rfields5421 wrote:Within a couple years the ONE best vaccine will be identified, but it will be beyond the capacity of any company to produce all the vaccine doses needed.
The number of doses needed is huge. The next BIG NEWS STORY will be the people wanting/ needing the vaccine and unable to get the shot/ pills/ ?? because production has not ramped up enough to provide vaccine to everyone. Duh. The US still has not been able to produce and supply enough testing kits to test even one percent of the US population. Vaccine is going to be sought by EVERYONE.
If this is a one-time shot - too large a production facility will bankrupt the company who builds up to produce the most vaccine when those production facilities are no longer needed.
If it turns out to be yearly like the flu, then three or four manufacturers will establish regular yearly production capacity.
StarAC17 wrote:I believe to counter this any vaccine has a way to be mass produced when it goes to human trials. Therefore if the vaccine is successful there is a supply to be manufactured or already mass produced.
rfields5421 wrote:We would both prefer kids get vaccinated FIRST. There is no future is we make a mistake and the young become the most negatively impacted group.
einsteinboricua wrote:rfields5421 wrote:We would both prefer kids get vaccinated FIRST. There is no future is we make a mistake and the young become the most negatively impacted group.
I believe children (and teachers) should be the first to be vaccinated
rfields5421 wrote:StarAC17 wrote:I believe to counter this any vaccine has a way to be mass produced when it goes to human trials. Therefore if the vaccine is successful there is a supply to be manufactured or already mass produced.
The flu vaccine is probably (I could be wrong) the single most widely given vaccine every year - as far as number of doses.
The research, manufacture and distribution timeline/ supply chain is over a year long. Even then, at the time of change over from the 'old' vaccine to the 'new' vaccine often means short supplies, or no supply for many retail outlets. The CDC says 169.1 million doses of flu vaccine were given in the 2018-19 flu season in the US.
That was approximately 37.1% of the US population for the 2016-17 flu season..
What percentage of the population do you think are going to WANT the COVID-19 vaccine?
What limitations will be set upon people in the US (similar to current limits upon who can get a COVID-19 test) to define who can get the vaccine?
The US has still only been able to test some 10-12 million people for COVID-19 despite mass production ramp ups which have occured.
Do you think vaccines are going to be available faster/ more readily?
I'm not saying it cannot be done. I'm just saying it is a HUGE logistics problem to solve. Not only production of vaccine, but distribution of the vaccine. The socio-political factors in deciding who gets the vaccine first?
At risk elderly - age 60 and over?
Or our precious children before they got back to large crowded schools?
Our President suggested that giving the vaccine to the elderly is a possibly better usage of limited availability. Some have suggested to him that children don't need the vaccine because 'they are not likely to get a bad case'.
Not meaning to pick on the man for his thoughts. It is a VERY DIFFICULT decision what will ultimately be on his desk to make a decision. Despite recommendations from medical professionals (1) the professionals will have differing opinions, (2) the pressure from different groups will be incredible.
Personally, I'm 67 + years old, my wife is 81. We would both prefer kids get vaccinated FIRST. There is no future is we make a mistake and the young become the most negatively impacted group.
einsteinboricua wrote:I believe children (and teachers) should be the first to be vaccinated, but not because it will impact the future generation but because children are:
1. Less affected by the virus which means the can become carriers
2. Spend most of the school day in close proximity to people
frmrCapCadet wrote:Epidemiologists and other scientists will likely make a recommendation as to who should receive early immunizations. Factors could include vulnerability, medical workers, outbreaks in particular areas, travelers. Most of us should simply follow the recommendations.
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