The meaningful vote gets postponed and postponed, deadlines shift and move, friendly backbenchers come up with vague motions sending her back to Brussels to reopen talks and drag out things further and win even more time, all with the one and same purpose: coming back to the Commons with a clear choice in the last week of March only: vote for whatever TM will have on offer by then (pretty much the same as was voted down in JAN, plus some kind words) or she'll extend.
She needs the EU for an extension of article 50. It's highly questionable if every EU country is willing to agree to it.
An extension of just a few weeks to sort technicalities out will be granted;
an extension of say 3 to 6 months just to continue the domestic fighting in Parliament won't.
But a "lengthy extension" of say 1 to 2 years to start all over again from scratch? Nobody knows...
It's the revocation in all but name, really.
Anyway, it's allegedly the plan of the PM, according to her chief negotiator in Brussels, who was accidentally overheard by an ITV reporter in a pub in Brussels, talking to a eurocrat about the government strategy he's working with, so it's not just some rumour, it's what 'Team UK' in Brussels is actually working with.
Whether its realistic or not, remains to be seen, but it is fully consistent with all the actions we've seen from TM, up until this point.
It all plays out nicely for her personally, and it saves the face of her party... for the UK's economy and businesses however, it means things will get a lot worse still, but clearly all of that is second to personal and party interests.
Can you blame her? She has the most undesirable job in politics at the moment. Why she still wants doing it is a mystery to me.
Well, can I blame her?
She's doing her job with a lot of sense of duty, that's for sure, but it does seem to be the case that while she's trying her very best to deliver 'a' Brexit, she's undeniably also keeping a close eye on both her own legacy (the red lines which she herself drew and got her into trouble and yet which she doesn't want to let go off), as well as the future unity of her party.
She's nearing the point where those 2 are getting in direct conflict with the wellbeing of the country however, and yet she's not doing (yet) what a states(wo)man should do in that situation: put country before party and selfinterest, so yes, I can (start to) blame her as she increasingly shows signs of doing exactly this.
Remember there's an easy and clear path to 'a' Brexit: it has been offered by Jeremy Corbyn (of which I am no fan): sign up to a CU and stay close to (effectively 'in') the SM: it will get voted through Parliament with an overwhelming majority, it's not in conflict with the referendum's question and thus its result and it safeguards British businesses, jobs and the economy, while the EU has already signalled it will accept it too: in other words, Brexit could be done and dusted in 24 hours, with maybe a small extension of just a few weeks to fill in all the paperwork.
All it takes is for TM to lose some face by wiping out a few of her red lines and possibly also the support of the most radical part of her party (who's been voting against her pretty much any time anyway...), yet clearly that is too much to ask from her, even if it is to save the country from the biggest political, and possibly also soon economic crisis since WWII....
Last edited by sabenapilot
on Wed Feb 13, 2019 12:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.