Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
jplatts wrote:Southwest could expand from Atlanta to Sacramento, Omaha, and Nashville as these are some of the largest markets out of Atlanta that Southwest does not serve nonstop from Atlanta. I am not sure if the expansion into these three markets from ATL will happen on June 22nd, but these are destinations that Southwest could expand to from ATL.
flymco753 wrote:MCO-DTW/MSP and some of the other Saturday only flights will probably return on this extension.
SteveXC500 wrote:MCO-DTW might go before, it generally runs from the first Saturday in January to the last Saturday in April.flymco753 wrote:MCO-DTW/MSP and some of the other Saturday only flights will probably return on this extension.
I doubt we see the seasonal routes like MCO-DTW/MSP in this one. Those will come in the extension after June's publication. I think in August. Spring Break will be March 8th through sometime in April.
However, FLL-MSP usually gets added, for example, in this one.
jplatts wrote:Southwest could expand from Atlanta to Sacramento, Omaha, and Nashville as these are some of the largest markets out of Atlanta that Southwest does not serve nonstop from Atlanta. I am not sure if the expansion into these three markets from ATL will happen on June 22nd, but these are destinations that Southwest could expand to from ATL.
SFOATLFlyer wrote:jplatts wrote:Southwest could expand from Atlanta to Sacramento, Omaha, and Nashville as these are some of the largest markets out of Atlanta that Southwest does not serve nonstop from Atlanta. I am not sure if the expansion into these three markets from ATL will happen on June 22nd, but these are destinations that Southwest could expand to from ATL.
Don't count on BNA-ATL. There aren't that many places BNA pax can connect to in Atlanta they don't already served from BNA, and the O&D usually drives.
jplatts wrote:I expect to see Southwest adding nonstop service out of Houston Hobby to additional destinations in the Midwest and in Northern California that are not currently served nonstop from HOU. I also expect Southwest to add new international destinations, including nonstop service to new international destinations out of HOU.
aviationjunky wrote:I expect to see large CVG expansion.
jplatts wrote:Two of the largest routes in the contiguous U.S. without nonstop service are SAN-ORF and SAN-RDU. Will Southwest end up adding nonstop service to ORF and RDU from SAN?
flydulles wrote:if there gonna dip there toe into Hawaii would that be in this schedule release?
aviationjunky wrote:I expect to see large CVG expansion.
jbmitt wrote:aviationjunky wrote:I expect to see large CVG expansion.
2x STL, 2x DEN, 1x BNA, 1x PHX, 1x FLL, reduce MDW to 3 or 4x because of other connection options.
DeltaRules wrote:Does WN have any LGA slots they're working on picking up? It was mentioned by an executive in a story about WN's 25th anniversary at CMH last week that they want to add CMH-LGA and the lack of slots is the only thing stopping them.
CRAA's wish list from WN from the same article includes SFO, MKE, and SAN.
aviationjunky wrote:I expect to see large CVG expansion.
SteveXC500 wrote:No discussion on the closure of any station! Let's keep this to either rumors which are being discussed OR guesses/speculation about the upcoming schedule extension.
I'm going to guess with this being a two-month extension of the schedule to March 7th and this publication being prior to the big spring break additions, we won't see much. But, does anyone have information on how many aircraft will be entering service? Will this possibly play into more routes being added, additional frequencies on existing routes, or new locations? More international? How about (gasp) Hawaii?
Ready, go!
jplatts wrote:aviationjunky wrote:I expect to see large CVG expansion.
In addition to CVG, Southwest has plenty of opportunities to expand at MSP, CMH, and CLE. There are many things that the MSP, CMH, and CLE markets have to the CVG market. First, Minneapolis, St. Paul, Columbus, Cleveland, and Cincinnati are all Midwestern cities that are located in the largest Midwestern metropolitan areas. Second, the largest markets that Southwest does not serve nonstop from at least one of these 4 airports are some of the largest markets out of each of these 4 airports that are not currently served nonstop by Southwest.
DeltaRules wrote:Does WN have any LGA slots they're working on picking up? It was mentioned by an executive in a story about WN's 25th anniversary at CMH last week that they want to add CMH-LGA and the lack of slots is the only thing stopping them.
CRAA's wish list from WN from the same article includes SFO, MKE, and SAN.
SFOATLFlyer wrote:IIRC, a long time ago there was a PBI flight, likely seasonal but I can't remember. WN tried BNA-GSP, it didn't stay long either. RIC? I don't see it. While not the same, the ORF nonstop lasted maybe a year. It seems like everytime WN adds at BNA, they also subtract - sometimes frequently, sometimes dropped cities. It's my understanding they have 2 additional gates, but I haven't been down into the C20's for some time.
jplatts wrote:Two of the largest routes in the contiguous U.S. without nonstop service are SAN-ORF and SAN-RDU. Will Southwest end up adding nonstop service to ORF and RDU from SAN?
southwest1675 wrote:SFOATLFlyer wrote:IIRC, a long time ago there was a PBI flight, likely seasonal but I can't remember. WN tried BNA-GSP, it didn't stay long either. RIC? I don't see it. While not the same, the ORF nonstop lasted maybe a year. It seems like everytime WN adds at BNA, they also subtract - sometimes frequently, sometimes dropped cities. It's my understanding they have 2 additional gates, but I haven't been down into the C20's for some time.
They've got the gates now. Southwest operates 101 daily departures from BNA. Supposedly we'll see more additions in the future.
jplatts wrote:Will Southwest end up adding nonstops to additional Midwestern cities from Philadelphia? PHL is one of the largest markets that Southwest does not currently fly to nonstop from MCI, MSP, MKE, IND, CVG, CLE, or CMH. There is no easy access to IND, CVG, CMH, or CLE from Philadelphia on Southwest, and the only options to get to IND, CVG, CMH, or CLE on Southwest is to either take the 1 1/2 hour train ride on Amtrak to BWI and then fly out of BWI or an out-of-the-way connection on Southwest through MDW, BNA, or ATL to these destinations. PHL is also the largest market out of Kansas City that Southwest does not currently fly to nonstop out of MCI, and Southwest could also add PHL-MCI nonstop service with Southwest being the dominant carrier at MCI.
Southwest did serve CMH nonstop from PHL in the past, but there are several factors that might possibly lead to Southwest reviving PHL-CMH nonstop service. First, PHL is one of the largest markets out of CMH that is not served nonstop by Southwest out of CMH. Second, American Airlines is currently the only airline to serve PHL nonstop from CMH. Third, there is no easy access to PHL out of CMH on Southwest since travelling between PHL and CMH on Southwest requires a connection and the travel distance between PHL and CMH with a connection at MDW is more than double the distance of the PHL-CMH nonstop. Fourth, Southwest discontinued the PHL-CMH flight back in November 2009 during an economic crisis and prior to US Airways announcing plans to merge with AA. Finally, while Southwest was the dominant carrier back in 2009 when it served PHL nonstop from CMH, Southwest is much bigger at CMH today than it was back in 2009.
If Southwest were to add nonstop service from PHL to additional Midwestern cities, which Midwestern cities would Southwest add nonstop service to first?
jplatts wrote:If Southwest were to add nonstop service from PHL to additional Midwestern cities, which Midwestern cities would Southwest add nonstop service to first?
OslPhlWasChi wrote:jplatts wrote:Otherwise, maybe a flight to OAK or LAX but that is just me dreaming.
OslPhlWasChi wrote:
On the other hand, I think PIT is wide open for competition against AA on PIT-PHL! What is the history on this route? Was WN the last carrier to attempt PHL-PIT and when was that?
phluser wrote:jplatts wrote:Will Southwest end up adding nonstops to additional Midwestern cities from Philadelphia? PHL is one of the largest markets that Southwest does not currently fly to nonstop from MCI, MSP, MKE, IND, CVG, CLE, or CMH.
If Southwest were to add nonstop service from PHL to additional Midwestern cities, which Midwestern cities would Southwest add nonstop service to first?
I'd be surprised if it added any service from PHL to these cities. CVG has the lowest likelihood as its a brand new WN station and WN is still small there. It's discounting CVG-BWI fares, plenty of $59 WGA fares booked in advance, trying to build up the market.
MCI might have the best shot. AA flies 3x daily, while most of the other cities have 4x or higher frequency from AA. The lower the AA frequency and the farther the distance (as MCI is past Chicago), the easier Southwest can get away with a 1x daily and better the chance IMO. Similarly, Southwest has a 1x daily MCI-LGA.
Anything shorter, for example CMH or CLE, AA can ramp up frequency. Anyways, Southwest has BWI and a roundtrip fare out of BWI, booked some weeks in advance, is still a discount over a roundtrip from AA from PHL. With points however, it's different. AA's point redemption is factored by mileage, and PHL has many cities under 500 miles where it's easy to get cities closer than Chicago and Atlanta, on 7500 miles.
jplatts wrote:The largest markets out of Denver that Southwest Airlines does not fly to nonstop out of DEN include Charlotte, Cincinnati, Memphis, Des Moines, and Richmond. Frontier does serve CLT, CVG, MEM, and DSM nonstop from DEN, but Richmond isn't even served by Frontier. Will Southwest add nonstops to any of these cities from DEN?
jplatts wrote:The largest markets out of Chicago Midway that where Southwest only does 1 daily nonstop out of MDW are Jacksonville, Oklahoma City, San Jose (CA), and Tucson.
Will Southwest add a 2nd nonstop to OKC and SJC out of MDW? OKC and SJC appear to be big enough for Southwest to do at least 2 nonstops out of MDW, especially since MDW is Southwest's top destination and especially since OKC and SJC are located in large U.S. Cities.
The largest markets out of Chicago that does not have nonstop service out of Chicago Midway include Richmond, Rochester (NY), Des Moines, Tulsa, Little Rock, Greenville/Spartanburg, El Paso, and Wichita. Southwest had previously served most of these markets nonstop from MDW, but hasn't yet done MDW-RIC nonstop service. Will Southwest Airlines add MDW-RIC nonstop service or revive nonstop service from MDW to any of the cities that previously had nonstop service to MDW?
DeltaRules wrote:Does WN have any LGA slots they're working on picking up? It was mentioned by an executive in a story about WN's 25th anniversary at CMH last week that they want to add CMH-LGA and the lack of slots is the only thing stopping them.