As much as I love the Columbus area, CMH is really a non-contender for this. Just because a city is millenial does not at all mean a city can sell premium seats on 787. If anything, it means the contrary. Also, the Columbus metro area is far smaller than STL, and a bit smaller than IND. Not to forget that STL and IND have traffic numbers that completely eclipse CMH. I think another aspect to this is the resurgence of Cleveland. If BA is coming to Ohio, they'll pick CLE. Cleveland has a global economy in healthcare and in petroleum. BP has a major operation in downtown Cleveland. Columbus has a very national economy. As I said for IND, CMH has a ton of domestic holes. CMH does not even have a flight to SFO. There is a heavily subsidized seasonal flight on WN to OAK. If I was in charge of route development at CMH, landing TATL service would be last on my list. Either way, as clearly pointed out by the posters on this forum, if BA is to expand in North America again, it is going to be STL or IND, not CMH or CLE.
Which Cleveland resurgence?https://www.bizjournals.com/columbus/ne ... oming.html
Here are the 25-year projections for Ohio's major cities:
Columbus will grow from 2.02 million residents in 2015 to 2.65 million in 2040. That 30.8 percent growth rate is good enough for 30th out of 933 metropolitan areas tracked.
Cincinnati will grow from 2.16 million residents in 2015 to 2.33 million in 2040, a growth rate of 8 percent.
Cleveland will shrink from 2.06 million residents in 2015 to 1.89 million in 2040. That drop of 8.4 percent is the worst projected loss among the country's major metros.
The trend is clear. British Airways and Norwegian are incresingly targeting "millenial" and trendy economies (read that in a broad sense, but I think it is clear what I mean). Anything from New Orleans to Austin or Denver. Old, scurfy Fortune 500 HQ cities are out of the way! And I can't think of a worse example than BP. If CLE hasn't been able to sustain a LHR flight with oil at +$100, how is it going to be able to sustain it in the future with the help of BP?
The easy answer to Cleveland: Domestic Holes. CLE, much like STL and PIT, was destroyed by dehubbing. Currently, STL and CLE have bounced back. STL much more than anyone else. CLE is focused on restoring its domestic network before focusing elsewhere.
Look, I love Columbus. It's an amazing city. However, if you're pushing this 'millennial' argument, how come STL was just named the best city for millennials in the country? Indianapolis was also very high on the list. Columbus was not in the top 20. Also, in terms of colleges, STL and IND have several major universities based in them. WUSTL (ranked higher than OSU in virtually all sectors), SLU, Butler, IUPUI, etc. EIther way, the Columbus metro area does not support the business traffic of CMH-LHR. I can assure you that the premium cabin would be empty. Also, CMH is in the range of a 757. If DL has not launched CMH-CDG, then we clearly have a problem. Also, New Orleans is NOT a "trendy, hip, millennial" city. Have you ever been? It's old, stagnant economy, high crime, rampant poverty. It has a huge tourist draw, however.
Columbus is not Austin. Austin is a booming tech city with huge corporate presences. Being a state capital does have influence, however, IND is a state capitol as well. STL is the primary airport for both Jefferson City, MO and Springfield, IL. Double whammy. Not to mention, Kansas City, MO is supportive of an STL TATL.
Those old, scurfy Fortune 500 cities, however, have significantly more air service than CMH does.
Let me close with this:
I am not trying to bash Columbus. We just have to be realistic here. The facts are:
1. CMH has pitiful domestic service for a metro of its size. Low frequency, not many non-stops.
2. Very few routes to the West Coast. The ones in place are heavily subsidized. In fact, CMH has revenue guarantees in place for CMH-OAK...and Southwest has cut that route back to seasonal.
3. The Columbus Metro CANNOT support a 787 TATL. There is no business or tourist draw to Greater Columbus that would support a flight.
4. CMH's proximity to other TATL cities proves a conflict. DTW, CVG, PIT all are close by. That drastically cuts into any CMH market draw.
5. CMH is a Delta/WN airport. American/OW has a very small presence at the airport. BA is OW. I also know that many Columbus area companies have contracts with DL and WN.
6. Club Access: No. Where will Premium Cabin passengers wait for their flight? Not in the terminal...