Search found 23075 matches

by lightsaber
Wed Oct 27, 2021 1:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

FDA approves Pfizer age 5+. For some reason the CDC, who must vote on this, doesn't meet until next week (I suspect to give time to distribute the smaller syringes and protocols). https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/pfizer-biontech-childrens-vaccine-backed-by-fda-advisory-panel/ar-AAQ0Jwk?ocid=...

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by lightsaber
Wed Oct 27, 2021 12:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

Some numbers, and remember hospitalized are 29X more likely to have long haul symptoms. See 10:45 in this video, data from CDC: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_EGtmPUbaDo&list=PLT6yxVwBEbi2dWegLu37V63_tP-nI6em_ Unvaccinated are 5X more likely to test positive 10X more likely to be hospitalized ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 9:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread
Replies: 836
Views: 566348

Re: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread

This thread always is a reference thread; it requires a link and a short comment with each post. Do not reply to posts as this thread is all about the links. A fair use quote is optional.

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 9:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 208
Views: 26473

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Airbus rebuffs concerns: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/airbus-rebuffs-complaints-over-plans-to-lift-jet-output-2021-10-25?amp Airbus has responded by saying it is sticking to its plans, which involve a firm target of 64 A320-family jets a month in the second quarter of 2023, along with studies to ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 9:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

The virus does not know or care who is eligible for vaccination It doesn't know or care who's vaccinated, either! Confirming what we already know: vaccinated transmit: A substantial proportion of asymptomatic, fully vaccinated individuals in our study had low Ct-values, indicative of high viral loa...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman
Replies: 284
Views: 12911

Re: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman

Folks, baiting one side or the other with topics designed to ignite arguments will result in a bad for either side of the isle.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 208
Views: 26473

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Now, lessors have funding participants who realise outcomes will not be as they envisaged, especially on longer leases, on no longer current models. This will result in a funding gap for lessors, as current participants do not roll funding into financing new leases at current production rates, let ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1778
Views: 346899

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

Here she is. The Breeze configuration is 36 biz and 90 economy. I thought they were a point to point airline, serving smaller secondary markets. That seat config doesn't make sense to me. This is our International configuration. The A220 will fly vastly different markets than the Ejets While that m...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 2:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 1778
Views: 346899

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

Breeze N132NK, an E190 is re-registered as N128BZ https://www.planespotters.net/airframe/embraer-erj-190-n128bz-breeze-airways/34j2zx Am I correct that this will be the 14th E-jet in Breeze service? It didn't take long for Breeze to be on the first page of E19x opperators: https://www.airfleets.net...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 26, 2021 12:25 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman
Replies: 284
Views: 12911

Re: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman

It would harm no one to have armorers show actors the status of any firearms, not just affirm it’s safe by saying “cold gun”. Trust and verify. You're right - it wouldn't, but it would be a procedural change a lot of people and the union would have to get used to. As for sarcasm - we all know how p...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 25, 2021 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021
Replies: 52
Views: 13620

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021

Circa 2009 A333 for $15 million: https://www.aircargonews.net/services/freighter-conversions-mro/conversions-in-demand-as-all-cargo-flights-continue-to-soar/ Link had selected values for converted freighters: The typical value and lease rate range for converted Airbus A330-200P2F and Airbus A330-300...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 208
Views: 26473

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Lessors are in the business of curbing risk, especially in times of sudden drops of demands. Airbus is in the business of selling planes. I get it, you have to keep customers happy. However I don't see any reasons whatsoever why Airbus should do so, losing billions just so that lessors can keep the...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 25, 2021 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Analyzing The Airbus A380’s Premature End
Replies: 191
Views: 29819

Re: Analyzing The Airbus A380’s Premature End

Many issues: 1. "Cruise ship" stairways that took up too much space. That could have added "free seats" 2. Prior weight discussion 3. Prior generation engines 4. Weight added by Catia error I believe there was a market for the A380. It just wasn't optimized. It became a horse by...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 25, 2021 4:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 208
Views: 26473

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

I dont see why Airbus should tread carefully here. Airbus is not an airline and isnt as affected by Covid as airlines or lessors, simply because they can smooth out production. Should they adjust according to short term demand as much as lessors would do? Sucks to be in the wrong business at this t...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 25, 2021 12:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

The virus does not know or care who is eligible for vaccination This is true. Schools in particular spread the virus: To others: https://gazette.com/news/us-world/children-fuel-english-covid-case-rise-after-slow-vaccine-start/article_34a701de-c0e1-5c6c-9f40-fc9461ea456c.amp.html The UK tends to hav...

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by lightsaber
Sun Oct 24, 2021 4:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ex-Alitalia flight attendants strip off uniforms in protest
Replies: 51
Views: 14243

Re: Ex-Alitalia flight attendants strip off uniforms in protest

Italians are great at drama. They should have created an opera! Low labor productivity (total wage bill per million Euros of revenue, total wages per million ASKs...) isn't compatible long-term with high wage rates . Investors will put up with losses for just so long. The State isn't willing (or ab...

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by lightsaber
Sun Oct 24, 2021 2:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Analyzing The Airbus A380’s Premature End
Replies: 191
Views: 29819

Re: Analyzing The Airbus A380’s Premature End

Many issues: 1. "Cruise ship" stairways that took up too much space. That could have added "free seats" 2. Prior weight discussion 3. Prior generation engines 4. Weight added by Catia error I believe there was a market for the A380. It just wasn't optimized. It became a horse by ...

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by lightsaber
Sun Oct 24, 2021 3:41 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman
Replies: 284
Views: 12911

Re: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman

You do NOT point any firearm at a person and pull the trigger unless you intend to kill them. Literally no one has said otherwise. The issue is obviously a a failure upstream, so what is with the imaginary gatekeeping? Standard training on firearms is every person handling the firearm checks the st...

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by lightsaber
Sat Oct 23, 2021 9:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman
Replies: 284
Views: 12911

Re: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman

You're in the military. He's an actor. An actor that has handled firearms, prop or not, in the past. I have to agree with Galaxy here…hand me a firearm, and I’m going to check it to determine its condition. Anyone who handles a firearm, prop or not, should have at least a passing familiarity with r...

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by lightsaber
Sat Oct 23, 2021 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 208
Views: 26473

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Aircraft values have dropped brutality, about 25% for A320CEO 2021 $33.5 https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1460947 2019 $44.8 million https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1422705 If aircraft will have shorter lives, lease companies will price accordingly. In 2018, 40...

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by lightsaber
Sat Oct 23, 2021 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Purchase A359/737-900ER
Replies: 903
Views: 249904

Re: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Purchase A359/737-900ER

DL's approach to enlarging their fleet seems to be to buy as many used aircraft as possible, fix them up and then buy only what they have to buy from the manufacturers. The fraction of the fleet that was acquired used is still pretty small - under ~100 of the active fleet of 797 frames mainline as ...

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by lightsaber
Sat Oct 23, 2021 3:29 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman
Replies: 284
Views: 12911

Re: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman

https://www.upi.com/amp/Top_News/US/202 ... 634993645/

This merits further investigation.
Somewhere the safety custody broke down.

Lightsaber
-->

The assistant director yelled out "cold gun" (unloaded) before hand gun to Alac Baldwin:
https://www.upi.com/amp/Top_News/US/202 ... 634993645/

This merits further investigation.
Somewhere the safety custody broke down.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Sat Oct 23, 2021 2:00 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

My math says 80% to 92% must be fully vaccinated before we have the what strategy will work. Not 80%+ of adults, but 80%+ of the total population. 80% is not enough. I live in a region with 80% of the population vaccinated. Almost all restrictions are gone, no more Swiss cheese currently. Cases hav...

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by lightsaber
Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US Energy Supply and Costs - 2022
Replies: 126
Views: 5850

Re: US Energy Supply and Costs - 2022

I posted this a week ago, today's price in right column All Prices WTI CRUDE • 75.45 78.89 BRENT CRUDE 79.56 82.74 NATURAL GAS 5.427 6.17 HEATING OIL 2.306 2.49 China is buying cargoes left and right and OPEC isn't increasing production. Expect the airlines to address this when they release their 3...

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by lightsaber
Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:08 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

What strategy is required to suppress COVID-19 in a country with a reasonably high rate of full vaccination? Here in the UK 68% of the population has been fully vaccinated yet the infection rate has increased considerably from Aug 21 when 62% were fully vaccinated (infection 7 day average Aug 21 be...

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by lightsaber
Fri Oct 22, 2021 4:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet Discussion - 2021
Replies: 791
Views: 93255

Re: Emirates Network & Fleet Discussion - 2021

The world is returning to normalcy, and the whales are taking to the skies once again. Careful about saying that in front of non-aviation people. You might be fitted for an extra long sleeve jacket and get to stay in the padded room. :duck: The reality is some travel is returning. We are getting pa...

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by lightsaber
Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ex-Alitalia flight attendants strip off uniforms in protest
Replies: 51
Views: 14243

Re: Ex-Alitalia flight attendants strip off uniforms in protest

Italians are great at drama. They should have created an opera! Low labor productivity (total wage bill per million Euros of revenue, total wages per million ASKs...) isn't compatible long-term with high wage rates . Investors will put up with losses for just so long. The State isn't willing (or ab...

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by lightsaber
Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman
Replies: 284
Views: 12911

Re: Sheriff: Alec Baldwin fired shot on movie set that killed woman

I agree with johns624, the gun rules were not followed. I like to phrase: 1. Treat every gun as if it is loaded, until you verify yourself, because they are. 2. Only point a gun at a target you intend to destroy. 3. Keep your finger off the trigger until you intend to fire. 4. Be certain of your bac...

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by lightsaber
Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

I found a link for a small (I must emphasize small) study on Pfizer booster effectiveness. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2113468 If you look at Beta, 18-55 year olds were dropping below their minimum line. Age 65+ had half below the line for enough immunity. The boosters tremendously in...

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by lightsaber
Thu Oct 21, 2021 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021
Replies: 52
Views: 13620

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Spring 2021

Breeze claims there capital cost of a 10 year old E190 is $5 million. New A223 $37 million. Why the fly one four short segments four days per week and discussing flying the other for 12 hours per day. Note, they brag on the power by the hour leases: https://centreforaviation.com/news/panel-featuring...

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by lightsaber
Thu Oct 21, 2021 11:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Plane Dumps Human Waste On Man and His Yard
Replies: 28
Views: 5604

Re: Plane Dumps Human Waste On Man and His Yard

WidebodyPTV wrote:
What a crappy thing to experience.

I officially did not have a bad day yesterday after reading this.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Thu Oct 21, 2021 11:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ex-Alitalia flight attendants strip off uniforms in protest
Replies: 51
Views: 14243

Re: Ex-Alitalia flight attendants strip off uniforms in protest

Folks, for fact based discussion, post a source. Post respectfully, comments that are just diatribes will be deleted as flamebait. If your opinion, make it clear you are posting an opinion.

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by lightsaber
Thu Oct 21, 2021 1:39 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

Boosters now approved in the United States for J&J and Moderna, also mixed boosters, for certain eligible groups (65+, special health conditions if younger, high public contact professions). I'm eligible and although my first doses were Pfizer, I think I'll try for Moderna boost over the next w...

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by lightsaber
Wed Oct 20, 2021 9:14 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

Here in the UK cases are rising again as we move towards winter and the Flu season. https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/20/uk/uk-europe-covid-infections-cmd-gbr-intl/index.html "The UK has more new Covid-19 cases than France, Germany, Italy and Spain combined ." I feel that we need to go back...

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by lightsaber
Wed Oct 20, 2021 5:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

The deadline for 1st Moderna, per my interpretation of the contractor guidelines, is October 27th. My employer is setting up a *huge* vaccine clinic before then (mandatory, per the company, to have 1st jab by October 29th). By huge, they are clearing out the largest parking lot and shutting down a r...

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by lightsaber
Wed Oct 20, 2021 4:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

They can get vaccinated on their own schedule. Forcing non-employees who come on site to be vaccinated, in this market, is a very myopic policy considering the risk we've mitigated effectively for closing in, unfortunately, on 2 years. As far as transport goes, a lot of companies over here just phy...

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by lightsaber
Wed Oct 20, 2021 2:12 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Colin Powell dead at 84
Replies: 50
Views: 2551

Re: Colin Powell dead at 84

Former Secretary of State, former Republican, and all around smart guy died of Covid 19 complications. https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/18/politics/colin-powell-dies/index.html Was fully vaccinated too. He was very immunocompromised tho. This has been my fear all along is that these vaccines lose their ...

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by lightsaber
Wed Oct 20, 2021 1:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive
Replies: 450
Views: 81849

Re: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive

The over production of wide-bodies started the A339 vs. 787 rebid that Airbus "won." It was a must win to save the A330NEO. It worked, even if AAX ends up walking away. Lightsaber With the situation unfolding now, Airbus may regret this 'must win'. They probably have a lot of parts alread...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 10:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

To my surprise, the supreme court refused to hear about Maine's vaccine mandate that has no religious exemptions. https://www.msn.com/en-US/news/us/us-supreme-court-justice-rejects-challenge-to-maine-covid-vaccine-mandate/ar-AAPIGRC?ocid=sapphireappshare As noted before by JJJ, this is probably goin...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 5:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees
Replies: 97
Views: 9211

Re: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees

Portugal shows a higher rate is needed than 80% in a tourist economy. If 80% isn't good enough, go for 92%. Since they reduction in transmission is quite obvious to me from the data, I'm quite willing to answer legitimate questions, but we've beat this horse to death. Lightsaber I think we should b...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 4:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread
Replies: 349
Views: 23111

Re: Covid19 - Vaccine News and discussion thread

FWIW, according to this source, we should expect the all US businesses over 100 employees mandate in a week. https://news.yahoo.com/ups-disney-meet-white-house-152711267.html I personally think it will take longer, but only a few more weeks. What scares me is the truckers. I personally expect them t...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 3:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees
Replies: 97
Views: 9211

Re: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees

Why not offer a test every morning (employee paid) as an alternative? If negative, very close to 100% that the person can not transmit COVID to anybody else that day. There will be rare cases where infection develops between the test and the end of the day but will still be "safer" than t...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 2:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees
Replies: 97
Views: 9211

Re: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees

In addition, I've found employees from companies with vaccine mandates unwilling to travel to our site as we do not yet have in effect a mandate. Apparently 51% of people feel that way: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/divisions-grow-between-vaccinated-and-unvaccinated-americans-10308...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 1:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees
Replies: 97
Views: 9211

Re: Boeing to require COVID vaccine for all employees

I posted upthread how vaccines reduce transmission 71%. Not perfect, but not zero. The same link noted Pfizer is 70% effective. This isn't about any one individual. It is to safely keep a factory up and running. When a high fraction of vaccinated, you don't have to react to a single case. That remo...

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 1:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread
Replies: 836
Views: 566348

Re: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread

Please post a link, brief comment, and a quote is optional. This is a reference thread, links are required.

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by lightsaber
Tue Oct 19, 2021 11:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive
Replies: 450
Views: 81849

Re: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive

So AAX leased at the 2016-2019 prices, then only a few years later stiffed the lender for over 1.5 years of payments. Repossession time with the hope of getting the 2021 rates after spending a big chunk updating the maintenance, and making the changes for the new customer. It's a huge drop in value...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 18, 2021 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive
Replies: 450
Views: 81849

Re: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive

The rest of the creditors really ought to tell AAX to go pound sand -- not out of spite, but because the precedent is horrible if they don't. The shareholders aren't completely wiped out, which they ought to be in any restructuring which expects the creditors to take the most pain. The restructured...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 18, 2021 10:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MC-21 Development and Testing Thread
Replies: 601
Views: 165992

Re: MC-21 Development and Testing Thread

https://leehamnews.com/2016/02/08/irkut ... -analysis/

A CFRP wing should save more weight. We will have to see.

Lightsaber
-->

The only empty weight I could find is the MC-21-200 where Lehman estimated 2 tons lighter than the A320NEO, way back in 2016:

https://leehamnews.com/2016/02/08/irkut ... -analysis/

A CFRP wing should save more weight. We will have to see.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 18, 2021 8:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IATA Takes Legal Action to End Dutch Slot Rule
Replies: 43
Views: 8464

Re: IATA Takes Legal Action to End Dutch Slot Rule

The last I heard anything about slots at Schipol was that new destinations couldn't be added until another destination was dropped, but that was pre-quarantine. Is that true? Is there a link? I can understand a flight for flight, but as new regions reach economic ties to Europe or the Netherlands, ...

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by lightsaber
Mon Oct 18, 2021 4:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive
Replies: 450
Views: 81849

Re: AirAsia X plans overhaul to survive

https://www.reuters.com/article/airasia-x-restructuring/malaysias-airasia-x-proposes-paying-0-5-of-8-1-bln-debt-owed-to-creditors-document-idUSL4N2RD04Q "Half of the total liability is the cost of terminating airplane orders from its largest creditor Airbus SE for 78 A330neo widebodies and 30 ...

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