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c933103 wrote:As mentioned in previous related thread, I feel his motive to withdraw from this acquisition is probably finance-centric, given how much tech stocks dropped since the announcement
LCDFlight wrote:This is going to be humorous. They got him to man up and sign a contract giving them 44 billion dollars. Money that he has! Money that is under contract, to them! Lawyers are salivating on both sides. A wing of a law school will be built thanks to this one.
Elon is kinda smart, but 44 billion attracts lawyers who will make him wish he was never born. This is the opposite of smart.
LabQuest wrote:This is the only thing he's ever pulled out of in his life.
Aaron747 wrote:LCDFlight wrote:This is going to be humorous. They got him to man up and sign a contract giving them 44 billion dollars. Money that he has! Money that is under contract, to them! Lawyers are salivating on both sides. A wing of a law school will be built thanks to this one.
Elon is kinda smart, but 44 billion attracts lawyers who will make him wish he was never born. This is the opposite of smart.
Hilarious and accurate take. Hubris has a way of knocking even very smart people down a peg.
luckyone wrote:Well it’s official. After weeks of hints Elon Musk is officially attempting to back out of the deal to acquire Twitter.
https://thehill.com/policy/technology/3 ... y-twitter/
- it’s possible he’s telling the truth and is correct about his complaints. It’s also possible no amount of reassurance would suffice because he’s decided to make this his out.
- it’s possible his financing evaporated with both Twitter and Tesla’s stock dropping in recent months. I’ve no idea how liquid his wealth is, but it is known that a great deal of his wealth isn’t liquid. It’s in stocks.
- it’s possible all he wanted was the fight. And the Twitter board acquiesced instead of fighting.
- it’s certain that there will be some well-paid attorneys as Twitter will challenge this in court
StarAC17 wrote:luckyone wrote:Well it’s official. After weeks of hints Elon Musk is officially attempting to back out of the deal to acquire Twitter.
https://thehill.com/policy/technology/3 ... y-twitter/
- it’s possible he’s telling the truth and is correct about his complaints. It’s also possible no amount of reassurance would suffice because he’s decided to make this his out.
- it’s possible his financing evaporated with both Twitter and Tesla’s stock dropping in recent months. I’ve no idea how liquid his wealth is, but it is known that a great deal of his wealth isn’t liquid. It’s in stocks.
- it’s possible all he wanted was the fight. And the Twitter board acquiesced instead of fighting.
- it’s certain that there will be some well-paid attorneys as Twitter will challenge this in court
I have another one. He is intentionally playing games with and manipulating the stock price to his benefit. This would be a pump and dump and that is illegal. He has done it with crypto and that is unregulated but he is arrogant enough to think he can get away with it here.
For the richest man in the world where other companies are quickly catching up to Tesla. For the richest man in the world he has a lot of time on his hands to even consider buying Twitter. He should be involved with his companies and not caring about Twitter at all.
c933103 wrote:As mentioned in previous related thread, I feel his motive to withdraw from this acquisition is probably finance-centric, given how much tech stocks dropped since the announcement
flyingclrs727 wrote:c933103 wrote:As mentioned in previous related thread, I feel his motive to withdraw from this acquisition is probably finance-centric, given how much tech stocks dropped since the announcement
This bodes ill for any other potential buyer. Assuming Elon Musk's numbers are reliable about the proportion and total number of fake accounts, other potential buyers will want to pay a lower price to acquire Twitter.
alfa164 wrote:In a remarkable show of irony, Trump has now called Musk a "bullsh*t artist" after his decision not to buy Twitter:
"You know, he said the other day, ‘Oh, I’ve never voted for a Republican.’ I said, ‘I didn’t know that, he told me he voted for me.’ So he’s another bullshit artist, but he’s not gonna be buying it. "
Pot... meet kettle...
https://www.nme.com/news/music/donald-t ... ly-3265766
alfa164 wrote:In a remarkable show of irony, Trump has now called Musk a "bullsh*t artist" after his decision not to buy Twitter:
"You know, he said the other day, ‘Oh, I’ve never voted for a Republican.’ I said, ‘I didn’t know that, he told me he voted for me.’ So he’s another bullshit artist, but he’s not gonna be buying it. "
Pot... meet kettle...
https://www.nme.com/news/music/donald-t ... ly-3265766
c933103 wrote:As mentioned in previous related thread, I feel his motive to withdraw from this acquisition is probably finance-centric, given how much tech stocks dropped since the announcement
Larnaca wrote:
There is merit behind his concerns. When you buy a company with an expectation of a certain number of accounts / customers. However, when you find out that X percentage of them are not real, then there is merit behind it.
The stock price drop is a convenient (strawman) reason. Musk expressed his concerns about the real number of accounts early on before the significant drop in share price.
Larnaca wrote:c933103 wrote:As mentioned in previous related thread, I feel his motive to withdraw from this acquisition is probably finance-centric, given how much tech stocks dropped since the announcement
There is merit behind his concerns. When you buy a company with an expectation of a certain number of accounts / customers. However, when you find out that X percentage of them are not real, then there is merit behind it.
JJJ wrote:Larnaca wrote:c933103 wrote:As mentioned in previous related thread, I feel his motive to withdraw from this acquisition is probably finance-centric, given how much tech stocks dropped since the announcement
There is merit behind his concerns. When you buy a company with an expectation of a certain number of accounts / customers. However, when you find out that X percentage of them are not real, then there is merit behind it.
Musk himself said very publicly that he was buying Twitter to get rid of the bots so that doesn't add.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/tech/2022 ... 723616001/
Larnaca wrote:JJJ wrote:Larnaca wrote:
There is merit behind his concerns. When you buy a company with an expectation of a certain number of accounts / customers. However, when you find out that X percentage of them are not real, then there is merit behind it.
Musk himself said very publicly that he was buying Twitter to get rid of the bots so that doesn't add.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/tech/2022 ... 723616001/
You are combining two separate items, one of which had nothing to do with the company’s valuation.
Getting rid of the bots (Musks goal according to you) and legitimate accounts (which is needed to value the company) are two different things entirely.
Twitter knows they have a bot issue. The Issue is that the original estimate of legitimate accounts differs greatly from the revised number and therefore doesn’t justify the original price.
dalmit wrote:Larnaca wrote:
There is merit behind his concerns. When you buy a company with an expectation of a certain number of accounts / customers. However, when you find out that X percentage of them are not real, then there is merit behind it.
The stock price drop is a convenient (strawman) reason. Musk expressed his concerns about the real number of accounts early on before the significant drop in share price.
Can you point to where he expressed concern about the number of bots prior to the drop in share price.
I'm looking at a timeline online https://abcnews.go.com/Business/timelin ... d=86611191. The first mention of his concern is May 13th through a tweet. The stock price on that date was $40.72 - $13.48 below his offered price of $54.20. That reflected a loss of 10.3B
Larnaca wrote:
You do realize he offered to buy the company at a 38% premium. Using your thought process, he would have lost 38% immediately day 1.
The stock declined only $4.32 between the day he announced his intent to buy the company ($45.08) until the day he announced his intention to back out ($40.72). The $13.48 you are referencing includes his 38% premium.
Larnaca wrote:JJJ wrote:Larnaca wrote:
There is merit behind his concerns. When you buy a company with an expectation of a certain number of accounts / customers. However, when you find out that X percentage of them are not real, then there is merit behind it.
Musk himself said very publicly that he was buying Twitter to get rid of the bots so that doesn't add.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/tech/2022 ... 723616001/
You are combining two separate items, one of which had nothing to do with the company’s valuation.
Getting rid of the bots (Musks goal according to you) and legitimate accounts (which is needed to value the company) are two different things entirely.
Twitter knows they have a bot issue. The Issue is that the original estimate of legitimate accounts differs greatly from the revised number and therefore doesn’t justify the original price.
That price, presented by Musk on a take-it-or-leave-it basis in an unsolicited public offer, represented a 38% premium over Twitter’s unaffected share price. The other terms Musk offered and agreed to were, as he touted, “seller friendly.” There is no financing contingency and no diligence condition. The deal is backed by airtight debt and equity commitments. Musk has personally committed $33.5 billion.
Larnaca wrote:dalmit wrote:Larnaca wrote:
There is merit behind his concerns. When you buy a company with an expectation of a certain number of accounts / customers. However, when you find out that X percentage of them are not real, then there is merit behind it.
The stock price drop is a convenient (strawman) reason. Musk expressed his concerns about the real number of accounts early on before the significant drop in share price.
Can you point to where he expressed concern about the number of bots prior to the drop in share price.
I'm looking at a timeline online https://abcnews.go.com/Business/timelin ... d=86611191. The first mention of his concern is May 13th through a tweet. The stock price on that date was $40.72 - $13.48 below his offered price of $54.20. That reflected a loss of 10.3B
You do realize he offered to buy the company at a 38% premium. Using your thought process, he would have lost 38% immediately day 1.
The stock declined only $4.32 between the day he announced his intent to buy the company ($45.08) until the day he announced his intention to back out ($40.72). The $13.48 you are referencing includes his 38% premium.
LittleFokker wrote:One thing that's for sure, there will be a lawsuit over the offer agreement breaking fee, and whether or not the claims of false accounts is legitimate enough to get out of the fee. Can't decide if I'm looking forward to that trial or not.
Avatar2go wrote:Important to understand that Musk traded away his rights to terminate due to diligence or finances, in return for Twitter immediately agreeing to the deal on a Sunday, before the market opened on Monday.
Under that much time pressure, Twitter protected itself with provisions that would make it extremely difficult for Musk to back out. His lawyers had to be telling him not to do that, but in typical arrogance, he thought he could force Twitter to do his bidding
Now the shoe is on the other foot, Twitter can force him to either complete the merger, or pay the $1B penalty. His claim of breach based on a materially adverse effect, is baseless because he gave up those termination rights. Twitter has a ton of evidence for what they provided to him, which went way beyond their obligations under the agreement.
But he will now spend millions fighting it in court, until they reach some sort of settlement. The whole thing is an epic disaster.
GDB wrote:As someone who does greatly admire Musk for SpaceX, while knowing he has a childish, sometimes vindictive streak in him, I cannot for the life of me think just why he wants to enter the Big Tech/Social Media quagmire.
Maybe it's because my view of that sector ranges from agnostic to hostile, (my own view is that these, not just Twitter, are monopolistic new technologies that need the treatment Teddy Roosevelt gave to the new technology monopolies of his era).
Surely the huge task he has with SpaceX, plus keeping Tesla on the road, is enough even for his hyperactive brain?
It's just hard to see the Musk who allows even amateur reporters/content providers long in depth interviews with SpaceX, coming across as thoughtful and logical.
Tangible and great progress in one, the worlds's biggest toilet wall on the other side, the latter even had it gone smoothly makes him even more prone to distractions.
GDB wrote:
As someone who does greatly admire Musk for SpaceX, while knowing he has a childish, sometimes vindictive streak in him, I cannot for the life of me think just why he wants to enter the Big Tech/Social Media quagmire.
Maybe it's because my view of that sector ranges from agnostic to hostile, (my own view is that these, not just Twitter, are monopolistic new technologies that need the treatment Teddy Roosevelt gave to the new technology monopolies of his era).
Surely the huge task he has with SpaceX, plus keeping Tesla on the road, is enough even for his hyperactive brain?
It's just hard to see the Musk who allows even amateur reporters/content providers long in depth interviews with SpaceX, coming across as thoughtful and logical.
Tangible and great progress in one, the worlds's biggest toilet wall on the other side, the latter even had it gone smoothly makes him even more prone to distractions.
Avatar2go wrote:GDB wrote:
As someone who does greatly admire Musk for SpaceX, while knowing he has a childish, sometimes vindictive streak in him, I cannot for the life of me think just why he wants to enter the Big Tech/Social Media quagmire.
Maybe it's because my view of that sector ranges from agnostic to hostile, (my own view is that these, not just Twitter, are monopolistic new technologies that need the treatment Teddy Roosevelt gave to the new technology monopolies of his era).
Surely the huge task he has with SpaceX, plus keeping Tesla on the road, is enough even for his hyperactive brain?
It's just hard to see the Musk who allows even amateur reporters/content providers long in depth interviews with SpaceX, coming across as thoughtful and logical.
Tangible and great progress in one, the worlds's biggest toilet wall on the other side, the latter even had it gone smoothly makes him even more prone to distractions.
I think Musk technically is very good, very sharp. He has a broad and deep understanding of technology. But that also gives him a sizable ego, and the problems start when that gets in the way.
In the case of Twitter, it was more ego motivated than technical or financial. All the things you're saying about why it's not a good idea, came home to roost once he set his ego aside. For a brief time, he was going to right a great wrong, in his eyes. Plus given that Twitter is essentially his media department, assure himself a public speaking platform. But alas, it's not that easy, you can't just buy Twitter and make it do what you want. Far more complex than that.
Newark727 wrote:GDB wrote:As someone who does greatly admire Musk for SpaceX, while knowing he has a childish, sometimes vindictive streak in him, I cannot for the life of me think just why he wants to enter the Big Tech/Social Media quagmire.
Maybe it's because my view of that sector ranges from agnostic to hostile, (my own view is that these, not just Twitter, are monopolistic new technologies that need the treatment Teddy Roosevelt gave to the new technology monopolies of his era).
Surely the huge task he has with SpaceX, plus keeping Tesla on the road, is enough even for his hyperactive brain?
It's just hard to see the Musk who allows even amateur reporters/content providers long in depth interviews with SpaceX, coming across as thoughtful and logical.
Tangible and great progress in one, the worlds's biggest toilet wall on the other side, the latter even had it gone smoothly makes him even more prone to distractions.
I can't believe the guy who programmed his cars to make fart noises isn't as mature and sagacious as he appears to be!
LCDFlight wrote:
Is it? Here I was under the impression that Twitter is trying to be sold to Elon. Why wouldn’t he be able to do what he pleases with it? It would be his personal property.
Avatar2go wrote:Musk today challenged the Twitter CEO to a public debate on the bot issue. This is an attempt to take the dispute out of the courtroom and into the public domain, where his fanbase will help him.
He also said the deal can move forward if the bot issue is resolved to his satisfaction. But of course that won't happen, because he won't accept Twitter's numbers. Most recently he has claimed that 85% of Twitter users are bots.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/06/elon-mu ... -bots.html
casinterest wrote:
Musk is basically saying that he never did his own due diligence prior to making his bid, and that is not going to stand in court.
Avatar2go wrote:casinterest wrote:
Musk is basically saying that he never did his own due diligence prior to making his bid, and that is not going to stand in court.
He explicitly waived his right of diligence in an effort to pressure the Twitter board into accepting his deal over a weekend, before markets could respond the following Monday. So he got what he himself wanted, but the board locked him into an airtight contract.
He has no one but himself to blame for the current circumstances. But is trying to push the blame onto Twitter.
pune wrote:Avatar2go wrote:casinterest wrote:
Musk is basically saying that he never did his own due diligence prior to making his bid, and that is not going to stand in court.
He explicitly waived his right of diligence in an effort to pressure the Twitter board into accepting his deal over a weekend, before markets could respond the following Monday. So he got what he himself wanted, but the board locked him into an airtight contract.
He has no one but himself to blame for the current circumstances. But is trying to push the blame onto Twitter.
I am a twitter user. Sad to say he did have good ideas, some of which the company was going to work at (for e.g. giving people more than 280 characters to work with.), the edit function. At times, we write something and either forget words (I do it all the time) or some other grammatical mistake or whatever. And that window of opportunity was gonna remain open for around 15-20 minutes. Even if these two features were put in, you would see lot of dynamism building. Unforunately, it seems after no merger, all the proposed features shared seem to have been put on the back burner.
casinterest wrote:pune wrote:Avatar2go wrote:
He explicitly waived his right of diligence in an effort to pressure the Twitter board into accepting his deal over a weekend, before markets could respond the following Monday. So he got what he himself wanted, but the board locked him into an airtight contract.
He has no one but himself to blame for the current circumstances. But is trying to push the blame onto Twitter.
I am a twitter user. Sad to say he did have good ideas, some of which the company was going to work at (for e.g. giving people more than 280 characters to work with.), the edit function. At times, we write something and either forget words (I do it all the time) or some other grammatical mistake or whatever. And that window of opportunity was gonna remain open for around 15-20 minutes. Even if these two features were put in, you would see lot of dynamism building. Unforunately, it seems after no merger, all the proposed features shared seem to have been put on the back burner.
Twitter can and will still make improvements where needed, but Musk overpaid initially, and he is trying to get out of it because he didn't understand his own lessons from paypal
pune wrote:casinterest wrote:pune wrote:
I am a twitter user. Sad to say he did have good ideas, some of which the company was going to work at (for e.g. giving people more than 280 characters to work with.), the edit function. At times, we write something and either forget words (I do it all the time) or some other grammatical mistake or whatever. And that window of opportunity was gonna remain open for around 15-20 minutes. Even if these two features were put in, you would see lot of dynamism building. Unforunately, it seems after no merger, all the proposed features shared seem to have been put on the back burner.
Twitter can and will still make improvements where needed, but Musk overpaid initially, and he is trying to get out of it because he didn't understand his own lessons from paypal
My limited point is and was that those features have been on the minds of Twitter users for years. Twitter never responded to them enthusiastically till Musk intervened, and now it seems it is going on the backburner. The platform virtually has no competition
JJJ wrote:pune wrote:casinterest wrote:
Twitter can and will still make improvements where needed, but Musk overpaid initially, and he is trying to get out of it because he didn't understand his own lessons from paypal
My limited point is and was that those features have been on the minds of Twitter users for years. Twitter never responded to them enthusiastically till Musk intervened, and now it seems it is going on the backburner. The platform virtually has no competition
Meaning it works nicely enough. Competition in the broader social media space is fierce.
casinterest wrote:JJJ wrote:pune wrote:
My limited point is and was that those features have been on the minds of Twitter users for years. Twitter never responded to them enthusiastically till Musk intervened, and now it seems it is going on the backburner. The platform virtually has no competition
Meaning it works nicely enough. Competition in the broader social media space is fierce.
If there is a reason for newer features, then there will be a competitor soon enough.