Search found 5467 matches

by LJ
Sat Jul 18, 2020 8:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

Ah yes, those damn Remainers! It's all their fault. It's always their fault. You know what? You can always unilaterally ditch the WA. Who's stopping you? Just do it. See what happens. And don't forget to blame the Remainers! Well they certainly didn’t make it easy they certainly put more pressure o...

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by LJ
Thu Jul 16, 2020 5:06 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

A very inter sting article: https://tamebay.com/2020/07/amazon-fba-brexit-bombshell-efn-and-pan-european-fba-ends-for-uk.html I guess in January I will get way less advertising from amazon.co.uk :) To be honest, this is one of the reasons why I'm against Brexit (and contrary to some Brits, Brexit d...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion - 2020
Replies: 1064
Views: 178656

Re: Norwegian Files Lawsuit Against Boeing

Hmm - If Norwegian do survive do you think that relations with Boeing are going to be tainted for a long time? It's difficult to say, I think this was expected by many in the business. I don't think Boeing is in the position to pick and choose at this point. Clearly Boeing needs to sell airplanes m...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 9:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 359
Views: 88616

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

To be fair to Boeing, the cancellations for the MAX are still not any great drama as % of the total order book. Let us calculate a little bit.... 31-May-2020: Total number of orders: 4232 MAX . Since end of 2018, in the last year 2019 and this year 2020, they have already had losses. So end of 2018...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 5:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 359
Views: 88616

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

The full MAX cancellations for June Mainly leasing companies. Romania's Blue Air was the only identified airline that cancelled it's full order. Aviation Capital Group: -5 Avolon: -3 Blue Air: -6 BOC Aviation Limited: -22 CIT Aerospace LLC: -14 Unidentified: -10 Thus 3 of the 27 are listed as cance...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 12:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

bennett123 wrote:
I wonder what this will do for trade talks with China?


Probably not that much anymore as the UK already made that worse when it announced it may be handiing out passports to 3mn citizens of Hong Kong.

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 12:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

I very much doubt that the lorry parks will be ready for 01/01/21, when you factor all that needs to be built. The Chineses working 24/24 7d/7 might be able to do so but it is the only country that could. AFAIK only Kent needs to be open and the remainder between 01-01-2021 and 31-07-2021 as they'r...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 10:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

Seems that "Project Fear" wasn't far of the truth regarding cost of Brexit for UK firms. https://www.politico.eu/article/brexit-britain-takes-shape-paperwork-red-tape-bureaucracy/ https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-customs-centres-kent-lorry-park-eu-exit-ashford-a9616486...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 8:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France KLM News and Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 618
Views: 102626

Re: Air France KLM - Master Thread

I am certain the unions will cooperate with reducing costs, as they have done before. But they want the normal way of negotiations between company and employees, not a set reduction in pay because a politician thinks it helps him get votes next elections. The big mistake the unions make is that the...

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by LJ
Tue Jul 14, 2020 6:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets
Replies: 109
Views: 14329

Re: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets

This thread has nothing to do with retail sale of tickets. It’s about corporate supply contracts. Airlines that have supply contracts for fuel are still paying for that fuel if they use it or not. Yet corporate supply contracts may be different than fuel supply contracts. Our company (large financi...

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by LJ
Mon Jul 13, 2020 8:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

The problem with your numbers 90% is theoretical it is assuming the economy would have moved in a certain way you can’t miss what you never had. But one estimate that the government has actully spent on Brexit is 4.4 billion pounds by Andrew MacAskill from Reuters March 5th via the NAO so you can c...

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by LJ
Sun Jul 12, 2020 7:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

The UK will spend GBP 705mn to boost its borders. One can argue that it's a little bit late (IT projects usually take a few years to deliver and infrastructure isn't built overnight) https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-53375713 Meanwhile the UK seems to revert on decreasing the number of immigrants...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Manston Airport to re-open
Replies: 33
Views: 5172

Re: Manston Airport to re-open

With the right marketing and a little blue sky thinking Manston could Be a nice little Freeport right on the doorstep of EU;imho it’s immediate competition is really Ostend . Please explain why Ostend is a competitor. As a Freeport site build onsite clearance facilities to both the EU and UK market...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 2:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

Gotta love the "Get ready for Brexit" campaign. Wasn't Brexit done months ago and even the word "Brexit" supposedly banned to be used in Downing Street ?? :mischievous: You've to agree that it will save a lot of money as they don't have to rewrite every leaflet, internet page, p...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 11:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

And the cost of Brexit keeps rising........ One begins to wonder when it will hit the GBP350mn mark (I cannot imagine that an emergency purchase is cheap, neither is hiring contractors who have to start ASAP). Anyway, the owner of the land must be very pleased to have such a customer. https://www.th...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 8:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets
Replies: 109
Views: 14329

Re: Large German Corporations Lobbying Against Advance Payments for Airline Tickets

I think those of you in support of this are thinking like angry consumers and not informed airline enthusiasts. You guys do understand that this model would not allow for the very cheap ULCC flights to work, right? If a flight sells out 2 months out, but day of, 40 people decide not to go and pay n...

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by LJ
Sat Jul 11, 2020 7:52 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal
Replies: 2560
Views: 180887

Re: Brexit Part IX: Final rush to No Deal

An interesting document emerged from the EU, it is only 34 pages, but it is a very interesting read and puts it in black and white yet again what actually will happen en the consequences of choices made by the UK and how the EU is planning to contain the worst of the consequences. ] Didn't you link...

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by LJ
Fri Jul 10, 2020 10:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 359
Views: 88616

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

Canceling MAX orders will become more difficult once the aircraft is re-certified and Boeing can restart deliveries. That means we might see many more cancellations between now and mid-September, unless customers opt for deferral. More difficult, yes. But it will be far from over. They cannot deliv...

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by LJ
Fri Jul 10, 2020 7:48 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

This will probably dismissed as "Project Fear", but the British Retail Consortium has calculated that a no-deal Brexit will increase prices of ordinary items like school uniforms, beef, staplers and drinking glasses substantially. Then again, it seems that the UK government cares, thus why...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 08, 2020 2:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

It seems that the UK is learning from the EU in how to deal with small trading partners in fish. UK's distant waters fishing fleet wants to leverage UKs position as net importer of fish from Norway, Iceland, Greenland and the Faroes in order to gain access to their fishing grounds....As such they se...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 08, 2020 8:04 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Seems that the EU is willing to compromise regarding fisheries. However, it will be interesting to see if the UK will accept the offer as this is not entirely what the UK wants. Judging by the replies by Brexiteers under the article, probably not. https://www.yahoo.com/news/eu-willing-allow-uk-break...

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by LJ
Mon Jul 06, 2020 11:08 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

The EU has been warning banks and investment firms for four years now. Banks etc. have been making plans. It is still legal for individuals and companies to use London. I suspect even last minute plans will allow time for those services which need to be moved to do so and give them a few more month...

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by LJ
Mon Jul 06, 2020 6:00 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

The EU has been warning banks and investment firms for four years now. Banks etc. have been making plans. It is still legal for individuals and companies to use London. I suspect even last minute plans will allow time for those services which need to be moved to do so and give them a few more month...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 5:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Olddog wrote:
And if the visa costs could stop boozed brits flocking with ryanair, it could be a bonus....


Indeed, COVID-19 was a blessing for some living in the city centre of Amsterdam, but no UK bachelor parties in Amsterdam will also be a positive side effect of Brexit.

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 4:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Exactly. While individual countries (Spain, Greece, etc.) might be more reliant on UK tourism, for the EU as a whole it's the other way around. Not really, UK outbound tourism to the EU was 72.4mn whereas it received from the EU 24.8mn tourists in 2019. https://www.statista.com/statistics/290518/an...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 8:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

One begins to wonder if there will one area where both the EU and UK can agree on.....It's also clear that whilst the UK wants to negotiate agreement by agreement, the EU wants an agreement for the whole package at once.Telling is Barnier's comment "But let us have no illusions: the UK will pro...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 7:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Winter 2020
Replies: 97
Views: 26592

Re: Aircraft Values, And Lease Pricing - Winter 2020

Unfortunately, I think the leasing companies are in trouble as you note. I'm not sure what demand will be or more precisely how the recovery curve will be. Their troubles may depend on how much they can earn with the sale-and-leaseback market. BOC Aviation seems to be able to get some deals from ai...

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by LJ
Wed Jul 01, 2020 6:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 359
Views: 88616

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

With the covid, maybe the Boeing lose half max orders? Airlines don't need it, can't pay for, no services and lots of parked jets now for future usings. . An airline doesn't need to be able to pay for it as it can lease it. What BOC Aviation is saying (according to the Reuters article), is that air...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 359
Views: 88616

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

BOC Aviation cancels 30 MAX. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-boc-aviation-boeing-orders/hong-kongs-boc-aviation-cancels-30-boeing-737-max-aircraft-orders-idUSKBN2412PB#:~:text=June%2030%20%28Reuters%29%20%2D%20Hong,737%20MAX%20aircrafts%2C%20it%20added (Reuters) - Hong Kong’s BOC Aviation (2588....

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 5:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

One of the 2 I talk about was surprised that as from January next year, he can no longer move to another EU country for work and called it unfair because this would hinder his carreer prospects within the multinational he works for, which was the reason he took on a job offer on the continent with ...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 2:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

I found an interesting twitter thread that gave an interesting insight into the mind of three brexitvoters. They seem to think that the point of Brexit was to stop people going to the UK, not to stop them going to France. In short: Brits vote for Brexit. Brits find out that Brexit will affect them ...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 1:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 176
Views: 43949

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

Moreover many traffic rights to Africa that do exist are unused because Africa is still very much an underdeveloped continent with little economic appeal. Little economic appeal to whom? Why do KLM, Air France, Emirates and Turkish have (pre-COVID-19 such a large presence in Africa if it has "...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 7:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion - 2020
Replies: 1064
Views: 178656

Re: Norwegian Air Cancels Orders For 92 737 MAXs and 5 787s

It's doubly surprising that "only" 300ish MAX's have been cancelled, overall. It's much more than "300ish". At the end of 2018, Boeing had total MAX sales of 5,005. At the end of May this year, the total was 4,619. The loss of Norwegian's 92 will take MAX to over 400 cancellatio...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 7:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 176
Views: 43949

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

I would actually agree with the proposal to turn re-brand the airline as "Eurowings" and have it serve as a primarily low cost airline with flights to Africa and the UK/Scandinavia. It could directly compete with KLM and AMS. A premium product could be used on flights to Africa. Furthermo...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 30, 2020 6:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders
Replies: 359
Views: 88616

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2020 Orders

Already mentioned in another thread, Norwegian cancels its remaining 92 MAX and 5 787s

https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1448369

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by LJ
Sat Jun 27, 2020 9:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Equatorial Congo Airlines EU question
Replies: 2
Views: 854

Re: Equatorial Congo Airlines EU question

ECAir is a congolese airline that ceased operations in 2016. During their brief life, they flew from Brazzaville, to far flung destinations like Paris, Dubai, and sightings at Geneva, Brussels, among other places, with plans to buy 787s for future flights to Tokyo, China, and America. However, one ...

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by LJ
Sat Jun 27, 2020 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Cargo Discussion Thread (Cargo Operators and Passenger Airlines Operating Cargo Only Flights)
Replies: 634
Views: 90895

Re: COVID-19 Cargo Discussion Thread (Cargo Operators and Passenger Airlines Operating Cargo Only Flights)

When I arrived in FRA today (June 27th, 2020) around 6:45 PM there was PY's 77E parked in the area between the LH widebodies in temporary storage and the cargo area. Were operating a cargo flight or was it a diversion? No, it has been sittiing at FRA since June 17th. They usually use an Air Belgium...

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by LJ
Sat Jun 27, 2020 5:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 176
Views: 43949

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

So in total, all of these brands make sense. Eurowings is a bit of a different story. Of course the Lufthansa brand has a much better standing but that would mean that they would need to pay the EW staff with LH tariffs which would make it hard to be profitable. To be honest, I still associate Euro...

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by LJ
Sat Jun 27, 2020 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 176
Views: 43949

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

It would be nice to know why SWISS has a higher standing than Lufthansa, and try to replicate the profitable parts. For example, would "SWISS CLASS" as a business class product on LH planes work? Are the passengers primarily intercity for whom a "Lufthansa SWISS shuttle" would c...

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by LJ
Sat Jun 27, 2020 2:29 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Another fiasco in the making? After awarding a ferry company a contract which didn't operate ferries, it's now the stake it bought in OneWeb (GBP 500mn) which looks like throwing away money. The goal is to replace Galileo, which is the EU project to replace GPS. However, the UK need to mitigate the ...

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by LJ
Sat Jun 27, 2020 10:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Question about Pan Am's A310-200s
Replies: 77
Views: 11006

Re: Question about Pan Am's A310-200s

Didn't they fly HAM in connection with AMS at one point? I recall seeing the A310s at AMS.

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by LJ
Sat Jun 27, 2020 9:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 176
Views: 43949

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

A solution would be to consolidate all Lufthansa's Africa operations into BRU, with a high speed railway ticket to FRA and/or "LH1" product to FRA. The links between Belgium and Eastern parts of Africa and South Africa are not that tight. Moreover, it would erode yields if LH doesn't offe...

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by LJ
Fri Jun 26, 2020 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France KLM News and Discussion Thread - 2020
Replies: 618
Views: 102626

Re: Air France KLM - Master Thread

Seems low risk. Because full flights or empty flights, either way KL gets free money from government. There will be no free money, details are still worked out but it will not be free. Deal has been done (EUR 1Bn loan and EUR 2.4bn loan guarantee on already agreed loans by commercial banks) https:/...

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by LJ
Fri Jun 26, 2020 8:20 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

After fishing the EU now has car parts on its horizon. The EU doesn't seem to want the UK to benefit from FTAs with other countries in order to source car parts cheaper than those made in the EU (and in FTAs the EU has with third countries) in case the UK can export cars to the EU without any tariff...

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by LJ
Thu Jun 25, 2020 8:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion
Replies: 618
Views: 119117

Re: AA 5-yr secured notes $2.5 Billion yield 12.03%

AA's 8-K filing 6/25/20 https://americanairlines.gcs-web.com/static-files/6e6f737d-80e5-4a55-9f5b-e0740053d29b Coupon yield of 11.75% sold at 99% provides a 5-yr yield to maturity of 12.028%. A question posed by Clint Eastwood in Dirty Harry : You've got to ask yourself one question: 'Do I feel luc...

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by LJ
Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LH to restructucture SN
Replies: 176
Views: 43949

Re: Reports: LH might let SN file for bankruptcy

:CDG and AMS are not viable options for anyone, including those living in Brussels, because there's no way 1h30 on an expensive high-speed train service can replace an airport that caters to a wealthy population and economy. CRL is tiny and far away from the economic heartland of Belgium. BRU's in ...

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by LJ
Fri Jun 19, 2020 4:23 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Michael Gove warns the EU the the Northern Irish don't want EU bureacratic customs rules...then why sign an agreement with the EU? I wonder if Gove is applying for a job as screen writer for the next series of "Yes minister". https://www.yahoo.com/news/michael-gove-warns-northern-irish-153...

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by LJ
Thu Jun 18, 2020 5:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence
Replies: 2489
Views: 95111

Re: Brexit Part 8: the UK government saying what I want is full access and divergence

Letting the public decide is okay even for important decision,s the mistake is to demand just a single majority. Such decisions should only be made when the definite majority of the votes support it. In many countries this is a 2/3 majority. And Brexit is clearly a decision that meant people would ...

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by LJ
Fri Jun 12, 2020 3:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian News and Discussion - 2020
Replies: 1064
Views: 178656

Re: Norwegian News and Discussion Thread

Seems as if Norwegian might be going back to investors, cap in hand, to beg for some more money https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-norwegianair/norwegian-air-seeks-approval-to-raise-cash-quickly-if-needed-idUKKBN23G1S7 If the debtors are willing to just accommodate all of their re...

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