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727200 wrote:American 767 wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:My take: The 737NG could do much of what the 757 was doing, and the A330 ate the 767 for lunch.
And the A380 ate the 747 for dinner.
Are you serious? A plane that with the exception of a couple of airlines, no one wants. A plane that was late to the market and cost Airbus billions to develop and one they will never recoup their investment in let alone the drain it was to the other marketable aircraft. How many 380's have sold? Now compare it to the 747. Hey tell ya what, I will do the math for you. Airbus has 331 orders. Boeing has built over 1500. Now maybe we are in different time zones, but when your "lunch eater" has only sold 22% of 747 sales, that is one serious diet Airbus is on.
Ate for dinner?
Balerit wrote:727200 wrote:American 767 wrote:
And the A380 ate the 747 for dinner.
Are you serious? A plane that with the exception of a couple of airlines, no one wants. A plane that was late to the market and cost Airbus billions to develop and one they will never recoup their investment in let alone the drain it was to the other marketable aircraft. How many 380's have sold? Now compare it to the 747. Hey tell ya what, I will do the math for you. Airbus has 331 orders. Boeing has built over 1500. Now maybe we are in different time zones, but when your "lunch eater" has only sold 22% of 747 sales, that is one serious diet Airbus is on.
Ate for dinner?
The A380 has sold more in it's ten years of service than the B747 in its first ten years.
American 767 wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:My take: The 737NG could do much of what the 757 was doing, and the A330 ate the 767 for lunch.
And the A380 ate the 747 for dinner.
I wouldn't call the 767 a dead-end design because Boeing is still building it, although no new variants came out lately. Boeing is still selling the 767-300ER as cargo, the ERF variant. The 767 still has a long future ahead as a freighter, and especially as a tanker with the Air Force. Look how long the KC-135 has been flying, I wouldn't be surprised if military 767s remain in service past 2040. Boeing could very well refit the 767 tankers with new power plants in the future, like they refit the KC-135s with CFM-56 power plants.
RJMAZ wrote:The sharp market downturn after 9/11 had a massive effect on the 757-300 and probably the 767-400.
The 757-300 is also structurally inefficient due to being too long and skinny. It is at the capacity where you shouldn't really have an aircraft. Between 250 and 300 seat range in max density it is too many seats for a 6ab aircraft and too few seats to make a 8ab aircraft like the A310.
7ab is just inefficient from a seating area perspective. It is easily beaten by a similar tech and capacity 8ab aircraft. That's why the 767-400 was beaten by the A330-300. The 767 had the medium to long haul small widebody market to itself for nearly a decade which is why it sold well and gained a good reputation. There will never be another 7ab aircraft.
trnswrld wrote:757 and 767 dead end designs?......are we talking about the same 767 that first flew some 37 years ago and is STILL being produced?!?
IMO these aircraft are not even close to dead end designs because they started the pathway for what is now THE standard in aircraft design.
Your post is a bit confusing to me, but if you are infact just referring to the 753 and 764 only, then well yeah those were much more limited produced. Some say they were too late in the game, and also has to do with them being a request from a specific airline or two.
Boeing could have advanced the 767 as much as they wanted, but then that’s sorta the 787 now isn’t it?
RJMAZ wrote:7ab is just inefficient from a seating area perspective. It is easily beaten by a similar tech and capacity 8ab aircraft. That's why the 767-400 was beaten by the A330-300. The 767 had the medium to long haul small widebody market to itself for nearly a decade which is why it sold well and gained a good reputation. There will never be another 7ab aircraft.
OA940 wrote:Since when do we consider them as failures? Sure the 764 and 753 didn't exactly do well, but the 752 and 762/763 did incredibly for their time period, and in general. The 767 was selling until 2014 and still makes money as a cargo jet, while everyone is rushing to fill the shoes of the 752, a role which didn't exist before it. So, were the 753/764 failures? Yes. But to think the whole program failed you must be very delusional.
rbavfan wrote:American 767 wrote:PlanesNTrains wrote:My take: The 737NG could do much of what the 757 was doing, and the A330 ate the 767 for lunch.
And the A380 ate the 747 for dinner.
I wouldn't call the 767 a dead-end design because Boeing is still building it, although no new variants came out lately. Boeing is still selling the 767-300ER as cargo, the ERF variant. The 767 still has a long future ahead as a freighter, and especially as a tanker with the Air Force. Look how long the KC-135 has been flying, I wouldn't be surprised if military 767s remain in service past 2040. Boeing could very well refit the 767 tankers with new power plants in the future, like they refit the KC-135s with CFM-56 power plants.
Base on total sales the A380 did not eat the 747 for lunch. 1544 747's as of April 2018 . So far the A380 has been out for 10 years & 7 months and as of march 2018 they have sold 222. thats 32.1 per year for the 747 & 20.9 per year for the A380. So the 747 outsold it 9.2 per year. What the future for the A380 holds if they can keep it going. Sad if they can't it's a great plane & ride. But truly is one of the least attractive aircraft.
Miamiairport wrote:A sizable number of airlines have ordered in the 321 in the past decade. It’s reasonable to assume an a/c that size is still commercially viable so why wouldn’t Airlines have considered the 757 if it was still in production?
FatCat wrote:Because it was too small for long hauls
too big for short hauls
NameOmitted wrote:How much did the role of CADD play in the story? Boeing made a big deal at the time that the 777 was the first completely CADD designed aircraft, providing significant benefits. Had those brights not been available, world it have been worth getting more out of the drafting work done for the 767?
Was the 757 ever fully digitized and modeled in CADD?
FatCat wrote:Miamiairport wrote:A sizable number of airlines have ordered in the 321 in the past decade. It’s reasonable to assume an a/c that size is still commercially viable so why wouldn’t Airlines have considered the 757 if it was still in production?
Because it was too small for long hauls and too big for short hauls
OA940 wrote:Since when do we consider them as failures? Sure the 764 and 753 didn't exactly do well, but the 752 and 762/763 did incredibly for their time period, and in general. The 767 was selling until 2014 and still makes money as a cargo jet, while everyone is rushing to fill the shoes of the 752, a role which didn't exist before it. So, were the 753/764 failures? Yes. But to think the whole program failed you must be very delusional.
RJMAZ wrote:wjcandee wrote:The 753 was the most-efficient aircraft per pax of its time. Wider means less-aerodynamically-efficient, and two aisles means the thing has to be wider to accomodate the pax. I really don't follow your logic, unless you're saying that pax don't like an aircraft to be that long.
I disagree.
The 757-300 gained significant empty weight percentage wise for a stretch.
Usually a simple stretch like the 787-10 gains 5% empty weight but for 15% more cabin area. Range is sacrificed
A complex stretch like the A350-1000 gains 10% empty weight for 15% more cabin area, the benefit of that extra weight is that range is not sacrificed.
The 757-300 gained weight like a complex stretch but lost range like a simple stretch. Where did all that weight go? Structural efficiency is the answer. Long narrow tubes are easier to bend and need to be much stronger and heavier.
When aircraft efficiency is measured in fractions of a percentage the 757-300 wasn't that great for the range. It's empty weight per passenger wasn't any better than an A321.
reidar76 wrote:The Boeing 767-200 entered service in 1982, just a couple of years after the Airbus A300. The latter was the first twin-engined widebody, and the first with two crew members on the flight deck. (The engineer position was removed.) The A300 was in 1983 joined by the A310, a 12 frames shorter derivate (internally known as the A300, variant B10). The 767-200 was joined by a stretched variant in 1986, the 767-300. The 767-200/300 and the A310/A300 are similar sized. Between 1980 and 1992 519 767-200/-300 was delivered. In the same period Airbus delivered 504 A300/310. The 767 was very dominant in the large US market, while the A300 had its success mainly in Europe.
Boeing 767 production peaked in 1992, just 10 years after the first aircraft entered service. That is very early and is comparable to the A380. What happened was the launch of the Airbus A330, a brand new and modern design, a design that built on the same fuselage cross-section as the A300/A310 and lessons learnt. Entry into service for the A330 was in 1994. The A330/A340 duo was the first widebody with a fly-by-wire system.
When all this was happening Boeing was very busy developing the 777, their first aircraft with a fly-by-wire system and the largest twin-engined aircraft ever. The 777 entered service in 1995. Boeing was at this time also starting to feel the pressure from the increased production of the brand new A320.
The 757-200 production peaked in 1992 and production fell to half in just a few years. What happened was the similar sized A321. The A321 entered in service in 1994. The 757 was very popular in the US, while the rest of the world much more quickly adopted the A321. Ten years after the A321 entered service, production of the 757 ended.
So way didn't Boeing significantly upgrade the 767 and 757 at that time (mid 1990s)? The answer is that they were very busy with the 777, but also with the re-wing, re-engine, stretch and significant systems upgrade of the 737. The 737NG entered service in 1997. Boeing would later allocate some resources to the 757 and 767 programs, resulting in the 737-300 in 1999 and the 767-400 in 2000. By that time it was inadequate to just do a simple stretch, and these two variants sold in very few numbers.
In retrospective, I think it was a wise business decision to focus their resources on the 777 and 737 programs, both programs are significant success stories, and 737 production has still not peaked.
reidar76 wrote:The Boeing 767-200 entered service in 1982, just a couple of years after the Airbus A300.
Rookie87 wrote:After upgrading the 737, why do you think Boeing decided to just say forget it with the 757 and 767? Or were there upgrades done that we may or may not know about?
Balerit wrote:reidar76 wrote:The Boeing 767-200 entered service in 1982, just a couple of years after the Airbus A300.
I wouldn't call 8 to 10 years between the debut of both aircraft "just a couple of years".
reidar76 wrote:Balerit wrote:reidar76 wrote:The Boeing 767-200 entered service in 1982, just a couple of years after the Airbus A300.
I wouldn't call 8 to 10 years between the debut of both aircraft "just a couple of years".
True Airbus had a few early versions of the A300. I would call those prototypes from a company launching their first aircraft. A300 was significantly changed and the A300 B4 (200/600) entered into service in 1980 and 1983 respectively. Only these aircraft have the same type certificate as the A310.
Spacepope wrote:Bostrom wrote:1989worstyear wrote:Looking over old posts about why the 757-300 and 767-400 were commercial failures, it seems like the overall consensus is that these two variants came out too late and were already obsolete in 1999.
Therefore, I can't help to wonder what makes these two variants different from the 737 NG or 747-8, both of which are based on older designs from the 60's/70's. Then of course you have the 777X...
The 747-8 can hardly be called a success as a passenger aircraft.
True, but one could argue it's much more successful than the A380 as a freighter.
reidar76 wrote:The Boeing 767-200 entered service in 1982, just a couple of years after the Airbus A300. The latter was the first twin-engined widebody, and the first with two crew members on the flight deck. (The engineer position was removed.) The A300 was in 1983 joined by the A310, a 12 frames shorter derivate (internally known as the A300, variant B10). The 767-200 was joined by a stretched variant in 1986, the 767-300. The 767-200/300 and the A310/A300 are similar sized. Between 1980 and 1992 519 767-200/-300 was delivered. In the same period Airbus delivered 504 A300/310. The 767 was very dominant in the large US market, while the A300 had its success mainly in Europe.
Boeing 767 production peaked in 1992, just 10 years after the first aircraft entered service. That is very early and is comparable to the A380. What happened was the launch of the Airbus A330, a brand new and modern design, a design that built on the same fuselage cross-section as the A300/A310 and lessons learnt. Entry into service for the A330 was in 1994. The A330/A340 duo was the first widebody with a fly-by-wire system.
When all this was happening Boeing was very busy developing the 777, their first aircraft with a fly-by-wire system and the largest twin-engined aircraft ever. The 777 entered service in 1995. Boeing was at this time also starting to feel the pressure from the increased production of the brand new A320.
The 757-200 production peaked in 1992 and production fell to half in just a few years. What happened was the similar sized A321. The A321 entered in service in 1994. The 757 was very popular in the US, while the rest of the world much more quickly adopted the A321. Ten years after the A321 entered service, production of the 757 ended.
So way didn't Boeing significantly upgrade the 767 and 757 at that time (mid 1990s)? The answer is that they were very busy with the 777, but also with the re-wing, re-engine, stretch and significant systems upgrade of the 737. The 737NG entered service in 1997. Boeing would later allocate some resources to the 757 and 767 programs, resulting in the 737-300 in 1999 and the 767-400 in 2000. By that time it was inadequate to just do a simple stretch, and these two variants sold in very few numbers.
In retrospective, I think it was a wise business decision to focus their resources on the 777 and 737 programs, both programs are significant success stories, and 737 production has still not peaked.
flyingclrs727 wrote:CaptnSnow71 wrote:Right now, Boeing is wishing they never discontinued the 753. Just because it didn't sell at the time doesn't mean it was obsolete... they are now spending billions developing a replacement.
As for the 767, not sure why you're calling that a failure. Been flying for 37 years and production hasn't ceased. It may not have been as popular or profitable as the A330, but was still a financial success.
They would be spending billions developing some sort of product anyway, unless they wanted to end up like McDonnell Douglas.
Had the 753 been developed 5-10 years earlier, it probably would have sold more units. It had the misfortune of having about half of Continental's order cancelled after 9-11. Still the demand for 757-200's was drying up as the 737NG performed many of the missions previously performed by 757-200's. Prior to the 737NG, the 757 was the only Boeing narrow body that could fly US transcons. As 752 orders dropped off the cliff after 9-11, there wasn't much point in continuing production.
As 737 NG's took over lots of the routes previously flown by 752's, the 752's were either sold off for conversion to freighters or repositioned to fly the longest possible missions on which they still had an advantage. CO converted all its 752's to their international configuration with 16 lie flat business class seats. UA converted its youngest 752's to its PS configuration for premium transcon service to replace 762's it retired after 9-11 and sold off the older 752's. After the UA-CO merger, UA installed 28 of the UA lie flat business class seats on their PS configured 752's.
Ty134A wrote:the 757 was a plane designed in the days of regulated air travel. turn times mattered less, human resources also played less of a role, and never forget the leap the 757 was over other airliners such as the 727 or the DC8, Cconvairs, 707s... and boeing made the plane into a veeeeery long single aisle plane. while efficient during flight, it is a nightmare on the grond and very unflexible. the tourn times are a disgrace on the 757-300, if operated for what it was intended. just imagine loading 200 bags and a few tons of cargo bulk onto this plane... and offloading the same amount. also imagine 260 pax boarding this long and very narrow tube. the a321 features containers and is not that long, so more flexible and basically even made the 753 obsolete with carriers operating them -> condor. it takes 6-8 minutes for 3 workers to fully load an a321 with containers, the same weight and volume would take 6 workers at least 25 minutes on the 752/3, or 737 and bulk airbus 321/0. never forget, even the DC8 had containers for belly loading... and that is some time ago. and that is only one factor... there are others as well. and there is a reason why for example MC-21 with the same dimensions of the 753 would be a much better aircraft, and why airbus won' build an A322.
FlyCaledonian wrote:....
If Boeing was going to do a 757NG it should have done it after the 737NG, but even then was there a market? The US majors were still taking the 757-200 and it takes something good to get an airline to take an upgrade if there isn't really a need. That being said, if there had been a 757NG then it might have survived 9/11 and been able to get sales for TATL operations, but again how big would that market really have been?
The 757 and 767 were (are) good designs but various factors conspired to stop any real second generation products being offered.
Rookie87 wrote:reidar76 wrote:The Boeing 767-200 entered service in 1982, just a couple of years after the Airbus A300. The latter was the first twin-engined widebody, and the first with two crew members on the flight deck. (The engineer position was removed.) The A300 was in 1983 joined by the A310, a 12 frames shorter derivate (internally known as the A300, variant B10). The 767-200 was joined by a stretched variant in 1986, the 767-300. The 767-200/300 and the A310/A300 are similar sized. Between 1980 and 1992 519 767-200/-300 was delivered. In the same period Airbus delivered 504 A300/310. The 767 was very dominant in the large US market, while the A300 had its success mainly in Europe.
Boeing 767 production peaked in 1992, just 10 years after the first aircraft entered service. That is very early and is comparable to the A380. What happened was the launch of the Airbus A330, a brand new and modern design, a design that built on the same fuselage cross-section as the A300/A310 and lessons learnt. Entry into service for the A330 was in 1994. The A330/A340 duo was the first widebody with a fly-by-wire system.
When all this was happening Boeing was very busy developing the 777, their first aircraft with a fly-by-wire system and the largest twin-engined aircraft ever. The 777 entered service in 1995. Boeing was at this time also starting to feel the pressure from the increased production of the brand new A320.
The 757-200 production peaked in 1992 and production fell to half in just a few years. What happened was the similar sized A321. The A321 entered in service in 1994. The 757 was very popular in the US, while the rest of the world much more quickly adopted the A321. Ten years after the A321 entered service, production of the 757 ended.
So way didn't Boeing significantly upgrade the 767 and 757 at that time (mid 1990s)? The answer is that they were very busy with the 777, but also with the re-wing, re-engine, stretch and significant systems upgrade of the 737. The 737NG entered service in 1997. Boeing would later allocate some resources to the 757 and 767 programs, resulting in the 737-300 in 1999 and the 767-400 in 2000. By that time it was inadequate to just do a simple stretch, and these two variants sold in very few numbers.
In retrospective, I think it was a wise business decision to focus their resources on the 777 and 737 programs, both programs are significant success stories, and 737 production has still not peaked.
Thank you for your reply. Now, the question still stands. After upgrading the 737, why do you think Boeing decided to just say forget it with the 757 and 767? Or were there upgrades done that we may or may not know about? I’m familiar with the Sky interiors done for the 767 and have a vague recollection of avionics upgrades (maybe) that were also done for the 767, but I don’t remember reading anything similar regarding the 757. Pilots can fly either, so it it safe to assume the same avionics upgrades I vaguely recollect would have applied to the 757 as well?
Balerit wrote:rbavfan wrote:American 767 wrote:
And the A380 ate the 747 for dinner.
I wouldn't call the 767 a dead-end design because Boeing is still building it, although no new variants came out lately. Boeing is still selling the 767-300ER as cargo, the ERF variant. The 767 still has a long future ahead as a freighter, and especially as a tanker with the Air Force. Look how long the KC-135 has been flying, I wouldn't be surprised if military 767s remain in service past 2040. Boeing could very well refit the 767 tankers with new power plants in the future, like they refit the KC-135s with CFM-56 power plants.
Base on total sales the A380 did not eat the 747 for lunch. 1544 747's as of April 2018 . So far the A380 has been out for 10 years & 7 months and as of march 2018 they have sold 222. thats 32.1 per year for the 747 & 20.9 per year for the A380. So the 747 outsold it 9.2 per year. What the future for the A380 holds if they can keep it going. Sad if they can't it's a great plane & ride. But truly is one of the least attractive aircraft.
Okay I must have used different figures when I checked a while ago but the A380 has entered a market that is saturated but the 747 had no competition, so I think that the A380 has done pretty well considering and maybe in the next ten years it will double that figure.
reidar76 wrote:Rookie87 wrote:After upgrading the 737, why do you think Boeing decided to just say forget it with the 757 and 767? Or were there upgrades done that we may or may not know about?
After upgrading the 737 to 737NG it was probably to late to do a significant new derivative of the 757 and 767. Should Boeing pursued that strategy, the program should have been launched in the early 1990s, before production peaked for the 757 and 767. The 757-300 (1999) and 767-400 (2000) came to late. Instead Boeing developed the 737-900ER (2006) as a 757 replacement and in 2004 launched the 787 program. At that time the 787 was supposed to be a 767 replacement, so after the 737NG program was completed Boeing had launched the 787.
Apropos, upgrades to the 757/767, I can think of retrofittable blended winglets. I think that was around 2007, an important upgraded that resulted in a life extension of the existing 757/767 fleet, but hasn't really contributed to any new sales.
LAX772LR wrote:Max Q wrote:The 757 program was terminated prematurely, no question despite their being a temporary lull in orders
You call 7 aircraft ordered, in the span of more than 3yrs, "a temporary lull"..??
Shareholders would call that a completely unjustifiable waste of resources.Max Q wrote:It’s ironic that the 757 line was shuttered just a few years before the wave of new interest in an aircraft of its size capable of
operating longer thin routes
...which does not actually translate into carriers wanting 757s, as there were plenty of fully capable examples able to fly for two more decades, readily available but untaken.Max Q wrote:Closing down the 757 line was Boeing’s biggest commercial mistake, period
No, repeating that absurd statement as if it were remotely fact, is a mistake.
LAX772LR wrote:Max Q wrote:The 757 program was terminated prematurely, no question despite their being a temporary lull in orders
You call 7 aircraft ordered, in the span of more than 3yrs, "a temporary lull"..??
Shareholders would call that a completely unjustifiable waste of resources.Max Q wrote:It’s ironic that the 757 line was shuttered just a few years before the wave of new interest in an aircraft of its size capable of
operating longer thin routes
...which does not actually translate into carriers wanting 757s, as there were plenty of fully capable examples able to fly for two more decades, readily available but untaken.Max Q wrote:Closing down the 757 line was Boeing’s biggest commercial mistake, period
No, repeating that absurd statement as if it were remotely fact, is a mistake.
Max Q wrote:No question shutting down the 757 line was a mistake, lack of orders or not at the time
Customers would have returned
Keeping the line open at a very low production rate or literally with no orders
for a couple of years would still be more efficient and save billions compared to the cost of developing an entirely new ‘MOM’
aircraft that Boeing could otherwise put off
for decades longer
BoeingGuy wrote:LAX772LR wrote:Max Q wrote:The 757 program was terminated prematurely, no question despite their being a temporary lull in orders
You call 7 aircraft ordered, in the span of more than 3yrs, "a temporary lull"..??
Shareholders would call that a completely unjustifiable waste of resources.Max Q wrote:It’s ironic that the 757 line was shuttered just a few years before the wave of new interest in an aircraft of its size capable of
operating longer thin routes
...which does not actually translate into carriers wanting 757s, as there were plenty of fully capable examples able to fly for two more decades, readily available but untaken.Max Q wrote:Closing down the 757 line was Boeing’s biggest commercial mistake, period
No, repeating that absurd statement as if it were remotely fact, is a mistake.
I don’t always agree with LAX777LR, but he is spot on in his response. We go over this over and over and over on A.net.
The 757 is one of the best airplanes ever designed.
Repeat after me: Boeing shut down the 757 line because it wasn’t selling and there were no prospects for future sales.
This went on for several years too. Boeing tried hard to drum up orders. They just weren’t there.
Also both the 757 and 767 have sold over 1000 each. I’d hardly call that a dead end or a failure.
Max Q wrote:No question shutting down the 757 line was a mistake, lack of orders or not at the time
Customers would have returned
Keeping the line open at a very low production rate or literally with no orders
for a couple of years would still be more efficient and save billions compared to the cost of developing an entirely new ‘MOM’
aircraft that Boeing could otherwise put off
for decades longer
Lufthansa wrote:Max Q wrote:No question shutting down the 757 line was a mistake, lack of orders or not at the time
Customers would have returned
Keeping the line open at a very low production rate or literally with no orders
for a couple of years would still be more efficient and save billions compared to the cost of developing an entirely new ‘MOM’
aircraft that Boeing could otherwise put off
for decades longer
Hmmm not so sure about that. First of all it would have needed a complete new wing, and new engines. But if we really want to take some weight
out of it and address the modern markets concerns we'd need to look at drastically increasing the use of composites over metal.... in other words...
these changes are so huge you are basically designing a new aircraft and you're certainly looking at a different production process/tooling line, negating
any saving made keeping the line open. the only real advantage the 757 could offer over the a321LR is the ability to have the stretched version. however I wouldn't
be surprised if Boeing does look at a long single isle plane. Look to Asia for hints. This is where they're gonna need to sell it. Think something scoot can fit 250 pax in and
fly low cost from Singapore to Taipei. To really make this work though this airplane MUST be light per pax. and medium sized sectors the turn around doesn't matter so much.
RJMAZ wrote:wjcandee wrote:Did you want to back this up with gals/pax-mile or lbs/pax-mile on a typical route? Compared to say a 767 of its time?
Empty weight per passenger is the best metric to compare short haul CASM.
Let's compare all three at 28" pitch full economy.
737-900ER - 44600kg 215 passengers = 206kg per pas
A321CEO - 48,500kg 236 passengers = 205kg per pas
757-300 - 64300kg 280 passengers = 229kg per pas
The whole bigger wing argument doesn't apply. Wing loadgings
737-900ER - 85T 124m2 = 684kg per m2
A321CEO - 93.5T 122m2 = 766kg per m2
757-300 - 123T 185m2 = 664kg per m2
The 737-900ER wing loading is very close to the 757 long range cruise would overtake much.
The 757-200 is the one with the big wing and great long range fuel burn not the 757-300.
A 737-900ER could probably do an extra flight per day due to the quicker turn around times. This complete offsets the capacity difference.