Wow! Who'd be an opinion pollster today then?
As for the SNP, they seem to win more then in seats.
They can say 'look, the English always vote Tory, we were right, they only way to be rid of them is if we leave'.
Nevermind that their huge success played a big part in it, not only losing Labour all those seats but the very real fear elsewhere that Labour could only be propped up by them, agreement or not, no matter what Milliband said.
Because you cannot change a over 4 year largely negative image in one month, however true or fair that image is.
The press went wild on it but that was only in response to the image he had anyway, the 'brother' issue, the distraction of their 2010 leadership contest allowing the Tories and Lib Dems to frame the narrative even more than they managed in the 2010 election.
Callaghan stayed on for 18 months after 1979 however unlike Brown he was, despite losing in 1979, more personally popular.
Speaking of Brown, note to Labour, if you allow a coronation of a new leader, which was inevitable for many years, other potential talent is in short supply when the 'inevitable' leader eventually goes.
Sometimes in politics, a seemingly less important decision can come back and bite years later.
When the Scottish Referendum was announced and planning started, Labour could either have campaigned alone to stay in the Union or join 'Better Together' with the Tories and Lib Dems.
They made the obvious choice, 'we need most of all politically for Scotland to stay, 'Better Together' sounds good, one of our own is chairing it', it will set the right tone and best of all, concentrate resources on the battle not split it.
Most people would think that, unless they were in Scotland, their branch of the party knew better but were clearly overruled.
(Hence the fractious resignation of their leader AFTER the vote was won, since as they must have secretly feared all along the SNP capitalised so effectively on Labour being in league with the long toxic Tories and more recently loathed Lib Dems, hence their membership surge which last night blew Labour and the Lib Dems away).
Ignited too by Cameron's stance the next morning after the Referendum.
Even some Tories have feared that the tactic of damaging Labour this way has endangered the Union but as a plan, it worked way better than even he would have dreamed.
As many Labour people reported in the past two weeks, the SNP influence issue came up on the doorsteps time and again, this not only energised Tory voters it likely steered many away from UKIP too.
And made the Lib Dems plight worse.
Labour captured some Lib Dem seats and they needed to get them all in seats where they and Labour were the two front runners.
But the Tories captured a load off them too and that really boosted them, this I think is what the polls missed the most, in the past the Lib Dems have been hard to shift even when the political enviroment was bad for them. Until now.
But how can Cameron prevent the break up of the UK with such an incredible polarisation between England and Scotland politically?
To be fair he has stated a desire to not only grant more devolution for not only Scotland, as per the agreement late in the Referendum campaign but also to the regions.
With such an unexpected victory I hope he has the will and the political capital, for now at least, to go further.
Osbourne has talked of trying to create 'Northern Powerhouses', linking closer major cities.
It's not just Scotland, there is rising resentment of London SE
England over domination.
The majority of recent major building projects are in London to give one example.
They talk about 're-balancing' the economy', while encouraging inward investment, the motor industry has done well here recently, it's needs more than that and they probably know it.
This should be a Tory article of faith, devolving power, so why not go for it?
Should we look to the US or maybe Germany as a model - the latter probably.
Keep Defence, Bank Of England, Foreign Affairs, the Home Office and Ministry Of Justice in Westminster, the rest devolve to the regions everything else not clearly done best at a national level.
Local tax raising powers.
The latter could even be a problem for the SNP given how an independent analysis of their plans in this area found it amounted to an effective £6-7 Billion spending cut (and they cannot rely on oil as we've seen). From a population of 5 million? Ouch.
No Barnett Formula either.
Even at their most polished, the SNP could not blame the English aside from their real die hards, it's their own policy.
So they might want to get better terms within the framework of the agreement.
We'll start with Trident shall we?
You cite your needs given certain conditions unique to Scotland we'll cite ours, national security included.
Away from all that, glad to see Farage gone - UKIP have peaked, only the defecting MP
Carswell kept a seat and is locally popular anyway.
Better still, goodbye Galloway too. I hear Palestine is nice and warm.