texl1649 wrote:This sounds like a re-run of the A400M to me. Next, a very unique all Euro-sourced engine will be required, surely. Heck, the US/partners spent a trillion bucks developing the F-35. What could go wrong?
Well not quite a trillion dollars... the dev to end of SDD program for the F-35 cost the US and partners US$59 billion.
I would expect for the type of aircraft being suggested here, including size and complexity, that US$60 billion is likely going to be required. There are a lot of technologies that still need to be developed and while some may exist as concepts or prototypes making those mass producible and affordable is a significant step that requires investment. Add in the additional European fudge factor for political and economic partnership and you arrive at a big number.
Planeflyer wrote:Let’s assume the stays a Franco/German program. What do we all think entry into service will be?
I’d say 20-25 years but I’ll admit this is a guess.
Could we then assume adding 3-5 years for each incremental partner nation?
It really depends on how the aircraft is developed. The very first single role version will likely enter service around 2040 with later capabilities coming 5-7 years later. The issue will be production numbers and how fast the rate increases. If it remains low then it is likely the aircraft will follow a similar design path to the Rafale and Eurofighter programs, very slowly introducing new capabilities over time and as funding allows.
Although at this point there is more chance than not that this program never produces an aircraft and fizzles out in the early 2020s due to economic and political issues.