What countries do you see going into a hard lockdown in November in Europe?
I don't see many countries doing that, although they should, as I've been saying in many threads.
If I have to name a country, I would say maybe Italy if it gets bad enough. So far, they've been the most decisive and are taking this seriously since the beginning. Masks are still mandated and they're hesitating about reopening schools, while all the rest have opened schools wide open and mask mandates are not being taken seriously.
I could also see Norway and Finland depending on the severity.
Will non essential businesses in Asia, the Middle East, and North America also be shut down come November?
China is not reporting Covid numbers anymore and Japan is reporting numbers divided by 100 if not 1000 and threatening doctors and nurses to keep their mouths shut.
The summer probably brought relief, and doclightning, nobody said otherwise, but some were saying that it would go away completely, not "reduce infections".
So it's simple, if you are industrialised like China, Japan, Germany and the USA, you would want your industries to keep running. So you stop looking for infections, and try to sweep it under the rug hoping that it holds together.
This was easy in the first wave because they started from zero cases. Sweden had record death numbers but no one noticed anything, because dying is wgat old people do. The summer then brought relief.
But the problem is that they all start the cold season from a much higher baseline. 40 some schools had to close in Berlin in August soon after reopening, hundreds were infecred in a slaughterhouse in Germany. Germany is trying to hide it the best they can and putting up a brave face, but the situation must be pretty bad.
Japan's numbers never really went down over the summer, China let's not even talk about it, it's a petry dish of Covid.
Things will get bad everywhere, so lock downs will come down to political decisions and I wouldn't be surprised if some politicians will end up paying for their pro-economy policies with their lives (get killed) as families of deceased seek revenge.
It's going to be a mess in the US. Their numbers are going down magically, Fauci was talking about 40-50. 000 per day when they were at 70-80.000 and rising. Then a week later, poof, magic, 40-50.000 is the new average, without any explanation for the sudden decline. So this is just a number that they agreed upon for PR reasons, not real numbers. Trump doesn't want headlines with 100.000 infections per day, which is what's happening.
Fauci looks pretty upset in the latest interviews. To me that confirms that they're above 100.000 and rising. They're probably testing a lot less, but publishing higher test numbers to make it look good.
Last edited by Waterbomber2
on Tue Sep 15, 2020 7:51 am, edited 1 time in total.