MEL has relatively small Japanese community and related business ...
Actually, quite a few Japanese companies have their regional HQ in Melbourne, including Asahi, Mazda, Mitsubishi, NEC, Nintendo and Toyota, while Melbourne companies like BHP also do significant business with Japan. The corporate traffic is there, and this traffic would no doubt prefer HND to NRT.
... slots are allocated by Japanese government----if anyone would get additional slots it would be JAL not NH.
The allocation of the slots, by both country and airline, will be key. I can see Australia getting at least 1 of 53 daily rotation slots, given the size of the economic relationship; Japan is Australia's second biggest trading partner, and according to some sources, Australia is Japan's fifth biggest trading partner.
Do you have a source to say JL will get the new HND slots over NH? I thought that JL was still looked upon unfavorably by the government, given its bankruptcy, and that that had affected its HND slot allocation to date. Irregardless of airline, IMO, MEL - HND will be considered as a key option:
- For NH, it would further strengthen their premium positioning in Australia against JL, aligning with SYD - HND.
- For JL, it would provide them with a monopoly, instead of at SYD, where they will compete with NH from HND.
First of all I work in one of the top tier Japanese firm in Sydney... I know there are many Japanese firms setting their HQ in Melbourne. I work with them closely.
And yes I know Japan is Australia's second biggest trading partner, that's how I found my job.
But again mate you need to read properly what I wrote.
I never said Melbourne has no Japanese firms, all I'm saying is Sydney has relatively more Japanese business than Melbourne. （Melbourne is more manufacturing focus whereas Sydney has more financial&trading companies having their HQ here)
Other than BHP's partnership among top 2 trading companies (Sogo shosha)in Melbourne, overall Sydney has lots more business traffic to Japan than Melbourne. (And again manufacturing is dying + all top 3 Japanese banks' HQ are in Sydney)
You can ask people in JTB, which I did already, and they'll tell you I'm right. (BTW JTB has branches in Cairns, Gold coast and Sydney. Melbourne only has Sales office)
Also please don't neglect the fact that Sydney has almost twice as many Japanese than Melbourne. https://www.dss.gov.au/sites/default/fi ... /japan.pdfhttp://famzau.com/2016/07/27/japanese-population/
These are the reasons why no one was flying to Melbourne until few years ago.
Of course no doubt the demand in Melbourne has picked up significantly over past few years but so does Sydney.
As for bankruptcy issue that's not the case for JL anymore. Basically the slots allocation was distributed favorably toward NH based on a policy document issued by Japanese government. (AKA 8.10 paper)https://www.haneda-airport-server.com/entry/810_paper
Sorry I'll just post a Japanese site here but basically it means it's effective until end of 2016 financial year (Mar 2017)
Afterward the allocation will have to be fair and equal. JAL has more negotiation power on the table now. (BTW this is also the reason why JAL was able to restart HND-JFK from Apr 2017)
And again you can argue that JL would want to do MEL-HND over SYD-HND but if you go ask people in JAL they would tell you otherwise. (My friend working in JAL in Tokyo said his management has to be crazy to prioritize MEL over SYD to fly into HND)
And BTW JAL's only Australia office is in Sydney as well.