At the end of the day the moderate democrats still supported Newsom. If they stepped up and supported Faulconer who fits the bill for the fair taxation and the other things you listed above. Elder never would have that type of lead. It's clear even the moderate republicans or democrats are not wanted in CA so as they say, you wanted it you got it. We will see in the next normal election for governor when Faulconer runs again.
If the GOP had some sense and was an unified party, they should have run a primary before the recall vote, to have only one GOP backed candidate on the ballot.
If that candidate had been a sensible one (big if) then the recall could have happened.
For someone, even a Republican, just not a Trumpista, to recall a known entity, Newsom, to get instead a lunatic, isn't exactly an enticing proposition.
The California Republicans acted like they do in some ultra red states where it's GOP vs GOP and who can be the purest crazy dumb mofo, well California isn't one of these states.
They're not really trying to win - or they're just being advised by grifters. It actually shouldn't be *too* hard to get a non-MAGA GOP candidate into office. They can do it by:
- Avoiding culture war issues. Don't criticize wokeism, don't criticize social spending, and don't criticize CRT/public education/teachers etc. Don't even *mention* abortion. One of the most powerful blocs of CA voters are educated suburban women and they are basically not going to budge on this stuff. You have to talk about the stuff below to capture them.
- If you talk about crime and homelessness, don't demonize the criminals and homeless. That turns the people I mentioned above off. Talk about solutions. Talk about expanding job training, trade schools, back to work programs after prison. Talk about expanding state coordination with faith-based groups for homeless shelters if NIMBYs don't want them, and talk about a public-private partnership to open more mental hospitals and low cost drug rehab.
- If you talk about wildfires, don't demonize environmentalists or mention Trumpian nonsense like 'forest management'. Californians are serious about their environment. Talk about expanded recruiting for Cal Fire, tree replanting programs, going after PG&E for damages, limits to future development in mountain areas, etc.
- If you talk about the economy, don't demonize Big Tech or Hollywood. Hundreds of thousands of Californians are employed in those industries. Talk instead about trade schools, expanded tax incentives for SMBs, and providing meaningful EDD assistance for career transitions and skill advancement. On healthcare, hedge and say there are both public and private ways to address high drug costs and MediCal access restrictions.
Also regardless of the narratives from both left and right media, CA is not as progressive as people outside the state believe. This is borne out in analyzing who the independent voters are:In surveys over the past year, independent likely voters have been somewhat more likely to lean Democratic (52%) than Republican (36%); 12% did not lean toward either party.
These shares have shifted since 2017, when 43% leaned Democratic, 29% leaned Republican, and 28% did not lean toward either party.
Independent likely voters are more likely to be moderate (44%) than liberal (29%) or conservative (27%).https://www.ppic.org/publication/califo ... -profiles/