So far there is no proof that any lock-down in the western world has worked, thus far. Italy, Spain and other European nations have been implementing lock downs for weeks, and yet their numbers haven't seen a decline.
The main argument has been to 'flatten the curb' allow the hospitals to have sufficient beds for the deluge of people needing health services. In the US as we write this, and being the world leader in coronavirus infections, no city or state, not even NY has seen lack of beds, both normal and ICU beds.
This will age badly.
The NYT and their writers are doing the utmost to create panic out of nothing yet occurring.
Deep state, right?
What I think is we should just keep at home those vulnerable, those on the age groups that are at risk. The rest of us should carry on.
Quite apart from anything else that others have mentioned, keeping everyone home and banning public gatherings, sporting events etc reduces the demand on the healthcare system due to less people having car crashes, being hurt in industrial accidents, breaking arms/legs playing sports, having bar fights after too many drinks etc. You're not going to stop people having heart attacks and strokes, but if you can reduce hospital admissions for as many "preventable" situations as possible, that's critical when the system comes under maximum pressure.
Like it or not this is world war 3. The enemy is a virus.
We have to lock down, it's the the only weapon we have right now. Until someone, somewhere, develops a better weapon we will continue to use the best strategy we've got. It's crude and brutal, much like trench warfare looks today, but it is effective. I encourage everyone to participate as much as possible. Every case counts.
Well said. Not a good situation to be in but that's currently the only way to address it.
The tragic cost is this. In the US for example. We have 330 million people. One month of shutdown costs 330 million months, but in reality the disruption is terribly far greater. An average US person lives 1,000 months. The one month shutdown has already cost 330,000 human lives. A shutdown of 6 months would cost 2 million lives this way, but in reality, by destroying most people’s livelihoods, it will be much more. The people who are hurt the most by this are children losing their homes, parent stability, school.
Someone posted two days ago about a 19 year old US male dying from corona in part due to being denied healthcare. 19X12 is 228. 1000-228 is 772 months. So corona has cost that man 772 months. Your numbers and premise are nonsense anyway, but you should have calculated how many months corona is taking away. Would that 19 year old trade one month of isolation for 772 months of life, given the choice?
Children who face appear to face non-measurable risk from the virus.
This is the worst handled global affair I have ever seen.
Children are great carriers of the virus.
I guarantee five years from now, most children will barely remember the lockdown. They probably will remember grandma dying though.