C010T3 wrote:Despite the intentions of flying LAX-EZE only 3x weekly, American has applied for 7 weekly frequencies:
https://www.regulations.gov/document?D= ... -0051-0001
dcajet wrote:Eastern reduced some of that intra-Americas flying and towards the end was focusing on non stops to EZE from MIA with second hand DC-10-30s. Also they did not touch Brazil until a few months before they folded.
In Argentina and Brazil, clearly PA owned the high yielding customer. Its FF base was the cream of the crop; every mover & shaker flew on PA's First Class cabins. United inherited that and did an excellent job until the late 90s, then it all came crumbling down with the closing of the MIA hub, CH. 11, closing the JFK routes... now the FF base is very segmented, but AA is the leader, no doubts about it.
LAXLHR wrote:Yes, AA is the Latin AMERICAN premium carrier, so they see it as their airline too. After all, down there is America (citizens of the USA forget this).
dcajet wrote:Jim Butler, AA SVP International is in Buenos Aires this week attending the WTTC. He gave this interview explaining the airline's expansion in Argentina, where in 2017 almost 3/4 million paxs flew on AA planes to/from the US.
https://www.cronista.com/negocios/Mas-v ... -0093.html
kimbra wrote:dcajet wrote:Jim Butler, AA SVP International is in Buenos Aires this week attending the WTTC. He gave this interview explaining the airline's expansion in Argentina, where in 2017 almost 3/4 million paxs flew on AA planes to/from the US.
https://www.cronista.com/negocios/Mas-v ... -0093.html
As long as the usd remains under valued against the Argentine Peso the demand will remain high and one wonders how long this will be the case
seat1a wrote:Slightly off topic, but can an AA 32B do this route, or perhaps a JB Mint-style configured A321? If not to EZE, how about LAX-LIM or LAX-SCL. Curious, and thank you!
seat1a wrote:Slightly off topic, but can an AA 32B do this route, or perhaps a JB Mint-style configured A321? If not to EZE, how about LAX-LIM or LAX-SCL. Curious, and thank you!
seat1a wrote:Slightly off topic, but can an AA 32B do this route, or perhaps a JB Mint-style configured A321? If not to EZE, how about LAX-LIM or LAX-SCL. Curious, and thank you!
Rafabozzolla wrote:I do not vouch for that shifting of capacity to Argentina. Not that things are looking any good economically in Brazil, but since AA anounced the expansion in Argentina, the Argentinian economy has taken a sharp turn in the down direction and the Peso has massively devalued, wrong timing.
seat1a wrote:Slightly off topic, but can an AA 32B do this route, or perhaps a JB Mint-style configured A321? If not to EZE, how about LAX-LIM or LAX-SCL. Curious, and thank you!
dcajet wrote:flyingcat wrote:Unless I am mistaken AR historically flew the route with a tech stop in the 747 and nonstop with the 340 but I thought I recalled some tech stops occurring seasonally even though it was listed as nonstop.
You are correct. AR flew nonstop with the A340 and before that since 1969, with the 707, 747 and then the A310 with a number of stops (1 or 2).wedgetail737 wrote:Isn't this the first time any airline has flown between LAX and EZE since Aerolineas Argentinas served LAX in the 1980's and early 1990's?
AR left LAX in 2001 or 2002. That was the last time there was same-plane service between the two cities. Until December, one can travel on CM, AV, AM, LA, UA. AA or DL with a change of plane at their hubs.
behramjee wrote:Just for everyone's info in 2017:
Total P2P round trip pax between LAX and EZE was 86,000 versus 128,000 for GRU.
The average flown fare for GRU was 5% higher than EZE as both routes are nearly the same flying time from LAX.
ckfred wrote:If I remember correctly, both UA and AA tried ORD-EZE. I don't think either carrier lasted more than 2 years on the route. So, what does the Los Angeles metro area have going for it that the Chicago metro area lacked?
LAXLHR wrote:Yes, AA is the Latin AMERICAN premium carrier, so they see it as their airline too. After all, down there is America (citizens of the USA forget this).
Zoedyn wrote:prchan wrote:And this comes with the reduction of frequencies on the LAX-GRU route (from daily to 4x weekly)
Hopefully this service would attract a considerable amount of connecting traffic from China, Korea, and Japan, as LAX is favorably located in eastern Pacific to serve as a point of linkage between East Asia and South America, especially countries like Argentina
behramjee wrote:Just for everyone's info in 2017:
Total P2P round trip pax between LAX and EZE was 86,000 versus 128,000 for GRU.
The average flown fare for GRU was 5% higher than EZE as both routes are nearly the same flying time from LAX.
dcajet wrote:questions wrote:Could UA or DL have made the first move on this route — i.e., does AA have any advantage at LAX that gives them a higher probability of success on this route?
They are the #1 carrier at LAX and they own 50% of the Argentina - US market. If anyone can make this route work, it's them.MalevTU134 wrote:They've got a lot better brand recognition and FF base in Argentina than the other 2.
United was the # 1 US airline in Argentina for the better part of the 90s - they inherited the Pan Am franchise there, and the largest FF customer base. Unfortunately and due to United's own internal crisis, it was all squandered away and American now pretty much owns Argentina among the US airlines.
dcajet wrote:Two months before nonstop service begins between LAX and EZE on AA, advance bookings are very encouraging. The airline is looking at a 79-84% LF for the 3 month period beginning in December. Service will operate 3x w with the 285-seat 787-9. With this flight, AA will have up to 6 daily US-Argentina services on certain days this southern summer and the 4th US destination served by AA from EZE. MIA-COR begins in April' 19.
jumbojet wrote:'dcajet wrote:Two months before nonstop service begins between LAX and EZE on AA, advance bookings are very encouraging. The airline is looking at a 79-84% LF for the 3 month period beginning in December. Service will operate 3x w with the 285-seat 787-9. With this flight, AA will have up to 6 daily US-Argentina services on certain days this southern summer and the 4th US destination served by AA from EZE. MIA-COR begins in April' 19.
Thats great but are they going to make money off of this route? What are the average business class fares, what are the average coach fares? Is AA selling the Premium Economy seats?
c933103 wrote:Zoedyn wrote:prchan wrote:And this comes with the reduction of frequencies on the LAX-GRU route (from daily to 4x weekly)
Hopefully this service would attract a considerable amount of connecting traffic from China, Korea, and Japan, as LAX is favorably located in eastern Pacific to serve as a point of linkage between East Asia and South America, especially countries like Argentina
They would need to compete against all the European/African/Middle East/Oceanian/Mexican/Canadian/American carriers that fly between the two continents with an additional disadvantage of needing to transfer at an American airport. Granted there aren't that many intercontinental nonstop flights from Buenos Aires which also limits 1-stop to Asia competition but still that's that.
MaverickM11 wrote:behramjee wrote:Just for everyone's info in 2017:
Total P2P round trip pax between LAX and EZE was 86,000 versus 128,000 for GRU.
The average flown fare for GRU was 5% higher than EZE as both routes are nearly the same flying time from LAX.
EZE is going to be much more difficult than GRU, and AA wouldn't have cut GRU back if it was doing well, even to fund EZE. I have a hard time believing either is any good outside of peak-peak periods.
Zoedyn wrote:prchan wrote:And this comes with the reduction of frequencies on the LAX-GRU route (from daily to 4x weekly)
Hopefully this service would attract a considerable amount of connecting traffic from China, Korea, and Japan, as LAX is favorably located in eastern Pacific to serve as a point of linkage between East Asia and South America, especially countries like Argentina
marcoantona wrote:AA delays the new COR-MIA service originally scheduled to start on April 2019, to June 2019.
upperdeckfan wrote:Zoedyn wrote:prchan wrote:And this comes with the reduction of frequencies on the LAX-GRU route (from daily to 4x weekly)
Hopefully this service would attract a considerable amount of connecting traffic from China, Korea, and Japan, as LAX is favorably located in eastern Pacific to serve as a point of linkage between East Asia and South America, especially countries like Argentina
AA is probably looking to rely on O/D as 3x weekly doesn't fit for business traffic from/to Asia. On top of that, majority of Argentina-Asia traffic these days is being funneled through QR/EK, shorter, daily service and no visa requirement to transit.
dcajet wrote:upperdeckfan wrote:Zoedyn wrote:
Hopefully this service would attract a considerable amount of connecting traffic from China, Korea, and Japan, as LAX is favorably located in eastern Pacific to serve as a point of linkage between East Asia and South America, especially countries like Argentina
AA is probably looking to rely on O/D as 3x weekly doesn't fit for business traffic from/to Asia. On top of that, majority of Argentina-Asia traffic these days is being funneled through QR/EK, shorter, daily service and no visa requirement to transit.
There is plenty of O&D traffic between California and Argentina & Brazil. How high yields are is another story. That traffic is currently going with the US3 via ATL, DFW and IAH and COPA (via PTY) & LATAM (via LIM) primarily. Most traffic to Asia from EZE/GRU goes via EK,QR, TK and ET these days, with very good fares and daily service. That being said, for flights to Japan, Northern China (PEK and PVG) and Korea, routing via North America is more competitive distance & time wise and the US3 and AC still carry a fair share of that traffic. For most folks that go from deep South America to Asia, a US visa is not an issue.
Quite the change from 20 years ago, when AR and RG (VARIG) reigned supreme on the South America-LAX route with their 747s.
upperdeckfan wrote:dcajet wrote:upperdeckfan wrote:
AA is probably looking to rely on O/D as 3x weekly doesn't fit for business traffic from/to Asia. On top of that, majority of Argentina-Asia traffic these days is being funneled through QR/EK, shorter, daily service and no visa requirement to transit.
There is plenty of O&D traffic between California and Argentina & Brazil. How high yields are is another story. That traffic is currently going with the US3 via ATL, DFW and IAH and COPA (via PTY) & LATAM (via LIM) primarily. Most traffic to Asia from EZE/GRU goes via EK,QR, TK and ET these days, with very good fares and daily service. That being said, for flights to Japan, Northern China (PEK and PVG) and Korea, routing via North America is more competitive distance & time wise and the US3 and AC still carry a fair share of that traffic. For most folks that go from deep South America to Asia, a US visa is not an issue.
Quite the change from 20 years ago, when AR and RG (VARIG) reigned supreme on the South America-LAX route with their 747s.
AC is flying a triangular YYZ-SCL-EZE-YYZ so I doubt they are getting connecting traffic. Regarding transitting in the US isn't only the visa, if you don't carry a US or VWP passport it can take very long to clear inmigration depending on how crowded it is at the time of arrival, therefore you need 3 or more hours to be sure your connection will not get compromised.
Japan, North China and Korea are closer through LAX than DXB/IST/DOH but when you add connecting time and more than one stop if your schedule don't fit 3x weekly EZE-LAX then it's no longer that appealing.
Having said that, I do agree that O/D should be enough for a 3x week 789
dcajet wrote:
Before someone starts with "bookings are not what AA expected". (....).
flyingcat wrote:Unless I am mistaken AR historically flew the route with a tech stop in the 747 and nonstop with the 340 but I thought I recalled some tech stops occurring seasonally even though it was listed as nonstop.
incitatus wrote:dcajet wrote:
Before someone starts with "bookings are not what AA expected". (....).
You seem to be very concerned with any statement that puts travel demand to/from Argentina in a negative light.
cedars747 wrote:flyingcat wrote:Unless I am mistaken AR historically flew the route with a tech stop in the 747 and nonstop with the 340 but I thought I recalled some tech stops occurring seasonally even though it was listed as nonstop.
I flew this route with a stop in Lima.
dcajet wrote:cedars747 wrote:flyingcat wrote:Unless I am mistaken AR historically flew the route with a tech stop in the 747 and nonstop with the 340 but I thought I recalled some tech stops occurring seasonally even though it was listed as nonstop.
I flew this route with a stop in Lima.
AR used to fly this route with the 742 on three different routes:
EZE-LIM-MEX-LAX
EZE-LIM-LAX
EZE-MEX-LAX
Around 1995 the equipment was switched to A310-300 and Mexico was served separately with its dedicated flight:
EZE-LIM-LAX
EZE-BOG-LAX
Then in 2000 the route was switched to nonstop with the A340-200 and in 2001 AR dropped LAX from its network. AR started flying to LAX in 1968 with the 707 via BOG and MEX or LIM and MEX. The 747 arrived to the route in 1979.
cedars747 wrote:dcajet wrote:cedars747 wrote:I flew this route with a stop in Lima.
AR used to fly this route with the 742 on three different routes:
EZE-LIM-MEX-LAX
EZE-LIM-LAX
EZE-MEX-LAX
Around 1995 the equipment was switched to A310-300 and Mexico was served separately with its dedicated flight:
EZE-LIM-LAX
EZE-BOG-LAX
Then in 2000 the route was switched to nonstop with the A340-200 and in 2001 AR dropped LAX from its network. AR started flying to LAX in 1968 with the 707 via BOG and MEX or LIM and MEX. The 747 arrived to the route in 1979.
I also remember that some passengers were contaminated aboard the flight after taking off from Lima. Something happend onboard I dont remember exactly? I think it was something to do with the food
winginit wrote:Will be interesting to see how this route evolves as yields between the US and Argentina continue to degrade. Even for the peak holiday window we're now seeing round-trip economy fares crumble down into the $800s for both local nonstops and common one-stop flows. Hard to believe those are sustainable or will improve heading into the low season.
dcajet wrote:cedars747 wrote:dcajet wrote:
AR used to fly this route with the 742 on three different routes:
EZE-LIM-MEX-LAX
EZE-LIM-LAX
EZE-MEX-LAX
Around 1995 the equipment was switched to A310-300 and Mexico was served separately with its dedicated flight:
EZE-LIM-LAX
EZE-BOG-LAX
Then in 2000 the route was switched to nonstop with the A340-200 and in 2001 AR dropped LAX from its network. AR started flying to LAX in 1968 with the 707 via BOG and MEX or LIM and MEX. The 747 arrived to the route in 1979.
I also remember that some passengers were contaminated aboard the flight after taking off from Lima. Something happend onboard I dont remember exactly? I think it was something to do with the food
Indeed. It was in 1992 on board LV-OOZ, flight AR 1386 EZE-LIM-LAX. During the stopover in LIM the plane was catered with the dinner for the LIM-LAX segment. The appetizer for coach was an avocado shrimp cocktail (those were the days - where would one see a shrimp anywhere in coach these days?). Unfortunately the shrimp was not good and by the time the plane landed in LAX there were folks on board with signs of food poisoning which turned out to be a cholera outbreak, traced back to the shrimp. One person died a few days after arriving in LAX. And so a legal battle ensued that saw AR being kicked out of LIM by the government of then President/dictator Alberto Fujimori as AR had openly accused the LIM caterer, which did not go down well with the Peruvian authorities, AR would not call at LIM for a year or two after the shrimp episode.
dcajet wrote:winginit wrote:Will be interesting to see how this route evolves as yields between the US and Argentina continue to degrade. Even for the peak holiday window we're now seeing round-trip economy fares crumble down into the $800s for both local nonstops and common one-stop flows. Hard to believe those are sustainable or will improve heading into the low season.
NYC-EZE (JFK & EWR) was selling for less than $500 r/t last week on AR & UA.
winginit wrote:dcajet wrote:winginit wrote:Will be interesting to see how this route evolves as yields between the US and Argentina continue to degrade. Even for the peak holiday window we're now seeing round-trip economy fares crumble down into the $800s for both local nonstops and common one-stop flows. Hard to believe those are sustainable or will improve heading into the low season.
NYC-EZE (JFK & EWR) was selling for less than $500 r/t last week on AR & UA.
Oof. That's genuinely shocking and a sub $0.05 yield. Storm clouds ahead for US to Argentina capacity me thinks.
dcajet wrote:winginit wrote:Will be interesting to see how this route evolves as yields between the US and Argentina continue to degrade. Even for the peak holiday window we're now seeing round-trip economy fares crumble down into the $800s for both local nonstops and common one-stop flows. Hard to believe those are sustainable or will improve heading into the low season.
NYC-EZE (JFK & EWR) was selling for less than $500 r/t last week on AR & UA.
upperdeckfan wrote:dcajet wrote:winginit wrote:Will be interesting to see how this route evolves as yields between the US and Argentina continue to degrade. Even for the peak holiday window we're now seeing round-trip economy fares crumble down into the $800s for both local nonstops and common one-stop flows. Hard to believe those are sustainable or will improve heading into the low season.
NYC-EZE (JFK & EWR) was selling for less than $500 r/t last week on AR & UA.
These days you can book restricted Y fares for less than 500USD R/T on a lot of TATL routes. I don't think that's an indicative of how healthy a route is.
I'd suggest to take a look at J fares, I don't know about now but earlier this year a colleague of mine did UA's ORD-IAH-EZE R/T in J for 7000USD, that's not a cheap fare at all.