It’s been a while since I posted in this Brexit forum - I am fascinated by what’s going on from the other side of the Atlantic and wanted to share a few observations from an American perspective. I’ve had fun discussions with some of you in the past and they have been friendly polite discussions of the issues. - Plenty to say, so I hope y’all read it and come back with any sensible comments.
- i think the UK government has played this one so badly. From day 1. I think the issue stems from the fact that they didn’t think the Leave campaign actually thought they would win. IMO they should have spent a year planning what Brexit should mean before triggering the Article 50 leave clause or whatever that is.
A genuine question for you folk - if one of your countries voted to leave, would y’all be so amazingly well organized, and your parliaments all in total agreement in the leaving process too? I doubt it. It’s a divisive issue, and I doubt any country could leave in a smooth orderly way. UK’s downfall - no plan from day 1.
- I’ve been out of the loop because I’ve been working for a US senator here in the States for some time now. I get to meet and talk to some incredible influential people. I ask them about Brexit occasionally. Their response? The UK is big enough, and influential enough to get through it and come out and potentially do very well. That will horrify most of you. You all want poor little UK to fail miserably.
Why you all think its a tiny insignificant little island? Only worthy if part of your club? It’s not. To people outside Europe the UK carries huge weight. You all underestimate the power that London commands - only New York on a global scale competes. Who here knows what the capital of Netherlands is? ask anyone in America - no one knows or cares. But they all know London.
The UK’s reach stretches way beyond little Europe, it has a decent military force, and it has nuclear weapons. So claiming it is going to become an insignificant rock in the Atlantic is just pointless
- Countries are lining up wanting to do FTA’s with the UK. Might not be signed yet, but they will be. Having spoken to representatives of countries already holding discussions - of course the USA - they will want their cake, so we’ll see how that one pans out but they want a FTA, New Zealand, Australia, Canada, countries in Asia, plus others in S America etc, all these countries want to do deals. I hear rumors from representatives of certain EU states that want to do some trade deals, and their attitude right now is - Fuck Brussels because if we don’t do something, we’re gonna suffer badly. So we have to work something out.
- leads me on to my last point. What will happen short term. I think it will be messy as hell for the UK at first. Just figuring shit out. The uncertainty is driving people mad and extending this process won’t help anyone. The divisions in the UK politics is concerning for many stateside, as stable government creates feeling of a country in a good place and that’s not what we are seeing in the UK right now. So the sooner this gets resolved the better.
Talking to influential people here in the USA, the general feeling is - they should leave on no deal, suck up the immediate pain, then become a new global force again. I think that’s why I see so much anger and vitriol towards the UK on this forum. You all HATE the thought of someone leaving and becoming successful. That would just shit on the heads of your EU project and no one can allow that to happen right?
(Before anyone bitches that the USA is a political basket case - y’all are right. Shit show here too. Painful I’m telling ya. Hahahaha.