mariner wrote:So short of using CMB as the gateway, which I think is the most sensible way, it's a puzzlement.
I have no idea why you think that CMB is "the most sensible way" here:
- NZ needs a Star Alliance hub for feed to and from India, which is AI's DEL hub - CMB is only a oneworld hub (UL)
- The only Star Alliance feed to India through CMB is from AI's DEL and MAA flights - AI does not even fly BOM - CMB
- AI offers connections through DEL to many Middle Eastern ports, which would be better than two-stop EY code-sharing
- As one of the largest cities in the world, DEL offers a level of O&D traffic unrivalled by CMB (as anna.aero's analysis showed)
Ultimately, saying that India should be served via CMB is like saying that China should be served via MNL - it makes no sense.
A CMB hub would offer nothing that the SIN hub does not already offer - in fact, it offers less (an inferior transit experience).
mariner wrote:from Singapore they can get to just about anywhere on the subcontinent
mariner wrote:I'm not sure how NZ could replicate this
While the SQ Group serves the major cities, to say that it can take you to "just about anywhere on the subcontinent" is not true at all.
AI serves a number of Indian cities through DEL, which SQ and MI have no presence in at all (as demonstrated by the map below):
mariner wrote:As I understand it, they would be limited to one gateway - BOM?
From what I understand:
- BOM is the only port that New Zealand carriers can land at (see: https://www.nbr.co.nz/article/air-nz-co ... s-b-173904)
- The 2016 ASA re-negotiation only related to code-sharing (see: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news ... d=11631764)
That being said, AI can operate AKL - DEL. In March, AI's Australia Manager said that AI might consider AKL in the future.
See: https://www.indianweekender.co.nz/Pages ... e-the-wait.
As India's commercial capital, BOM would be like PVG - a route largely focused on O&D, without the need for connections.
AI and NZ could work their way into a JV, with NZ operating AKL - BOM, and AI operating AKL - DEL (like the CA JV in China).
mariner wrote:Nothing wrong with a backtrack, but if pax can get there without one - through SIN - why would they not?
There are multiple reasons, including overall journey time (as per transit times), as well as the competitiveness of frequencies.