Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
hjulicher wrote:@KLM 617: Please stop complaining and repeating yourself. It's getting old. Yes DTW has a bit of suppressed demand, but DTW is a fortress HUB and that's not going to change. WCAA is also not going to take risks in pissing DL off because for the vast majority of businesses and consumers in DTW, having non-stop service to a huge variety of markets is far more important and economically useful than having low-fares to certain destinations in the US but having no HUB or a smaller HUB. Furthermore, DTW's fares are not exorbitantly high either, so yes getting to Europe is tough, but you can fly within the US for pretty reasonable prices, and if you want a cheap fare to Europe book from YQG (depending where in Detroit you live, it could in fact even be closer).
I understand it is a 'nice-to-have' to have variety in the market, but DTW is simply not big enough nor diverse enough to attract such variety. With it placed between ORD and YYZ, it's highly unlikely that a foreign carrier is going to fly to DTW unless there is a market centered in Detroit which can make that particular route work. That means, no route to WAW, CPH, ARN, MAD, LIS etc.
My personal belief is that most viable new entrants are the following:
FI - KEF
EI - DUB
LH - MUC
EK - DXB (maybe with 5th freedom they'd launch MXP???)
I don't see anything else in the pipeline. I could always be wrong though as I'm surprised about MAN.
Hypothetically speaking, if KL and VS were to fly/resume DTW again would your complaint regarding the WCAA still apply?
User001 wrote:The source is Routesonline
lavalampluva wrote::lol: I'm sure that most would like every airline to fly non stop from their city to every city in the world, but that is just never going to happen.
reasonable wrote:This isn't credible. He didn't cite any sources—it might has well been written by a high school journalism student.
reasonable wrote:User001 wrote:The source is Routesonline
Do you mean this?: http://www.routesonline.com/news/29/bre ... -for-2017/
This isn't credible. He didn't cite any sources—it might has well been written by a high school journalism student. Where is he getting information? There is no link to a public application, so how does he know it's currently being reviewed for approval?
User001 wrote:reasonable wrote:User001 wrote:The source is Routesonline
Do you mean this?: http://www.routesonline.com/news/29/bre ... -for-2017/
This isn't credible. He didn't cite any sources—it might has well been written by a high school journalism student. Where is he getting information? There is no link to a public application, so how does he know it's currently being reviewed for approval?
It's a pity you don't post in a manner that matches your user name, as you come across very arrogant and rude rather than 'reasonable'.
You are aware of who RoutesOnline are? This is not some back bedroom blogger. This is a company that works one on one with airlines and airports, bringing them together to get new routes off the ground. Their events are some of the biggest and most respected in the industry, and have been going for years. This is a company that doesn't just 'make stuff up' for the sake of it, they work directly with the people involved in each case.
The airline route section is one of the most reliable sources on the net and the company themselves are one of the most credible information sites you will find so quite frankly, I really don't care what your opinion is because it's clear you have no idea what you are posting about if you don't know anything about the news source?
Seriously, do a little bit of research on the company and then try and convince me they are not a credible sources.......
thedetroitpole wrote:I agree with several comments above about AAG pursuing a nonstop from Detroit to San Diego and Portland, both routes suffer from fares that are a premium. There is a demand for both routes, but with Portland it is inconveniently timed and the fares are very high, a properly timed flight via Alaska could work since this flight would be mostly O&D. San Diego has fairly healthy passenger numbers, some competition on this route will not hurt.
thedetroitpole wrote:Not sure if you mean total or on DL but I show DTW-MCO having more frequency and more seats over MSP-MCO. On top of that I don't really see what DTW-MCO offers DTW-FLL doesn't plus DL is very very strong in the MCO market place.I am also confident that B6 could begin a daily route to Detroit from Orlando. Minneapolis flies to Orlando ten times daily whereas Detroit only does nine times, and there is certainly more of a demand in Detroit is there not? Yields are generally low, yes but the success of Fort Lauderdale and Boston on B6 should be able to justify a daily flight to one of Detroit's top three O&D markets. Frontier and Spirit would have lower fares, but B6 could easily price one way fares for less than one-hundred dollars.
thedetroitpole wrote:Spirit, I think, is not done adding Detroit flights, but they want to add smaller markets. I think that is a load of bologna, because Spirit could easily add the low cost service we need for Newark and Seattle. Phoenix wouldn't be a bad addition, neither would San Diego or Daytona Beach. Even some of our shorter markets like Nashville Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, and Saint Louis would not be bad options because most of us, or the travelers embarking from those destinations do not prefer to drive.
thedetroitpole wrote:Out of the last only DUB makes sense to me. (only cause it can be with a very low risk 757) DUS is going to be too thin, IMO. Better to flow that traffic over AMS/CDG. MAD is a OneWorld hub. Plenty of capacity over JFK and again the Euro hubs.Delta has a lot of growth planned internationally for Detroit. Dublin, Dusseldorf, Barcelona and Madrid are just a few European markets that have a lot of daily passengers each way but no nonstop flight. Delta will take advantage of these before another airline does because not only could Delta fill a plane with business and leisure from Detroit, but can provide feed on both sides of the pond. Do not forget either, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, and Aruba are other international markets that could easily fill local business and leisure passengers from Detroit and provide feed from both sides. Detroit also should have some more Caribbean destinations, but I am not complaining about the options we already have.
thedetroitpole wrote:Volaris has applied for a route to Detroit from several Mexico cities, I can only see Mexico City, Guadalajara and Monterrey happening, do not forget these will likely be flights that are not daily. Delta has applied for Manchester, another market that is exploding in Detroit, which is why the five times daily and seasonal flight will occur, of course pending DOT approval.
compensateme wrote:BTW, this is my favorite example of hypocrisy on these forums. None of us have any idea of whether DTW/HKG will return, but instead of ceding that it's a possibility, posters like "DLWidebodyGuy" will insist it'll never return... then in their next posting, say it's only a matter of when SEA/KIX comes back -- a route that came after DTW/HKG and whose performance was so poor, it barely lasted a year. Yet some how, some way people think he's credible...
reasonable wrote:It shows Nagoya down 62.1%
reasonable wrote:Somebody finally attached some simple but interesting data about change YOY in international route passenger numbers on the DTW page on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Detroit_M ... an_Airport
It shows Nagoya down 62.1%, Sao Paulo down 20%, and Beijing down almost 12%, while Shanghai and Tokyo are up nearly 25% each.
Does anybody have insight into what has caused such intense shifts in passenger numbers? I was under the impression that NGO was an incredibly reliable route for Delta. Merely implicating "the economy" is not rigorous enough to account for numbers like this.
enilria wrote:reasonable wrote:It shows Nagoya down 62.1%
Toyota is moving their North America HQ from Erlanger, KY (near Ohio border) to Plano, Texas. Toyota has a Boeing-esque HQ in Tokyo (like Boeing in Chicago), but Nagoya is closer to the nuts and bolts.
reasonable wrote:Somebody finally attached some simple but interesting data about change YOY in international route passenger numbers on the DTW page on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Detroit_M ... an_Airport
It shows Nagoya down 62.1%, Sao Paulo down 20%, and Beijing down almost 12%, while Shanghai and Tokyo are up nearly 25% each.
Does anybody have insight into what has caused such intense shifts in passenger numbers? I was under the impression that NGO was an incredibly reliable route for Delta. Merely implicating "the economy" is not rigorous enough to account for numbers like this.
michman wrote:The HQ (and most jobs) is moving from Torrance. Erlanger is just Engineering HQ. Some of the Erlanger jobs are moving to Ann Arbor. At any rate, the new facility in Plano is not even finished yet and the numbers are from 2015. NGO was downsized from a 744 to a 332 which is likely part of it.
reasonable wrote:michman wrote:The HQ (and most jobs) is moving from Torrance. Erlanger is just Engineering HQ. Some of the Erlanger jobs are moving to Ann Arbor. At any rate, the new facility in Plano is not even finished yet and the numbers are from 2015. NGO was downsized from a 744 to a 332 which is likely part of it.
Why the downsize—fleet retirement? Is there significant traffic/revenue related to the design center in Ann Arbor? I guess it seems like 62% is a massive shift for one year, that surely an aircraft change can't fully account for. I wonder if this route is as reliable/safe as people talk about it being...
User001 wrote:DTW-MAN will be announced late Sept along with PDX-CDG.
flymco753 wrote:User001 wrote:DTW-MAN will be announced late Sept along with PDX-CDG.
That was about the same time MUC was announced last year. Maybe it'll be more than just MAN being announced for DTW? Second daily FRA? DL has a couple of tricks up their sleeves.
lavalampluva wrote:flymco753 wrote:User001 wrote:DTW-MAN will be announced late Sept along with PDX-CDG.
That was about the same time MUC was announced last year. Maybe it'll be more than just MAN being announced for DTW? Second daily FRA? DL has a couple of tricks up their sleeves.
I don't know. Just taking a look at available seats from newer DL transatlantic flights, the only one which appears to be doing well is MSP-KEF, It's been running almost full all summer, even with FI flying a 767. I'm concerned that MSP-FCO might not be around next year, and DTW-MUC isn't much better. Are the loads really enough to provide a 2nd flight between DTW-FRA?
lavalampluva wrote:flymco753 wrote:User001 wrote:DTW-MAN will be announced late Sept along with PDX-CDG.
Second daily FRA? DL has a couple of tricks up their sleeves.
flymco753 wrote:I think they could get away with 2 FRA flights
thedetroitpole wrote:flymco753 wrote:I think they could get away with 2 FRA flights
My friend, it is not a matter of an airline getting away with it, it is about a second flight being profitable, and I have to disagree with a second daily flight on Delta. I can see Condor doing a three or four-times weekly service on peak travel seasons between Detroit and Frankfurt.
flymco753 wrote:How about TXL or DUS?
klm617 wrote:When Icelandair adds Detroit to it's network and it sticks
thedetroitpole wrote:klm617 wrote:When Icelandair adds Detroit to it's network and it sticks
It is not a matter of "if" at this point, it is a matter of "when". Icelandair would fit great into Detroit's network, and vice versa. Most Detroit travelers to Europe are on a tighter budget, thus making Icelandair a good transit option for Western Europe.
klm617 wrote:thedetroitpole wrote:[quote="klm617]The other issue I see is will there be enough passenger loyalty if they do add Detroit as they need to make themselves highly visual in this Delta dominated market.[/quote]
flymco753 wrote:I would like to see more Caribbean options honestly, a winter seasonal SXM, AUA, or STT would be pretty cool for DL. I also think a DL flight to PTY would be cool too, but that's my opinion nothing statistical.
thedetroitpole wrote:klm617 wrote:thedetroitpole wrote:[quote="klm617]The other issue I see is will there be enough passenger loyalty if they do add Detroit as they need to make themselves highly visual in this Delta dominated market.[/quote][/quote][/quote]
You would be surprised my friend. Not everybody in Detroit is loyal to Delta, actually many are loyal to Spirit and JetBlue now, in terms of international, a lot of people are loyal to Lufthansa and some to Air Canada. Yes Delta still has a fairly large customer base, but those passengers that do not have the opportunity to travel often and become loyal to an airline will discover Icelandair and Norwegian and realize that there is a way to get to Europe for a lower cost. I myself am a Lufthansa loyal customer internationally due to frequent travel to Warsaw, but am loyal to Delta domestically.[/quote]
787fan8 wrote:I am honestly shocked that non of the ME3 as well as TK have started service to DTW. I mean, look at how huge their Middle Eastern population is, and not only that, but their economy has slowly, but surely been recovering. What's the hold up?
klm617 wrote:thedetroitpole wrote:klm617 wrote:
I used to be a committed Northwest flyer for international and domestic but it is no longer that way. I fly now whatever is cheapest and whatever is most convenient as there is no longer a commitment by Delta to giving the Detroit traveler the best options as Northwest was. I have had more delays with Delta in the last five years than I had the whole 20 years or so I flew Northwest and that speaks volumes. There is no extra capacity anymore so if your flight gets canceled you can jump on the next flight now it's endless time spent on a waitlist trying to get on a flight which in most cases is already over booked which can involve hours upon hours of my time with little or no urgency to get you on a flight and frankly I can get that kind of service from Spirit why would I fly Delta at a premium price.
klm617 wrote:787fan8 wrote:I am honestly shocked that non of the ME3 as well as TK have started service to DTW. I mean, look at how huge their Middle Eastern population is, and not only that, but their economy has slowly, but surely been recovering. What's the hold up?
I don't think the ME3 would serve the middle eastern population here to the extent many think it would because there would be a lot of back tracking the ME3 would be more of a benefit to the people traveling to India and Bangladesh from Detroit. I really don't think that the ME3 are very welcome in Detroit by the airport authority that is why none of them have landed here yet.
787fan8 wrote:I am honestly shocked that non of the ME3 as well as TK have started service to DTW. I mean, look at how huge their Middle Eastern population is, and not only that, but their economy has slowly, but surely been recovering. What's the hold up?
tb727 wrote:klm617 wrote:thedetroitpole wrote:
I used to be a committed Northwest flyer for international and domestic but it is no longer that way. I fly now whatever is cheapest and whatever is most convenient as there is no longer a commitment by Delta to giving the Detroit traveler the best options as Northwest was. I have had more delays with Delta in the last five years than I had the whole 20 years or so I flew Northwest and that speaks volumes. There is no extra capacity anymore so if your flight gets canceled you can jump on the next flight now it's endless time spent on a waitlist trying to get on a flight which in most cases is already over booked which can involve hours upon hours of my time with little or no urgency to get you on a flight and frankly I can get that kind of service from Spirit why would I fly Delta at a premium price.
You hit the nail on the head. I just don't see the loyalty to DL in DTW that people had to NW. You can have all the hassle for half the price elsewhere, ehem NK.
What Detroit needs is a low cost option to get to Eastern Europe but WOW and Iceland Air don't quite reach there but you probably could with Norwegian.
IndianicWorld wrote:The thing that likely stands out is that the ME3 do not really have an advantage in servicing Detroit's strongest markets.
The airline's have the data and would have been in there by now had they seen a compelling reason to do so. Thats not to say that one may well show up at some point though, but with the build up that they have all been undertaking other markets have seemingly been prioritised at this point in time.
klm617 wrote:IndianicWorld wrote:The thing that likely stands out is that the ME3 do not really have an advantage in servicing Detroit's strongest markets.
The airline's have the data and would have been in there by now had they seen a compelling reason to do so. Thats not to say that one may well show up at some point though, but with the build up that they have all been undertaking other markets have seemingly been prioritised at this point in time.
My understanding is there are at least 200 passengers a day between Detroit and India that's a lot and would fit well in the network od one of the ME3 so these travels can have a better priced option when going home to visit family or on business. So there is a market