RL777 wrote:I think we'll see them add a few more 767 frames in the interim, they seem to be working quite nicely for them and they also seemed to have worked out the reliability issues too. The 787 is intriguing to me, I think it definitely could work in the WS fleet but I can't figure whether they would be looking at the 788 or 789.
I know they are currently trying to pick up some of JAL's former 767's. They are still a great option with low upfront costs and relative knowledge of the platform given their current fleet. The 787 seems a logical progression.
What I find intriguing is the same thing you questioned, which model will it be? On one hand, the 787-8 is probably an ideal size for them, it will give them room for a proper premium cabin (which was explained to me as the plan going foreword). That would allow them to compete in a more level playing field with AC, rather then tackle the somewhat more competitive lower cost segment of the Canadian market. Furthermore, again, from what has been explained to me by employees of westjet, some of their codeshare partners are pressuring them to offer a premium product in order to better serve their own premium passengers on connections. While this only represents a small fraction of their loads, it is certainly a viable way of supplementing loads at the front of the airplane. So given that, and it's incremental increase in size over the 763, the 787-8 logicially makes sense.
With all of that being said, the performance delta between the -8 and -9 is negligeable in terms of fuel consumption. The 787-9 essentially offers "free" additional seats as compared to the 787-8. Boeing is likely pushing that option rather then the -8 which is slowly slipping into the shadow of its larger sibling. The issue is the -9 is a significant jump up in size for them, which is a tricky thing to manage. I really can't say what they will end up doing, too tough to call. I'd love to hear more opinions, it's an interesting situation, one that brings me great excitement.