every single "expert" was saying that travel would not rebound until 2024. Obviously that was wrong. Airlines were making decisions on this information. No one expected that travel would rebound as soon...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL drops Cape Town from JNB-ATL schedule
Replies: 150
Views: 27681

Re: DL drops Cape Town from JNB-ATL schedule

DL757NYC wrote:
I don’t think retiring the 777 was the smartest move.

You don't keep a fleet type - and a small, very senior pilot group - for one or two routes. DL could block twenty seats forever on a JNB-ATL A350 and still come out way ahead.

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues
Replies: 271
Views: 54734

Re: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues

Time for the airlines to increase their pay or benefits to get people. Make non revving good again to start It's not a pay issue that is limiting availability of pilots. See the OP's original link. Paying 20% more isn't going to turn somebody into a 737 pilot overnight. Few commercial pilots have t...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

AntonioMartin wrote:
Are things so bad economically at Delta that they need to start buying used aircraft??

What's wrong with aircraft that might be ten years old? All of the major, Western, market finance-driven carriers fly such aircraft.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jun 17, 2021 1:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Vietnam Airlines is said on the brink of bankruptcy
Replies: 46
Views: 9850

Re: Vietnam Airlines is said on the brink of bankruptcy

LAX772LR wrote:
Nice, sounds like a great time to launch expensive TPAC ultralonghauls in completely unproven markets with tons of low-priced connecting competition....

Oh, and all the posts in early covid about how VN was state backed and primed for robust expansion.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jun 16, 2021 12:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA to split from IAG ?
Replies: 40
Views: 11008

Re: BA to split from IAG ?

While it's obvious how BA helps IAG overall, I'm still scratching my head on any benefit in the inverse. Anyone? They get some greater economies of scale of fleet/parts/supplies buys. They get reduced price competition on UK-Ireland and UK-Spain routes. That's all I've got. The European carrier gro...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jun 16, 2021 1:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

There was a rumor last year Boeing would cancel Delta's leases on their 717s in return for acquiring 40 white-tail 737 MAXs. Given the age of Delta's A320s, the 737 MAX 8 made some sense in this space. Instead, as some have pointed out, these could be 737-800s and 900ERs. One can't think of 10-yr o...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 11:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

I am curious how this plays out for their WB future plans. All we hear about is them retiring their smallest WB type and now this rumor about buying more of their largest. Not a very “capacity diligent Delta” thing to do. I could see this leading to a swap of new build 359s for 339s. We shall see… ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 10:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SBY Growth
Replies: 22
Views: 3735

Re: SBY GROWTH

GalaxyFlyer wrote:
With 30,000 residents and only 650,000 on the whole of the DELMARVA, not a big catchment area. I’ve driven a number of times, amazingly empty for the east coast.


That, and BWI a 2-hr drive from SBY.

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 10:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157209

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

737-800s or 900ERs would be fine. Can't imagine they would want -700s at almost any price. They may get some MAX 8s but I doubt the first bunch would be used. It was $62 million, actually, to cancel the order for the four used LATAM A350s. https://www.forbes.com/sites/willhorton1/2020/05/26/delta-ca...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 65
Views: 11914

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

From a quick look at the financials in the annual report the net result is overwhelmingly an operating loss, not due to asset write-downs of aircraft, parts, etc. It looks like only about $128 million (AED 500 million) was from an aircraft impairment charge. So, if they're going to have a significa...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 65
Views: 11914

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

From a quick look at the financials in the annual report the net result is overwhelmingly an operating loss, not due to asset write-downs of aircraft, parts, etc. It looks like only about $128 million (AED 500 million) was from an aircraft impairment charge. So, if they're going to have a significan...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EU, U.S. Agree to Five-Year Truce in Boeing-Airbus Trade Dispute
Replies: 20
Views: 3466

Re: EU, U.S. Agree to Five-Year Truce in Boeing-Airbus Trade Dispute

This makes no sense to me. If the concern is keeping China out, shouldn't the agreement allow subsidies in equal amount to spur the development of new cutting edge airliners that China couldn't compete with? No, if a Chinese manufacturer attempts to sell airliners in the EU or US, this would allow ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 12:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 65
Views: 11914

Re: Emirates 6bn Loss

Boiler905 wrote:
I wish we could see their cargo and charter revenue contribution during the pandemic, because they must have been strong given how much worse the results could have been.


Cargo revenues were up 50+%. See the Annual Report in the OP's link.

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 12:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EU, U.S. Agree to Five-Year Truce in Boeing-Airbus Trade Dispute
Replies: 20
Views: 3466

Re: EU, U.S. Agree to Five-Year Truce in Boeing-Airbus Trade Dispute

The New York Times quotes Katherine Tai, U.S. Trade Representative: But she said the agreement set limits on the subsidies that the European Union would be allowed to provide to Airbus, and she warned that the United States would reimpose billions of dollars in tariffs if subsidies by European Union...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jun 15, 2021 12:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jetblue Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 1550
Views: 283622

Re: Jetblue Network Thread - 2021

So interesting email... B6 returning to its hub strategy come fall Fat lady is singing for a lot of these routes if they don’t touch New York/ Newark Boston LA Orlando San Juan or Lauderdale/Miami As I love to point out… They simply don’t have the aircraft for the large scale expansion they launche...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jun 14, 2021 10:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA to split from IAG ?
Replies: 40
Views: 11008

Re: BA to split from IAG ?

While it's obvious how BA helps IAG overall, I'm still scratching my head on any benefit in the inverse. Anyone? They get some greater economies of scale of fleet/parts/supplies buys. They get reduced price competition on UK-Ireland and UK-Spain routes. That's all I've got. The European carrier gro...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jun 14, 2021 5:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo
Replies: 925
Views: 155908

Re: United Airlines in advanced talks on purchasing 100-150 737MAX

CALTECH wrote:
" United is expecting to take deliveries of 40 MAX jets in 2022 and 54 in 2023. "


Forty in 2022 confirms the declaration in the annual report filed 3/1/2021.

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