Elections are coming no ifs or buts, its just a matter if they are before the current deadline or after if its before then the government should form a majority if its after then it comes down to alliance building but will Corbyn lead is the next question.
Indeed, although technically, it could also happen that no elections are held this year and another PM simply takes over.
The scenario is forseen in the law -albeit as a remote possibility-, yet the stars are ligning up for it if BoJo indeed intends to ignore the law on the EU summit of October the 17th.
In that case the likely political response to that (next to all the legal aspects) is going to be a vote of no confidence and the rapid installation of a caretaking PM who's main duty it will be to put the extension request with the EU in so an extraordinary EU Council can be organized…
Once this caretaking government is up and running, it really is up to the alliance in support of it to decide if and when they call elections: it could be November, it could be early 2020 or it could just complete the rest of the fixed term in fact, depending the situation and probably in sync with what the EU proposes as extension period and all with an eye on the opinion polls too of course.
BoJo really is the last chip of the Brexiteers, and he's at risk of being ousted; if he fails, Brexit as it has been defined by them (ever harder) is going to go down with him.
Also the other question is if Macron does not veto will the EU put in a 2-5 year extension in as was proposed at one time
If you have to rely on President Macron booting the UK out, you're going to get disappointed: he's being very though on Brexiteers, but he knows that the failure must be theirs to own for it to cary enough weight to be seen as a project never to try at home. He's agreed to the 2 previous extensions, and he'll go along with the next one as well.
in the end, Britain is ruled by this government as long as they have the confidence of the Parliament. If Johnson doesn't obey with the law, he should be sent on its way and an interim PM should go to Brussels and ask for an extension. This is the next step, who the f*ck things this man is? Ignoring the law like that, even thinking about that is beyond me and makes you instantly unfit for office.
And it's what is going to happen too.
Says a lot about Brexiteers respect for the law, the insitutions and democracy as a whole really.
"Taking back control" was it? Seems to me like it is simply "Grabbing power" and then abolishing democracy!
The power of a PM is ZERO if he has no majority in Parliament and this has been brutally demonstrated this week and it will be over the next few weeks time and time again.
BoJo is British PM in name only, he's effectively speeking on behalf of nobody but himself and a shrinking minority who's already out of power in all but name: you can take the title the crest and the flags from behind him away already…. He's just Boris Johnson, MP again…
One who won his seat with a small majority only and might very well lose it again in the next GE since his constituents are far from being impressed by his performance!
Last edited by sabenapilot
on Sun Sep 08, 2019 9:18 am, edited 1 time in total.