EA CO AS wrote:
Late to the party on this, but am I correct in my understanding that as the variants evolve, they do so to be come more virulent, but less deadly? If so,would this mean that eventually you'd see the majority of the population contracting the virus in some form, but being reduced in severity to that of a cold or the flu only?
For the record, I've had both my Moderna jabs and if more are recommended, I'll be in line when it's my turn.
Current theory is less deadly is because the most vulnerable (age 50+) are well vaccinated. Vaccines cut, but do not stop transmission (40% to 60% reduction in transmission is the current estimate, which on a Ro or 5+ isn't enough):https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-05- ... ssion.html
Vaccines make the illness shorter and milder for those who get it:https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2021 ... risks.html
The new variants will have "hyperlocal" outbreaks. In other words, it will get into unvaccinated, misbehaving populations and spread quicklyhttps://www.yalemedicine.org/news/5-thi ... iant-covid
We'll need that 3rd jab. But the main problem is:
1. No vaccine for under age 12.
2. So many "know better" and are avoiding the vaccine. Some do well, some explain to overworked doctors they didn't believe in the virus.
Hospitals are once again denying service to non-coronavirus patients because Covid19 takes so many hours of care. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0wIhXsxGkNo
I wish people understood how painful coronavirus is. The doctors have changed their standards of what they consider normal for pain medicine. Morphine is almost a given. Many need fentanyl. Before coronavirus, heroin (the most powerful medically prescribed pain killer) was something I only heard being used on dying cancer patients. Two of my doctor friends are prescribing so much for the coronavirus wards they are being audited monthly by the FDA as they are individually prescribing huge quantities as... it is needed with this disease.
Now 70% of hospital patients are out after 3 days of remdemsivier and high flow oxygen, but oh will their lungs burn for weeks.
Tocilizumab is the medicine all the coronavirus doctors I know swear by. Bummer for the guaranteed (100% of patients) negative long term side effects, but it stops people (mostly) from dying. If it doesn't work and remdemsivier didn't work, say your goodbyes (every coronavirus doctor I know says only a very few survive after that treatment). https://www.goodrx.com/blog/coronavirus ... n-the-way/
I see tons of people latching onto new treatments, but many later are shown not to work or to have such bad side effects doctors cannot justify their use (Tocilizumab is nasty, but it works, so pick your poison).
Now most is a moot conversation for the vaccinated and viral load really matters (hence the return to mask wearing). I wish people lowing their mask knew the stats. The point is so they don't exhale so many virus into the room or inhale as much.
The hyper localization is important. The virus doesn't care if a state is well vaccinated when a neighborhood is poorly vaccinated. It will find the concert, bar, mega-church, office, or school full of the vulnerable and spread fast.
I hope people realize influenza will be back this winter and influenza+coronavirus is really bad. Every coronavirus doctor I know won't treat it as that is such a high risk case, they send the patients off to the few trama centers with ECMO machines which kill a lot of patients (its really risky hooking up a patient to such a machine and disconnecting them from such a machine).
Meh, there will be those who won't vaccinate.
I already posted links on how the virus reduces male fertility. Cest la vie. This might just be a self correcting problem.