Gemuser wrote:Stitch wrote:redroo wrote:AJ is on record saying that PER isn’t going anywhere when the MEL and SYD go non stop.
Which seems to make sense as I have heard PER has one of, if not the, largest UK ex-pat community around and therefore O&D should be strong enough to sustain the route without the MEL tag-on.
IMHO depending on the UK expat community in PER to support the non stop is for a short time only, if it is current true. I don't know about PER specifically [or WA in general] but post world war II UK immigration to Australia, as a whole peaked in the 1970s. Family ties do not tend to stand the test of time in this country due to distance and cost, which may be changing but I've seen not evidance of it. Once the people who do the migrating pass on their children are not as close and their grand kids are not interested. [Speaking generally of course there are always exceptions]
PER vies with SYD as the city with having the largest UK born population outside of Europe. Around 10% of the population of PER were born in the UK. In addition, several of the largest companies on the ASX200 have their largest operations in PER and WA, but have headquarters or major operations in the UK (Rio TInto, BHP, and the Oil & Gas industry). Then you have the fact that WA has the second highest average salary of the states/territories (behind ACT), and the second highest state GSP per capital (behind NT) and I’m amazed why people think PER to LHR direct isn’t viable without MEL.
That being said, I do wonder if the sunrise aircraft will cause a change in how PER is used. If the sunrise aircraft can do SYD/MEL -> LHR with restrictions, then those restrictions would be a lot less of those same aircraft, or standard models of the sunrise aircraft (A359, A351, 777-9) when operated from Perth. There might be a model where SYD/MEL->LHR direct is for the premium passengers, and sunrise (or at least larger than 789) operate from PER, connecting with flights from SYD and MEL. Premium goes direct, budget connects in PER with a bigger aircraft.