I wonder which one though, both flights are currently A332 while the NW usually sees a 77W on the later flight. I’m guessing 789 on the early flight?
NZ must be taking a hit at EZE - Australian bookings to Argentina have tumbled, with the drop one of the worst of any market.
We know that Australian traffic to EZE takes up 40% of NZ's EZE service, so that trend from Australia is a really big problem.... normally a fall in a country’s currency will lead to a surge in bookings as the destination becomes tangibly better value for international visitors. However, a severe decline which is triggered by a domestic economic and political crisis, can actually have the opposite effect and put off visitors, at least in the short term.
See: https://blueswandaily.com/argentinas-fi ... in-demand/
EZE must not be doing to bad, its just been increased to 6x weekly for this coming summer peak season https://twitter.com/Airlineroute/status/1012430946530783232
Was showing 5x 789, 1x 772 before so that makes a lot more sense, doing ok, maybe with some Asian connections aswell it will give them enough traffic to increase or local NZ traffic, they are obviously fairly confident in the routes performance given the Argentina situation.
It would help the forum (or at least, me) if you explained (in more than a one, two or three-word reply) just why it is that:
1. You changed your mind on NZ and ICN from just a few months ago, such that "I now give ICN an opportunity now
2. You now assert that "It won't happen
" - which, in light of no specificity in quoting me, I take to be about NZ at ICN.
My "opinion" has absolutely no connection to what "will happen".
I give it an opportunity if NZ had an alliance and / or as the Korean Kiwi population matures and we get second and third generation Koreans living here.
You've looked at the Stats NZ website and comments from AKL airport and come to a conclusion that South Korea is a strong route for NZ and it's massively undeserved. You've also said cargo links are strong and listed heavy household electronic goods which are sent via sea.
This is a great example of how stats can send you astray. You're probably not working in the industry and/or don't understand it completely. Korean's are massively KE loyal, to the point where a number of carriers in NZ don't even attempt to compete with KE on the NZ-KE market. KE holds between 96-98% of the market and no matter what airlines do they can't shift that.
Opening a route does not entitle you to a particular sized slice of the pie. I could mention one airline who attempted to undercut KE on a competitive schedule. Pushed it relatively hard to Korean agents and the Korean community. Not even a nibble from them.
Those routes you mentioned earlier JFK/HNL/FRA daily and a 5 weekly FCO for KE with the 748 only need 6 frames max. There is certainly more changes to come, SFO I think for it last NW but they have increased frequency with 77W’s there.
Even if KE use a 77W NZ just aren’t going to jump in based on that, gives KE a good reason to increase and put pressure on NZ, NZ imo would no this and be cautious, KE have had the market to themselves for so long they won’t be a push over. OZ on the other hand who knows? I think seasonal flying has its place but that doesn’t mean NZ will take it up. Who knows maybe KE will add CHC again? Although recent comments by CHC airport suggests they are talking with existing carriers about capacity increases.