Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
MaverickM11 wrote:I'd like to see the receipts. There's just no way most/any of ET's longhaul network makes money.
MaverickM11 wrote:I'd like to see the receipts. There's just no way most/any of ET's longhaul network makes money.
planemanofnz wrote:I'm surprised they're going via ACC to be honest, when they have a successful hub at DUB already - DUB has no link to Texas, is high-yielding in its own right, and a DUB stop makes for a shorter overall routing than with an ACC one:
Cheers,
C.
csavel wrote:planemanofnz wrote:I'm surprised they're going via ACC to be honest, when they have a successful hub at DUB already - DUB has no link to Texas, is high-yielding in its own right, and a DUB stop makes for a shorter overall routing than with an ACC one:
Cheers,
C.
I'm not actually. I imagine with the oil industry in Texas and booming oil discoveries in Ghana, Benin, etc. there would be decent traffic. Plus Ghana is the most stable country in West Africa and wealthy Nigerians park money there. I've been visiting Accra for the last 15 years and the last time I was there it was unrecognizable. Almost becoming the Dubai of West Africa.
Smart move!
LAXdude1023 wrote:ACC? I’d understand if they were talking about LOS or another Nigerian airport but that one makes no sense. Almost all the demand to ACC comes from NYC and DC.
MaverickM11 wrote:I'd like to see the receipts. There's just no way most/any of ET's longhaul network makes money.
planemanofnz wrote:I'm surprised they're going via ACC to be honest, when they have a successful hub at DUB already - DUB has no link to Texas, is high-yielding in its own right, and a DUB stop makes for a shorter overall routing than with an ACC one:
MaverickM11 wrote:I'd like to see the receipts. There's just no way most/any of ET's longhaul network makes money.
usflyer msp wrote:I hope this means they are adding second frequency to ADD-ACC not displacing local Accra passengers off of the already usually full ADD-ACC sector...
evanb wrote:usflyer msp wrote:I hope this means they are adding second frequency to ADD-ACC not displacing local Accra passengers off of the already usually full ADD-ACC sector...
When you compare the current timings to the Addis Ababa-Lome-Newark flight, one could expect them to just continue to Houston:
The current ADD-ACC-ADD timing is as follows:
ADD ACC 8:40 am 11:20 am
ACC ADD 12:20pm 9:00pm
Consider ADD-LFW-EWR-LFW-ADD
ADD LFW 8:30am 11:00am
LFW EWR 12:00pm 7:00pm
EWR LFW 9:15am 11:35am
LFW ACC 12:35pm 9:10pm
usflyer msp wrote:I am not sure about that - ACC-IAH is significantly longer than LFW-EWR so I doubt they could turn the aircraft in time to make it back to ACC in time to keep the existing schedule.
I could see them adding a second ADD-ACC flight a few days a week that continues to IAH
ADD ACC 11:00pm 1:40am
ACC IAH 2:45am 10:00 am
IAH ACC 7:00pm 1:00pm
ACC ADD 2:10pm 10:50pm
iadadd wrote:I'll agree that their North American services minus IAD and YYZ are rather strange.
mfe777 wrote:Very odd/sketchy articles but it would be nice to see Ethiopian in Texas. It doesn’t mention a city, just “Texas.” I would imagine it would be Houston due to the Star Alliance hub there, but I’m pretty sure Dallas/DFW has a much larger Ethiopian community. I guess we’ll have to wait and see!
LAX772LR wrote:Not sure why YYZ is even considered a factor, considering that LAX alone has nearly three times more foreign born and 1st-generation Ethiopians than all of Canada, let alone just YYZ.
Airontario wrote:LAX772LR wrote:Not sure why YYZ is even considered a factor, considering that LAX alone has nearly three times more foreign born and 1st-generation Ethiopians than all of Canada, let alone just YYZ.
I can assure you ET is doing well at YYZ.
LAX772LR wrote:iadadd wrote:I'll agree that their North American services minus IAD and YYZ are rather strange.
...then you should come take a ride through the north Fairfax area here in LAX.
So many Ethiopian (and east African in general) businesses/people that you'd think you stepped through a spatial warp.
It's easily the 2nd largest Ethiopian immigrant and the 2nd largest 1st-generation Ethiopian-American city in the USA; both after only WAS and both well ahead of NYC.
Not sure why YYZ is even considered a factor, considering that LAX alone has nearly three times more foreign born and 1st-generation Ethiopians than all of Canada, let alone just YYZ.
LAX772LR wrote:iadadd wrote:I'll agree that their North American services minus IAD and YYZ are rather strange.
...then you should come take a ride through the north Fairfax area here in LAX.
So many Ethiopian (and east African in general) businesses/people that you'd think you stepped through a spatial warp.
It's easily the 2nd largest Ethiopian immigrant and the 2nd largest 1st-generation Ethiopian-American city in the USA; both after only WAS and both well ahead of NYC.
Not sure why YYZ is even considered a factor, considering that LAX alone has nearly three times more foreign born and 1st-generation Ethiopians than all of Canada, let alone just YYZ.
LAXdude1023 wrote:LAX772LR wrote:iadadd wrote:I'll agree that their North American services minus IAD and YYZ are rather strange.
...then you should come take a ride through the north Fairfax area here in LAX.
So many Ethiopian (and east African in general) businesses/people that you'd think you stepped through a spatial warp.
It's easily the 2nd largest Ethiopian immigrant and the 2nd largest 1st-generation Ethiopian-American city in the USA; both after only WAS and both well ahead of NYC.
Not sure why YYZ is even considered a factor, considering that LAX alone has nearly three times more foreign born and 1st-generation Ethiopians than all of Canada, let alone just YYZ.
Not true. The below is a list of the top 10 foreign born Ethiopian populations in the US. Honestly, only DC really has the bulk to make it work off that alone:
Ethiopia
1. Washington DC: 53,076 people
2. Minneapolis: 22,302
3. Seattle: 17,573
4. Atlanta: 16,520
5. Dallas: 9889
6. Los Angeles: 9479
7. Las Vegas: 7501
8. San Francisco: 6520
9. Houston: 6285
10. New York: 6021
iadadd wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:LAX772LR wrote:...then you should come take a ride through the north Fairfax area here in LAX.
So many Ethiopian (and east African in general) businesses/people that you'd think you stepped through a spatial warp.
It's easily the 2nd largest Ethiopian immigrant and the 2nd largest 1st-generation Ethiopian-American city in the USA; both after only WAS and both well ahead of NYC.
Not sure why YYZ is even considered a factor, considering that LAX alone has nearly three times more foreign born and 1st-generation Ethiopians than all of Canada, let alone just YYZ.
Not true. The below is a list of the top 10 foreign born Ethiopian populations in the US. Honestly, only DC really has the bulk to make it work off that alone:
Ethiopia
1. Washington DC: 53,076 people
2. Minneapolis: 22,302
3. Seattle: 17,573
4. Atlanta: 16,520
5. Dallas: 9889
6. Los Angeles: 9479
7. Las Vegas: 7501
8. San Francisco: 6520
9. Houston: 6285
10. New York: 6021
Ethiopian-American statistics are highly underestimated, as most of it conducted through surveys and "Ethiopian" is not a detailed option on the U.S. census unlike how the Asian category is further detailed into country specific boxes. That being said, LA is definitely a #2 or #3 in terms of the Ethio diaspora, there is no way Seattle or Dallas has a higher amount than LA.
TWA772LR wrote:And people on here actually called me stupid for saying Ethiopian should come to IAH.
Channex757 wrote:Wasn't Accra to Houston operated for a while by Atlas Air passenger aircraft? Very big oil route, with regional flights onward from Accra to the oil fields.
slowrambler wrote:MaverickM11 wrote:I'd like to see the receipts. There's just no way most/any of ET's longhaul network makes money.
ET's profits for 2016-17 were $260M. What part of their network do you think makes the money?
evanb wrote:That's not a hub.
evanb wrote:They'd rather look for 5th freedom through Africa where they have a strong brand ...
LAXdude1023 wrote:Not true. The below is a list of the top 10 foreign born Ethiopian populations in the US. Honestly, only DC really has the bulk to make it work off that alone:
LAXdude1023 wrote:iadadd wrote:Ethiopian-American statistics are highly underestimated, as most of it conducted through surveys and "Ethiopian" is not a detailed option on the U.S. census unlike how the Asian category is further detailed into country specific boxes.
Everyone says this about their own ethnic group. EVERYBODY. Everyone thinks their own ethnic group is undercounted but the fact of the matter is that simply isn’t the case.
LAX772LR wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:Not true. The below is a list of the top 10 foreign born Ethiopian populations in the US. Honestly, only DC really has the bulk to make it work off that alone:
Because that's only foreign born. I was mistaken on comparative city counts for foreign-born only (thanks Wikipedia), but accurately ranked on the combined total with the next generation, 90K+.
LAXdude1023 wrote:2) How many 2nd and 3rd generation Ethiopians are flying to Ethiopia regularly.
MaverickM11 wrote:I’d guess anything within about a 6 hour radius from ADD pays for the rest of the network.
LAX772LR wrote:LAXdude1023 wrote:2) How many 2nd and 3rd generation Ethiopians are flying to Ethiopia regularly.
Or for that matter, how many first, if we're talking "regularly?" Higher than succeeding generations sure, but doubtful to be significant enough in/of itself significant enough to support routes of that length.
MaverickM11 wrote:slowrambler wrote:MaverickM11 wrote:I'd like to see the receipts. There's just no way most/any of ET's longhaul network makes money.
ET's profits for 2016-17 were $260M. What part of their network do you think makes the money?
I’d guess anything within about a 6 hour radius from ADD pays for the rest of the network.
slowrambler wrote:MaverickM11 wrote:slowrambler wrote:
ET's profits for 2016-17 were $260M. What part of their network do you think makes the money?
I’d guess anything within about a 6 hour radius from ADD pays for the rest of the network.
Let me introduce this place called "China"... (most of Europe is also past the 6 hour mark from ADD.)
In all seriousness, ET doesn't mess around with prestige routes. If they fly to locations in North America, it's because they expect to make money.
dredgy wrote:MaverickM11 wrote:I’d guess anything within about a 6 hour radius from ADD pays for the rest of the network.
That includes a lot of corrupt countries that they can’t repatriate money from (Angola, Equatorial Guinea, Zimbabwe, Congo, Chad etc) and/or have unstable currencies.
behramjee wrote:ET's core profits annually come from:
1. Intra Africa flying
2. Cargo operations
3. Maintenance unit
A vast majority of their long haul services make an "operating cash profit" but not "net profit".
planemanofnz wrote:Eh, according to several outlets, yes, it is.
planemanofnz wrote:That so-called 'strong brand' will mean nothing if/when oil tanks again - starting routes on the premise of oil traffic (which is notoriously volatile) is a risky proposition.
IMO, it would've been much more sensible to go through DUB, which:
- Results in a shorter routing from ADD, than via ACC
- Is high-yielding and balanced (i.e. non-oil dependent)
- Already has ET US operations and ground contracts
Aside from these, ACC is less attractive for crew-layovers and transits - Ghana is endemic for yellow fever, as well as malaria, and is suffering from increased crime.
evanb wrote:... if Dublin were such a good option they'd already be seeking 5th freedom routes from Dublin to Chicago, Newark, Washington and Toronto, but they're not.