Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN) - 2018
Posted: Thu Dec 13, 2018 5:47 pm
btvhopper wrote:paysonmt77 wrote:AA just announced MHT-ORD starts next summer 2019...
I think MHT has finally hit rock-bottom and will finally start coming back. Though I doubt it will ever get back to the mid-2000's glory days.
Time will tell, but I think this was just an airport that rode the WN bubble a bit too enthusiastically and become too dependent on WN, ultimately resulting in a market with monopolistic tendencies which slowly led to higher prices, and consumers that could find better options to the south.
The legacies are much better positioned now to compete with WN, as well as the new ULCC. It will be a slow process to rebuild, but I think they'll able to stop the bleeding to BOS and regain the market share they lost to PWM and BTV. Remember, it was't long ago that Southern Maine's and Central Vermont's default airport was MHT.
I'm sure there is some disappointment in those who worry about finances, but I not really sure what else they should have done. Sure, there was a bunch of fair weather sailing going on as the planning cycle for the "new" airport was going on, but I wouldn't call it the result a big overshoot. We have a nice airport with plenty of growth opportunities, plenty of cargo, defense and high tech businesses along side, room for more, and a nice new bridge that gives it great highway access. We should be well positioned for 20-30 years. It's not like we built a PIT and no one came. I don't see taxpayers picketing in protest.
chrisnh wrote:Although people disagree with me (and their points are valid), BOS may reach a saturation point where being 'close' to Boston is seen as an advantage for MHT. Remember during the Big Dig, getting to Logan was a nightmare. That's what drew the growth at MHT. But thanks to the bus service to Logan from Manchester, Nashua, and Tyngsboro (which I've used, and it's good if your timings work), getting to Logan isn't the chore it used to be. And of course, the highways are much better now.
I think the points in #933 about it being a long time (a decade or more) before BOS saturation becomes an issue are pretty solid.