Search found 14187 matches

by keesje
Thu Nov 05, 2020 10:33 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Why US Presidential Election Results Are Determined By Electoral College And Not Popular Votes?
Replies: 133
Views: 7150

Re: Why US Presidential Election Results Are Determined By Electoral College And Not Popular Votes?

Popular vote for the presidential election, sounds like a transparent, fair, smart system really.

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by keesje
Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:34 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Updated: Biden officially secures enough electors to become president
Replies: 2420
Views: 102004

Re: Official Election thread

I think the US needs a very dull, correct, non vocal president for the next 4 years, to enable the layers below him to get to their senses, make deals, de-escalade, unite, recover.

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by keesje
Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:49 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

The photo seems to shot from another ship, the warning shots preventing ut from fleeing. If pirats know a navy shop is vlose they'll behave. If not there a risk they might have a rusty 14.5mm. Helicopter are favourite targets. Slow, big, low. I think the popularity of the Mausers is the range (4000m...

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by keesje
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:19 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

The MPA would circle the area at say 5000ft, try to establish contact with suspect ship, monitor, access the situation, zoom in, share info with ships in the area, discuss with operation command and fire warning shots or worse if required. For hours if needed. Helicopters have that role now, but hav...

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by keesje
Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:26 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

The environment is changing, so are requirements. Russian subs have been replaced by smugglers, terrorists, rebels, pirates. MPA's have been used for a broadening amount of roles, but are still equipped based on cold war requirements. Many project moving ahead as a result: - https://www.eme-es.com/d...

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by keesje
Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:18 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

Zodiacs, speedboats, small aircraft, trucks, hide outs, warning shots. The large diameter guns 27mm, 30mm have better range and accuracy. You can take out a Cesna with a Sidewinder, cars with Hellfires. These days such firepower makes you look like "trigger happy", inhuman, unlawfull. Inno...

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by keesje
Tue Nov 03, 2020 11:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 384
Views: 44269

Re: Embraer releases first rendering of its new turboprop

Imagining Embraer signing some kind of agreement with Airbus-Leonardo goes far beyond any crazy fantasy. Not so crazy as you may believe. Relations have always been good, even after EADS / Airbus sold it's last Embraer stake in 2007. Probably because there is not so much portfolio overlap in traine...

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by keesje
Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order
Replies: 637
Views: 106322

Re: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order

Would the option of keeping the 737-700 for the next 10-15 years be possible? Would that save them money? Probably is will take a long time to replace the 500 737-700. Some aren't that old, but many are getting real old that's why SW has to take a decision. Deliveries of 737-700 started in 1997 but...

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by keesje
Tue Nov 03, 2020 9:03 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

As part of the Beagle being multifunctional design, it was planned to be able to carry 4 patients flat on typical air ambulance type brancards. Trying to fit them in it became clear this was over ambitious. This cabin is not as wide as a NB, more like A220. You can't use the space next to the cargo ...

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by keesje
Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 384
Views: 44269

Re: Embraer releases first rendering of its new turboprop

I guess the ATR72-600 or a beefed up variant (e.g. ATR92) is the real benchmark. Embraer knows ATR won't sit on its hands if their market dominance is threatened. Leonardo has been pushing for a new bigger turbo prop for over a decade. Plus they have become the undisputed market leaders at this mome...

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 11:12 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Netherlands C-130H replacement
Replies: 20
Views: 3252

Re: Netherlands C-130H replacement

The dutch A400m could be based Melsbroek. Crews would go there, operrations would take them to the airbases as required. Just like MRTT's are based at Eindhoven.

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 10:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order
Replies: 637
Views: 106322

Re: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order

An commitment for 200-250 A220-500 would secure early slots and create evonomies of scale, enabling price reductions, quicker ramp up. I think the 737-7 backlog is empty now & SouthWest pushed them aside already before the MAX crashes. Southwest pushed the MAX7 order aside because it already ha...

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order
Replies: 637
Views: 106322

Re: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order

An commitment for 200-250 A220-500 would secure early slots and create evonomies of scale, enabling price reductions, quicker ramp up.

I think the 737-7 backlog is empty now & SouthWest pushed them aside already before the MAX crashes.

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 6:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mitsubishi SpaceJet — Development & Production Thread
Replies: 720
Views: 144768

Re: Mitsubishi SpaceJet — Development & Production Thread

If the improvement program of 2016-2019 was successfully implemented MHI is now probably looking for a aerospace conglomerate to take a share, restore market confidence, rationalize the aircraft specification and move on. MHI accepting write-offs would have to be part of the deal. The amount of pot...

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 4:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mitsubishi SpaceJet — Development & Production Thread
Replies: 720
Views: 144768

Re: Mitsubishi SpaceJet — Development & Production Thread

If the improvement program of 2016-2019 was successfully implemented MHI is now probably looking for a aerospace conglomerate to take a share, restore market confidence, rationalize the aircraft specification and move on. MHI accepting write-offs would have to be part of the deal. The amount of pote...

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding News and Reference Thread [Ungrounded by FAA 18NOV2020]
Replies: 373
Views: 524374

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding News and Reference Thread 2020

O'Leary told today Boeing have pushed back production of the MAX 10 by anything up to two years. Roll-out of the Boeing 737-10 was 23 Nov 2019. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ryanair-says-too-soon-talk-093108656.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_si...

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 384
Views: 44269

Re: Embraer releases first rendering of its new turboprop

Remember 564 Embraer 190 aircraft have been delivered. I can see demand restoring when those start aging. The E195-E2 is significantly larger (25-30 seats), heavier and has significantly less range (-800NM) so is probably not an ideal replacement for every E190 operator. This Embraer new turboprop h...

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by keesje
Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2020
Replies: 1835
Views: 367900

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2020

It seems the full impact of the 777x certification choices made and approved by FAA in the past, are becoming visible. Apart from Covid-19 and delayed engines, it may be behind most of the delay. Specially because it all started way before Covid-19 came into play. Now it is 2022, but most these outl...

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by keesje
Sun Nov 01, 2020 2:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321 P2F News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 255
Views: 60261

Re: First A321P2F enters into service with Qantas for Australia Post

It’s been common practice for years to either use nose gear straps or tail stands when loading freighters. The idea of installing a tail wheel that Ilyishin designed is ridiculous in my opinion. You can see the yellow nose gear strap in this photo https://static.seattletimes.com/wp-content/uploads/...

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by keesje
Sat Oct 31, 2020 12:10 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Worst military procurement post 1950
Replies: 103
Views: 9994

Re: Worst military procurement post 1950

There was never was a problem with the MIG's and it was solved later on. Got to love these cold war correct communiccations :D

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by keesje
Sat Oct 31, 2020 11:48 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Netherlands C-130H replacement
Replies: 20
Views: 3252

Re: Netherlands C-130H replacement

I guess the Dutch won't set up their own infrastructure for A400M's, at least not for a few. So they might operate in Melsbroek under EATC. Melsbroek which is not so far from Eindhoven (125km).

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by keesje
Fri Oct 30, 2020 6:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order
Replies: 637
Views: 106322

Re: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order

https://www.flightglobal.com/flight-int ... 01.article
-->

I think Boeing should be cautious what happens if Airbus launches a stretched A220-500 with 20-25 seats extra. SW might get strange ideas.

https://www.flightglobal.com/flight-int ... 01.article

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by keesje
Fri Oct 30, 2020 11:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing studied revamp of 737-10 prior to pandemic
Replies: 146
Views: 29956

Re: Boeing turning attention to 737-10

https://theaircurrent.com/aircraft-development/all-new-boeing-jet-is-vaporware-but-5g-max-revamp-comes-to-light/ Clean sheet off the table but nip and tuck to the 737-10 to make it at least viable against the A321. A plane customers actually want instead of a laughable bargaining chip in A321 negot...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 11:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 384
Views: 44269

Re: Embraer releases first pictures of its new turboprop

The problem with a lower deck is you can't make it too low because of bulk loading & people.. Maybe they'll make the cabin high for real big bins and a wide aisle so most luggage can be cabin. Looking at e.g. the engine its a real preliminary artist impression. For 2027 EIS they must launch real...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing studied revamp of 737-10 prior to pandemic
Replies: 146
Views: 29956

Re: Boeing turning attention to 737-10

Keesje is right - it needs to be able to take containers - they won't reuse the 737 Fuselage. What are the ten largest operators of the A320 family and which of them use containers exclusively? Network carriers, legacy carriers mostly use them. In the US mixed NB fleets (MD80/737, 757) didn't intro...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread
Replies: 726
Views: 459909

Re: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread

Apparently, a large national outbreak of COVID-19 linked to air travel, Ireland, this summer. The plane was only slightly filled, had Hepa filters and the passengers wore mask. This study seems to contradict studies published by OEM, IATA, DoD or sponsored by those parties. https://www.eurosurveilla...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 10:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing studied revamp of 737-10 prior to pandemic
Replies: 146
Views: 29956

Re: Boeing turning attention to 737-10

I think Boeing would have loved to add the new available 78-80 inch fans on the MAX, same as offering AKH options. But they had to deal with the 737 configuration. CFM is keeping LEAP-A and -B figures close to itself to avoid discussion with a strategic key customer. I find the smoke screens and div...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing studied revamp of 737-10 prior to pandemic
Replies: 146
Views: 29956

Re: Boeing turning attention to 737-10

Other than putting the already lighter than A321, 737-10 on a diet, do not see what room for improvement Boeing can make. But the big point of all of this if you ask me, is to enable Boeing to add the A320neo's full size, more powerful and more efficient PW1100G and CFM LEAP-1A engines to the 737. ...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:00 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Netherlands C-130H replacement
Replies: 20
Views: 3252

Re: Netherlands C-130H replacement

I think the cooperation with specially the Belgium is already close. The A400M, KDC10s, MRTT, Herc's are used multi national. I think new buys would be weighed in that perspective. Maybe a few A400M or a few CN295s to prevent A400M's flying around 2 pallets, 6 people on a 1 hour flight. Again in dis...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 1:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321 P2F News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 255
Views: 60261

Re: First A321P2F enters into service with Qantas for Australia Post

At some point, when there's lots around, someone will forget the procedures and not unload the containers just behind the cockpit last & w'll enjoy the first A321 horse standing photo's. I wonder if it would make sense to get some IP from Ilyushin and offer the tail wheel as modification for ca...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

https://theaircurrent.com/aircraft-development/all-new-boeing-jet-is-vaporware-but-5g-max-revamp-comes-to-light/ Boeing concept that was really being focused on was called 5G. Stopgap between MAX and some kind of NMA. “The 5G would’ve added a new wing on the aircraft, a fly-by-wire flight control s...

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by keesje
Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321 P2F News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 255
Views: 60261

Re: First A321P2F enters into service with Qantas for Australia Post

At some point, when there's lots around, someone will forget the procedures and not unload the containers just behind the cockpit last & w'll enjoy the first A321 horse standing photo's. I wonder if it would make sense to get some IP from Ilyushin and offer the tail wheel as modification for car...

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by keesje
Wed Oct 28, 2020 11:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

Who could be asking for A322 to have >7 hr range? without serious cargo ? Very few customers at this stage. Not justifying a risky $7B, 7 years development, supply & certification circus. LAX-JFK is a 5-6 hour flight, with a 2-3 class ~200 seat cabin no issue. CAN-PEK is 3.5 hrs flight, with a 2...

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by keesje
Wed Oct 28, 2020 8:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321 P2F News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 255
Views: 60261

First A321P2F enters into service with Qantas for Australia Post

Seems the First P2F A321 entered service in Australia. It's a 27t freighter for over 4000km https://imgproc.airliners.net/photos/airliners/7/1/7/6197717.jpg?v=v4e692c8ab1d Photo: Nicholas Kimura I guess availability of A321airframes for conversion is growing, driven by the Covid-19 slump and CEO rep...

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by keesje
Tue Oct 27, 2020 5:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

A new wing would make it more heavy, risky, expensive, take years extra and make it less compatible with the NEO and XLR. A new wing factory, full recertification.. e6 Billion, 7 yrs? Boeing would love Airbus to go that road!

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by keesje
Tue Oct 27, 2020 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will

I think the whole MOM concept has to be abandoned. Right now it is time to perfect the products at hand, make a 787-8F, upgrade the 737-9, finish the 777X (even tho I can not see how this program will make money, but having it to keep Airbus in check similar to the 747-8 will be fine) and slowly wo...

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by keesje
Tue Oct 27, 2020 12:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

I think the A321XLR, with it's bumped 101t MTOW and 4700NM range is the basis for a A322NEO, adding 4-5 rows. No new wings, landing gears required. The A321XLR modified wing, gears already provide what is needed, trading range for capacity. With all due respect, I do not agree with you (something t...

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by keesje
Mon Oct 26, 2020 11:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order
Replies: 637
Views: 106322

Re: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order

It feels like I have been assured here at least a dozen times SW will order 737 MAX only and nothing else over the last 7-8 years. Quotes of Kelly and others confirming this, the CSeries / A220 was simply not an option. Full stop. https://leehamnews.com/2018/03/01/southwest-ceo-sees-60-fleet-becomin...

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by keesje
Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order
Replies: 637
Views: 106322

Re: Southwest maybe considering an Airbus order

What if the US build A223 has 15% lower operating costs, is quieter and no other airline in the world wants the 737-7? Southwest has 500 737-700s but pushed their small 737-7 order out, even before the MAX crashes. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-02/southwest-moves-up-40-max-737-8-or...

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by keesje
Mon Oct 26, 2020 9:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

It is likely we will see a A321XLR simple stretch, into a super efficient 250 seat people mover, regardless of what Boeing does. To serve the markets & make money. Investment is low, the supply chain is in place and the markets are asking for it. Without a competitor, a premium could be asked fo...

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by keesje
Fri Oct 23, 2020 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

I think a slightly wider NB could have advances. Specially it possibly being used for shorthaul optimized 737 replacement, as well as suiting a larger NMA kind of cabin specification. While it would still tapping into the standard AKH container infrastructure (Europe, Asia), NB efficiencies and offe...

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by keesje
Fri Oct 23, 2020 7:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1890
Views: 191774

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

Cost of production, yes, of course. But the cost to develop the A322 (once again, if done properly) will be hardly less than for a new airplane. To be succesful the A322 will REALLY need taller landing gear to enable a good rotation angle and to fit future generations of engines, it will REALLY nee...

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by keesje
Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q4 2020
Replies: 587
Views: 93252

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q4 2020

I trust the legal system that have looked into this and could not find any criminal activities so far. Building airplanes is a complex process and while this was far from a perfect implementation I still believe it will be a safe plane to fly once it’s allowed back in. What the world knows what Boe...

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by keesje
Sun Oct 11, 2020 12:23 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

The Orion 21 might have had good specs, but production closed 15 years before the selection came, making it high risk. Most likely the aircraft supply chain would have to be recreated from the ground, Electra production technology was 2 generations / 45 yrs before. And DoD was smart enough to see th...

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by keesje
Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:12 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

Not much of a choice as when they started the P-1, the P-8A was not an option. Of course there was pressure to chose the P-8A. It came from the pocket book. The ability to use existing 737 production line contribute to efficiencies that allow Boeing to deliver these planes at one every three weeks ...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 08, 2020 8:00 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

But had the choice to go tailored blank sheet, instead of being pressured into either a reworked passenger 737 or making the Electra a centennial aircraft. Not much of a choice as when they started the P-1, the P-8A was not an option. Of course there was pressure to chose the P-8A. It came from the...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 08, 2020 12:40 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030
Replies: 156
Views: 17987

Re: European Multirole MPA Replacement, C-500 Beagle Concept >2030

being basically unsuitable for low & slow, having limited endurance / airtime, war loads, field performance and being inflexiible (air fields, multi role). All of the above have been disproved by the P-8A. Why the hard-on for low and slow? If the same mission can be accomplished high and fast (...

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by keesje
Thu Oct 08, 2020 11:46 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: German Heavy Lift Helicopter Replacement Program News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 263
Views: 81544

Re: German Heavy Lift Helicopter Replacement Program News and Discussion Thread

The approach of having counterrotating main hubs and pusher prop in the tail, like Boeing Sikorsky have, has great access through the side doors. I can imagine though that the main rotor system and long tail drive train boost empty weight. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4a/Sikorsky...

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by keesje
Wed Oct 07, 2020 4:55 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: MAX Relaunch Orders
Replies: 47
Views: 5985

Re: MAX Relaunch Orders

Why would Boeing and airlines even rebrand the 737 MAX if nobody really cares and no less tickets will be sold? Amazing stuff..

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by keesje
Wed Oct 07, 2020 3:00 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: MAX Relaunch Orders
Replies: 47
Views: 5985

Re: MAX Relaunch Orders

You keep pushing the narrative that passengers aren’t eager but it’s been proven over and over again that the vast majority of passengers aren’t aware of the aircraft that they are on and those that are actually feel safer due to the rigourous recertification. . That might be truth, everybody forge...

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