So NZ ends the relationship with VA, VA responds by substantially upping its presence on the Tasman. Oops. NZ has no Australian feed and no option but QF, putting QF in the better bargaining position - who knows what they extracted for this deal?
Agree - if I was QF I'd have been strong on Air NZ NOT opening new routes like AKL-HBA, AKL-CBR etc as a condition of the codeshare deal - otherwise what's in it for QF? Which may well be why, despite at least circumstantial evidence from SQ (see BITRE stats, which suggest 2000 pax each way averaged on WLG-CBR in January) that a decent market exists out of CBR to NZ, Air NZ has not taken the bait in the aftermath of the VA divorce.
New Zealand consumer is worse off as domestic heads into a pseudo monopoly situation - surely this requires Commerce Commission approval?
Disagree - it's the Australian public flying within NZ that will be affected domestically within NZ, and the NZ consumer on domestic services is not impacted at all. Arguably, Air NZ benefits as many of the Australian pax would have flown JQ previously. And arguably Air NZ passengers flying within Australia will have more options under QF than under VA. Not sure what aspect of the arrangement you think that the Commerce Commission would have a legitimate interest in? There's no hint that this is a prelude to a JQ withdrawal; from NZ - if there was, then I'd agree with you. But absent that . . .
Then we have the usual anti VA crowd claiming absolute disaster for the carrier, bandying about things like the Tasman represents half of VA's international traffice, 75 per cent of bookings came via NZ - yet another figure that only 250,000 pax which suggests something's not adding up - and, of course, impending financial oblivion for VA.
Even if it were true, which it's not, the apparent glee by some on here is, well, not all that surprising.
It's undeniable that VA will suffer through losing more bookings to Air NZ than Air NZ will lose to VA. So at a time when they are effectively losing pax
to Air NZ they have gambled on increasing
services. Whereas Air NZ have increased services at a time when all things being equal they should increase they passenger numbers at VA's expense. In sum: Air NZ is gaining passengers and increasing services, while VA is losing passengers, but still increasing services notwithstanding. It may not be financial oblivion for VA, but it certainly isn't a better place than they are in now. And couple that with strong rumours that some of their big foreign backers may be looking for a way out, and the picture for VA is not looking especially rosy. I'd be expecting to see a major VA marketing push in NZ because there's precious little presence of the carrier in NZ at all, aside from their services being sold through Air NZ. But so far, I've heard not a peep from them in the usual places that airlines seek to gain profile. Anyone else got any thoughts on that?
BTW, I think that the figure of 250,000 pax is not the number of pax using VA services across the Tasman, but the number of Air NZ passengers using VA codeshares domestically in Australia IIRC. Hence the apparent anomaly you highlight.
So everyone take a breath. It's just a codeshare. And NZ has effed up its Australian efforts on multiple occasions now. They certainly have form!
Yes, it's just a codeshare. Hard to see though how NZ might "eff up" on this - with QF they can offer more flights to more destinations than was ever possible through VA. Where's the downside? If Air NZ and QF also fall out then there are worse outcomes than having to operate their own metal on AKL-HBA and AKL-CBR to pick up some of the pax, or even to operate a couple of services a day on BNE-SYD-MEL to pick up the pax who want a two-centre Australian trip.
This is not my beautiful house . . . This is not my beautiful wife