And you are really expecting us to hold lock-down out till a vaccine?
There isn't a single place in the world where this is the plan. And there is nobody who thinks this is a reasonable idea.
The whole point of a lockdown is to gain control over the virus. It is clear, worldwide, that a lockdown works.
Then, the lockdown needs to be continued till the virus is sparse enough to truely be controlled.
At that point, measures can be loosened. Typically, it takes 8 to 10 weeks to achieve this.
Loosening of measures should be done very gradually. Go too fast, and you'll lose control again.
The less virus there is left in teh country, the more loose the measures can become.
The more disciplined a population is, the faster measures can be loosened.
After a few months, you'll have most of the freedoms you had earlier. Except for mass events. If in that stage people still are disciplined enough to do what it takes to not spread the virus, this lifestyle will continue till there is a vaccine or a very effective treatment/medicine.
It all boils down to being in control of the virus. Which is perfectly possible.
I agree on principle, but disagree with the timeline. In most places where there has been a long term lockdown, while the measures have worked in plateauing then reducing the number of casualties, the decrease in number of new cases and deaths is now very slow. So slow that it would take many more months of lockdown to hope to make the virus 'sparse enough' as you say.
In Italy, there are still thousands of new cases and hundreds of deaths everyday, and at the rate that toll is going down, it might take at least double or triple the current lockdown to bring it to levels where it can be 'contained'.
The sad fact is, Europe and the USA were much too late in reacting to the virus and only started noticing it when it had taken a firm grasp within their borders. Lockdown does help in softening the inital blow, but it gets to a stage where the disease has reached a critical mass above which it will just keep on spreading.
If you could tell everyone with certainty that 8 to 10 weeks of lockdown would be enough to then go back to a semblance of normal, I'm sure most people would cooperate. In fact most do now. The problem is when you put everybody home for a few weeks and then keep extending the deadline seemingly indefinitely to the point where everybody loses hope that there will ever be and end to it or where they simply lose faith. Then people get tired, stop cooperating and the whole thing gets worse.
Extended lockdown, while great on paper, seem to completely ignore their effect on the population's mental health, not to mention the disastrous economic effects.
The hardest hit countries in Europe and now starting to loosen the restrictions, and yet the virus there is far from being anywhere under control. In fact, despite close to 2 months of strict lockdown, the death rates in Italy and Spain are still higher than in the US, per capita. They've simply reached the point where they either feel the lockdown is becoming counterproductive in terms of its side effects or where they think they risk losing the population's will to keep fighting this thing. Either way, there is absolutely no way that extending the lockdown as it stands there for another month or two would not have severe consequences, and even that wouldn't guarantee bringing the infection rate to a point where it could be eradicated.
That's the problem I have with the proponents of lockdowns at all costs. There is no realistic timeline, no proper weighing of their deleterious effects vs. their benefits, and they offer no guarantee to the population which ensures that they quickly turn against the idea.
Lockdowns were useful in stunting the initial exponential growth of the infection curve. They are not a viable long term solution in the real World where the current level of infection is as prevalent as in the West. (I agree that they worked well in countries where they were applied much sooner, such as Australia or NZ).
The disease will keep progressing no matter what until a medical solution is found to counter it. It is time to find ways to slow it down while letting people live a semblant of normal life.
I'll do my own airline. With Blackjack. And hookers. In fact, forget the airline.