Those mass gatherings were impressive.
The "rule following" is what will get them out of this crisis. Even with vaccines, masks help. I get in India social distancing is a challenge. So that leaves 2 of the 3 common solutions.
I am calling out India that there numbers do not reflect the hospital over-run and overall death rate. They must get excess deaths added to their talley for future public health events. This is worse than being reported, but the question is by how much? 20%? 300%? 1000%? 2000% (I really hope not more than that)?
When I see people on the street interviews (on Youtube, BBC), the poor lament they have few options. I am of the opinion the slum dwellers and inland city dwellers are severely undercounted (by a factor of 5X or more, in my opinion).
This is way too interesting.
I'm concerned as local vaccinations have stalled (go to myturn.ca.gov and find a vaccine, its easy now. e.g., select Los Angeles county and zip code 90278 as an example).
Yet only 44.1% at first dose... https://www.latimes.com/projects/califo ... tribution/
Scooby says Rhoo Rhoo.
Hopefully children are added soon (like my children...).
We need to get everyone vaccinated, or we will be living with lockdowns for years. Especially if the kids keep passing it amongst themselves as we head back to Normal.
A lot of these Anti Vax types are going to get a rude surprise as mask mandates lift and people start mingling more/
Unfortunately, the spike in India shows if we (as a group) become complacent, another wave will go through. For example, for India, the official death toll is not taken seriously anymore. This broadcast is stating deaths are 10X to 50X the official tolls. Without excess deaths recorded, we will never know.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YbFvmRcD03I
If you add India to this chart, they are way too high an overall positivity rate: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/posi ... ?tab=chart
There will be a shock. Which is why I want my kids vaccinated ASAP.
Pfizer did well in kids and has requested formal approval, two weeks ago tomorrow: https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-n ... 5-n1263649
Moderna should be close with 12 through 17 year old kids, I hear rumors, but I do not know: https://www.foxnews.com/health/moderna- ... enrollment
Younger kids, it will take time for the studies: https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medica ... r-BB1eF2S1
Pfizer started the pediatric trial March 26th, so months to go: https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medica ... r-BB1eF2S1
I think there will be a shock to the Unvaccinated. A disease with an Ro=3.7 to 4 will have no issue moving through the unvaccinated population quickly and with about half the adult population vaccinated, that will slow the spread, but not in unvaccinated clusters as India is highlighting.
I personally cannot stand wearing masks (fogs the glasses and I over-heat. Not so much a problem when the weather was cold, but now it will be more of an issue). I will wear them to protect others.
The whole point of vaccines is to protect others. I posted in the vaccine thread links on mRNA really slowing transmission: https://www.verywellhealth.com/cdc-stud ... es-5121080
I personally see us following a pattern like India. Several months of low cases. Night clubs, sports, other events open up and then a bad spike. I'll get my older child vaccinated as soon as it is approved. I'll do the same for my younger child, I just think we'll need a few more months.
The USA hospitalization rate is up about 20% from the recent trough. This shows not enough are vaccinated. I didn't find a plot normalized by population, but when France, Poland, Italy, Belgium, Sweden, and Spain are close to the USA total on their own! Rhoo Rhoo I consider the USA is doing poorly in controlling the spread of Covid19 too. https://ourworldindata.org/covid-hospitalizations
We will get quite the wake up call in the next wave.