Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
tommy1808 wrote:The space between is where the UK can negotiate. The technique is known as pre-commitment, and fairly common in negotiations.
Best regards
Thomas
Olddog wrote:Yes they can, because the clock is ticking and the wto conditions that don't include services are at the end of the path.
Whatever happens, UK will have to pay its commitments, but it could be way harder for UK if EU cut access to the city , euro clearing and passporting services. You can act like if the final deal is what you wanted since the beginning for internal purposes but I don't think anyone will be fooled.
par13del wrote:tommy1808 wrote:The space between is where the UK can negotiate. The technique is known as pre-commitment, and fairly common in negotiations.
Best regards
Thomas
So we are in agreement, the difference between the two values is something that has to be negotiated and cannot be mandated by the EU.
LAH1 wrote:I just noticed this report by the Office of National Statistics as per the BBC. It seems that rather than leaving in droves some EU citizens are actually wanting to stay.
Olddog wrote:You will get the deal the EU 27 want. UK is not leading that negotiation.
UltimoTiger777 wrote:No, they'll get the deal we agree to. They can't have their cake and eat it now can they?
LJ wrote:LAH1 wrote:I just noticed this report by the Office of National Statistics as per the BBC. It seems that rather than leaving in droves some EU citizens are actually wanting to stay.
Dano1977 wrote:seahawk wrote:Most Germans would leave the EU when given a choice. But that does not mean that they will support a special deal for the UK.
We don't want a special deal - We want a non punitive fair deal.
Jayafe wrote:
You want to avoid any previous commitment, any future obligation, and keep all the special inner conditions.
You want to eat the cake and have the cake, simply selfish and arrogant, as usual, UK.
UltimoTiger777 wrote:No, they'll get the deal we agree to. They can't have their cake and eat it now can they?
par13del wrote:What is interesting about this is they do not state how they are going to get the EU to agree to this, unless it is at whatever price the EU charges
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-41064314
Jayafe wrote:Because if the EU doesnt agree, the UK will then leave the EU. Oh wait...........
par13del wrote:Jayafe wrote:Because if the EU doesnt agree, the UK will then leave the EU. Oh wait...........
Precisely, it is not up to Labour , so how can they promise not to leave the Customs Union?
Olddog wrote:The problem for the UK is they have an illusion. They still think it is a negotiation between equals, while when you compare the UK to EU 27, the gorilla in the room is the EU...
Jayafe wrote:
And they somehow think being out of the EU can have a better deal with the EU than the one they had being a member of the EU...
Olddog wrote:I doubt that solution is still possible. What the UK asks is a transition so they can continue as usual while trying to screw EU with new trade deals.As I heard on the radio (BFMBusiness) the UK is basically asking EU to bend over so it will be easier to screw us....
Olddog wrote:But that transition period is asked by the UK for the UK. Where is the EU interest?
seahawk wrote:You can only have a transition if you know the final goal.
par13del wrote:Olddog wrote:But that transition period is asked by the UK for the UK. Where is the EU interest?
Hence my question, what would be the purpose of the transition period, it was not specific to the UK.
Once outside of the EU, the UK would no longer have access to trade negotiations taking place, so the ability to influence what the EU is doing would be minimal, institutional knowledge of the EU inner workings is a given as a ex member, nothing either side can do about that unless a non-disclosure clause is required.
If the UK cannot negotiate deals during the period, it simple penalizes them for what gain, which is my question, continued access to the common market, customs union, etc etc.
I honestly do not know.
UltimoTiger777 wrote:seahawk wrote:You can only have a transition if you know the final goal.
Being outside the EU?
Jayafe wrote:Part of being out of the EU is building legislation, agencies and facilities for all the new organisms that will handle everything that was previously handled as per EU legislation. Patents, meds, customs, etc. It is a MASSIVE work that takes years, not only to start working, but also to have all the legal coverage consolidated and adapted to the new reality. Whatever the final deal is, the UK will not be ready in 2019, hence the transition period. And the EU is not stupid, the same way that while leaving they are not allowed to settle down external trade agreements, if a transitional "grace" period is granted to allow the island to get its facilities working, the same blocking policy also applies.
par13del wrote:Honestly don't see how the UK being able to negotiate trade deals during the transition period hurts the EU, but I'm willing to do more research.
Olddog wrote:The Fun part is that the uk is trying to ask the same deals for the Uk than EU trade deals. Like if UK = EU27![]()
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par13del wrote:Olddog wrote:The Fun part is that the uk is trying to ask the same deals for the Uk than EU trade deals. Like if UK = EU27![]()
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Trade between the EU and the UK will be a huge source of revenue going forward, imagine the financial impact of the increased tariff rates from the preferential EU rates to WTO or at least the rates that both sides now charge on non-EU goods? The EU needs the increased revenue to offset UK contributions and the UK needs the revenue to build its economy independently.
Ease of trade is the only thing that makes any kind of sense right now, but regardless, the invisible border has to disappear, good thing for all concerned is that the UK is still an island and the access points are limited and more easily patrolled, imagine a mainland EU member leaving the union withe massive land borders to multiple countries.
Jayafe wrote:- What also needs to be avoided is the UK having a privileged deal with the EU, deals with 3rd parties, to in the end act as a middle point for other countries to export to the EU shipping via UK. With the British just sitting in between counting money. Kind of UK style actually..........
-The UK is 2 islands actually, not one, with a land border with the EU.
par13del wrote:Trade between the EU and the UK will be a huge source of revenue going forward, imagine the financial impact of the increased tariff rates from the preferential EU rates to WTO or at least the rates that both sides now charge on non-EU goods? The EU needs the increased revenue to offset UK contributions and the UK needs the revenue to build its economy independently.
Ease of trade is the only thing that makes any kind of sense right now, but regardless, the invisible border has to disappear, good thing for all concerned is that the UK is still an island and the access points are limited and more easily patrolled, imagine a mainland EU member leaving the union withe massive land borders to multiple countries.
LJ wrote:You're not seriously arguing that going to WTO rates will be beneficial for both EU and UK? Trade will go down and thus no financial benefit will take, moreover as prices of goods go up and either profits may come down thus less income tax or the end user must pay more and thus can buy less.
par13del wrote:LJ wrote:You're not seriously arguing that going to WTO rates will be beneficial for both EU and UK? Trade will go down and thus no financial benefit will take, moreover as prices of goods go up and either profits may come down thus less income tax or the end user must pay more and thus can buy less.
Rates will not be the preferential rates of a EU member, whether it is WTO rates is up to the negotiators, but rates should rise as membership ceases..
Trade with other nations outside the EU is not in decline and their rates are higher than the EU rates. In the short term prices have to rise, the cost of expanding border infrastructure has to be paid. EU goods entering the UK will have to receive additional inspections, ditto on the EU side, this infrastructure has to be funded, as the UK standards deviate from the EU, this will be even more critical.
The citizens in the UK are expecting to save money by not contributing to the EU, raising taxes to fund border infrastructure will not be palatable, especially if an agreement is made to pay some divorce bill, which also has to come from somewhere, you don't really believe that a country which has debt and is running a deficit has billions of dollars just sitting there waiting to be spent?
Building trade with the rest of the world will take time, in the long term as trade outside the EU increases one would expect prices to come down, but the short term I would expect increases, especially from smaller vendors who may not want to invest in the additional "measures" that would be required to export to the UK.
EU Brexit negotiators were left “flabbergasted” after their British counterparts launched a legal deconstruction of the so-called “Brexit bill” Wednesday as the Brussels talks headed for an increasingly acrimonious impasse, EU sources have told The Telegraph.
British negotiators spent three hours launching a painstaking, line-by-line rebuttal of the EU’s demands for €100bn divorce settlement to the barely concealed fury of EU negotiators.
"There was total amazement,” the EU source said, “Everyone was completely flabbergasted that this young man from Whitehall was saying that the EU's preparation on the financial settlement was 'inadequate'. It did not go down well."
Dano1977 wrote:We reject the €100 billion bill.EU Brexit negotiators were left “flabbergasted” after their British counterparts launched a legal deconstruction of the so-called “Brexit bill” Wednesday as the Brussels talks headed for an increasingly acrimonious impasse, EU sources have told The Telegraph.
British negotiators spent three hours launching a painstaking, line-by-line rebuttal of the EU’s demands for €100bn divorce settlement to the barely concealed fury of EU negotiators.
"There was total amazement,” the EU source said, “Everyone was completely flabbergasted that this young man from Whitehall was saying that the EU's preparation on the financial settlement was 'inadequate'. It did not go down well."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08 ... dismantle/
I would like to see a breakdown of this bill.
What obligations we have under current treaties and directives
So they reject the EU methodology but refuse to put forward a their own.... basically the UK say they don't have any post-Brexit obligations.
JJJ wrote:Dano1977 wrote:We reject the €100 billion bill.EU Brexit negotiators were left “flabbergasted” after their British counterparts launched a legal deconstruction of the so-called “Brexit bill” Wednesday as the Brussels talks headed for an increasingly acrimonious impasse, EU sources have told The Telegraph.
British negotiators spent three hours launching a painstaking, line-by-line rebuttal of the EU’s demands for €100bn divorce settlement to the barely concealed fury of EU negotiators.
"There was total amazement,” the EU source said, “Everyone was completely flabbergasted that this young man from Whitehall was saying that the EU's preparation on the financial settlement was 'inadequate'. It did not go down well."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08 ... dismantle/
I would like to see a breakdown of this bill.
What obligations we have under current treaties and directives
So they reject the EU methodology but refuse to put forward a their own.... basically the UK say they don't have any post-Brexit obligations.
That's fine, as long as they don't want much from the post-Brexit trade deal.