On CNN they stated that there are still votes outstanding from military ballots in Georgia. Shouldn't this help Trump?
2/3 or more of military active duty are under age 28 according to the last numbers I saw in Army Times back in September when we were in the Fort Bliss RV Park for a couple days.
Younger military personnel tend to be like their peers back in their homes in attitudes and voting. Those from rural conservative counties are likely to vote for Trump. Those from urban city areas are likely to vote for Biden. A lot of military recruits are young people from urban areas who want to escape what they see as a dead end as far as jobs, opportunities at home.
And younger military voters tend vote only about 1/2 to 5/8 percentage wise as older career military.
The Republicans have never had a lock on the military vote. Senior career military tend to look more detailed at the candidates. They have a very real understanding of what an incumbent president's policies really mean to the people in uniform. During my visits to Davis Monthan AFB and Fort Bliss this summer, I found a lot of anger among career military over the diversion of funding from military construction to the border wall. Funding for much technical training diverted, etc. But also a lot of support for Trump. If I had to guess, I'd say about 55% Trump, 45% Biden. That was in late August/ early September. It may have changed. EDIT - by career military, I mostly mean talk with senior enlisted, like I was during my 20 years.
Trump has NOT given the military a pay raise during his presidency. He has approved the annual COLA increase for all federal workers, and retirees as did President Obama. Some career military are very unhappy with the claims about him raising military pay.
Additionally, Trump has continued the military active duty downsizing started back in the Nixon administration after the withdrawal from Vietnam. As have all presidents since, including Reagan. When I was in, Reagan's 600 ship Navy was never fully manned, and the increase manning the Navy got came mostly from cuts in Army end strength.
The military vote is not a lock for Trump. Many disagree with his policies of retreat as they see it in the Middle East and Afghanistan. But many agree.
Also the 'military vote' includes about 1/4 of those votes are from spouses.
If anything, the 'military' overseas vote is always an uncertainty for a Presidential election, and there is NO WAY to determine how the actual votes ended up being cast in most places.
Where military votes are identifiable as the majority of absentee ballots in the past I have only seen that they tend to mirror the community where the person is voting.
I voted absentee in rural Arkansas as a military careerist in the elections between 1972 and 1988. After 1988, I was able to change my residency and voting to Dallas, TX. Career military tend to move their residence to a place with (1) no income tax, or lower income tax if possible. Or to where they want to retire.
Young military tend to keep their official residence where they were raised.
Near Savannah/ Hinesville, Columbus or the Navy Boomer base at St Mary's the military vote may include a lot of careerist. I doubt that a significant percentage of military votes in the Atlanta/ Fulton county area are from careerists.
Last edited by rfields5421
on Fri Nov 06, 2020 2:52 am, edited 1 time in total.