The 100th anniversary date of ROI independence is soon. Perhaps the dream of ROI's founders will come true.
I would think maybe the 200th anniversary, or 2122, would be more likely, if at all. A recent University of Liverpool poll showed support for a united Ireland in the province as low as 30 per cent. And, of course, it's not just the North who decides the matter: there would also have to be a poll here in the Republic, and while two thirds of the population usually support the idea of a reunification, that drops to just over twenty per cent when the respondents are asked if they are willing to pay for it. The election result showed was interesting, with the increased support for the non-aligned Alliance. The NI demographic seems to be drifting away from the traditional green/orange divide, with up to 42 per cent of the population now identifying as neither nationalist or unionist. I believe the sensible future for Northern Ireland lies as a self-governing part of a federal Ireland. It's not what unionists or republicans would prefer, but both could live with it, given that nationalists wouldn't be subjects of the British crown, and unionists wouldn't be dragged kicking and screaming into a united Ireland. https://www.heraldscotland.com/politics ... d-ireland/
I would assume the Northern Ireland legislature would have to vote on a bill to pass a referendum.
That remains the sole perogative of the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, so I don't see much of a chance of that happening for a long, long time. https://constitution-unit.com/2020/02/0 ... essential/