dcajet wrote:Does this spell the end of passenger service on N- registered 747s?
usflyer msp wrote:I could see SAA launching a JNB-LAD-IAH flight if they could get 5th freedom rights (doubtful) and way to repatriate the funds from Angola (even more doubtful)...
usflyer msp wrote:I could see SAA launching a JNB-LAD-IAH flight if they could get 5th freedom rights (doubtful) and way to repatriate the funds from Angola (even more doubtful)...
evanb wrote:almost entirely because of inability to repatriate funds.
DaufuskieGuy wrote:Are there other viable African destinations from IAH for SAA to try? Accra? Lagos?
TWA772LR wrote:DaufuskieGuy wrote:Are there other viable African destinations from IAH for SAA to try? Accra? Lagos?
LOS has worked for IAH. I can see ET, SA or even UA giving it another try. Did the Nigerians ever fix the money repatriation issue?
United_fan wrote:I remember when World flew this with MD-11's in the early 2000's.
drdisque wrote:Repatriation isn't the issue with LOS service, it's fraud. I worked for an airline that did not serve Nigeria, we literally blocked all traffic from Nigeria to our website since tickets purchased by Nigerian IP's were quite literally 99% fraudulent. I imagine this may be lower for an airline that actually flies to Nigeria, but that's still an awful lot of credit card fraud to have to deal with.
janders wrote:dcajet wrote:Does this spell the end of passenger service on N- registered 747s?
Atlas Air has additional pax 744s used for things like military charters, sports teams etc.
klm617 wrote:It amazes me that people think there is a market from Houston to Africa. Sonair was basically a charter flight and they couldn't make it work why would anyone think Houston to Africa is viable for a for profit driven airline. There is no market there. The only other service from Houston to Africa was years ago from JNB to IAH and that was moved to ATL which also was axed. So the short answer is don't expect any IAH to Africa in the near term.
klm617 wrote:It amazes me that people think there is a market from Houston to Africa. Sonair was basically a charter flight and they couldn't make it work why would anyone think Houston to Africa is viable for a for profit driven airline. There is no market there. The only other service from Houston to Africa was years ago from JNB to IAH and that was moved to ATL which also was axed. So the short answer is don't expect any IAH to Africa in the near term.
wjcandee wrote:Whomever said "it was only a matter of time" before this allegedly-obviously-ridiculous route failed doesn't fully-understand the market. The "time" involved was SEVENTEEN years.
There is a significant amount of traffic from the Houston area (and the Texas/Louisiana area generally) to Nigeria and Angola (and many other oil-producing destinations), because American oil workers frequently rotate to those two areas. IAH is the oil company capital of the US. Those oil workers are well-treated by their employers, and they fly First Class from the US to their destination. I remember being on an Eastbound flight out of Texas a few years ago, and the big strong guy who sat next to me in First was on his way to Nigeria. A conversation starter: he put his oil company hardhat in the overhead. His schedule was X weeks in the oilfields and X weeks home, and he flew First through Europe to Africa. He did a good job of educating me about the practicalities of US oil operations in Africa.
The Houston Express nonstop cut many, many hours off of the trip from CONUS to Luanda, and was intended to carry fast cargo as well. The Angolans were very proud of the service.
I suspect that geopolitical issues, oil market and price issues, domestic Angloa developments, and other matters affected the volume of traffic and the price companies were willing to pay for the service over the last 17 years. It may be that fewer Americans were rotating in and out of Angola in recent years on oil business, so the flight couldn't be sustained.
As to what happens to the aircraft, presumably the Angolans will sell them to somebody. SonAngol owns them, no ifs ands or buts. Until recently, they had no desire whatsoever for them to be used on any charters: the backup plane was a backup and they had no interest in monetizing it. Same with the World bird -- they were uber-picky about ever letting it be chartered. I understand that Atlas finally convinced Sonair to let them be used for some very-specific high-dollar or high-prestige charters, but the Sonair folks were beyond-protective about the possibility that their precious VIP interiors might be damaged. Probably their increased willingness had something to do with defraying some of the expenses as traffic declined.
Oil company folks had discretion in their choice of carrier, so they had the opportunity to take the Houston Express or instead travel commercial. That's why the flight provided United miles to travelers as well; there were folks who would have traded speed for miles, so Sonangol provided United miles. There will still be a lot of US-Angola oil-business traffic, but now more of it will be on AF, BA and LH.
The route worked for its intended purpose for 17 years. Nothing is forever.
neomax wrote:The million dollar question is will UA pounce? I say yes.
klm617 wrote:
If what you say is true wouldn't the flight be still operating. I mean if it was a prestige route for Angola and oil companies are willing to pay through the nose this flight should have no problem to continue to operate under those conditions.
wjcandee wrote:Whomever said "it was only a matter of time" before this allegedly-obviously-ridiculous route failed doesn't fully-understand the market. The "time" involved was SEVENTEEN years.
There is a significant amount of traffic from the Houston area (and the Texas/Louisiana area generally) to Nigeria and Angola (and many other oil-producing destinations), because American oil workers frequently rotate to those two areas. IAH is the oil company capital of the US. Those oil workers are well-treated by their employers, and they fly First Class from the US to their destination. I remember being on an Eastbound flight out of Texas a few years ago, and the big strong guy who sat next to me in First was on his way to Nigeria. A conversation starter: he put his oil company hardhat in the overhead. His schedule was X weeks in the oilfields and X weeks home, and he flew First through Europe to Africa. He did a good job of educating me about the practicalities of US oil operations in Africa.
The Houston Express nonstop cut many, many hours off of the trip from CONUS to Luanda, and was intended to carry fast cargo as well. The Angolans were very proud of the service.
I suspect that geopolitical issues, oil market and price issues, domestic Angloa developments, and other matters affected the volume of traffic and the price companies were willing to pay for the service over the last 17 years. It may be that fewer Americans were rotating in and out of Angola in recent years on oil business, so the flight couldn't be sustained.
As to what happens to the aircraft, presumably the Angolans will sell them to somebody. SonAngol owns them, no ifs ands or buts. Until recently, they had no desire whatsoever for them to be used on any charters: the backup plane was a backup and they had no interest in monetizing it. Same with the World bird -- they were uber-picky about ever letting it be chartered. I understand that Atlas finally convinced Sonair to let them be used for some very-specific high-dollar or high-prestige charters, but the Sonair folks were beyond-protective about the possibility that their precious VIP interiors might be damaged. Probably their increased willingness had something to do with defraying some of the expenses as traffic declined.
Oil company folks had discretion in their choice of carrier, so they had the opportunity to take the Houston Express or instead travel commercial. That's why the flight provided United miles to travelers as well; there were folks who would have traded speed for miles, so Sonangol provided United miles. There will still be a lot of US-Angola oil-business traffic, but now more of it will be on AF, BA and LH.
The route worked for its intended purpose for 17 years. Nothing is forever.
GamingPolaris wrote:I believe you’re the one that doesn’t know what you’re talking about.
klm617 wrote:It amazes me that people think there is a market from Houston to Africa. Sonair was basically a charter flight and they couldn't make it work why would anyone think Houston to Africa is viable for a for profit driven airline. There is no market there. The only other service from Houston to Africa was years ago from JNB to IAH and that was moved to ATL which also was axed. So the short answer is don't expect any IAH to Africa in the near term.
TWA772LR wrote:DaufuskieGuy wrote:Are there other viable African destinations from IAH for SAA to try? Accra? Lagos?
LOS has worked for IAH. I can see ET, SA or even UA giving it another try. Did the Nigerians ever fix the money repatriation issue?
klm617 wrote:Plain and simple in this age of huge returns on investment if there was a Houston-Africa market airlines would be flocking there but sadly there is none.
horsepowerchef wrote:perhaps they're pulling out until the can get an aircraft that is more economical? Im sure it was carrying a lot of of cargo, but seats wise was the 744 flying out full? perhaps a 77e or 77w might be a better fit with less seats and still high cargo capacity...?
jetero wrote:horsepowerchef wrote:perhaps they're pulling out until the can get an aircraft that is more economical? Im sure it was carrying a lot of of cargo, but seats wise was the 744 flying out full? perhaps a 77e or 77w might be a better fit with less seats and still high cargo capacity...?
I think Sonair or the Angolan government specifically required it to be flown by a 744, which is why World got thrown out.
wjcandee wrote:jetero wrote:horsepowerchef wrote:perhaps they're pulling out until the can get an aircraft that is more economical? Im sure it was carrying a lot of of cargo, but seats wise was the 744 flying out full? perhaps a 77e or 77w might be a better fit with less seats and still high cargo capacity...?
I think Sonair or the Angolan government specifically required it to be flown by a 744, which is why World got thrown out.
Sonair came up with the dual-747 plan on its own so it would have a VIP backup when one was down for maintenance. World initially was expected to continue as the contractor; it was looking at 747s for the military charter stuff at the time anyway, and so the additional type was in its plans and no big deal to do.
IIRC, Sonair had a bunch of demands about crewing the aircraft in part with Angolans, which World was uncomfortable with, from both a union-contract and FARs/DOT-Rules perspective. World pushed back and so Sonair started talking to Atlas. I don't recall whether Atlas came up with some kind of creative solution, or whether Sonair had to back down, but in any event, Sonair gave World the finger and Atlas the contract. I recall that World actually filed a proceeding to stop the transition on the basis that the proposed operation was illegal, but the DOT let the thing proceed. The testimony in that proceeding was very interesting, because it was apparent that someone at Sonair made it very clear verbally that Angolan flight DECK crews were expected to be used in whole or part, and World wasn't going to do that (and I doubt Atlas would either). I think they walked that back, and I don't recall what they did about the cabin.
IAHWorldflyer wrote:klm617 wrote:Plain and simple in this age of huge returns on investment if there was a Houston-Africa market airlines would be flocking there but sadly there is none.
Others here with knowledge of the local market have posted here, and their statements are true. I'm sorry you can't believe them, or do more of your own research on the Houston-Africa market.
Were you to stand in a boarding line at Terminal D in the afternoon for the BA flight to LHR, the AF flight to Paris, the KL flight to AMS or the LH flight to FRA, you would see how many people are using those carriers to make connections to Africa. I do not have the numbers, but I'd venture to guess that spread among the 4, it would easily be over 100 PDEW. Now the difficulty in providing a nonstop flight to the Continent is where do you serve that carries the most amount of people? That's probably LOS. But ET could possibly make it work through ADD with connections. And were SAA able to provide a 5th Freedom flight that touched somewhere in West Africa before JNB, they could easily achieve 70%+ load factors.
Jetter330 wrote:Maybe an opperunity for SN to start IAH? Lufthansa stated some weeks ago that the group is expanding in Africa. Let SN start LOS, a destination that should have been started years ago. If that works out, start IAH, an unserved route from BRU which is also a star hub.
klm617 wrote:Jetter330 wrote:Maybe an opperunity for SN to start IAH? Lufthansa stated some weeks ago that the group is expanding in Africa. Let SN start LOS, a destination that should have been started years ago. If that works out, start IAH, an unserved route from BRU which is also a star hub.
Why would another airline jump into the fray there is already enough coverage to Africa from Houston with BA,KL,LH and KL
klm617 wrote:Jetter330 wrote:Maybe an opperunity for SN to start IAH? Lufthansa stated some weeks ago that the group is expanding in Africa. Let SN start LOS, a destination that should have been started years ago. If that works out, start IAH, an unserved route from BRU which is also a star hub.
Why would another airline jump into the fray there is already enough coverage to Africa from Houston with BA,KL,LH and KL