Too many unknowns to make such definitive statements.
Covid-19 has already mutated into several variants and we still don't have a clear view of the variety of strains. It's not like they are taking blood samples of every infected individual to analyse the strain.
We come in contact with many other animals that can mutate the virus and so on.
Do you know how the immune system actually works when fighting an infection?
They know about the mutated strains but have not seen any significant change to the spike protein that Covid19 uses to infect cells does that not mean we develop a vaccine now for what we see. If it works and it appears to from the trials. The fact that these vaccines focus so much on these proteins means it is very likely vaccinated people have stronger immunity than those who were infected naturally. We see this with other vaccinations.
We live in a society obsessed with pills, medicine, vaccines, radiation, etc...
In some rare cases it works and we can claim victory. In some cases we make things worse.
But be certain that the road to victory more often than not goes through a lot of sweat, pain, suffering and death.
The vaccine development in this case has been too smooth and easy and the results too stunning. Just as miraculous as the summer was supposed to be, remember?
You sound like an anti-vaxxer here and similar to Steve Jobs who rejected traditional Cancer treatment in favour of holistic methods. He died when he could have lived a lot longer.
You have some merit that there is a lot that many people can do to not be overly reliant on medicine and that has been a failure of many in the medical profession but there is room for both. Many doctors should really do much more to help people be as healthy as they can be. I would suggest reading about Dr. David Katz or watch some of his youtube videos. He talks about a lot of slow moving things that
Also with this vaccine they world had a head start, these methods were starting with the development of the Ebola and Zika vaccine as well as development from SARS and MERS which are also coronaviruses.
Feel free to believe every foolishness that they keep spitting out, even though you know about all the BS that you have been told over the course of the past 10 months. That is your right.
It is also my right to exercise critical thinking and be skeptic about things that are being said that I have no way of verifying personally.
For instance, to a Russian ear, the efficacy spelled out by western pharma companies about their vaccines looks just as fictional as the Russian Sputnik vaccine looks to us.
I do my own research and don't often listening to the media regarding things.
I believe from what I have read and watched from doctors that these vaccines are sound.
The handling of this pandemic has been a huge failure from governments across the globe until now.
Every step of the way we have heard foolish things like "masks are unnecessary", "it will go away in the summer", "it will mutate into a milder variant", "you can't be reinfected", only to realise later that it was BS over BS.
There was one idiot who said this, he is orange and will be out of a job come January 20th.
Most governments expected this wave and where they failed is that they didn't have the infrastructure in place to handle the 2nd wave well.
The reality is that as we stand, a 20-40% effective vaccine would be realistic and marvelous. If you get enough people vaccinated, it yields some support while we work towards a more effective vaccine. Having a 95% effective vaccine 10 months into development is like being in 1971 and Airbus was presenting the A350XWB instead of the A300... It's too good to be true.
However, if they would tell people that a vaccine is only 20-40% effective, no one would take it.
Your theory is that they are telling the truth. My theory is that they are trying to get enough people to take the vaccine to build some degree of support, a strategy that I think will make matters worse.
If you are right, we should be out of the woods within a year. If I'm right, the strategy will backfire as it will make vaccinated and unvaccinated people less careful and we will also soon have headlines with vaccinated people dying of Covid and/or maybe even side effects like allergic reactions. The economic hardship will be made worse than it has to be. Then countries will resign to a hard lockdown strategy.
You act like this is the first vaccine ever, lets say that the mRNA vaccine is the A350XWB, that was in devlopement
The initial attenuated polio vaccine can be like the De Havilland Comet.(fatal flaw that was fixed)
The smallpox vaccine could be the 747 (game changer)
The MMR vaccine could be equivalent to the 737/A320 (reliable and a workhorse)
This is a progressive step that of the A350XWB.
The mRNA vaccine has been in the works for decades and this accelerated development was long predicted.
A coordinated hard lockdown would have ended this crisis months ago, what is allowed to happen now is what's killing people.
Every 3 days, more people are dying in the US than victims of 9/11. Every month, more people are dying from Covid in the US alone than people worldwide have been killed by terrorists over the past decade.
Just to put things in the right perspective.
So lets put some other things into perspective.
Annual totals for the US in 2020
Cancer deaths in the United States in 2020 - 606,000
Heart disease - 859,000
Covid it is 260,000https://www.heart.org/-/media/files/abo ... .pdf?la=enhttps://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/ ... er%20death
We'll agree to disagree on the need for a mass lockdown. I think common sense can put this on a slow burn but many countries aren't following the advice set out by health professionals and those same health professionals are not giving strong advice. Many countries are also unwilling or unable to support their people with aid to make a lockdown actually work. Furthermore there can easily be a system where the young and healthy can be put back into society and those at risk primarily the elderly are isolated and protected. That has been a huge fail in this, however if a vaccine is given to primary care workers who often bring Covid into care homes from the outside this might rather quickly take the strain of hospitals.
This is a lesson for the virus that is coming where that may be required, one that has a 20% mortality that kills a 25 year old just like it would an 80 year old. I hope an economic pause button can be developed to deal with that when the day comes.