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Nobody on this forum has any inside information regarding the conflict to make any sort of policy judgement. Its all talking points that make no difference one way or another.
ContentCreator wrote:What are you wanting to know that you think is not in the public domain: the color of Assad's underwear?Nobody on this forum has any inside information regarding the conflict to make any sort of policy judgement. Its all talking points that make no difference one way or another.
salttee wrote:So now Russia and Iran have Syria. Good riddance I say.
salttee wrote:Also, Iran wants to exert some regional hegemony and there is no reason for the US to go to war to prevent that.
BMI727 wrote:----
salttee wrote:What are you wanting to know that you think is not in the public domain: the color of Assad's underwear?
The Arab spring came to Syria maybe with the help of US, French or Saudi intelligence services - or maybe not, but it came. It looked to everyone back then like Assad wasn't going to last long. And to answer the OP, I can't say that I would have recommended anything different than the actions that Obama took, except for not promising action against chemical warfare when he had no intention of getting the US bogged down in another war in the ME. But that's just hindsight, I wouldn't have believed that Assad would continue with petty unproductive uses of chemical warfare either. It turned out to be a great talking point for the neocons though.
So now Russia and Iran have Syria. Good riddance I say. The US didn't cause that particular problem and the US has no reason to own the problem. Russia wants a deep water port in the Med, so let them have one. Also, Iran wants to exert some regional hegemony and there is no reason for the US to go to war to prevent that. Our only interest in the region is to disrupt the militant Islamic fundamentalists and prevent them from controlling territory as they once did in Afghanistan. Assad is not part of that problem.
As Obama has pointed out, the US has no compelling interests in the Levant / Mesopotamia. We are not the world's policeman.
BMI727 wrote:The deal is that the US supports a free Kurdistan and in return the Kurds stop causing problems in Turkey. Turkey should be supported, grudgingly considering their recent Islamist slide, and lose no territory to a new Kurdish state. It should, of course, be made clear that further movement against democracy or towards Islamism could be met by pulling support or additional support to Greece and Kurdistan.
pvjin wrote:
I agree, apart from getting rid of Assad and the Eastern Europe part. Kurds definitely do deserve their own state, they seem to have a healthy sense of patriotism and dislike for radical Islam, no doubt they could build a more successful and democratic state in 10 years than Arabs could do in 50. But in Arab world disgusting dictators are needed in most areas because otherwise you'll have ISIS, democracy doesn't work if people aren't ready for it.
DocLightning wrote:
Anyway, the solution to ISIS is going to be to cut their gravy train, and that will start in KSA.
BMI727 wrote:While this is true we need to keep in mind that this is really just treating the symptom. We do need to deny the militant Islamic fundamentalists a state or a protected territory where they can run training camps or accumulate arms, and also deny them the the prestige of having a territory; however, this really does nothing to address the root causes of the militant Islamic movement. That is a separate issue.Defeating ISIS is priority number one.
BMI727 wrote:That will not happen now and it probably won't happen in our lifetimes. Turkey is an absolutely critical ally for the west and the Kurdish resistance is their number one issue. They are not going to cut the eastern third of their country loose; no country gives up territory willingly and Turkey is especially entrenched on this subject; they see the loss of the eastern part as a strategic threat to their nation that is larger than just the Kurd problem.One end game in all this must be the creation and support of a free and independent Kurdistan carved out of norther Iraq.
BMI727 wrote:You didn't learn a thing from Bush's gambit into Iraq or the US involvement in Vietnam did you? Those "rebels" are the front line of Iran's colonization of Yemen. They might as well be wearing Iranian army uniforms. If you want to get in a mixup there you might just as well go to the source in the beginning and invade Iran. But wait! don't they also have a border with Russia? Wouldn't Russia do the same for them as they did for the Vietnamese? This wouldn't be Iraq squared, it would be Iraq cubed. Besides Iran is doing us a favor by grinding down the KSA and all those Sunni militants. Just like Syria, let them have it, we don't want it anyway.The US Navy should begin escorting ships through the Mandeb strait on a regular basis and America should step up materiel support to the Saudis in their fight against Houthi rebels in Yemen. The American government should also pressure Iran to cease their support for the Houthis.
BMI727 wrote:I can't really argue against this. Putin wants a renewal of the cold war, I think that we're in a good starting position. This time around it's just Russia; there's no Soviet Union. It won't take long and we will have 1989 all over again.Meanwhile in Europe, the US must move to fortify eastern European allies and support NATO. The reality is that Poland and other countries in the region must be made to be like West Germany years ago. Efforts to expand and tighten NATO should be emphasized.
TheF15Ace wrote:My guess is that AIPAC made him an offer he couldn't resist in an election year.On a slightly unrelated note while I haven't been critical of Obama's handling of Syria, I am absolutely disgusted about his support for Saudi operations in Yemen.
par13del wrote:The Kurds may not get a homeland in Turkey but northern Iraq now under their control will most likely remain. If not, it will be destroyed by a massive invasion from the south - Iraq Sunni and Shia - and Turkey. It will be a civil war to end all civil wars, as I'm sure someone not Turkey will look to assist the Kurds, it may not be the USA, as they will continue to play politics, but others would be willing to give arms.
pvjin wrote:But in Arab world disgusting dictators are needed in most areas because otherwise you'll have ISIS, democracy doesn't work if people aren't ready for it.
PacificBeach88 wrote:BMI...you do realize that if the USA creates or supports a free Kurdistan, the Kurd people already Turkish citizens will rebel right?
TheF15Ace wrote:On a slightly unrelated note while I haven't been critical of Obama's handling of Syria, I am absolutely disgusted about his support for Saudi operations in Yemen.
salttee wrote:Turkey is an absolutely critical ally for the west and the Kurdish resistance is their number one issue. They are not going to cut the eastern third of their country loose; no country gives up territory willingly and Turkey is especially entrenched on this subject; they see the loss of the eastern part as a strategic threat to their nation that is larger than just the Kurd problem.
salttee wrote:Those "rebels" are the front line of Iran's colonization of Yemen.
salttee wrote:They might as well be wearing Iranian army uniforms. If you want to get in a mixup there you might just as well go to the source in the beginning and invade Iran.
salttee wrote:I can't really argue against this. Putin wants a renewal of the cold war, I think that we're in a good starting position. This time around it's just Russia; there's no Soviet Union. It won't take long and we will have 1989 all over again.
PacificBeach88 wrote:Granted, my comment isn't exactly about Syria, but I always thought Joe Biden's 2008 Presidential run, where he thought dividing Iraq into 3 separate states with proper oil sharing rights, and 1 national Iraq was an interesting idea. Not sure if that would work, or not.
BMI727 wrote:TheF15Ace wrote:On a slightly unrelated note while I haven't been critical of Obama's handling of Syria, I am absolutely disgusted about his support for Saudi operations in Yemen.
I suppose you missed that the Houthis have attacked US Navy ships several times and successfully attacked an Emirati vessel in the last few weeks.
BMI727 wrote:PacificBeach88 wrote:BMI...you do realize that if the USA creates or supports a free Kurdistan, the Kurd people already Turkish citizens will rebel right?
I think that is far from a certainty. The premise of a free Kurdistan is that would have to be fully carved from Iraq and result in no loss of territory for Turkey. Kurds in Turkey would be faced with either moving or being Kurds in Turkey. Furthermore, the US should stipulate that Kurdistan not support any insurgency in Turkey and fully support Turks against Kurdish rebels in Turkey. This may require an American peacekeeping force along the border, but that is a small price to pay.
TheF15Ace wrote:The Saudi's say their fighting only the Houthis but seem to have no problem deliberately targeting the civilian population as well. And there is that little problem of closing off the country so that aid cannot get through and tens of thousands of people are left to starve. So no I will not support the actions there.
TheF15Ace wrote:You honestly expect no retaliation on military targets?
salttee wrote:I think that is an absolute certainty. The Kurds want a Kurdistan, not a half a Kurdistan.
salttee wrote:If the US decides to meddle in the region for the benefit of the Kurds we will be a destabilizing force against four currently existing nation states, we would essentially make ourselves the enemy of 150 million people.
salttee wrote:What part of NO MORE LOST WARS - NO MORE VIETNAMS - NO MORE IRAQs, WE ARE NOT THE WORLD's POLICEMAN don't you understand?
BMI727 wrote:TheF15Ace wrote:The Saudi's say their fighting only the Houthis but seem to have no problem deliberately targeting the civilian population as well. And there is that little problem of closing off the country so that aid cannot get through and tens of thousands of people are left to starve. So no I will not support the actions there.
Support for the Saudis doesn't have to have no strings attached. That's part of the beauty of supplying other people to fight for what you want.
And you can be a thug or you can be unfriendly to America, but if you're both we're gonna have a problem. Assad is a problem.
BMI727 wrote:They're not going to get all of it, and while ISIS is the top priority, the potential fallout is the US strengthening support for Turkey.
That said, I think the Kurds can handle it. These people have been crapped on for decades and abandoned repeatedly by the Americans. We owe them one.
pvjin wrote:And you can be a thug or you can be unfriendly to America, but if you're both we're gonna have a problem. Assad is a problem.
Well, exactly that kind of thinking drove Iraq and Libya into chaos & gave us ISIS. So as an European whose country has suffered as a direct consequence of the chaos I must oppose that way of thinking. I don't want Syrian conflict to continue going on forever just because Uncle Sam doesn't like Assad, we don't have a giant Ocean between us and the conflict zone.
seb146 wrote:pvjin wrote:And you can be a thug or you can be unfriendly to America, but if you're both we're gonna have a problem. Assad is a problem.
Well, exactly that kind of thinking drove Iraq and Libya into chaos & gave us ISIS. So as an European whose country has suffered as a direct consequence of the chaos I must oppose that way of thinking. I don't want Syrian conflict to continue going on forever just because Uncle Sam doesn't like Assad, we don't have a giant Ocean between us and the conflict zone.
Assad, the Kurds and IS are going to be fighting each other. Let them.
All these people who simply want war forget about Iraq and Vietnam and forget that Bush's Iraq war led to IS.
People are going to find ways to justify their horrific acts of violence. What would be better in the long term is education. But, that does not sell guns.
jetblueguy22 wrote:seb146 wrote:pvjin wrote:
Well, exactly that kind of thinking drove Iraq and Libya into chaos & gave us ISIS. So as an European whose country has suffered as a direct consequence of the chaos I must oppose that way of thinking. I don't want Syrian conflict to continue going on forever just because Uncle Sam doesn't like Assad, we don't have a giant Ocean between us and the conflict zone.
Assad, the Kurds and IS are going to be fighting each other. Let them.
All these people who simply want war forget about Iraq and Vietnam and forget that Bush's Iraq war led to IS.
People are going to find ways to justify their horrific acts of violence. What would be better in the long term is education. But, that does not sell guns.
Can never have a political thread without Seb blaming Bush about something!
salttee wrote:We owe ourselves and our children an end to these military sojourns into third world countries which pose no threat to the United States
salttee wrote:You're the same person who crowed about bringing democracy to Vietnam
salttee wrote:who thought it a clever idea to support the Islamist nutjobs in Afghanistan in the 80s
seb146 wrote:Assad, the Kurds and IS are going to be fighting each other. Let them.
blacksoviet wrote:The Americans can fight for as long as they want. Assad will never be defeated. Assad is here to stay.
BMI727 wrote:salttee wrote:We owe ourselves and our children an end to these military sojourns into third world countries which pose no threat to the United States
ISIS posed no threat to France or Belgium either. Do you and others forget the lessons written in blood after only fifteen years? After all, it's only a destroyer in Yemen and not a real threat to the US...salttee wrote:You're the same person who crowed about bringing democracy to Vietnam
The lesson of Vietnam is that you must either be decisive or untouchable. For the situation in the Middle East now, the right answer is untouchable. Limit the exposure to a handful of intelligence types and special operators, there are other people to be in harm's way.salttee wrote:who thought it a clever idea to support the Islamist nutjobs in Afghanistan in the 80s
For as much dumb stuff as Jimmy Carter did, his response to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan was right on the money. It is one of the master strokes of American post-WWII foreign policy. Intervening from afar to make sure the bad guys bleed is the right policy once again and in this case the bad guys are ISIS, the Assad regime, the Houthis and the Russians.
The narrative that the US support for the mujahideen against the Soviets kicked off a chain of events leading directly to 9/11 is folklore in which Osama Bin Laden is some sort of jihadi King Arthur.seb146 wrote:Assad, the Kurds and IS are going to be fighting each other. Let them.
...and make sure that the right groups win.blacksoviet wrote:The Americans can fight for as long as they want. Assad will never be defeated. Assad is here to stay.
The Americans should support the rebels such that the situation in Syria is as precarious as possible for Assad. The right policy is to keep the powder keg dry and the fuze lit so that Assad and the Russians must expend as many resources as possible to get what they want. Make it bloody and make it expensive.
blacksoviet wrote:The Russians are prepared to spend as much money as necessary to preserve the Assad regime.
blacksoviet wrote:The best thing for the United States to do is to help the Russians and the Syrian Army defeat ISIS.
...and make sure that the right groups win.
The Americans should support the rebels such that the situation in Syria is as precarious as possible for Assad. The right policy is to keep the powder keg dry and the fuze lit so that Assad and the Russians must expend as many resources as possible to get what they want. Make it bloody and make it expensive.
pvjin wrote:...and make sure that the right groups win.
What are the right groups? ISIS? Those who aren't ISIS but would prefer to kill religious minorities and homosexuals? Or those who would prefer to only jail said groups?The Americans should support the rebels such that the situation in Syria is as precarious as possible for Assad. The right policy is to keep the powder keg dry and the fuze lit so that Assad and the Russians must expend as many resources as possible to get what they want. Make it bloody and make it expensive.
Never mind a couple of hundred or thousand dead Europeans as a result of the chaos that your policy is causing there?
If the United States keeps supporting terrorists in Syria I hope that policy will some day bite you back, like it did on 11th of September 2001.
pvjin wrote:What are the right groups?
pvjin wrote:Never mind a couple of hundred or thousand dead Europeans as a result of the chaos that your policy is causing there?
pvjin wrote:If the United States keeps supporting terrorists in Syria I hope that policy will some day bite you back, like it did on 11th of September 2001
BMI727 wrote:The idea that the American intervention in Afghanistan led to 9/11 is a fabrication. Certain elements have taken a couple real people's names and real places and stitched them into a tall tale to convey their ideas, regardless of historical accuracy. It's just not true.
blacksoviet wrote:BMI727 wrote:salttee wrote:We owe ourselves and our children an end to these military sojourns into third world countries which pose no threat to the United States
ISIS posed no threat to France or Belgium either. Do you and others forget the lessons written in blood after only fifteen years? After all, it's only a destroyer in Yemen and not a real threat to the US...salttee wrote:You're the same person who crowed about bringing democracy to Vietnam
The lesson of Vietnam is that you must either be decisive or untouchable. For the situation in the Middle East now, the right answer is untouchable. Limit the exposure to a handful of intelligence types and special operators, there are other people to be in harm's way.salttee wrote:who thought it a clever idea to support the Islamist nutjobs in Afghanistan in the 80s
For as much dumb stuff as Jimmy Carter did, his response to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan was right on the money. It is one of the master strokes of American post-WWII foreign policy. Intervening from afar to make sure the bad guys bleed is the right policy once again and in this case the bad guys are ISIS, the Assad regime, the Houthis and the Russians.
The narrative that the US support for the mujahideen against the Soviets kicked off a chain of events leading directly to 9/11 is folklore in which Osama Bin Laden is some sort of jihadi King Arthur.seb146 wrote:Assad, the Kurds and IS are going to be fighting each other. Let them.
...and make sure that the right groups win.blacksoviet wrote:The Americans can fight for as long as they want. Assad will never be defeated. Assad is here to stay.
The Americans should support the rebels such that the situation in Syria is as precarious as possible for Assad. The right policy is to keep the powder keg dry and the fuze lit so that Assad and the Russians must expend as many resources as possible to get what they want. Make it bloody and make it expensive.
The Russians are prepared to spend as much money as necessary to preserve the Assad regime. The terrorists will never be able to overthrow Assad. If the United States wants to take out Assad, they will have to send ground troops into Syria to take Damascus. The American people will revolt. The American people will never support a ground war against Assad. Russia, Iran and Hezbollah will never allow the United States to topple Assad. It's just not gonna happen.
The best thing for the United States to do is to help the Russians and the Syrian Army defeat ISIS. Whether the US likes it or not, Assad is here to stay.
BMI727 wrote:pvjin wrote:If the United States keeps supporting terrorists in Syria I hope that policy will some day bite you back, like it did on 11th of September 2001
The idea that the American intervention in Afghanistan led to 9/11 is a fabrication. Certain elements have taken a couple real people's names and real places and stitched them into a tall tale to convey their ideas, regardless of historical accuracy. The CIA Agent of The Lake handed the Redeye to Osama and we were off...
It's just not true.
salttee wrote:pvjin isn't right about much, but he's right about that.
salttee wrote:In a way it was a joint Russian / US effort that militarized the Islamic Fundis.
seb146 wrote:Maybe they should just let Russia take it. Let them pour all their money and resources into an endless war.
seb146 wrote:The United States funded the Taliban, which fought against Soviet occupation.
seb146 wrote:When the Soviets left, the Taliban took over and gave shelter to extremists like al-Qaida. The rest is history.
BMI727 wrote:salttee wrote:pvjin isn't right about much, but he's right about that.
He's not right. It's a modern piece of mythology.salttee wrote:In a way it was a joint Russian / US effort that militarized the Islamic Fundis.
Islamic fundamentalism existed before 1979 and would still exist regardless of American intervention in Afghanistan.seb146 wrote:Maybe they should just let Russia take it. Let them pour all their money and resources into an endless war.
Letting Russia take it would be a huge mistake. The US should support the rebels to ensure that the war is endless and that if the Russians want their thug in Syria and their Mediterranean port that it will cost them dearly in blood and money.seb146 wrote:The United States funded the Taliban, which fought against Soviet occupation.
The Taliban did not originate until well into the 1990s and was almost entirely a Pakistani creation. America had very little, if anything, to do with the Taliban gaining power in Afghanistan.seb146 wrote:When the Soviets left, the Taliban took over and gave shelter to extremists like al-Qaida. The rest is history.
In fact, far from causing 9/11, directly or otherwise, the American intervention on behalf of the mujahideen in the 1980s greatly assisted the execution of the early parts of the War on Terror to the point where Bin Laden narrowly escaped capture in late 2001.
seb146 wrote:Keep telling yourself whatever lets you sleep at night. But rewriting history does a great disservice to everyone.
seb146 wrote:That American base in Saudi Arabia was closed shortly after the al-Qaida attack.
BMI727 wrote:seb146 wrote:Keep telling yourself whatever lets you sleep at night. But rewriting history does a great disservice to everyone.
It appears that you are misunderstanding. What I posted are the actual facts regarding what transpired in that region of the world. Your version is a revisionist urban legend.
The characterization of Operation Cyclone that you (and to be fair many others) present is no different than how the real St. Nicholas became evolved into Santa Claus as a way for parents to get their kids to behave around the holidays.seb146 wrote:That American base in Saudi Arabia was closed shortly after the al-Qaida attack.
It was closed in 2003 after the invasion of Iraq, so a presence in Saudi Arabia to prevent (more) Iraqi aggression was no longer necessary.