The 778X will enter service in the 2021-2022 timeframe. It will be an airframe designed for a market evolving over a 10-15 year period. It could be, as has been suggested further optimised to fly Sydney to Heathrow.
As such what is true today may not be true tomorrow.http://www.afr.com/business/transport/a ... 126-gtz0gvmig17 wrote:
The examples of London - Sydney or Paris - Papeete are never going to happen because in the first case, you have huge hubs on the road which make the competition for a nonstop flight difficult and in the second case, AF doesn't need to do it nonstop.
Yes, but the most optimal hub changes every time you change the origin and destination point.
For example the shortest route via a hub to LHR from Sydney is Haikou Meilan on the Chinese island of Hanain. For flights originating in Brisbane, Tapai would be the best hub airport. If we change the destination to Paris, Hanoi becomes the most optimal airport for flights from Sydney and Hong Kong for flights from Brisbane.
If we change our destination to Athens, for flights from both Brisbane and Sydney, Singapore or Mumbai probably become the most favourable hub airports. For flights originating in Melbourne, Colombo in Sri Lanka would probably be the most optimal hub.
As such for an airline like QANTAS using a hub airport to fly passengers from multiple destinations in Australia to multiple ULH destinations in Europe would be one of compromises.
As the linked article above suggests, QANTAS's relationship with Emirates gives them and their customer’s access to a large choice of destinations in Europe. As such, for QANTAS future ULH flying will probably revolve around key markets (i.e. Athens, Frankfurt, Paris, Heathrow) and not niche markets. This is a very different reality.
Another consideration is that of payload. For instance an aircraft like the 778X could be a very suitable aircraft for routes with high passenger and freight loads. For example, South East Queensland (where Brisbane is located) is a large exporter of fresh food and produce to Asia. As the 778X would have high passenger and freight capacity using this aircraft for Brisbane to Dubai could enable expansion of frsh food and produce freight into markets in the middle-east.
So from this perspective the 778X could be a relatively versatile aircraft capable of flying long haul routes with high payload requirements or ULH routes between major airports.