Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
ACDC8 wrote:Change is inevitable, always is. I'm as capitalist and conservative as they come, yet even I realize that nothing lasts forever and as we evolve as a species, so too does our way of life.
Our current economic system has been great, its served us well (for the most part), but its usefulness is coming to an end.
DIRECTFLT wrote:Sri Lanka's debt crisis is a warning to the world. The World Bank says a global debt storm is coming. It could engulf 70 developing countries & make their economies fall like dominoes. What are the threats they face?
It's surprising how many large and small countries depend on their wheat coming from other countries.
Some would say, only a One World Govt. could solve this. Or a Great Reset, where all debt was forgiven...
https://youtu.be/CdrLp0lKjHc
DIRECTFLT wrote:Bank of England governor sounds ‘apocalyptic’ warning on food shortages due to Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/bank ... 00338.html
May 17, 2022
Soft Paywall
The Bank of England governor sounded an “apocalyptic” warning on Monday over looming food shortages caused by Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.
Andrew Bailey told MPs of his “major worry” over food supplies, particularly to the developing world.
Appearing before the Commons Treasury Committee, he was asked about a range of subjects.
“I’m afraid the one I’m going to sound I guess apocalyptic about is food,” he said.
Mr Bailey added that after speaking with the Ukrainian finance minister at an International Monetary Fund meeting in Washington, future supplies of many staple foods were in doubt.
Aaron747 wrote:The Great Reset makes the most sense, but the current crop of global billionaires would stand to lose too much to sign off.
pune wrote:DIRECTFLT wrote:Bank of England governor sounds ‘apocalyptic’ warning on food shortages due to Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/bank ... 00338.html
May 17, 2022
Soft Paywall
The Bank of England governor sounded an “apocalyptic” warning on Monday over looming food shortages caused by Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.
Andrew Bailey told MPs of his “major worry” over food supplies, particularly to the developing world.
Appearing before the Commons Treasury Committee, he was asked about a range of subjects.
“I’m afraid the one I’m going to sound I guess apocalyptic about is food,” he said.
Mr Bailey added that after speaking with the Ukrainian finance minister at an International Monetary Fund meeting in Washington, future supplies of many staple foods were in doubt.
Because of the heat-wave in India and elsewhere food grains are going to be an issue in India and similar highs in food prices
Aaron747 wrote:Interesting take....what do you think can replace the current system?
Sri Lanka is also seeking financial assistance from the World Food Program, which may send a team to the country soon, and Wickremesinghe is banking on a bailout package from the International Monetary Fund. But even if approved, he doesn’t expect to see money from the package until October onwards.
readytotaxi wrote:If the wealth in the world doesn't trickle down and be seen to do so beware those at the top.
Aaron747 wrote:The Great Reset makes the most sense, but the current crop of global billionaires would stand to lose too much to sign off.
c933103 wrote:Aaron747 wrote:The Great Reset makes the most sense, but the current crop of global billionaires would stand to lose too much to sign off.
"The Great Reset" make 0 sense in solving this problem. The current food and fuel price increase and shortage, is ultimate caused by lack of supply as well as logistic network disruption.
Telling companies to earn less profit, isn't going to produce more crops, nor help them be delivered more efficiently around the world, especially from Eastern Europe.
Aaron747 wrote:c933103 wrote:Aaron747 wrote:The Great Reset makes the most sense, but the current crop of global billionaires would stand to lose too much to sign off.
"The Great Reset" make 0 sense in solving this problem. The current food and fuel price increase and shortage, is ultimate caused by lack of supply as well as logistic network disruption.
Telling companies to earn less profit, isn't going to produce more crops, nor help them be delivered more efficiently around the world, especially from Eastern Europe.
I was talking about the debt storm, not the food crisis.
c933103 wrote:Aaron747 wrote:c933103 wrote:"The Great Reset" make 0 sense in solving this problem. The current food and fuel price increase and shortage, is ultimate caused by lack of supply as well as logistic network disruption.
Telling companies to earn less profit, isn't going to produce more crops, nor help them be delivered more efficiently around the world, especially from Eastern Europe.
I was talking about the debt storm, not the food crisis.
The debt is caused by mismanagement of their financial resources, and there are already ways like default for countries which cannot pay their debt to get out of it.
And "The Great Reset" is more about how companies are run and interact with the society, rather than relationship between national governments and international financial institute, according to my understanding.
Furthermore, while the circumstance is exceptional, if your intended use of the term of reset is to reset their debt, then it could cause them to repeatedly ask for or do the same ibto the future, like some Latin America countries, losing trusts from investors and inhibiting growth in those countries into the future. It would be less damaging if governments agree to adjust the interest rate and voluntarily extend repayment time to reduce damages on countries facing financial troubles now, I think.
DIRECTFLT wrote:Sri Lanka's debt crisis is a warning to the world. The World Bank says a global debt storm is coming. It could engulf 70 developing countries & make their economies fall like dominoes. What are the threats they face?
It's surprising how many large and small countries depend on their wheat coming from other countries.
Some would say, only a One World Govt. could solve this. Or a Great Reset, where all debt was forgiven...
https://youtu.be/CdrLp0lKjHc
lightsaber wrote:Interest rates are going up.
There is no cost free default. Just as there is no cost free printing of money (more money chasing goods creates inflation).
The shortage of food will be, unfortunately, "interesting." Fertilizer is important. The green revolution happened thanks to chemical fertilizer. Per the following link, 3 billion people are fed off the added yield of chemical fertilizer. There is a reason we stopped doing fertilizer the old fashioned way. With the USA subsiding fertilizer to the tune of $750 million, that means less for others.
https://www.hngn.com/articles/242320/20 ... pening.htm
We have three crisis coming, in my opinion: Debt, housing costs, and food.
Interesting times...
Lightsaber
Kiwirob wrote:readytotaxi wrote:If the wealth in the world doesn't trickle down and be seen to do so beware those at the top.
Looks what’s happened to the wealthy of Russia they’ve had all there wealth take from them, I don’t see any reason why we can also take all the wealth of our own billionaires?
Kiwirob wrote:readytotaxi wrote:If the wealth in the world doesn't trickle down and be seen to do so beware those at the top.
Looks what’s happened to the wealthy of Russia they’ve had all there wealth take from them, I don’t see any reason why we can also take all the wealth of our own billionaires?
par13del wrote:I am a supporter of smaller government, the private sector has always been more efficient, there are ups and downs, and if governments pay more attention to protective rule / regulations / laws the system would work much better. The tear down of financial pillars in the early 2000's generated lots of financial activity, that it took so long for regulators to adjust in my mind was a key cause of disruption, the laws were passed after things went south, so its obvious they could see and understand.
mxaxai wrote:Everybody loves small government, until things go south and everybody starts crying for regulation & government support. Cosider the recent baby formula shortage: The DoD contracted aircraft to import formula from abroad - which really isn't the job of the military - while the private sector would've happily let children starve.
mxaxai wrote:At the same time, 'small government' policies have cut funding to tax enforcement and market supervision, unsurprisingly making it increasingly difficult to adequately tax corporations and rich individuals. Monopolies and price-gouging behaviors are left uncontrolled due to a lack of government resources.
mxaxai wrote:Instead, low hanging fruit such as middle- and lower-class incomes are being targeted. Small investors are left on their own while certain individuals and institutions use their wealth, influence and media coverage to openly manipulate stocks without punishment.
mxaxai wrote:par13del wrote:I am a supporter of smaller government, the private sector has always been more efficient, there are ups and downs, and if governments pay more attention to protective rule / regulations / laws the system would work much better. The tear down of financial pillars in the early 2000's generated lots of financial activity, that it took so long for regulators to adjust in my mind was a key cause of disruption, the laws were passed after things went south, so its obvious they could see and understand.
Everybody loves small government, until things go south and everybody starts crying for regulation & government support. Cosider the recent baby formula shortage: The DoD contracted aircraft to import formula from abroad - which really isn't the job of the military - while the private sector would've happily let children starve.
par13del wrote:So the reason why there was a shortage in the first place was......and how did the government let it get to a shortage before they acted.
If the nation of the USA was in a real formula shortage a couple C-17's would not be enough, one would have expected to see trailer trucks crossing the borders of Canada and Mexico (no shortage) and a container ship or two inbound from Europe.
Kiwirob wrote:readytotaxi wrote:If the wealth in the world doesn't trickle down and be seen to do so beware those at the top.
Looks what’s happened to the wealthy of Russia they’ve had all there wealth take from them, I don’t see any reason why we can also take all the wealth of our own billionaires?
mxaxai wrote:par13del wrote:So the reason why there was a shortage in the first place was......and how did the government let it get to a shortage before they acted.
If the nation of the USA was in a real formula shortage a couple C-17's would not be enough, one would have expected to see trailer trucks crossing the borders of Canada and Mexico (no shortage) and a container ship or two inbound from Europe.
Well, they let it come to a shortage by letting the private sector do as they please and maximize shareholder return. Small government, you know. No redundancies or plans for crisis, contaminated food that was uncovered by the FDA only after several illnesses, and overall fragile supply chains. The private sector knows how to maximize efficiency but the slightest hickup will let thing break down - and that's when they come running back to the government to take over and solve the mess they created.
How do you suppose the "private sector" should have reacted to the baby formula shortage? What player do you think has the resources to on spec go to say Europe, then buy and transport said formula to the US, navigating all the regulations that are in place? At what cost? To what end? And probably be called "price gougers" to boot.
par13del wrote:The inspection routines obviously left much to be desired, I guess when we say smaller government they take it to mean no inspections, as for fragile supply chains, if the government shuts down the country, what do we expect? Back to the Federal versus State rights or Trump versus anyone.....in any event, an interesting read about Abbott
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/abbott-bab ... o-restart/
MohawkWeekend wrote:The Government used to care about competition and approved very few mergers. That ended in the 90's.
No way any company should have more that 5 or 10% of market share in any "critical" industry. Softball manufactures - no problem. Baby food makers - yep. Time to start breaking companies up.
Bricktop wrote:Yes, the private sector aims for efficiency by attempting to match production capacity to demand. Are you suggesting that manufacturers build extra idle factories as a contingency plan if one goes down? They had better build it near an existing facility, or how would they staff it? I suppose government could do better, with their unlimited taxation and borrowing resources. Is that your solution?
mxaxai wrote:Bricktop wrote:Yes, the private sector aims for efficiency by attempting to match production capacity to demand. Are you suggesting that manufacturers build extra idle factories as a contingency plan if one goes down? They had better build it near an existing facility, or how would they staff it? I suppose government could do better, with their unlimited taxation and borrowing resources. Is that your solution?
Preparing stuff "just in case" is literally what the government does. Why do you think the food industry is given massive subsidies? To ensure that a larger-than-necessary harvest is paid for in regular years, overcapacity that comes in handy when environmental factors like droughts reduce the output. There are no such provisions on the food processing side, which - coupled with increased market concentration and shutting down smaller facilities in the name of efficiency - can lead to situations like we saw with baby formular. One unexpectedly closed factory and a good chunk of the supply is gone.
There are many more examples of government contigency plans: Strategic stockpiles of gas and oil, reserve powerplants, secondary infrastructure, catastrophe mitigation equipment etc. The military is a massive expenditure that isn't actually supposed to see regular use (at least not to its full capability).
You can cut all that in the name of "small government" and outsource it to the private sector. Deregulate it and cut funding from supervising government agencies. But then don't cry when essential products like food, electricity, mobility or security become too expensive or unavailable for parts of the population. The private sector doesn't care if people starve, if they freeze to death, or if they're forced to sell their cars and homes, as long as the profits are right.
PPVRA wrote:In some cases, they even result in effectively subsidizing high fructose corn syrup…. subsidizing obesity and diabetes.
art wrote:I have syrup in something or other every few years. I have heard of corn syrup but have no idea what it is. Is it a big thing in the US? What do people use it for?
LittleFokker wrote:art wrote:I have syrup in something or other every few years. I have heard of corn syrup but have no idea what it is. Is it a big thing in the US? What do people use it for?
HFCS is a cheap substitute for sugar, extracted from our overly subsidized corn industry. HFCS is basically banned in the EU and many other countries around the world, but in America, we care far more about profits than public health, so that crap is legal here.
art wrote:Thanks for the response.
What is the anti-acronym of HFCS? And why is it bad for health?
PS Do people in America pour syrup over food to sweeten it?
LittleFokker wrote:art wrote:Thanks for the response.
What is the anti-acronym of HFCS? And why is it bad for health?
PS Do people in America pour syrup over food to sweeten it?
HFCS = High Fructose Corn Syrup. It's synthetic, so the body doesn't digest it the way it would otherwise digest sugar, which leads to higher instances of diabetes and heart disease. HFCS isn't sold as an individual product, but rather it's used as a sugar substitute in many sweet things - soda, candy, chocolate, bread - anything that they can swap out sugar for HFCS as ingredient, they will.
mxaxai wrote:par13del wrote:So the reason why there was a shortage in the first place was......and how did the government let it get to a shortage before they acted.
If the nation of the USA was in a real formula shortage a couple C-17's would not be enough, one would have expected to see trailer trucks crossing the borders of Canada and Mexico (no shortage) and a container ship or two inbound from Europe.
Well, they let it come to a shortage by letting the private sector do as they please and maximize shareholder return. Small government, you know. No redundancies or plans for crisis, contaminated food that was uncovered by the FDA only after several illnesses, and overall fragile supply chains. The private sector knows how to maximize efficiency but the slightest hickup will let thing break down - and that's when they come running back to the government to take over and solve the mess they created.
Aaron747 wrote:The Great Reset makes the most sense, but the current crop of global billionaires would stand to lose too much to sign off.
art wrote:PPVRA wrote:In some cases, they even result in effectively subsidizing high fructose corn syrup…. subsidizing obesity and diabetes.
I have syrup in something or other every few years. I have heard of corn syrup but have no idea what it is. Is it a big thing in the US? What do people use it for?
SL1200MK2 wrote:art wrote:PPVRA wrote:In some cases, they even result in effectively subsidizing high fructose corn syrup…. subsidizing obesity and diabetes.
I have syrup in something or other every few years. I have heard of corn syrup but have no idea what it is. Is it a big thing in the US? What do people use it for?
To add just how ubiquitous it is here in the US, I first thought you were being sarcastic since it seems to be in everything here. My ignorance was that I didn’t know it wasn’t as common everywhere else.