Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR

 
L.1011
Topic Author
Posts: 2172
Joined: Mon Aug 13, 2001 7:46 am

Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 4:12 am

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php is the website. You can make your prediction, or post yours if its already up. Here are mine, and I'll directly link to my page on that site so you can see accompanying information. Blue=GOP Red=Dem Grey=Tossup, lighter blues and reds indicate closer elections.

FINAL RESULT:


This is a 342-196 Bush victory.

CONFIDENCE:



Now I know what your thinking... "CALIFORNIA A TOSSUP?!" It shocked me too, but a recent poll indicates Bush trailing by only 3 points in CA. Somehow I can't imagine the state of Hollywood, the Gay Area (change G to B if you don't get it), and Superfly possibly voting Republican, so I still think Kerry will take it, but the closeness is a very interesting development. This is a 227 GOP-213 tossup-98 Dem confidence map.

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/pred04.php?action=indpred&id=5824 My predicition page.
 
ArmitageShanks
Posts: 3780
Joined: Tue Dec 30, 2003 5:30 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 4:36 am

Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised with whoever wins.... I think it's going to be very close.

However, I think GWB2 will take it by a very short margin.
 
N6376M
Posts: 2310
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 12:54 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 4:43 am

If California isn't solidly in the Democrat's hands nothing else matters.

I think GWB wins the popular vote by up to 5% and just barely wins the electoral college
 
mdsh00
Posts: 4059
Joined: Mon May 17, 2004 11:28 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 4:48 am

For some reason I don't think California will be that close. I think it will be a solid Kerry prize. You can see the differences in Southern California. Drive out to where I or MattD lives and you see loads of Bush/Cheney stickers with Jesus Fishes on it. But then make your way west into the LA area and you see much more Kerry stickers. Along with that, the whole Bay Area is mostly Kerry supporters. Votes from the Bay Area and LA area will offset the Bush votes in the Inland and San Diego regions.
 
Superfly
Posts: 37705
Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:11 am

California a toss up?
Haha, very funny!  Laugh out loud
The most recent poll I've seen here is 55% Kerry, 39% Bush. It's not even close.
Here is a more accurate and scientific source.
If it's close here in California, it won't be as a result of liberals voting for Bush. It would be liberals wasting there vote on Ralph Nader.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com
 
Superfly
Posts: 37705
Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:14 am

I predict more voter fraud in Florida and Diebold machines changing the votes in Ohio thus both going to Bush despite most voters choosing Kerry in those states and nationwide.
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:23 am

I predict that none will win the election, due to both being assented by A group of A.netters who cant stand election threads.
 
MD11Engineer
Posts: 13899
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:25 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:24 am

Kaz for president!

Jan
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:28 am

Jan, that would not be wise, id be so be so tempted to Nuke Elbonia and make the isle of Wight a super power island.
 
PPGMD
Posts: 2398
Joined: Sun Sep 30, 2001 5:39 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:30 am

I don't predict squat because the election isn't over until at least 7 days after Nov. 2nd when all the votes are counted included the absentee ballots.

Superfly,

You know as much as I am weary of e-voting (not of the electronic voting machines as long as they produce a receipt of some sort), I highly doubt even the most ardent Republican would willing break the law to secure the election.

I think incidents like Watergate and such are extremely rare. Now I do believe that both of the parties will use question practices to get people registered and entice them to vote, but I highly doubt there would be open breaking of the law to win the election.
 
QIguy24
Posts: 2744
Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2004 1:13 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:31 am

Second me on that one Jan  Big thumbs up hehe

Honestly, I think Kerry made a big mistake by mention the Vietnam history. And he has been bashing Bush from the very first day. It's very seldom you hear Kerry talk about what he wants to do better than Bush.

He did a very good job at the DNC. But other that that he has not been a president job worthy. Neither has Bush by the way.

So from how it looks now, I would guess that Bush wins but it's going to be very close.

[Edited 2004-08-27 23:40:26]
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:41 am

My first promise to the nation would be to stop Threads containing the word 'Political' or 'Election'

My second promise would be:

FREE CHOCOLATE FOR ALL!

thank you.
 
PPGMD
Posts: 2398
Joined: Sun Sep 30, 2001 5:39 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:44 am

Kaz for President of A.net.

Though it would be sort of like the President of Iran, since Johan would be able to override all your decisions and laws.
 
Mir
Posts: 19491
Joined: Mon Jan 05, 2004 3:55 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:50 am

Free chocolate????

God help us all if that happens.

Unfortunately, Kaz:

1) is not male
2) has a funny accent

and is thus ineligible

I predict that none will win the election, due to both being assented by A group of A.netters who cant stand election threads.

I believe you mean assasinated?
 
luisca
Posts: 1530
Joined: Thu Aug 16, 2001 11:37 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:53 am

Untill recently I thought that Kerry would win. But With Bush going into the convention with the lead I think he will win. California will go for Kerry but not as solidly as last time.
 
lewis
Posts: 3586
Joined: Thu Jul 08, 1999 5:41 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:56 am

I'd vote kaz! Free chocolate is something I can't say no to....BTW is kaz fit?

Paris
 
Mir
Posts: 19491
Joined: Mon Jan 05, 2004 3:55 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:58 am

Even though I don't like chocolate, it's for the good of the country.

Vote Kaz in '04.  Big thumbs up
 
CPH-R
Posts: 6168
Joined: Thu May 03, 2001 5:19 pm

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:59 am

I'd be hard pressed, but these issues does it for me: Chocolate, making Isle of Wight a super power island and the chocolate.

KAZ '04!
 
SA006
Posts: 1818
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:28 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:00 am

Lets go Kaz!!!

We need a woman president in the US!!!

Free chocolate!!

Put me down for Kaz  Smile/happy/getting dizzy

Rgds
SA006
 
Superfly
Posts: 37705
Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:01 am

PPGMD:
I highly doubt even the most ardent Republican would willing break the law to secure the election.


I guess you aren't aware of Jeb Bush being the only governor to hire a private company that randomly erase registered voters in highly Democratic precincts. That was a story never covered here by that liberal media . It ran for one week in the BBC and one day in the New York Times but that's it. They claim it was to prevent felons from voting. A Jim Crow era law never enforced in Florida until the 2000 elections.
I happen to know a lady from Ft. Lauderdale that wasn't allowed to vote and not notified. Showed up on election day and wasn't on the roster. There were 1,100+ voters with no criminal history that were prevented from voting in that election.

The CEO of Diebold said publicly that he was "Commited to delivery Ohio to Bush". Do you think a company that has such partisan views should be in the business of counting votes?


Pilot kaz:
I would love to have you as our President.
As long as your a Democrat!  Laugh out loud
 
MD11Engineer
Posts: 13899
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:25 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:05 am

A BRITISH woman for president of the US!

Jan
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:07 am

Jan, must be good, votes so far stand at:

Kaz - 8
Bush - 5
Kerry - NILL!

Free chocolate for all!
 
707CMF
Posts: 4698
Joined: Thu Mar 14, 2002 5:39 pm

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:08 am

Don't forget the Elbnonian twat running along for Vice President (I do have a lot of vices !!! )

cheers,

707
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:09 am

Elbonia ill Also be made a super power.





















in 2070.
 
MD11Engineer
Posts: 13899
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:25 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:09 am

Kaz,
If you want to attract the Scots (esp. Kirkie) and the Germans, you must offer FREE BEER as well! Big grin

Jan
 
mdsh00
Posts: 4059
Joined: Mon May 17, 2004 11:28 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:09 am

Kaz for President of A.net

She needs a running mate!
 
PPGMD
Posts: 2398
Joined: Sun Sep 30, 2001 5:39 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:13 am

Though I believe Jeb's methods weren't perfect. I am fully behind a national system, so that local county election boards can check a person voting status (ie preventing a person from being signed up in two counties at once), and being able to check felon status more easily. Right now it's pretty much the honor system once you leave your former state.

The CEO of Diebold said publicly that he was "Commited to delivery Ohio to Bush". Do you think a company that has such partisan views should be in the business of counting votes?

I am steadfastly a Bush supporter (with donation photos on the wall of my office), but I just sold the local Democratic National Committee a laser printer (a really nice one at that too). A honest business man will separate his personal matters from work matters, besides lets say he breaks the law to get Bush Ohio, he is gambling his very business because it's unlikely that anyone else will buy his machines again after he's caught.
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:14 am

hmm Jan although that would be tempting I'm afraid that "non-Deserving" drinkers will come more addicted to it than you scots, which means less for you.

I can offer free Kilts though. They are not very popular in the world.
 
MD11Engineer
Posts: 13899
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:25 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:18 am

I know that you ladies seem to fancy men in skirts, but sorry, no thanks! We´ve got our Lederhosen boys down in Bavaria...

Jan
 
Superfly
Posts: 37705
Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:20 am

PPGMD:
Diebold has a monopoly on those machines.
Florida is the only state that has a felony clause on the books. Besides that law hasn't been enforced since it was first enacted when the Union soldiers pulled out of The South in 1877.



Pilot kaz:
I love kilts!  Big thumbs up
I'll vote for youas long as you lower the drinking act and redefine what a REAL pint of beer is here in the U.S.
Beer pints in the U.K. are bigger.  Smile
 
KiwiNanday
Posts: 1334
Joined: Wed Aug 04, 2004 2:44 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:21 am

Vote For Kaz!

She has my vote!!!  Big grin
 
Superfly
Posts: 37705
Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:22 am

I wore a kilt once.
My best friend had a Scottish style wedding 10 years ago. Bagpipe player and everything.
I didn't feel that may manhood was threatend or anything. It was like a costume party.  Smokin cool
 
jasepl
Posts: 3499
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2004 3:15 pm

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:23 am

Kaz, could you add the words Bush and Kerry to the Stop Threads list? I'm getting tired of it. Wish they'd have the damn election already and end the mine's bigger than yours pap!
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:25 am

How about this in the Beer situation:

We all vote out a country. And the least most popular country will be converted into a brewery. A whole country dedicated to making beer for the rest of the world

that ok?

FREE BEER!
 
Mir
Posts: 19491
Joined: Mon Jan 05, 2004 3:55 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:25 am

Wow, Kerry has no shot, does he?

Bush and Kaz are just too formidible of opponents:

Bush: 5
Kaz: 10  Big thumbs up
Kerry and Nader: 0
 
PPGMD
Posts: 2398
Joined: Sun Sep 30, 2001 5:39 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:26 am

Superfly,

No one has a monopoly on hardware for long. If Diebold makes money other people will join the fray, but many business see it as a losing prospect because auditors increase the cost dramatically. But at the same time they units have to be affordable enough for even some of the poorest counties to afford.

I don't know of a single state that allows a felon to vote, last time I checked it was a national rule.

Besides that it's a moot point they have decided that the list of 47,000 names obtained was too flawed for use.
 
A3204eva
Posts: 1041
Joined: Wed Feb 18, 2004 4:25 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:28 am

My vote goes for Kaz so :P

Now where's my chocolate??? Big grin

A320
 
jasepl
Posts: 3499
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2004 3:15 pm

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:29 am

A whole country dedicated to making beer for the rest of the world

You do that, and we'll all make you Great Empress of the World!

Kaz: 100000000000000
Buch, Kerry, Blair, Gandhi, Chirac, Saddam, etc, etc: 0

End of contest!
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:37 am

Well Jasepl, Its needed in the world.

teenage boys would be to pissed to knock up there girlfriends thus solving teenage pregnancy.

Taxi Drivers would be rich from "Driving the Drunk" to there homes.

Youngsters will realize that life is a bitch earlier on in life

etc etc....
 
jasepl
Posts: 3499
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2004 3:15 pm

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:40 am

Youngsters will realize that life is a bitch earlier on in life

LOL! For that and beer alone...

Of course, I'll prolly still be sitting up at 4 am drinking Jack out of the bottle typing drivel on ANet (as I am now!)... But least the drink will be free, right?

[Edited 2004-08-28 00:44:03]
 
Mir
Posts: 19491
Joined: Mon Jan 05, 2004 3:55 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:42 am

You forgot that the increase in traffic accidents will help to slow the drastic population growth that is threatening to bring about global poverty.
 
MD11Engineer
Posts: 13899
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:25 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:48 am

Superfly,

I hope you wore the correct underwear under your kilt: None!

Kaz:
"Teenage boys would be too pissed to knock up their girlfriends thus solving teenage pregnancy"

I´ve noticed this in Ireland with some guys and girls (our companies trainees) in their late teens, early twenties...
We had a company party with free beer and those Irish blokes just sat there and got pissed. Since there was a life band playing, their girlfriends got bored and wanted to dance etc... with the foreign contractors Big grin

Jan
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:48 am

Mir.

as I said, Taxi drivers would benefit from driving the drunk.

but how to stop Them from Coming drunk?

Well simple really. They will be injected with a simple 'Boring person' vaccine. Or be stuck in front of Airliners.Net for 2 or 3 hours or so made to read about the failing 'Bush and Kerry' threads, they will be so bummed out that beer would not even be an issue to them anymore. Thus qualifying for a Rich ass taxi driver.
 
Superfly
Posts: 37705
Joined: Thu May 11, 2000 8:01 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:52 am

MD11Engineer:
You're correct. I didn't wear any underwear under my kilt.
 
MD11Engineer
Posts: 13899
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2003 5:25 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:56 am

Superfly,

Just like a boy scout: Always prepared  Wink/being sarcastic

Jan
 
joekuboj
Posts: 156
Joined: Tue Feb 10, 2004 8:18 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:26 am

Kaz +1  Smile/happy/getting dizzy

 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:42 am

Thanks for that joe  Big grin

FREE BEER AND CHOCOLATE FOR ALL!
 
SA006
Posts: 1818
Joined: Tue Sep 16, 2003 3:28 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:19 am

Joe - BRILLIANT!  Laugh out loud  Laugh out loud  Big thumbs up Big grin

LOL

Free beer? I am too young  Sad

Rgds
SA006
 
pilot kaz
Posts: 4591
Joined: Tue Apr 17, 2001 9:07 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:26 am

SA,

the law would change so that your able to drink at the age or 8.

besides should that matter? How many people here drink underage? Look at the world we are in now! Easiest way to solve it is to change the law to suit all! Big thumbs up
 
StevenUhl777
Posts: 3281
Joined: Sun Jul 08, 2001 11:02 am

RE: Your 2004 Presidential Prediction!

Sat Aug 28, 2004 1:01 pm

That was fun and all, I gave PA to Bush, as well as NH and OR. It came out with a pretty big electoral margin for Bush, which I don't think will happen.

The only thing that bothered me about it all was that Kerry was assigned red, and Bush with blue. That threw me at first, as we're all in the mindset of Bush/GOP=Red and Kerry/Dems=Blue.

All in good fun. It wouldn't surprise me to see a 269-269 tie, meaning it goes to the U.S. House, which is GOP controlled, meaning Bush wins. Even if it goes to the Senate, the GOP wins. In a tie in the Senate, the GOP wins.

So...BUSH WINS REGARDLESS.

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: sabenapilot, wirkey and 27 guests

Popular Searches On Airliners.net

Top Photos of Last:   24 Hours  •  48 Hours  •  7 Days  •  30 Days  •  180 Days  •  365 Days  •  All Time

Military Aircraft Every type from fighters to helicopters from air forces around the globe

Classic Airliners Props and jets from the good old days

Flight Decks Views from inside the cockpit

Aircraft Cabins Passenger cabin shots showing seat arrangements as well as cargo aircraft interior

Cargo Aircraft Pictures of great freighter aircraft

Government Aircraft Aircraft flying government officials

Helicopters Our large helicopter section. Both military and civil versions

Blimps / Airships Everything from the Goodyear blimp to the Zeppelin

Night Photos Beautiful shots taken while the sun is below the horizon

Accidents Accident, incident and crash related photos

Air to Air Photos taken by airborne photographers of airborne aircraft

Special Paint Schemes Aircraft painted in beautiful and original liveries

Airport Overviews Airport overviews from the air or ground

Tails and Winglets Tail and Winglet closeups with beautiful airline logos