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A101
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Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu May 18, 2023 1:39 pm

Wonder what brought this on?


Irish ministers under pressure to clarify 'secret deal' for RAF to defend Ireland's airspace in an emergency


https://news.sky.com/story/amp/irish-mi ... y-12879084

Personally I think it’s something they can afford to do themselves, doesn’t mean they should rush out and order some F35A but would be nice

Plenty of good F15 in the boneyard if they want cheap or even South Korean FA-50 would suffice
 
aumaverick
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu May 18, 2023 2:18 pm

Irish national pride and further discussion and contention with the N.Ireland/UK/EU border deal probably exposed some details. In the grand scheme, protecting Irish airspace only benefits the UK given the proximity. Given the Irish neutrality, any conflict that would warrant defending Irish airspace by the RAF would almost certainly involve defense of the UK airspace.

Not sure F-15 and FA-50 are really a apples to apples comparison, more like a cannon to grenade comparison.
 
GDB
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu May 18, 2023 4:58 pm

No, as discussed a lot before, for the same reasons.
If they want to help out as regards their own security, North Atlantic cables etc and the Russian threat to it, Thales have developed a modular sonar system that they could fit to their OPV's. After they find and money and manpower to crew the vessels they actually have .
 
johns624
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu May 18, 2023 6:11 pm

GDB wrote:
No, as discussed a lot before, for the same reasons.
If they want to help out as regards their own security, North Atlantic cables etc and the Russian threat to it, Thales have developed a modular sonar system that they could fit to their OPV's. After they find and money and manpower to crew the vessels they actually have .
Yeah, you don't have to do anything if nobody expects you to do anything. Ireland isn't the poor country it was 30-40 years ago, it just acts like it is.
 
GDB
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu May 18, 2023 7:05 pm

Another thing that is imperative is for Ireland to get an AD radar.
Helpful, affordable would not need major additional personnel, if done jointly with theirs and ours ATC.
In fairness, we in the UK could and should in the light of current events do, is to extend, as Spain is doing, the life of it's Tranche 1 Typhoons. With this in mind also find a suitable airfield in Northern Ireland to allow the forward deployment of a flight of these aircraft. In a similar manner to the South Atlantic and the NATO Air Policing.
Faster reaction, no sonic booms or even overflying of Irish airspace.
 
A101
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Fri May 19, 2023 12:50 am

aumaverick wrote:
Irish national pride and further discussion and contention with the N.Ireland/UK/EU border deal probably exposed some details.


Has been a point of contention way before then. It was even a point of discussion when it joined the EEC

aumaverick wrote:
In the grand scheme, protecting Irish airspace only benefits the UK given the proximity. Given the Irish neutrality, any conflict that would warrant defending Irish airspace by the RAF would almost certainly involve defense of the UK airspace.


While that's true overall, even the IAA made a submission about the lack of able to police its own airspace, pity it was heavily redacted.

https://www.gov.ie/pdf/?file=https://as ... #page=null

But according to the Irish Times they submitted 3 options
8x M-346FA
8x F/A-50
40x JAS 39 Gripen



https://www.military.ie/en/public-infor ... forces.pdf

https://www.military.ie/en/members-area ... igital.pdf


aumaverick wrote:

Not sure F-15 and FA-50 are really a apples to apples comparison, more like a cannon to grenade comparison.



Was never meant to be a apples to apples comparison more of a cost comparison to achieve a acceptable level QRF for air combat and intercept capability.
 
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par13del
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Fri May 19, 2023 11:30 am

A bit confused here, Ireland is a member of the EU, now that the Brits have done a Brexit, why is this not front and center for Marcon and the proposed EU military force?
Surely this was included in the Brexit negotiations or was that only about Northern Ireland and a line down the Irish Sea?
 
A101
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Fri May 19, 2023 12:45 pm

par13del wrote:
A bit confused here, Ireland is a member of the EU, now that the Brits have done a Brexit, why is this not front and center for Marcon and the proposed EU military force?
Surely this was included in the Brexit negotiations or was that only about Northern Ireland and a line down the Irish Sea?


We all know the answer to that question.

Macron don’t care as it’s not costing France anything

But I imagine there would be a big stink if the UK withdrawn it’s support from Brussels
 
GDB
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Fri May 19, 2023 12:52 pm

par13del wrote:
A bit confused here, Ireland is a member of the EU, now that the Brits have done a Brexit, why is this not front and center for Marcon and the proposed EU military force?
Surely this was included in the Brexit negotiations or was that only about Northern Ireland and a line down the Irish Sea?


It was an agreement, albeit somewhat informal, government to government some 70 years ago.
Nothing to do with the EEC/EU or NATO, which Ireland never joined.
 
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par13del
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Fri May 19, 2023 3:39 pm

GDB wrote:
par13del wrote:
A bit confused here, Ireland is a member of the EU, now that the Brits have done a Brexit, why is this not front and center for Marcon and the proposed EU military force?
Surely this was included in the Brexit negotiations or was that only about Northern Ireland and a line down the Irish Sea?


It was an agreement, albeit somewhat informal, government to government some 70 years ago.
Nothing to do with the EEC/EU or NATO, which Ireland never joined.

I recall some of the history, where I am lost or inquiring is whether that agreement was modified / included in the Brexit negotiations and final documents.
The UK has remained a part of NATO which as you say Ireland never joined, so how does the UK under the new Brexit regimes where the UK is now a third party provide any form of military assistance to a EU member state without EU approval, collaboration, involvement etc.
 
RJMAZ
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sat May 20, 2023 3:54 am

Ireland is similar to New Zealand. I don't see why Ireland needs fighters. This is reducing the overall capability of NATO by providing unnecessary overlap.

New Zealand has two C-17 and they get combined with the Australian fleet for maintenance. This is the most cost effective way to go.

Ireland could buy two P-8 poseidon like New Zealand did. Make sure they are identical to the RAF aircraft and have all maintenance done by the RAF.

I guess if Ireland need air policing then buying a handful of Hawk T2 trainers and again integrating them with the RAF aircraft make sense.
 
GDB
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sat May 20, 2023 7:29 am

par13del wrote:
GDB wrote:
par13del wrote:
A bit confused here, Ireland is a member of the EU, now that the Brits have done a Brexit, why is this not front and center for Marcon and the proposed EU military force?
Surely this was included in the Brexit negotiations or was that only about Northern Ireland and a line down the Irish Sea?


It was an agreement, albeit somewhat informal, government to government some 70 years ago.
Nothing to do with the EEC/EU or NATO, which Ireland never joined.

I recall some of the history, where I am lost or inquiring is whether that agreement was modified / included in the Brexit negotiations and final documents.
The UK has remained a part of NATO which as you say Ireland never joined, so how does the UK under the new Brexit regimes where the UK is now a third party provide any form of military assistance to a EU member state without EU approval, collaboration, involvement etc.


OK, I will try again.
70 years ago it was sensitive, it did not matter about an organization that did not exist then, or even now arguably. Another, NATO, which founder member UK was in, just a few years old and Ireland wasn’t.
What had recently happened?
A world war where Ireland had been neutral but had on occasion been overflown by Luftwaffe aircraft, downed Allied pilots there via damage due to enemy action or just what aircraft were like back then, could be interned as could Axis crews. Though the Allied ones tended to be able to leave.

Really, it was more pragmatic than even that, Ireland did allow some leeway with Allied operations in the context of the Battle Of The Atlantic, it was also the case that though Independent since the early 1920’s there was the issue of ‘Treaty Ports’ and other hangovers that by the late 1930’s needed addressing.
Suggest you look Treaty Ports up. As despite becoming part of Ireland just before WW2 they suddenly looked very useful with the outbreak of war.

However, even to this day, mention Ireland in WW2 and what many think of was the bizarre message of condolence sent by the Irish leader to Germany on the announcement of Hitler’s death, this though had no bearing on how Ireland did act in the war, anymore than trying to shoehorn the current French President into this today, with what is going on in Europe with Russia now does make this a relevant and important subject, what and how Ireland responds. Nothing at all to do with much less try to blame France. Totally irrelevant albeit predictable.

The Irish leader who was their PM for a long time, de Valera, who had been been a leading player in the fight for independence, could never be seen to sign some kind of binding security arrangement with the former ruling power of Ireland, just 25 years after the fact.
On the other hand he would have been disturbed by attempts by the IRA to cooperate with the Nazis, after 1941 with the US in the war he did not want to upset them either.
Though the face and for many symbol of Irish nationalism, de Valera had no time for them stirring the pot, despite what he thought of the 6 counties in the North staying, as most there wanted it, as part of the UK still.

In fact, when the IRA started a largely rural border terror campaign, largely forgotten in the late 50’s he came down on them like a ton of bricks, even after he was long gone from power, just being a member of a proscribed organization like them, even during the Troubles, conviction of what the Irish state called ‘subversives’ generally resulted in a longer prison sentence there than within the UK.

So with all the above in mind, with the new Cold War here, the need to address the last remnants of UK rule aside from the post independence settlement of the status of Northern Ireland, with all the still quite fresh history, the Irish and UK governments made this government to government arrangement on the quiet for reasons of political sensitivity. To avoid misunderstandings and confusion that had been evident early on in WW2.
That’s how the RAF effectively being the defender of Irish airspace came about.

Arguably when Ireland did become rich enough to do it themselves in a limited fashion was post Cold War, so nothing changed nor it seemed until recently, needed to.
 
A101
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sat May 20, 2023 11:49 am

RJMAZ wrote:
Ireland is similar to New Zealand. I don't see why Ireland needs fighters. This is reducing the overall capability of NATO by providing unnecessary overlap.

New Zealand has two C-17 and they get combined with the Australian fleet for maintenance. This is the most cost effective way to go.

Ireland could buy two P-8 poseidon like New Zealand did. Make sure they are identical to the RAF aircraft and have all maintenance done by the RAF.

I guess if Ireland need air policing then buying a handful of Hawk T2 trainers and again integrating them with the RAF aircraft make sense.



RNZAF has two C-17?

That comes as news to me and I’m sure it would the NZGov and RNZAF
 
bunumuring
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sat May 20, 2023 12:08 pm

Hey RJMAZ
NZ does NOT have two C-17s, … not sure where that notion came from? They never have and probably never will. There was speculation years ago about the possibility of one of the ten white tail C-17s being purchased by the RNZAF and operated in conjunction with the RAAF’s C-17s, but it didn’t happen.
And NZ have 4 P-8s on order, not two…
I do see the parallels between Ireland and NZ when it comes to fighters however. I agree with your views on that.
Take care,
Bunumuring
 
RJMAZ
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 4:19 am

bunumuring wrote:
Hey RJMAZ
NZ does NOT have two C-17s, … not sure where that notion came from?

Drunk posting on a Saturday night and I saw the word Ireland :rotfl:

But Ireland purchasing two P-8 would be a good idea. All maintenance and training outsourced to the RAF.

They could even arrange for their P-8's along with a couple RAF P-8's to be based in Ireland.
 
A101
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 8:18 am

RJMAZ wrote:
bunumuring wrote:
Hey RJMAZ
NZ does NOT have two C-17s, … not sure where that notion came from?

Drunk posting on a Saturday night and I saw the word Ireland :rotfl:

But Ireland purchasing two P-8 would be a good idea. All maintenance and training outsourced to the RAF.

They could even arrange for their P-8's along with a couple RAF P-8's to be based in Ireland.


How is that going to help police their own EEZ airspace?
 
A101
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 9:39 am

RJMAZ wrote:
Ireland is similar to New Zealand.

Hardley the same, for one ROI has no military alliance, which means no country is obligated to come to its aid

New Zealand on the other hand has a couple of very important defence treaties. Whist ANZUS has been downgraded because of the NZ nuclear stance, the AU/NZ factor is still very much active. Also FPDA whilst understated actually plays a very important part falls within NZ outer defence perimeter.

RNZAF Skyhawks whilst small in numbers played a important role both militarily and diplomatically

RJMAZ wrote:
I don't see why Ireland needs fighters. This is reducing the overall capability of NATO by providing unnecessary overlap.


Ireland is not a full member of NATO so no overlap. and besides there is never a time when you have too much capability when push comes to shove


RJMAZ wrote:
Ireland could buy two P-8 poseidon like New Zealand did. Make sure they are identical to the RAF aircraft and have all maintenance done by the RAF.


Not sure how that would go politically since Ireland did not join NATO over NI and didn't want to be in military alliance with the UK hence why no official treaty in regards to the QRF

RJMAZ wrote:
I guess if Ireland need air policing then buying a handful of Hawk T2 trainers and again integrating them with the RAF aircraft make sense.


Least a Hawk has the ability to intercept most threats to Ireland compared to its current ability with PC-9M
 
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Kiwirob
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 11:42 am

A101 wrote:
Wonder what brought this on?


Irish ministers under pressure to clarify 'secret deal' for RAF to defend Ireland's airspace in an emergency


https://news.sky.com/story/amp/irish-mi ... y-12879084

Personally I think it’s something they can afford to do themselves, doesn’t mean they should rush out and order some F35A but would be nice

Plenty of good F15 in the boneyard if they want cheap or even South Korean FA-50 would suffice



Why? If anyone is going to cause problems for Ireland they will have to fly over or around the UK, or come across the Atlantic. Next question is who would be causing the problems which would require Ireland to operate armed aircraft?
 
A101
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 12:12 pm

Kiwirob wrote:
A101 wrote:
Wonder what brought this on?


Irish ministers under pressure to clarify 'secret deal' for RAF to defend Ireland's airspace in an emergency


https://news.sky.com/story/amp/irish-mi ... y-12879084

Personally I think it’s something they can afford to do themselves, doesn’t mean they should rush out and order some F35A but would be nice

Plenty of good F15 in the boneyard if they want cheap or even South Korean FA-50 would suffice



Why? If anyone is going to cause problems for Ireland they will have to fly over or around the UK, or come across the Atlantic. Next question is who would be causing the problems which would require Ireland to operate armed aircraft?



More the question is why the Russians fly long range bomber aircraft in Irish controlled EEZ airspace with its transponders off, then one asks about ability of the Irish to defend its own national sovereign airspace without asking others to do it and still wanting to remain neutral.
 
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bikerthai
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 1:52 pm

RJMAZ wrote:
But Ireland purchasing two P-8 would be a good idea. All maintenance and training outsourced to the RAF.

They could even arrange for their P-8's along with a couple RAF P-8's to be based in Ireland.


Even though I am a P-8 fan, I don't see the need for Ireland to buy P-8s. Basing P-8 in Ireland would be redundant with the UK P-8 flying out of Lossiemouth and US P-8 out of Lossiemouth.

Ireland can contribute most to European security by providing "neutral" Peace Keeper. Blood, Sweat and Tears can be more valuable more than a mountain of harware.

bt
 
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par13del
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 2:13 pm

Anyone consider this is all about money, Russia has made defense spending a big thing right now, with Europe increasing their defense spending, Ireland being a EU member, how best can they get involved in the billions that will be spent over the next 5 to 10 years, assisting in building only, perhaps the politicians see active participation in their own defense as another way to get the financial jolt?
 
GDB
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sun May 21, 2023 4:47 pm

There is another way Ireland has long contributed to defence. By WW2 it was not part of the UK of course but many Irish citizens volunteered to fight, in addition to the large diaspora here anyway.
You do still get Irish citizens, usually like most, with UK links, serving in HM Armed Forces.
Not just the UK, a well known armour expert and still serving US officer, though now after active duty in the 2000's, a reservist, who started him military career in the Irish Army.
 
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Kiwirob
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Wed May 24, 2023 10:10 pm

A101 wrote:
Kiwirob wrote:
A101 wrote:
Wonder what brought this on?




https://news.sky.com/story/amp/irish-mi ... y-12879084

Personally I think it’s something they can afford to do themselves, doesn’t mean they should rush out and order some F35A but would be nice

Plenty of good F15 in the boneyard if they want cheap or even South Korean FA-50 would suffice



Why? If anyone is going to cause problems for Ireland they will have to fly over or around the UK, or come across the Atlantic. Next question is who would be causing the problems which would require Ireland to operate armed aircraft?



More the question is why the Russians fly long range bomber aircraft in Irish controlled EEZ airspace with its transponders off, then one asks about ability of the Irish to defend its own national sovereign airspace without asking others to do it and still wanting to remain neutral.


Ask yourself this question, are Ireland and Russia ever likely to be in direct conflict with each other?
 
A101
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Sat May 27, 2023 10:59 pm

Kiwirob wrote:
A101 wrote:
Kiwirob wrote:


Why? If anyone is going to cause problems for Ireland they will have to fly over or around the UK, or come across the Atlantic. Next question is who would be causing the problems which would require Ireland to operate armed aircraft?



More the question is why the Russians fly long range bomber aircraft in Irish controlled EEZ airspace with its transponders off, then one asks about ability of the Irish to defend its own national sovereign airspace without asking others to do it and still wanting to remain neutral.


Ask yourself this question, are Ireland and Russia ever likely to be in direct conflict with each other?


Again, why do the Russians send long range bomber aircraft into Irish EEZ and turn off their transponders?

Whilst direct conflict between the two is very low, indirectly there a greater risk under TEU, Article 42.7, which compels them to come to other members aid, whilst the Irish may see themselves as neutral the opposing belligerent nation may not see it the same way. as we see by Russian provocations in respect to international norms in others respective EEZ

Once again why should the Irish expect another nation defend the interests of their airspace when they themselves will not spend money to protect their own neutrality?
 
oldJoe
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Mon May 29, 2023 8:59 am

A101 wrote :
Once again why should the Irish expect another nation defend the interests of their airspace when they themselves will not spend money to protect their own neutrality?

I agree with that. A good example of a neutral country that has an air force is Switzerland. A country surrounded by NATO members (except Austria) shouldn't really have to worry about being attacked. Just a reminder : Switzerland has ordered 36 F-35s for $6+bn to renew their current fleet
https://www.f35.com/f35/global-enterprise/switzerland.html
 
hh65man
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Wed May 31, 2023 7:51 am

Re Ireland, who was it who said speak softly but carry a big stick? Thought I’d heard that before..
 
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Kiwirob
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Wed May 31, 2023 11:49 am

A101 wrote:
Kiwirob wrote:
A101 wrote:

Once again why should the Irish expect another nation defend the interests of their airspace when they themselves will not spend money to protect their own neutrality?


Just like several other countries I can think of in Europe who have a ACF but really don't need one, I'm looking at Belgium, Netherlands.....Ireland has no need of one just like NZ had no need of one, so we both don't have them.
 
johns624
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Wed May 31, 2023 12:17 pm

A101 wrote:
Kiwirob wrote:
A101 wrote:


More the question is why the Russians fly long range bomber aircraft in Irish controlled EEZ airspace with its transponders off, then one asks about ability of the Irish to defend its own national sovereign airspace without asking others to do it and still wanting to remain neutral.


Ask yourself this question, are Ireland and Russia ever likely to be in direct conflict with each other?


Again, why do the Russians send long range bomber aircraft into Irish EEZ and turn off their transponders?

Whilst direct conflict between the two is very low, indirectly there a greater risk under TEU, Article 42.7, which compels them to come to other members aid, whilst the Irish may see themselves as neutral the opposing belligerent nation may not see it the same way. as we see by Russian provocations in respect to international norms in others respective EEZ

Once again why should the Irish expect another nation defend the interests of their airspace when they themselves will not spend money to protect their own neutrality?
There have also been visits by Russian "research" vessels in the Irish area near undersea cables. Their OPVs don't cut it. Some corvettes with limited AAW and AShW would do the job better. They spend their money on an army, which is probably the service that they least need for defense. Of course, much of that gets reimbursed by the UN, IIRC.
 
GDB
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Wed May 31, 2023 3:56 pm

A straight to camera discussion of the history, context and reality of Irish neutrality;
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEvhQVj2BNU

There's a saying. 'people who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones'.
Stone no.1;
The other nation mentioned in the above, entwined with Irish history, decided in 2010 that the RAF no longer needed MPA's. No biggie, only the NATO member responsible for the Eastern Atlantic. That was reversed in 2015 with an order for the minimum number of P8's to do the role. They also had us start the Ukraine war with for the first time in 50 years, no land based AEW capability. Another 'gap' with too few replacements when they arrive.
Just Ireland 'freeloading' on others for security here?

Stone No.2, This country in a move extensive polling now shows a majority regret, in 2016 decided to undermine the Good Friday Agreement, the politicians responsible showing shocking ignorance (shared it has to be said with a lot of the UK population), if they cared at all, much to the chagrin of the current US administration and Ireland. Pleased Putin though.

This in turn has led to the warned of upsurge in paramilitary activities of both extremes, so if Ireland does spend some more, it's likely going on those ground forces, their Ranger SF, intel and security in general.
Since as I noted before, they regard whatever the leftovers of the IRA call themselves, as 'subversives' and have a history of harness towards them dating back to the 50's.
Mr Farage going on Irish TV to lecture them on their history is a You Tube moment you should seek out!

But what could, should Ireland do, in the context of the situation with Russia?
They have two OPV's, built in the UK in the late 90's, which are laid up.

They need replacing, with two vessels with the easily fitted, modular Sonar set from Thales I mentioned before, plus a helicopter hanger and servicing facilities. Not for a Merlin or NH-90 size, something more affordable.
They could buy some maritime optimized AW139's, a type they already use, or the UK could sell at giveaway prices, 2-3 Lynx Wildcat's, to specs for the South Korean ones, with dipping sonar.
Be worth it for the extra security, less strain on the RN.

As for fast jets? It's, pardon the pun, for the birds. That agreement on AD suits both sides fine.
Though the UK could help by retaining Tranche 1 Typhoons longer for the pure AD role.
You don't need all the bells and whistles of later ones to tell a TU-95 to bugger off.

Ireland did, as part of the GFA, drop it's claims to the North.
Now it's down to demographics and politics, it always was, when things blew up in 1969 the Wilson government sent in the troops to provide a chance for political solutions, they knew getting them out would not be easy nor quick though none could have anticipated for how long.
I knew people who did tours out there, 'out there', god it's part of the UK! It seems not enough did or just forgot.
So in summary, the UK is not the nation to pressure Ireland on spending more or joining NATO.
At least while the current shower are in office.
 
ReverseFlow
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Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Wed May 31, 2023 6:17 pm

GDB wrote:
A straight to camera discussion of the history, context and reality of Irish neutrality;
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEvhQVj2BNU

There's a saying. 'people who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones'.
Stone no.1;
The other nation mentioned in the above, entwined with Irish history, decided in 2010 that the RAF no longer needed MPA's. No biggie, only the NATO member responsible for the Eastern Atlantic. That was reversed in 2015 with an order for the minimum number of P8's to do the role. They also had us start the Ukraine war with for the first time in 50 years, no land based AEW capability. Another 'gap' with too few replacements when they arrive.
Just Ireland 'freeloading' on others for security here?

Stone No.2, This country in a move extensive polling now shows a majority regret, in 2016 decided to undermine the Good Friday Agreement, the politicians responsible showing shocking ignorance (shared it has to be said with a lot of the UK population), if they cared at all, much to the chagrin of the current US administration and Ireland. Pleased Putin though.

This in turn has led to the warned of upsurge in paramilitary activities of both extremes, so if Ireland does spend some more, it's likely going on those ground forces, their Ranger SF, intel and security in general.
Since as I noted before, they regard whatever the leftovers of the IRA call themselves, as 'subversives' and have a history of harness towards them dating back to the 50's.
Mr Farage going on Irish TV to lecture them on their history is a You Tube moment you should seek out!

But what could, should Ireland do, in the context of the situation with Russia?
They have two OPV's, built in the UK in the late 90's, which are laid up.

They need replacing, with two vessels with the easily fitted, modular Sonar set from Thales I mentioned before, plus a helicopter hanger and servicing facilities. Not for a Merlin or NH-90 size, something more affordable.
They could buy some maritime optimized AW139's, a type they already use, or the UK could sell at giveaway prices, 2-3 Lynx Wildcat's, to specs for the South Korean ones, with dipping sonar.
Be worth it for the extra security, less strain on the RN.

As for fast jets? It's, pardon the pun, for the birds. That agreement on AD suits both sides fine.
Though the UK could help by retaining Tranche 1 Typhoons longer for the pure AD role.
You don't need all the bells and whistles of later ones to tell a TU-95 to bugger off.

Ireland did, as part of the GFA, drop it's claims to the North.
Now it's down to demographics and politics, it always was, when things blew up in 1969 the Wilson government sent in the troops to provide a chance for political solutions, they knew getting them out would not be easy nor quick though none could have anticipated for how long.
I knew people who did tours out there, 'out there', god it's part of the UK! It seems not enough did or just forgot.
So in summary, the UK is not the nation to pressure Ireland on spending more or joining NATO.
At least while the current shower are in office.
As an aside to your bit about the vessels.
Ireland is getting 2 from NZ

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c723gj0d70eo
 
johns624
Posts: 7328
Joined: Mon Jul 07, 2008 11:09 pm

Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Wed May 31, 2023 7:22 pm

ReverseFlow wrote:
As an aside to your bit about the vessels.
Ireland is getting 2 from NZ

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c723gj0d70eo
The difference is the new vessels are half the size, slower and have miniscule armament.
 
GDB
Posts: 18173
Joined: Wed May 23, 2001 6:25 pm

Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu Jun 01, 2023 12:21 am

ReverseFlow wrote:
GDB wrote:
A straight to camera discussion of the history, context and reality of Irish neutrality;
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEvhQVj2BNU

There's a saying. 'people who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones'.
Stone no.1;
The other nation mentioned in the above, entwined with Irish history, decided in 2010 that the RAF no longer needed MPA's. No biggie, only the NATO member responsible for the Eastern Atlantic. That was reversed in 2015 with an order for the minimum number of P8's to do the role. They also had us start the Ukraine war with for the first time in 50 years, no land based AEW capability. Another 'gap' with too few replacements when they arrive.
Just Ireland 'freeloading' on others for security here?

Stone No.2, This country in a move extensive polling now shows a majority regret, in 2016 decided to undermine the Good Friday Agreement, the politicians responsible showing shocking ignorance (shared it has to be said with a lot of the UK population), if they cared at all, much to the chagrin of the current US administration and Ireland. Pleased Putin though.

This in turn has led to the warned of upsurge in paramilitary activities of both extremes, so if Ireland does spend some more, it's likely going on those ground forces, their Ranger SF, intel and security in general.
Since as I noted before, they regard whatever the leftovers of the IRA call themselves, as 'subversives' and have a history of harness towards them dating back to the 50's.
Mr Farage going on Irish TV to lecture them on their history is a You Tube moment you should seek out!

But what could, should Ireland do, in the context of the situation with Russia?
They have two OPV's, built in the UK in the late 90's, which are laid up.

They need replacing, with two vessels with the easily fitted, modular Sonar set from Thales I mentioned before, plus a helicopter hanger and servicing facilities. Not for a Merlin or NH-90 size, something more affordable.
They could buy some maritime optimized AW139's, a type they already use, or the UK could sell at giveaway prices, 2-3 Lynx Wildcat's, to specs for the South Korean ones, with dipping sonar.
Be worth it for the extra security, less strain on the RN.

As for fast jets? It's, pardon the pun, for the birds. That agreement on AD suits both sides fine.
Though the UK could help by retaining Tranche 1 Typhoons longer for the pure AD role.
You don't need all the bells and whistles of later ones to tell a TU-95 to bugger off.

Ireland did, as part of the GFA, drop it's claims to the North.
Now it's down to demographics and politics, it always was, when things blew up in 1969 the Wilson government sent in the troops to provide a chance for political solutions, they knew getting them out would not be easy nor quick though none could have anticipated for how long.
I knew people who did tours out there, 'out there', god it's part of the UK! It seems not enough did or just forgot.
So in summary, the UK is not the nation to pressure Ireland on spending more or joining NATO.
At least while the current shower are in office.
As an aside to your bit about the vessels.
Ireland is getting 2 from NZ

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c723gj0d70eo


Better than nothing, still as mentioned one other vessel needs replacement, my previous suggestion could fill that.
The existing newer ones could have modular sonar fitted.
We are not talking about ASW war fighting, rather increasing the ability to monitor Russian activities, which by itself could make them more cautious as anything potentially untoward going on could be communicated to the UK, so the nearest ASW asset, be it surface, airborne or both, have a useful force multiplier which would not require the politically very unlikely major ramping up of Irish defence spending.

Do that and get an AD standard radar, meaning better coordination with UK AD, is doable politically and economically, than getting a small number of jets, presumably second hand, with major increases needed in service personnel numbers and costs, which would dominate any realistic level of defence spending, even in the very unlikely event of Ireland joining NATO.
With Finland and Sweden, the threat is close and more than just maritime and aircraft the RAF already keep an eye on.
 
johns624
Posts: 7328
Joined: Mon Jul 07, 2008 11:09 pm

Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu Jun 01, 2023 12:47 am

What does Ireland spend its money on? I'm being serious. Comparing them with three Scandinavian countries that are only slightly larger in population and with slightly higher personal tax rates, they are known for have good social programs and safety nets, and yet have credible militaries. I'm speaking of Norway, Finland and Denmark. They show that you can spend money on both society and defense.
 
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Kiwirob
Posts: 14853
Joined: Mon Jun 13, 2005 2:16 pm

Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu Jun 01, 2023 4:40 am

GDB wrote:
A straight to camera discussion of the history, context and reality of Irish neutrality;

But what could, should Ireland do, in the context of the situation with Russia?
They have two OPV's, built in the UK in the late 90's, which are laid up.

They need replacing, with two vessels with the easily fitted, modular Sonar set from Thales I mentioned before, plus a helicopter hanger and servicing facilities. Not for a Merlin or NH-90 size, something more affordable.


The Irish Naval Service have 6 patrol ships

4 x Samuel Backett class, built by Appledore, the first entered service in 2014 and the final one in 2019.
2 x Róisín class, which are in operational reserve.
 
GDB
Posts: 18173
Joined: Wed May 23, 2001 6:25 pm

Re: Should Ireland invest in a ACF?

Thu Jun 01, 2023 7:06 am

johns624 wrote:
What does Ireland spend its money on? I'm being serious. Comparing them with three Scandinavian countries that are only slightly larger in population and with slightly higher personal tax rates, they are known for have good social programs and safety nets, and yet have credible militaries. I'm speaking of Norway, Finland and Denmark. They show that you can spend money on both society and defense.


After missing out entirely on the post war economic boom, with policies that were more about an imaginary sacred relationship with old rural Ireland, partly to distance themselves from the industrial North one suspects, leading to, in this period of the ‘baby boomers’ and economic growth throughout Europe, migration on a level which per capital exceeded the 19th famine one and a falling population.
If you were in the UK then and for a long time afterwards, the numbers of Irish citizens in the UK diaspora went up and many leading figures in entertainment and arts was very apparent.

Then the era of the ‘Celtic Tiger’, which as the 2008 crash showed, left Ireland more exposed than most. Was built on sand.
There are, to give a more detailed picture of this, some good documentaries on You Tube from Irish sources, on channels like ‘Gadai’ who has a large number of political and historical ones.
Just to give a context, Ireland is not one of those Scandinavian nations, all of whom have much more in the way of health and welfare spending as well as defence, since they did not have the same history, especially as mentioned above.

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