Search found 22395 matches

by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 8:22 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

There are currently no attenuated vaccines in use for COVID-19. An attenuated vaccine traditionally used a virus that was passaged under conditions quite different from the human body. This caused the virus to lose various properties that made it dangerous. For Poliovirus type 2, it lost its abilit...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 8:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Wow, Detroit is 38% vaccinated. https://amp.detroitnews.com/amp/7956875002 WoW... Birds of a feather flock together... Delta (and Lambda) are so transmittable that any clusters of available hosts will be eventually be hard hit in my opinion. People like to talk in easy to identify tribal areas (nati...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 8:01 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 435
Views: 35005

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

I believe children are now a major spreader of Delta, but I'd like to know Better than news stories of kids birthday parties spreading coronavirus: Lot of families are clueless and there is very little information on protecting <12 year olds. Many families are going by their lives as if entire fami...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 6:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 435
Views: 35005

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

What fraction of coronavirus cases are children? Back in May it was 22% of confirmed cases, but a note many (most?) were asymptomatic. My impression is Delta and Lambda will hit kids much harder. Dies anyone have a good newer link? https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/05/03/993...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 6:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 435
Views: 35005

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

[threeid][/threeid] The UK is making the right move. COVID is endemic, and never going away. You either adapt to live with it, or your economic security and quality of life go out the window. Adults in the room understand this. COVID is here to stay. A comprehensive vaccination program can eliminate...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 6:07 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Viral mutations: One giant Pitri Dish or 200 tiny labs?
Replies: 28
Views: 1533

Re: Viral mutations: One giant Pitri Dish or 200 tiny labs?

Lockdowns slow spread. We now have hospitals at capacity at much lower levels than before (e.g., capacity 32 coronavirus when before it was 61 patients in beds with room to grow). https://health.mesacounty.us/covid19/datadashboard/ My opinion is where vaccines are available, the medical staff just a...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 3:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

I believe the UK and USA show the results of too low total population vaccination. I've posted links on kids spreading upthread; until a huge fraction of the population is vaccinated, we'll see trends. Both the USA and UK see climbing hospitalizations. In my opinion, due to exhausted nurses and a ne...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 2:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021
Replies: 345
Views: 48534

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021

It is possible that Airbus now expects all coming deals to be profitable. Airbus Canada has to finance itself starting in February 2020. It was said many times that Airbus Canada is still losing money until 2026 or so. This was said by one Airbus exec. Obviously it is not reasonable to continue del...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 2:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1502
Views: 281010

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

Maybe there are cheap for a very good reason? Everyone else dropped them like a bad habit. E190s have high variable costs. So when it was a popular plane, it was pushed out of duty as before the airlines were flying high utilization. Plane acquisition cost - bought or financed - isn't the biggest c...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jul 20, 2021 1:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157519

Re: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER

I posted upstream how Allegiant receives many offers. I suspect DL receives more due to greater fleet variety. I doubt this is the last used transaction DL closes in the next 18 months. DL's 10Q notes that deliveries of the used aircraft will commence later this year, and be completed by early next...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Minimum seat pitch
Replies: 31
Views: 4697

Re: Minimum seat pitch

Each combination of aircraft plus seat type is certified separately. And all of them must pass a lot of tests to be certified. So, for all aircraft there are many seats alternatives, each of them with different certified minimum pitch. And it is also possible to happen, yet rare, a certain seat hav...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue 9400 en route to LHR
Replies: 45
Views: 13227

Re: JetBlue 9400 en route to LHR

What engines does JetBlue use on their NEOs? Pratts take it the GTF issues are solved now, to safely reliably send them TATL? Pratt now has 99.98% dispatch reliability. That is a huge improvement. https://50skyshades.com/news/manufacturer/pratt-whitney-gtf-engines-achieve-world-class-reliability#:~...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 4:08 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1513
Views: 95219

Re: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread

There is no EU plan, because the EU hasn’t a mandate to make decisions about health care. Yet we are in the EU vaccination strategy plan. The EU certifies vaccines and purchases the vaccines. So in my opinion, they own the mandate. A thread name in a.net doesn't dictate policy. The EU only started ...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 4:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

worldometers predicts about 100 times as many daily infections in UK mid-September as we had in mid-May. Does not seem at all likely to me, albeit who am I to predict the level? Mid-May was around 3K a day, prediction for mid-September is around 300K a day. US infections are projected to rise but a...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 3:31 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1513
Views: 95219

Re: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread

When is the plan for major child vaccination efforts? I saw one country, but as the purchases are the union and borders will reopen, what is the EU plan? Lightsaber There is no EU plan, because the EU hasn’t a mandate to make decisions about health care. Yet we are in the EU vaccination strategy pl...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Minimum seat pitch
Replies: 31
Views: 4697

Re: Minimum seat pitch

I pray it never happens, but 28 inch seat pitch would be put to the real test in a burning plane filled with screaming people in a ditch at the end of a runway. Put to you and the OP: What's the evidence that survivable crashes have more injuries and fatalities due to tight seat pitch? I'm not look...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157519

Re: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER

How will Lion Air replace the lost capacity of these 29 739'S? Lease Airbus or Boeing aircraft when additional capacity as needed when air travel picks up post Covid? They’ve got hundreds of MAX on order still that can replace lost capacity. I would go so far as to say new aircraft will over-supply...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jul 19, 2021 1:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Baltic A223 - Both engines automatically shutdown on touchdown
Replies: 72
Views: 16199

Re: Air Baltic A223 - Both engines automatically shutdown on touchdown

No, they are not. Google FADEC, but as with most things in 2021 the "ultimate control" lies with a computer. This is incorrect, FADEC is controlled via the engine master switch. Those of us that are older will remember Hydromechanical units shutting engines down as well. FADEC has provide...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 18, 2021 11:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021
Replies: 345
Views: 48534

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021

I wonder what the outlook of the A220 is if let’s say Breeze Airways ends up not being successful and very few deliveries are made, would that be a huge setback for the program? That is why multiple medium sized purchases are required. The 717 had AirTran, where the planes went to SouthWest then De...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 18, 2021 11:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1502
Views: 281010

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

These planes are beyond just cheap, they and unbelievably cheap. Maybe there are cheap for a very good reason? Everyone else dropped them like a bad habit. E190s have high variable costs. So when it was a popular plane, it was pushed out of duty as before the airlines were flying high utilization. ...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:29 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

https://news.yahoo.com/amphtml/chilean- ... 39553.html

Oh ... Attenuated virus vaccines seem to need a booster at six months per that study, as I read it.

Lightsaber
-->

Late add: Chile is officially recommended a 3rd jav:
https://news.yahoo.com/amphtml/chilean- ... 39553.html

Oh ... Attenuated virus vaccines seem to need a booster at six months per that study, as I read it.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

This idea of getting people vaccinated 3 times to give better immunity: I hear that the fewer people who catch the virus, the smaller the opportunity for mutation of the virus. I presume that a third jab lowers the chance of contracting the virus, so the chance of mutation is reduced. A mutation ag...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 18, 2021 6:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 435
Views: 35005

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

Hospitalizations are up in some countries, not others. I have a policy, everyone hides bad news. So any country not publishing data doesn't get my benefit of the doubt (I assume they are hiding a starting problem unless evidence to the contrary). I don't mind a little delay in the data as this is a ...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 18, 2021 4:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

CDC has an updated guidance for immunocompromised individuals. IMHO this recommendation is too late. In a country full of people against masks, asking some to go back to wearing masks after boldly disowning, is like putting genie back in the bottle. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jul 18, 2021 4:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOCA134AH0T10C21A7000000/ Nikkei: While many Asian countries still have shortage in vaccines, vaccine producers including mainly European countries and America now have more than 150 Million dose of excess vaccines in stock, as they now considering the third dose ...

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by lightsaber
Sat Jul 17, 2021 2:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 683
Views: 157519

Re: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER

Uhh..... let balance the fanboyism with the fact that DL is still at about 70% of pre pandemic. The narrative that There is bottomless demand to capture out there needs to stop This we can agree with. Hence why I think DL will look for selected used aircraft. Now, new deal might happen, but the ter...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 16, 2021 7:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

UK got Delta first in Europe so these figures might give a guide to how the infection will spread elsewhere in Europe and the world. England rolling 7 day average confirmed infections June 01 - 03,304 08 - 05,429 15 - 07,468 22 - 10,181 29 - 17,616 July 06 - 26,327 13 - 33,227 % population vaccinat...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 16, 2021 6:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Wide spread protests in Cuba
Replies: 77
Views: 3708

Re: Wide spread protests in Cuba

Discuss the topic, not other users.

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 16, 2021 11:32 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1513
Views: 95219

Re: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/110-million-covishield-doses-produced-in-july-says-serum-institute-2485589 Alas, it is pretty obvious there is a EU wide breakout. Netherlands and Spain are bad. Greece and Belgium are starting the curve up that I hope doesn't go exponential. With the warning from Ind...

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by lightsaber
Fri Jul 16, 2021 11:15 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

And then my jaw dropped. It slipped my mind that 2/3rds of the vaccinated are fragile... Except, early includes essential workers. e.g., one of my nephews was front line grocery and that super healthy 18 year old (Captain of the high school football team) was vaccinated early as well as medical, de...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 8:48 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Let's try this again.... The U.S. Surgeon General Is Calling COVID-19 Misinformation An 'Urgent Threat' https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/07/15/1016013826/the-u-s-surgeon-general-is-calling-covid-19-misinformation-an-urgent-threat On Thursday, Dr. Vivek Murthy released the first surgeo...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 7:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021
Replies: 47
Views: 8963

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021

I found a link on A220 and E2 lease pricing that I believe shows a slight deterioration in top lease pricing: A220-100 $32.6 $230k A220-300 $36.8 $256k E2-190 $31.1 $222k E2-195 $33.9 $242k The article notes if Covid19 continues, there will be less demand for these "crossover jets." Light...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The case for more aircraft production cuts/playing chicken
Replies: 655
Views: 80995

Re: The case for more aircraft production cuts/playing chicken

Early in the pandemic it was clear Airbus was taking a hard line. There was a report that Airbus was filing papers in court in cases where customers were not living up to contractual obligations. Such actions seemed to be tone setters to let the market know they weren't going to be lenient with the...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 6:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues
Replies: 271
Views: 54788

Re: AA Facing Summer Cancellations and Crewing Issues

Please post on topic

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 6:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

I wish it is that simple, but CDC's no-mask stupidity putting vaccinated people also at risk. MA is highly vaccinated state. https://boston.cbslocal.com/2021/07/14/covid-breakthrough-cases-deaths-massachusetts-fully-vaccinated-july-10/ I am glad California, LA County in particular doing the right t...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 6:06 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: So much kit left behind by the US at Bagram.
Replies: 26
Views: 2103

Re: So much kit left behind by the US at Bagram.

Every superpower in the last 200 years tried, and failed, to somehow control Afghanistan. Every superpower and Russia. We could go back further to Alexander the Great. Reading a translation of his history had me asking if their could be a winner. Sad But the cost of staying there. The appetite for ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 4:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Baltic A223 - Both engines automatically shutdown on touchdown
Replies: 72
Views: 16199

Re: Air Baltic A223 - Both engines automatically shutdown on touchdown

Prior shutdown due to water in electronics bay: https://simpleflying.com/airbus-a220-rain-causes-engine-shutdown/ I need far more information to make a decision on severity. In particular, so far only on the ground. I do not believe, at this point, this is engine related. Instead, it seems engines ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated ITA/Alitalia News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1699
Views: 405037

Re: Updated ITA/Alitalia News and Discussion Thread

However, ITA will inherit only part of Alitalia's flight slots - one of the main sticking points in the negotiations and a key asset for carriers - thus accepting the Commission's demands. It will get 85% of the old Alitalia slots at Milan's Linate airport and 43% at Rome's Fiumicino hub. https://m...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Baltic A223 - Both engines automatically shutdown on touchdown
Replies: 72
Views: 16199

Re: Air Baltic A223 - Both engines automatically shutdown on touchdown

Prior shutdown due to water in electronics bay: https://simpleflying.com/airbus-a220-rain-causes-engine-shutdown/ I need far more information to make a decision on severity. In particular, so far only on the ground. I do not believe, at this point, this is engine related. Instead, it seems engines a...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 3:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Interesting coverage by CNN of the Right Wing Media and their anti-science anti-vax screeching that is costing the US in a rise in cases and a probably rise in deaths, https://www.cnn.com/videos/media/2021/07/14/fox-news-newsmax-vaccine-misinformation-newday-vpx.cnn/video/playlists/business-media/ ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021
Replies: 47
Views: 8963

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021

I found a link on A220 and E2 lease pricing that I believe shows a slight deterioration in top lease pricing: A220-100 $32.6 $230k A220-300 $36.8 $256k E2-190 $31.1 $222k E2-195 $33.9 $242k The article notes if Covid19 continues, there will be less demand for these "crossover jets." Lights...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indian billionaire mulls investment in new ULCC - report
Replies: 9
Views: 1749

Re: Indian billionaire mulls investment in new ULCC - report

From OP's Forbes link: I serve on the board of directors for Go First, the recent rebranded name of GoAir, one of the airlines catering to the “other 50%” not carried by Indigo. Where are high Indigo fares? https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trends/smaller-airlines-unlikely-to-claw-back-lost-market-s...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 1:59 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Who rates Sinovac as 51% effective: https://news.yahoo.com/covid-know-chinas-coronavirus-vaccines-091301977.html My opinion is use the attenuated virus vaccines to slow hospital loads, but like Indonesia (see link my previous post) vaccinate with mRNA vaccines ASAP. I am of the opinion that a virus ...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 1:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Vietnam Airlines Group approved plan to sell and retire entire fleet of ATR 72
Replies: 12
Views: 2444

Re: Vietnam Airlines Group approved plan to sell and retire entire fleet of ATR 72

Bamboo came and grabbed everything with its fleet of Embraer E1. This sums it up. E1s are cheap enough to displace turboprops now. Going forward, since there won't be a current generation turboprop before 2030, I expect the higher utilization half of the market to go towards E2/A220 in the coming y...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 1:01 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Good news, J&J seems to be working vs. Delta. I'm all for one and done as for some people https://www.ft.com/content/b5366f23-f6fd-4c36-82db-79cef60ab6a0 Sorry but have you look at the data? Weekly cases in Chile fell by 68% in 5 weeks; currently we have 852 weekly cases/1 million hab, compared...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 12:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021
Replies: 345
Views: 48534

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021

There is no direct, with similar weight and efficiency, alternative to the A220 family that has larger than A223 variants. This is the point. If airlines want A223 efficiency, they will do the calculation. AirCanada JetBlue AirFrance Breeze All came to the conclusion a mixed fleet would work. The o...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 1:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021
Replies: 345
Views: 48534

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021

:praise: :praise: Remember that the A220 is still an Canadian aircraft. The primary certification authority is Transport Canada Civil Aviation. As an example, the A320 and A321 is not certified by FAA to have 194 and 244 passenger seats respectively. There probably have not been any reason to submit...

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by lightsaber
Thu Jul 15, 2021 1:17 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 2430
Views: 165571

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Good news, J&J seems to be working vs. Delta. I'm all for one and done as for some people https://www.ft.com/content/b5366f23-f6fd-4c36-82db-79cef60ab6a0 Except, the chance of receiving infection is already chance of being tested positive, and thus you cannot multiple it twice. In case R0=6 with...

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by lightsaber
Wed Jul 14, 2021 12:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021
Replies: 345
Views: 48534

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021

... If an airline is considering the 146 seat E2-195, Airbus will offer the A223 in 160 seats. If Embraer wins a few orders in a row, we will know. 10 seats is enough to pay for the 4th FA. 5 seats is not. ... So you think Airbus Canada would be willing to develop and certify the second overwing em...

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