The nickname in the German car industry for us is treasure island . . . we are a highly profitable, very important market.
That's not even funny anymore.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft.com ... 0f971febbc
Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
The nickname in the German car industry for us is treasure island . . . we are a highly profitable, very important market.
First, be realistic about how to negotiate Brexit. It will be our most complex negotiation ever. We can’t afford to get it wrong. Whole industries could be destroyed if we do so.
There is a solution. It is to go for Norway status for now[... ]
As a former trade negotiator, I don’t believe we can agree, ratify, and implement a Canada or Swiss-style FTA in two years. It is just too complex.
seahawk wrote:
Depends on your point of view. One can argue that the US created a strong partner or that the US created a strong opponent with the money. The same is true for the UK. While the other Eu countries became a market for the service industries, they also became a strong competitor for the manufacturing industries. So seen from the UK the advantage in economic strength and quality of life over Spain or Poland has eroded over time and if one is honest the UK looks worse than those countries in many places. So not only would the UK have been able to spent more money at home, the money would also not have been used to create competitors - a win win for the UK.
A101 wrote:ElPistolero wrote:
Nope. Just another case of using a term without understanding what it means. Seems to be a trend with Brexiteers.
Singapore is not a vassal state of ASEAN.
Egypt is not a vassal state of the African Union.
Brazil is not a vassal state of MERCOSUR.
The UK is not a vassal state of NATO.
Germany and France and Austria and others are not vassal states. It’s absurd to suggest otherwise.
When you compare the EU to all the other bodies listed it is only the EU that can make laws and has a supreme judicial system in which it affect member nations.
For instance the EU has a Parliament and Asean does not whilst.
Whilst the African Union has a Parliament (Pan-African Parliament) it is advisory only it cannot make binding regulations,
MERCOSUR has a Parliament known as Parlasur also cannot make any binding laws,
None of the above have have primacy over national law of independent nations unlike the EU, and its only the European Union that has the ECJ which has fairly broad powers in many aspects of national and local laws even down to the mundane of perhaps needing accident insurance whilst riding a lawn mover on private property.
As for NATO you really want to compare a defence treaty to supranational institutional instrument which uses its power to form laws, treaties etc with non member’s, good grief
As to Germany and France and Austria, yep they certainly are as well as they are also under yoke of supremacy of the EU over them. The only advantage that Germany/France have is now they are only two that are very influential within the EUElPistolero wrote:
The whole vassal state thing, like the EU empire thing, suggests a level of tone-deafness not heard since Baghdad Bob grace our TVs.
Go see Guy he will set you straight on the “Empire” thingElPistolero wrote:
This EU “empire” hasn’t done anything remotely as dehumanizing and racist to the UK as the UK has done to the non-white regions of the world.
Ah the good ship lollipop that the EU tries to espouse, in which you fail to recognise the colonial history of other members of the union besides the UK before the EU came into existence
Grizzly410 wrote:Why this guy, repeating the same message proved wrong for the last 4 years at least, can still be interviewed like a respectable source ???The nickname in the German car industry for us is treasure island . . . we are a highly profitable, very important market.
That's not even funny anymore.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft.com ... 0f971febbc
Klaus wrote:Grizzly410 wrote:Why this guy, repeating the same message proved wrong for the last 4 years at least, can still be interviewed like a respectable source ???The nickname in the German car industry for us is treasure island . . . we are a highly profitable, very important market.
That's not even funny anymore.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft.com ... 0f971febbc
Quite unclear what you're referring to with that article behind the FT paywall.
ElPistolero wrote:seahawk wrote:
Depends on your point of view. One can argue that the US created a strong partner or that the US created a strong opponent with the money. The same is true for the UK. While the other Eu countries became a market for the service industries, they also became a strong competitor for the manufacturing industries. So seen from the UK the advantage in economic strength and quality of life over Spain or Poland has eroded over time and if one is honest the UK looks worse than those countries in many places. So not only would the UK have been able to spent more money at home, the money would also not have been used to create competitors - a win win for the UK.
What, exactly, is the point of maintaining an advantage in economic strength and quality of life over another country? Wouldn’t you want more countries to be rich because: more markets + less economic migration?
It’s with pointing out that the UK spends more on foreign aid than on the EU every year. What do you think that’s aimed at? Reducing education and competition?
JJJ wrote:Klaus wrote:Grizzly410 wrote:Why this guy, repeating the same message proved wrong for the last 4 years at least, can still be interviewed like a respectable source ???
That's not even funny anymore.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft.com ... 0f971febbc
Quite unclear what you're referring to with that article behind the FT paywall.
Thats David Davis again saying out loud the EU will cut us a good deal under pressure from German car makers.
Like it's 2016 or something.
par13del wrote:So essentially if the UK takes over the fishing in their waters which at present is less than 50%, a huge section now becomes available to new players if the UK government does not let the existing incumbents increase their share.
On the other hand, if the EU refuses to buy if they are not caught by EU ships using EU methods, an export market is created for frozen fish.
I find it interesting that the existing quotas are done scientifically but allocated based on history....what...
As for the requirement that the new negotiated quotas are permanent, is that another way of rendering the scientific mantra moot?
tommy1808 wrote:It is sort of both. Quotas are slowly reduced because of science, but allocated historically because people invested money to harvest their quotas and might get mighty mad if that was for nothing.
par13del wrote:So essentially if the UK takes over the fishing in their waters which at present is less than 50%, a huge section now becomes available to new players if the UK government does not let the existing incumbents increase their share.
On the other hand, if the EU refuses to buy if they are not caught by EU ships using EU methods, an export market is created for frozen fish. A side industry of technicians to maintain freezers etc will also be created, fish stocks will grow as the UK will not have the resources to meet the existing quotas. Not being under the EU umbrella will mean that to survive the UK will need every industry it can create and or maintain.
Environmentalist should support the stocks going to a more sustainable basis.
I find it interesting that the existing quotas are done scientifically but allocated based on history....what...
As for the requirement that the new negotiated quotas are permanent, is that another way of rendering the scientific mantra moot?
Dutchy wrote:tommy1808 wrote:It is sort of both. Quotas are slowly reduced because of science, but allocated historically because people invested money to harvest their quotas and might get mighty mad if that was for nothing.
Still wondering what will happen to the quota's sold by UK fishers to EU fishers. Will they vanish and will the UK government have to pay for those as well? It is not the fault of the EU fishers to have bought those.
par13del wrote:So essentially if the UK takes over the fishing in their waters which at present is less than 50%, a huge section now becomes available to new players if the UK government does not let the existing incumbents increase their share.
par13del wrote:If the EU refuses to buy if they are not caught by EU ships using EU methods, an export market is created for frozen fish.
par13del wrote:A side industry of technicians to maintain freezers etc will also be created..
Klaus wrote:Grizzly410 wrote:Why this guy, repeating the same message proved wrong for the last 4 years at least, can still be interviewed like a respectable source ???The nickname in the German car industry for us is treasure island . . . we are a highly profitable, very important market.
That's not even funny anymore.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft.com ... 0f971febbc
Quite unclear what you're referring to with that article behind the FT paywall.
sabenapilot wrote:The EU will not refuse to buy British fish like you say, it will simply be all but impossible to export it in large quantities because of the fact administrative custom formalities and
par13del wrote:sabenapilot wrote:The EU will not refuse to buy British fish like you say, it will simply be all but impossible to export it in large quantities because of the fact administrative custom formalities and
Ok, I guess I need to be more specific when debating points, as everyone is either EU or UK focused.
When I said export frozen fish I was not talking about exporting to the EU, because it is frozen, the option exist to export to countries much further away than the EU.
olle wrote:A majority of the ppulation in NI would today vote to join ROI
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/12465 ... c.outbrain
tommy1808 wrote:You think those "democrats" in London will allow them a vote to leave?
sabenapilot wrote:par13del wrote:sabenapilot wrote:The EU will not refuse to buy British fish like you say, it will simply be all but impossible to export it in large quantities because of the fact administrative custom formalities and
Ok, I guess I need to be more specific when debating points, as everyone is either EU or UK focused.
When I said export frozen fish I was not talking about exporting to the EU, because it is frozen, the option exist to export to countries much further away than the EU.
No problem, there's nothing wrong with your question, it's just that I interpreted as being UK-EU focussed.
But let's answer your question then.
Exactly which "countries much further away" you are going to sell that fish to then?
The UK could have been selling its frozen fish further overseas for decades if it were such a valuable business, you know?
There's nothing in the EU rules preventing the UK from doing that today and in fact it would have been easier to do so in the past than it will soon become once the transition period if over,
olle wrote:A majority of the ppulation in NI would today vote to join ROI
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/12465 ... c.outbrain
par13del wrote:olle wrote:A majority of the ppulation in NI would today vote to join ROI
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/12465 ... c.outbrain
I don't think anyone is concerned about the majority, it is the activist minority that people worry about.
It has been known for a number of years that the Catholics would ultimately be the majority in NI.
Olddog wrote:You may want to keep in mind that the EU is perfectly aware that the fishermen are just a distraction and what the UK wants en NEED is financial services access.
Things will go slowly until the EU can check if the UK really implement the NI protocol.
If around july 1st the NI protocol is not implemented, the CFP will be the least of its worries.
. .
Klaus wrote:tommy1808 wrote:You think those "democrats" in London will allow them a vote to leave?
You misunderstand: It's only "democracy" when a majority in England tells everybody else to shut up and do as they're told!
A101 wrote:Olddog wrote:You may want to keep in mind that the EU is perfectly aware that the fishermen are just a distraction and what the UK wants en NEED is financial services access.
Things will go slowly until the EU can check if the UK really implement the NI protocol.
If around july 1st the NI protocol is not implemented, the CFP will be the least of its worries.
. .
That doesn't need to start happening until 1st January
Olddog wrote:You may want to keep in mind that the EU is perfectly aware that the fishermen are just a distraction and what the UK wants en NEED is financial services access.
tommy1808 wrote:olle wrote:A majority of the ppulation in NI would today vote to join ROI
https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/12465 ... c.outbrain
You think those "democrats" in London will allow them a vote to leave?
best regards
Thomas
the Secretary of State shall exercise the power under paragraph 1 if at any time it appears likely to him that a majority of those voting would express a wish that Northern Ireland should cease to be part of the United Kingdom and form part of a united Ireland.
ElPistolero wrote:
Seems my post got removed, which was probably fair.
ElPistolero wrote:
Anyway, let’s put it this way: it is impossible, by definition, to be a vassal state of an organization founded by voluntary association through a treaty. As Brexit has proven, any state can voluntarily join or leave the EU. Find me a single vassal state in history that could voluntary opt out of its vassal-feudal lord relationship.
Like I said, the vassalage rhetoric is factually incorrect.
ElPistolero wrote:BTW, just saw your post on NATO. Bit puzzled by it to be honest. Like CANZUK+US it fundamentally misreads who the key actor is. The success of that alliance in achieving its objective (whatever you think that is) is not predicated on UK membership. It never was.
Brexit just creates an odd situation where the UK finds itself in an alliance with countries some Brits apparently look down on. Doesn’t sound like a recipe for success.
sabenapilot wrote:A101 wrote:None of the above have have primacy over national law of independent nations unlike the EU, and its only the European Union that has the ECJ which has fairly broad powers in many aspects of national and local laws even down to the mundane of perhaps needing accident insurance whilst riding a lawn mover on private property.
As for NATO you really want to compare a defence treaty to supranational institutional instrument which uses its power to form laws, treaties etc with non member’s, good grief
Actually, why wouldn't you?
Look, there's no doubt the European Union is by far the most important and influential supranational organisation in the field of economic collaboration, despite not being the only such kind of an organistation out there and the reason for that is to be found in it's uniquely deep integration, which makes outsiders consider at it as one -rather than 27 diffferent- counter party, similar to how NATO is (designed to be) perceived as a monotithic defence bloc too by treaty: notably article 5 effectively does that, but it also means members have given up on some very important element of their national sovereignty too: i.e. that of opting to stay neutral in a military conflict in which they are no party!
I'd say the commitment to ultimately go to war over something which is in essence none of our business is a bit more far reaching than the obligation to take accident insurance for a lawn mower, even though I agree that in our day-to-day lives we luckily come accros the later more often, than we ever will with the former, but still... the transfer of this ultimate element of a nation's independent sovereignty has happened and is still very much out there, ready to be used.
To translate it to today: if Putin were to be willing to put his hand on a part of the Baltic states for instance, BoJo could not do what Chamberlain did in Munich and fly to Moscow to sign them away 'to respect the desire of the British people never to go to war again'. He'd be in Brussels the same day to put his signature under a very strong NATO statement laying down an ultimatum to Putin: I'd say that's a MASSIVE transfer in sovereign decision making of any government of a NATO country to the supranational structure of NATO as forseen by its treaty, don't you agree?
Shouldn't you be pulling out of NATO too then (there's an article to do so under the NATO treaty, and it reads remarkably similar to article 50 of the TEU, btw), to regain full military sovereignty, so you can take back control over military operations currently conducted on your behalf too, can stop the spending on unelected bureaucrats sitting in HQs near Brussels and to happily diverge on all common military production, training and operating standards now solely set by NATO so the UK's military and its industry could finally work together with emerging military powers like for instance the PRC too and become 'Global Britain'????
According to some in the Pentagon, this would be in line with Trump's thinking too (on some days at least...), so copy-pasting this 'strategy' would definitely help the UK in being fasttracked to become the 51st US State, an ambition that seems to be gaining mommentum in the minds of some, not at least the US born British PM.
A101 wrote:ElPistolero wrote:
Anyway, let’s put it this way: it is impossible, by definition, to be a vassal state of an organization founded by voluntary association through a treaty. As Brexit has proven, any state can voluntarily join or leave the EU. Find me a single vassal state in history that could voluntary opt out of its vassal-feudal lord relationship.
Like I said, the vassalage rhetoric is factually incorrect.
I guess we are going to have to agree to disagree in regards to vassalage
ChrisKen wrote:A101 wrote:ElPistolero wrote:
Anyway, let’s put it this way: it is impossible, by definition, to be a vassal state of an organization founded by voluntary association through a treaty. As Brexit has proven, any state can voluntarily join or leave the EU. Find me a single vassal state in history that could voluntary opt out of its vassal-feudal lord relationship.
Like I said, the vassalage rhetoric is factually incorrect.
I guess we are going to have to agree to disagree in regards to vassalage
Why would he do that? He's correct and as usual, you're quite wrong.
But now it is becoming a vassal state, meaning it is becoming the junior partner of the United State.
ChrisKen wrote:
The UK voluntarily entered the transition period.
ChrisKen wrote:
The UK can at anytime, unilaterally end the transition period.
A far cry from the definition of vassalage.
ChrisKen wrote:
Incidentally, your assertion of vassalage directly implies the EU is the stronger entity,
ChrisKen wrote:
a rather peculiar stance from a person whose brexiteering jingoism is well documented throughout the "brexit" threads.
noviorbis77 wrote:Klaus wrote:tommy1808 wrote:You think those "democrats" in London will allow them a vote to leave?
You misunderstand: It's only "democracy" when a majority in England tells everybody else to shut up and do as they're told!
The UK is one nation.
England and Wales voted leave.
Other parts of the nation, Scotland and Northern Ireland did not.
A101 wrote:ChrisKen wrote:A101 wrote:
I guess we are going to have to agree to disagree in regards to vassalage
Why would he do that? He's correct and as usual, you're quite wrong.
Nope just means we have differing views on what defines vassalage, and consequently Macron appears to hold a similar view when talking about the “special relationship” between London and Washington. considering he is using vassalage when the US has no direct form of supremacy over the UK in political or legislative connections unlike the EU which has direct legislative and judicial power over the UK
Macron told France Culture radioBut now it is becoming a vassal state, meaning it is becoming the junior partner of the United State.ChrisKen wrote:
The UK voluntarily entered the transition period.
Whilst they were negation's it was under duress coerce against better judgement to move forward to begin negotiations to a FTA
ChrisKen wrote:
The UK can at anytime, unilaterally end the transition period.
A far cry from the definition of vassalage.
No we cant actually the earliest we can leave is 31st december
ChrisKen wrote:
Incidentally, your assertion of vassalage directly implies the EU is the stronger entity,
Correct the EU is the stronger entity by the its very nature in that EU legislative and judicial holds power and supremacy over both UK Parliament and judicial sovereignty in that it can and has overruled decisions made by both chambers
ChrisKen wrote:
a rather peculiar stance from a person whose brexiteering jingoism is well documented throughout the "brexit" threads.
Have I alluded to the UK having ultimate power over the EU?...……………...not to my knowledge I haven't
Olle wrote:
UK requested the period to be until the end of the year. Now we have that agreement. It isup to UK to define before end of summer 2020 if it want even longer.
Olle wrote:Yes, until A50 UK had a veto over EU legislation for new or changed legislation in most serious areas where thethen 28 members had not agreed that it requirred a majority of countries representing a majority of EU population to take certain decision about new legislation.
Olle wrote:
So yes UK had ultimate power over EU.
A101 wrote:Olle wrote:Until A50 UK had a veto over EU legislation for new or changed legislation in most serious areas where the then 28 members had not agreed that it requirred a majority of countries representing a majority of EU population to take certain decision about new legislation.
As pointed out before it’s meaningless if you get around it by having a treaty within a treaty
sabenapilot wrote:A101 wrote:Olle wrote:Until A50 UK had a veto over EU legislation for new or changed legislation in most serious areas where the then 28 members had not agreed that it requirred a majority of countries representing a majority of EU population to take certain decision about new legislation.
As pointed out before it’s meaningless if you get around it by having a treaty within a treaty
I may have misunderstood you here, A101, but are you now complaining that when EU countries can not reach agreement amongst them all, those who do can decide to go it alone and sign a separate multilateral treaty amongst themselves??? Like the eurozone, schengenzone, …
If so, then exactly what is the problem with that, if I may ask?
Other than that no memberstate (like for instance the UK) has the power to tell others what to do and what not…
So if the main purpose of the UK's membership of the EU is/was to make sure the EU could be controlled from within, then yes, that proved impossible indeed.
The UK was never in a position to dictate its will to others in the EU (and v.v.): post Brexit, the EU will be in a much better position to do so, ironically.
olle wrote:By the way, the UK government has helped us in the conversation regarding if UK can skip the treaty before end of 2020 by saying that it now is considering to leave the agreement and go on WTO terms during the summer. Can we agree that mr Gove is a trustful sourceat least in this matter?
https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics ... eal-update
Olddog wrote:I bet no deal was the real plan all along to get ERG on board
sabenapilot wrote:Michel Gove seems to change the goals every few months, aiming ever lower:
Prior to the referendum:
-> exactly the same benefits as the single market
Right after the referendum:
-> unique economic partnership, but friction free
Prior to the elections:
-> Canada+++, minimal friction
Right after the elections:
-> Canada, with friction
And now clearly the end goal is cited for the first time:
-> nothing at all
olle wrote:
olle wrote:How could brexit representants get it so wrong and how is it possible that intelligent people now representing the uk government has not learnt something?